Chapter 237: Don't Bet on Your Mentality

[It was player 3 and player 10 who died last night]

After the last words of player 6 who blew himself up, the system announced last night's death.

3, 10 double deaths!

Witch No. 10 doesn't deceive me, she is indeed a poisonous player No. 3, and this time it's a wolf for two good guys.

The most important thing is that the Wolves are in front, and now the Wolves are undoubtedly ahead in the round.

[Next, enter the last words stage]

The system's chime rings again.

The people who folded on the first night all had a last word, whether it was eating a knife or eating poison or something else, as long as it was out on the first night, there would be a last word.

Therefore, after player 6 self-destructs, the game will not immediately enter the night, and it will be necessary to wait for 3 or 10 last words before entering the second night.

[Player No. 3, please leave a last word]

"The witch ate a knife on the first night, and there was no way to do this, but it can only be said that the luck of the wolves was bursting, and a knife was cut on the main artery of the good guys."

"Thanks to me, I'm a citizen, but if I'm a guard hunter or something, this game will completely collapse."

"Although the situation is relatively disadvantageous now, and the rounds are a little behind, the good guys still have hope of turning the tables, after all, the guards are there, and if they operate, there is still a chance to pull the rounds back."

"My advice is that the guards don't gamble at night, just guard player 1, if at this time, the guards are still thinking about who is the prophet in 1 and 4, then I have nothing to say."

"I didn't know that player No. 7 was fraudulent, I thought he was a prophet, so I said that I would exchange my life for a police badge."

"As long as the witch can survive until the night, the guard goes to guard player 4, and the next day 4 folds, then it means that 6 is a witch, and the result is that 1 is the prophet, and 6 is the wolf who took over and killed the witch."

"Judging from the speeches and behaviors, 6 and 7 should not meet, and there is a high probability that No. 7 is a good person, so at this time, you can't go to the plate 6 and 7 to step on each other to do identity."

"Theoretically, there is such a possibility, but now we don't have a round like this, and we can only treat player 7 as a good person who cheats his identity."

Player No. 3 did not complain that the witch poisoned him, and last night the witch took the first knife, and he should have poisoned him, in this case, he can only gamble on luck.

It's a pity that player 10 is not very lucky, and he is not blind to the wolf, but fortunately, he is just a citizen.

What if he's a guard or a hunter? Then you can only turn over the cards and admit defeat, and you can't play at all.

Now as long as the good guy firmly stands on the side of player 1 and guards the 1 at night, then there is still hope for a comeback.

But whether the guard is willing to believe that 1 is a prophet or not is not something he can control.

As a civilian who received investigation and killing, he had done his best, and when it came to that, good people still couldn't recognize him, so it wasn't his problem.

"The wolf pits I order now are 4, 6, 8, 9, and 12, and the five of them have four wolves, and the outside positions can't be disceded."

"Player No. 2 under the police is Jinshui, and he has to open a wolf in 9 and 12, right? The possibility of the four wolves going to the police is too small, unless the speeches of 9 and 12 are particularly good and there are bright spots that can be recognized, otherwise, one wolf must be found among the two of them. ”

"Player 6 blew himself up, this is a fixed wolf, so there is nothing more to say."

"In the same way, player No. 4 threw me a check, he is a titanic wolf, so there is no need to talk about it."

"There is still a wolf left, most likely player 8, although I haven't heard his speech yet, but that doesn't prevent me from ordering him to be a wolf."

"The logic of speech is one thing to find wolves, and it is another to find wolves."

"To put it simply, my No. 8 player entered the wolf pit and was squeezed out."

"Let's talk about player No. 5 first, he is no longer silverwater, after all, 6 is not a witch at all, but judging from 6's attitude towards him, I don't think 5 and 6 will meet."

"Player No. 6 reported that 5 was Yinshui, and said that he suspected that 5 and 7 wolves would kill her, and even threatened that if 5 couldn't speak well and couldn't get out of his identity, he would pick up the car and send it."

"From this point, it can be seen that 6 is squeezing 5's identity, if 5 and 6 are double wolves, I don't think 6 will have such an attitude towards 5."

"Player 5 is even more interesting, he was really a little bluffed by 6, and he was forced by 6 to dare not play 7 is a prophet, and a strong dialogue 6 Don't plate him is a self-sword wolf."

"As soon as such a statement came out, I didn't believe that 5 and 6 could be double wolves, so I recognized player 5."

"Player No. 11 said that I don't look like a wolf, which is equivalent to raising my hand, the key is that he doesn't want to take me with rhythm as an anti-push, which makes me feel that he can't afford to hold the wolf card."

"Choose 5, 7, and 11 out, and whoever doesn't go into the wolf pit will enter the wolf pit if you don't hit him, I'm afraid the wolf pit won't be even."

