[Player 10, please speak]

"Yes, yes, I want to recognize the bear of player 7, so it happens that 9 under the police is a wolf."

"If there is no accident, there is only one wolf in 4 and 9, and the possibility of all wolves is very small, so I want to let player 4 go."

"As for why I'm so hostile to Player 9, there are two reasons."

"On the one hand, it's because of the pit, that is, positionalism, from my point of view, player 5 is a fox, 6 and 8 are gold water, and 7 is a bear, can I not order 9 to enter the wolf pit? I'm definitely going to throw him a water bag. ”

"But I don't beat him to death, it's just that the wolf who tends to be under the police is 9 now, if he can shoot his identity, it means that he is wrong, but if he can't shoot his identity, then I'm sorry, a pit kill is a pit kill."

"On the other hand, my intuition tells me that there are wolves around me in this game, and there are no wolves around the bear, which means that there is a high probability of wolves around other good people, especially when the bear is not around me, I think there must be wolves on my left and right."

"If I don't have wolves around me, I'm afraid this game will be three wolves or four wolves, but this is very unlikely."

"What I'm talking about now isn't logical, but it's not entirely intuitive, and there's still some truth to it, right?"

Player 10 prefers to recognize 7 as a bear, because there is nothing wrong with 7's perspective and speech, which makes him feel the urge to stand side.

And he was a little suspicious that the 9 around him might be a wolf, and it was logical for the No. 7 player to play 9 on the side, to some extent, this also proved that 7 was a bear.

Logic and the wolf pit corroborate each other, if there are no accidents, 7 is undoubtedly a bear.

"The police follow the three wolves, all of them are behind the police, there are no wolves in the front position, 5 is the sub-fox, 8 is the golden water, this can't be moved, don't think about it."

"So, in my perspective, it's 1, 2, 3, 11, 12 in the three wolves, to be honest, the pit is still very crowded, take a picture of the identity, maybe the wolf pit will be locked."

"I have a hunch that player 11 is going to jump the bear, but I don't want to believe him jumping, unless 11 has a particularly good conversation, otherwise, I will fight against player 7 on the side of the water."

Listening to the speech of player 10, Ren Fan couldn't help but roll his eyes, thinking that his intuition of this product did not seem to be accurate.

Because he can't jump bears.

As a great pufferfish, he wants to talk about himself to the extent that he looks like a wolf but not a wolf, and has a bandit face but is not necessarily a wolf.

This degree is particularly difficult to grasp, and it feels like I am embroidering with an excavator.

But if the puffer fish wants to make the most of its skills, it has to work hard in this direction.

If he talks very well, neither a wolf nor a good person can beat him, and no one votes for him, won't his skills be wasted?

In the same way, if he talks too badly, the good people will treat him as a wolf at that time, and all the tickets will be hung on him, and he will activate his skills and not blow up all the good people.

"I don't think we have to vote among the two bears today, we can consider taking the outside position, and it is best to find a wolf beauty."

"The wolf beauty of this board can't activate the skill on the first night, which is equivalent to a window period, if we can seize this window period to get the wolf beauty out, then it will be considered a defeat of the wolf team."

"Once this window period is over, unless Zihu can accurately charm the wolf beauty, otherwise, there is a high probability that the wolf beauty will kill a person."

"Although we may not lose if Wolf Mei dies one person in a row, it doesn't hurt to kill Wolf Mei as soon as possible."

"Of course, I'm just a suggestion, the decision is in the hands of player 5, if he only wants to play between the two bears, then I didn't say it, after all, my way of playing is also a bit risky."

"Relatively speaking, it must be safer to emerge from the bear."

Player 10 had a good idea to take advantage of the wolf beauty's inability to activate the skill and take it out.

And the one who jumps the bear can only be a little wolf, and it can't be a wolf beauty.

Such an idea is indeed in line with the maximization of good people's returns, but the greater the returns, the higher the risk.

If it is out of the external position, it is naturally happy to be able to get out of the wolf beauty, but what if you accidentally get a good person? Especially when it comes out, isn't that embarrassing? Self-defeating belongs to yes.

At this time, it actually depends on the personality of the person who has the right to return votes.