"So player 8, don't blame me for blind spotting that you are a wolf, think about it yourself, whether what I said makes sense, if it is in my position, how can you order the wolf pit?"

"Of course, if player 8 has an identity, it means that there are deep-water wolves in 5, 7, and 11, which is the most troublesome, and it is not ordinarily difficult to find wolves among them."

The wolf pit ordered by player 3 is the same as most good people think, this wolf pit is more logical, reasonable, and can stand up to scrutiny.

And this is the effect that Ren Fan wants.

Although the identities of 4 and 6 were exposed on the first day, these two people did not die in vain, and directly raised the identities of him and player 7, which can be said to be a well-deserved death.

Now they are in a safe situation, and the anti-push positions are all ready-made, which is 8, 9, 12.

These three people casually resist and push off one, and the wolf knife is enough.

After all, the witches are dead, and the soothsayer is stabbed again at night, and after finding the guard and the hunter, the game is over.

"I repeat it at the end, I'm not a wolf, if I were a wolf, the police would definitely not say that I would exchange my life for a police badge."

"And as long as I am a wolf, it is not the turn of player 6 to blow myself up, it should be me who explodes first, I can swallow poison if I explode, and if I explode at 6, I just eat poison and leave, which is obviously not in line with the income of the wolf team."

"Believe that I am a good person, the guards will protect the No. 1 player, and I will see if the wolf has double-exploded and swallowed the police badge when I get up tomorrow."

"Okay, that's all for my last words, civilians are gone, so be it, it's over."

[Player 10, please speak]

"I've talked about it almost on the police, and the guard will go to guard 1 at night, he must be a prophet, because 3's speech can't be a wolf, 4 to 3 to lose the check and kill, the wolf is undoubtedly jumping."

"As long as the guards can hold a Christmas Eve, there is a good chance of winning this game, because the pits are all about the same."

"If you bet on the Wolves mentality and don't defend the No. 1 player, the result is 1 knife, isn't that just giving the Wolves rounds and opportunities for nothing?"

"For the sake of safety, I will keep the No. 1 player, and get up tomorrow, if the No. 4 player blows himself up, let him blow himself up, and if he doesn't blow himself up, don't hesitate."

"There's nothing wrong with his police statement, the bad thing is that the surface water of player 3 is too different, I can hear that he is not a wolf, so 4 naturally can't be a prophet."

"Tonight guard the No. 1 player, and when I get up tomorrow, I estimate that it will be Christmas Eve, because the wolf will most likely listen to the words of the No. 6 player, and directly fall to the No. 1 player, and don't bet on the mentality."

"After guarding player 1 tonight, you can choose to defend in the air at night, get up the next day and run to the wolf again, and then defend yourself, so that you can help the good people chase the rounds back."

Player 10 trusts his side and judgment very much, and 1 is definitely a prophet and can't be wrong.

And the reason why he is so sure that 1 is a prophet is not because 1 talks better than player 4, he stands on the side of the logic that player 4 is a wolf, and 3 is not a wolf.

Although it is a little radical to stand on the side 1 with this logic alone, he can't play player 3.

In this situation, if the good guy still wants to win, the guard must guard player 1, preferably on Christmas Eve.

As soon as this Christmas Eve comes out, good people must at least have more than seventy percent certainty to turn the tables and reverse the current disadvantage.

"As for the wolf pit, player No. 3 has already clicked just now, exactly the same as I thought, the remaining two wolves are among 8, 9, and 12, player 5, player 7 and player 11, and now they can't be disced."

"Especially the No. 7 player, how to play 6 and 7 double wolves? Unless it is insisted that they are deliberately making identities, it is logical to make sense, but such malicious speculation is not appropriate. ”

"If you say so, player 11 can't be put either, he may be deliberately thinking that 3 is a good person to make his identity, and player 5 can't be put either, 5 and 6 double wolves play format."

"A small probability event like this can't be disposed of at all, even if it is true, it can't be disceded, and you can only wait for 8, 9, and 12 to talk about yourself before you can go to the problem of 5, 7, and 11."

"As far as the current statements are concerned, the rounds of 8, 9 and 12 are definitely ahead of 5, 7 and 11."

Player 10 didn't talk about anything new, and even ordered the same wolf pit as player 3, talk to the guards don't mess around, be sure to guard player 1, don't gamble on knives.

As for whether the guards will listen to him, it's hard to say.

If you want to be stable, you must be a prophet, and there is a high probability that there will be a Christmas Eve, but if the guards want to show a wave of operations, it's really hard to say.

It doesn't matter if he shows off, there are only two results, either to collapse the good guys, or to collapse the Wolves.

So, don't look at the Wolves and the good guys all swear that they will go to the knife 1 and defend the 1, but it is unknown whether they will do what they say.

"Player 1, I suggest you go to check Player 8 at night, and rush to check and kill."