If he is a man of stability and does not like to be adventurous and aggressive, he must be voted among the bears.

But if the other party is a bold and courageous person, and likes to show off operations, show that he is different, and is extremely confident in his judgment, then it is really possible to go to the wolf beauty he thinks.

"Having said all this, I hope that good people will recognize me and believe that I must not be a wolf."

"Alright, let's talk so much about the police first, player 11, please start your performance."

[Player 11, please speak]

"What you said is a bit contrived, Player 10, I'm afraid it's not me who needs to perform, but Ling."

"Didn't you follow the position of player 7 and kill player 9? Then I'll draw a scoop according to the gourd and let you into the wolf pit. ”

"Now there is only player 7 jumping the bear in the front position, it's hard to say whether it's a real bear, but I can stand on his side first, who knows if there will be a wolf jumping bear in the back."

"Normally, there will definitely be jumps, if you don't jump, there will be no room for survival, but there are no absolutes, not to mention what the wolf thinks, what moths are going to come out, no one knows."

"So, I can't assume that there must be a pair of jumps behind, since player 7 has already jumped the bear and has a good conversation, then I can't catch up and hit him as a wolf."

"And he is a bear, 5, 6, 7, 8 are all good people, in this case, 9 and 10 must have a wolf, and it cannot be a double wolf."

"Because player 10 is obviously hostile to 9, and this hostility is not quite like the hostility of the wolf stepping on the wolf to pretend to be an identity, I can hear that 10 is really murderous to 9, and he wants to bring rhythm to resist player 9."

"I didn't hear his speech when I was under the police, but I didn't feel very good when I listened to 10's speech."

"He said that he didn't believe me jumping bear, he wanted to fight back, and asked me to start performing, these words sound very contrived, yes, they are contrived."

"Also, I don't agree with some of his statements."

"For example, he said that today he can consider not coming out of the jumping bear, go to the outside position to find the wolf beauty to resist, and throw it out before the opponent has time to launch the skill."

"At first glance, this sounds like no problem, but also for the sake of good people, if conditions permit, to maximize the benefits, if we can get out of the wolf beauty, it is indeed much higher than the income of the wolf."

"But the question is, are we necessary to take that risk? There are two cards on this board to restrain the wolf beauty, and Zihu can run to the wolf beauty to charm tonight, as long as he charms the wolf beauty, the other party's skills can't be used. ”

"The puffer fish can also restrain the wolf beauty, as long as the wolf stabs the puffer fish at night, and the puffer fish flops during the day, the skills of the wolf beauty in this round will be invalid."

"In other words, we had two chances to make the wolf beauty's skills unleashed, so why did we have to risk him on the first day?"

Ren Fan has a lot of hostility towards player 10, which is normal, 10 throws a water bag at him in the front position, he has to say something, doesn't he?

Although I am not sure whether 10 is a wolf or not, the other party must be in his wolf pit, and he will learn from the position of the plate, 10 cannot be put down, and when it comes to speaking, 10 still cannot be put.

In particular, player 10 mentioned that he could consider running to the wolf beauty in the outside position today, which is okay in itself, but he feels that 10 may be drawing a pie for the good guy with a rhythm.

Originally, there was a one-in-two probability of getting out of the wolf in the jumping bear, and even if it was wrong, it was just a bear being pushed against.

But in the external position, the uncertainty factor is too great, and it will come out to the white cat or even him.

So, maybe it's just a trick.

In addition, 10's speech was a little contrived, and he was also in the wolf pit, Ren Fan was naturally very suspicious of 10's identity.

"If player 10 is really a wolf, 9 can be put down, and the police officers 4, 6, and 9, 6 and 9 are all selected out, and player 4 will have a big banditry."

"Of course, this is just my preliminary judgment, and the premise is that player 7 is a bear, if 7 is not a bear, all our logic has to be reset."

"There is nothing wrong with the first day of the fox jumping out, in fact, you should boldly jump out to the police badge when you get this card, some people take the fox timidly, and you have to be like a white cat pufferfish, which is not interesting."

"At night, Zihu will run to the wolf to charm, and strive to come out on Christmas Eve, don't tell us who you charm at night."

"If the card you charm is out of Christmas Eve, the other party should be a wolf, if it's not Christmas Eve, you eat the knife and fall the card, just give the police badge to the person who is charmed, he must be a good person."

"Puffer fish can play as you like, identity exposure or not, in fact, it doesn't matter, but the white cat is different, the white cat must be hidden, this card can only play the effect until the end."

"If you die too quickly, it's actually worthless, it's just to occupy a god pit, but as long as the white cat survives to the end, it is equivalent to one more round of good people."

"On this board, the first target of the werewolf is the white cat, followed by the sub-fox, so the white cat must find a way to hide his identity."

Ren Fan was not wrong at all.

Don't look at the fox can charm the werewolf out of Christmas Eve, but in the eyes of the wolf, the biggest threat is the white cat.

This card must be found early, and it must not be made to the end, otherwise the good guy will be equivalent to an extra round out of thin air.

This is determined by the skill mechanics of the white cat.

If the white cat eats the knife the next day, he can live until the third day, but this is useless, because if he does not live to the third day, the game will not end, after all, there are other god cards.

However, once the white cat becomes the last god on the field, and he eats the knife at night, the game will not end, and the good guy will still have a chance to push.

But if you change to another card, the game is over, and that's what the white cat can do for the good guys.

"Player 10, the one who is most like a wolf in the front position is you, with all due respect, you'd better have an identity, if you don't have an identity, go away."

"And I believe that not only will I hit you, but player 9 will also have to hit you, and the bear card in the back position will also hit you."

"Three to one, no identity, do you think you can fight?"

"Okay, that's all I want to say about the police, the hole card is a good person, temporarily recognize the No. 7 player as a bear, so be it, it's over."

[Player 12, please speak]

"So many people in the front position didn't speak on the jump, it's a bit interesting, the wolf won't admit it and dare not come out to jump, right?"

"In this situation, I can only say that there is no other choice for the No. 7 player on the side."

"There should be three wolves out of the police, and it is almost impossible to think about two wolves under the police."

"5, 7, and 8 are all selected, and wolves will definitely come out of the remaining 10 and 11."

"Judging from the speeches of the two of them, it seems that they are not on the same side, 10 said to let 11 start performing, 11 got up and fought back, and 10 went into the wolf pit."

"Maybe most people think that 10 and 11 are opposites, and only one wolf can open between the two of them."

"But I feel that 10 and 11 may be two wolves stepping on each other as identities, especially when player 10 talks to 11 please start performing, I really think he deliberately stepped on 11 to pull the opposite."

"Why do you want to do this, in fact, the reason is very simple, that is, the No. 10 player feels that the survival space of the wolves in this game will be very small, and he must pull the opposite side in advance."

"When his identity is revealed, the identity of player 11 will be made, although it will not be completely recognized by the good guys, but the identity is always preferred."

"In the same way, if 11's identity is exposed, his identity will be done."

"The most important thing is that the good people in the external position point to the wolf pit, and they are unlikely to point them both into it at the same time, so that there must be good people to fill the vacant wolf pit."

"And that's exactly what Wolves want to push against."

Player 12's speech was unexpected.

10 and 11 are out of the wolf, there is nothing wrong with such a plate, after all, the two of them have begun to step on each other.

If 10 and 11 are good people, then 1, 2, 3, and 12 will have three wolves, as long as they are not people who love to drill the horns, they will not be so wolf pits.

However, player number 12 actually thinks that 10 and 11 are double wolves, which surprises everyone.

But after listening to his reasons for doubting 10 and 11 wolves, he had to admit that what 12 said was not completely unreasonable.

If the wolf is prescient enough, he will really deliberately step on his teammates and pull the opposite side, so as not to be marked as a double wolf when he gets it.

As long as the good guys don't play 10 or 11 pairs of wolves, one of the two of them will survive, and there will always be one person in the good guy camp to join the wolf pit.

Although player 12 has reached this level, it does not mean that the good people in the external position can think of it.

In fact, even if 12 mentions that 10 and 11 may be wolf teammates who step on each other, they may not be a wolf and a good person, and the players in the external position believe it or not.

After all, 12 is such a game, relying on speculation, it is his own imagination that the No. 10 player deliberately stepped on Ren Fan as an identity, and there is actually no logic to prove this.

On the contrary, judging by the speeches, 10 and 11 do not look like two wolves.

"Player No. 10 talks to Zihu, when the last position is returned, you can consider the wolf beauty in the external position, this is a window period for his skills, and he will earn blood if he catches it."

"And player No. 11 thinks that this is not right, there is no need to catch the wolf beauty on the first day, the risk is too great, and it will be self-defeating if you don't do it well."

"Not to mention which of them is right and who is wrong, from a mentality point of view, I think the number 10 player is more like a good person."

"If the 10 hole card is a wolf, he doesn't need to talk about this kind of eye-catching words, so it is easy to become the focus of attention, and if Zihu really comes out of the wolf beauty in the outside position, isn't it embarrassing?"

"As a wolf, he honestly plays the barb, does a good job, and just makes good words, like this kind of amazing words, there is no need to mention it."

"Player No. 10 dares to talk directly to Zihu, you can consider the external position to go to the wolf beauty, I think his mentality is good, he wants to take advantage of the wolf beauty's inability to launch the skill to get the wolf beauty out, the idea is good."

"However, player No. 11 thinks that he can't play out of the outside position today, so he should play out of the two bears in a decent way, and he also plays 10 with a rhythm is a wolf."

"From this point of view, I think 11's bandit face is bigger than 10, 11 may be afraid that the wolf beauty is really pushed on the first day, if that's the case, the game will collapse."

"So, if I'm wrong, 10 and 11 are not two wolves, and there is only one wolf among them, it should be player 11."

After player 12 pointed out that 10 and 11 might be double wolves, he made another hypothesis, that is, if there is only one wolf in 10 and 11, there is a high probability that it will be Ren Fan.

Because Ren Fan's mentality is not good, he doesn't want good people to take advantage of the window period of the wolf beauty to resist the meaning of the wolf beauty.

Although Ren Fan may also be out of good intentions, he is afraid that Zihu's external position will be attributed to a good person, or even a god card.

But now that he wants to find a wolf from 10 and 11, he is more inclined to think of Ren Fan as bad.

Player No. 10 can think of looking for him during the gap period of Wolf Beauty's skills and killing him, which is still quite a good idea, indicating that he has a heart that wants to defeat the Wolf team.

"If 10 is a good guy and 11 is a wolf, then 9 and 11 should be double wolves, because 11 playing 10 may be protecting player 9."

"After listening to the 10 post, I think the vast majority of people will feel that 9 and 10 are not on the same side, in this case, if 11 wants to catch wolf teammates, the only way to beat 10 is to make 10 a wolf, so that 9 will naturally be recognized."

"So, I think 9 and 11 are likely to be double wolves, and player 4 can be put temporarily, but it doesn't mean that I recognize him, if he doesn't talk well with the police, he should point into the wolf pit and also into the wolf pit."

"If 10 and 11 are really two wolves, there will only be one wolf among the 1, 2, and 3 after the police, otherwise, there will be two wolves among the three of them."

"To be honest, the pit is still very crowded, and if someone can take a picture of their identity, it will be even more crowded."

"But I don't stand on the side, the statement of the 7th player jumping bear is good, I have the urge to stand on the side, but this does not mean that 7 must be a bear, and the well-spoken jumping wolves abound, I don't have an iron head."

"But if you want me to turn back, the bear in the back position has to talk a little better, otherwise, how can I turn back, I can't imagine that the good speech is the wolf, and the bad speech is the bear, right?"

"Okay, that's all I want to say about the police, the hole cards are good, that's it, it's over."

[Player 1, please speak]

"I'm the bear brothers, don't be fooled by the little wolf cub's nonsense."

"Now I can be sure that 2 and 12 are good people."

"Actually, even if Player 12 is not with me, I can recognize him just by his speech."

"Because wolves don't step on each other as identities for 10 or 11 pairs of wolves, only good people think so."

"And the reason why the wolf doesn't talk like this is because it's easy to attract the hostility of 10 and 11 to him, and 10 and 11 are opposites, so they are unanimous with the outside world."

"This is not in line with the benefits of the Wolves team, so if the No. 12 player is a wolf, he will not play 10 or 11 wolves, and it is best to divide them."

"I feel it's a pity, if the No. 12 player is in the outside position, I can recognize him with his speech, but he is by my side, whether it is good to take Jinshui's speech or not, he is always a good person."

"But his thinking is really important, 10 and 11 are very likely to be two wolves, we can't see 10 and 11 fighting each other, just think they don't know each other."

Player 1 seems to be very much in agreement with 12, and he also thinks that 10 and 11 may be double wolves.

Although on the surface, 10 and 11 are fighting each other, and it looks like they don't know each other, but this game can never just look at the surface, and must have its own speculations and assumptions.

There's a saying in science that says it very well, make bold assumptions and be careful to verify them.

Werewolf killing is like this, after listening to other people's speeches, boldly assume the other party's purpose, and then confirm it little by little.

If there is a problem with the verification and it doesn't make sense logically, the assumption is wrong.

But if it makes sense, and it matches other logic or details, then it may be right.

Looking for a wolf only from the surface statement and situation, it doesn't mean that you can't find it, but you can't find it all, if you can find it all, it's either hell, or it's a low-end sprout new game, and the logic doesn't come with a turn.

"The wolf pit I think is 3, 7, 10, and 11."

"Player 8 is likely to be a good person, and if there are 7 or 8 double wolves, it is a bit inappropriate for 7 to come out and jump the bear."

"And isn't player 8 a bear who repeatedly talks to the back position, don't play 7 or 8 double wolves? He's got it all to say, and it doesn't seem like I can say anything if I don't give some face. ”

"But I also want to talk to player 8, if you don't speak well, or the head of the Iron Diamond Wolves, then I should point you to the wolf, definitely order."

"Now that you are equivalent to receiving the gold water of player No. 7, I will treat him as if he is pulling your ticket, I want to see your performance."

"Anyway, the opportunity has been given to you, it's up to you to see if you can seize it."

"I have already made it clear why points 10 and 11 entered the wolf pit, neither of them spoke very well, and the behavior of stepping on each other is a bit like a wolf doing identity."

"If 10 and 11 are double wolves, player 3 can choose out, after all, I haven't heard 3's speech yet, I just used the pit method to point him into the wolf pit."

"But if 10 and 11 are not double wolves, then there is no way, I have to order player 3 to enter the wolf pit, otherwise, the wolf pit is not enough."

"Therefore, whether player No. 3 is a wolf pit depends on whether 10 and 11 are double wolves."

"Player 12 thinks that the good face of 10 is bigger than 11, and if there is indeed only one wolf among the two of them, it is 11, and I agree with this logic."

"There are 4, 6, and 9 under the police, and judging from the attitude of player 10 towards 9, 9 and 10 are not common, and they can't be two wolves."

"And I clicked player 10 into the wolf pit, so I have to recognize 9 for the time being."

"Unless I can be sure that player 10 is not a wolf, then I can suspect the identity of 9, and before that, I definitely can't put 9 and 10 points into the wolf pit at the same time."

"After the No. 9 player chose to go out, the wolf under the police was opened in 4 and 6, and either of them could be wolves, and now I didn't look at the ticket type, I didn't listen to the speech, and there is really no way to judge their identity."

"Therefore, on the police, I don't distinguish between relatives and distances, that is, a wolf is opened in 4 and 6, and whoever speaks worse under the police enters the wolf pit, of course, it is best to be able to shoot the identity."

"In the same way, if anyone can jump a god card on 3, 10, and 11, the remaining two are wolves."

"I hope that the good people can recognize me and believe that I am the bear, and the No. 7 player is a fierce wolf cub, and his so-called positional study may be to let the good guys fight each other."

"This board, it doesn't matter if I take the police badge or not, anyway, Zihu will lead the team, but I really hope that you can stand by me and push the No. 7 player out of the game, as long as you recognize me, this game will be won."

"Okay, that's all I want to say about the police, hole bear, that's it, it's over."

(End of chapter)