"The analysis of player No. 3 just now is very reasonable, we didn't hear the statement of 8, but that doesn't mean that he can't be called into the wolf pit."

"To be on the safe side, I think it's better to go and test 8 at night, what if 8 is a good guy and there are deep water wolves in 5, 7, and 11?"

"Of course, this possibility is indeed very low, since we can recognize 5, 7, and 11, we will not easily doubt their identities."

"The police open the wolf, the No. 2 player is Jinshui, there must be no need for the plate, 9 and 12 can't be two good people after all, right?"

"Unless the two of them are a jumping hunter and a jumping guard, otherwise, I don't believe that this game is the four wolves on the police."

"You guys think about the police badge flow of player No. 4, he is a double pressure policeman, and the police are not inspected, what does it mean? It shows that the police are going to send out his wolf teammates, and he doesn't need to deliberately play the police badge under the police to canvass for votes. ”

"Otherwise, as a wolf, why doesn't he beat the police badge to the police to canvass for votes?"

Player 10 has almost the same idea as 3, such as talking to player 1 to check 8 at night, and then recognizing 5, 7, and 11 as good people, which are all things that 3 just said.

At first glance, it seems that player 10 is following the speech and logic of Trend 3, but in fact, the logic can be counted as these, what else can be said?

He is now afraid that the good guy will be confused, and he doesn't believe that 1 is a prophet, and he has to stand on the side 4, and Pan 3 is a pretentious wolf that he recognizes, if this is the case, the good guy will go away completely.

But as long as a good person firmly believes that 1 is a prophet, no matter how the wolf flickers and does not move, it is difficult to say who will kill the deer.

【Please close your eyes when it's dark】

After player 10 made his last words, the system immediately announced that the game had entered the night.

Meanwhile.

The official live broadcast room of the tournament league.

"Tsk, good people are really played by Ren Fan's routines."

"I'm afraid the good guys will lose again in this game, although the identities of 4 and 6 have been exposed, but the identities of Ren Fan and player 7 have been done, and now they can be said to be invincible."

"Fortunately, this knife was cut on the witch, and the witch has not poisoned the wolf, otherwise, the wolf team will be uncomfortable, because 3 can't be a wolf no matter how you listen to it."

"It's really a long experience, the investigation and killing are not water, and a strong recognition can be recognized, and those who prefer a good disk logic surface water have to be regarded as a wolf to resist pushing, which is reasonable."

"This is the time to test the skill level of the guards, can you come out on Christmas Eve."

β€œβ€¦β€¦β€

[Werewolf, please open your eyes, please choose the target you want to attack]

The prompt sound of the system sounded in Ren Fan's ears.

"Who's the knife?"

Player 4 asked bluntly.

Under normal circumstances, it must be the No. 1 player of the knife, and you can't bet, and once you bet, the risk is very high.

Let's say they don't go to Knife Player 1 tonight, and the guards happen to not go to Knife 1, and wait until tomorrow night when they knife 1 again, it's Christmas Eve.

When the time comes, 1 will be able to report two days to inspect people, which is still playing with a hammer, and it can't be played directly.

Of course.

If the guards honestly guarded player 1, and they didn't go to the knife, but dropped the knife in the outer position, it must have been earned for nothing.

But this knife is only useful if it is cut at the guards.

If it is the hunter who cuts and the hunter shoots the next day, they are self-defeating.

To put it mildly, even if the hunter brings a good person, it will also have the effect of draining the pit, and then Ren Fan's living space will become smaller.

Wouldn't it be embarrassing if the hunter ghost sent the gods to Ren Fan or player 7?

So, try not to give the hunter a chance to shoot.

But among so many people, it is too unlikely that they want to guard accurately with the sword.

It's useless to use a knife.

Therefore, Ren Fan still tends to be a prophet first, not seeking merit but no fault.

"I think let's stop making bells and whistles, just knife 1, Christmas Eve is Christmas Eve, you blow yourself up directly when you get up tomorrow, I and Player 5 should be able to survive."

Player 7 said in a deep voice.

Now, they are afraid that the prophet will report to the person, so they can't leave hidden dangers, and for the sake of safety, they will stab the prophet, and if they can't kill him with one sword, they will stab him twice.

"Well, I think it's the same as player 7, the first knife prophet, unless we can knife the guard, otherwise, it's not cost-effective."

Ren Fan said seriously.

"Okay, let's go with Knife 1."

Player 4 shrugged, in fact, he wanted to bet on a knife No. 2 Jinshui, what if 2 was a guard?

But since Ren Fan and Player 7 both said that they were the first swordsman, he didn't force it.

After all, what Ren Fan said also makes sense, at this time, go to the external position of the knife, unless you can accurately kill the guards, otherwise, it is not as good as the knife prophet, even if the knife is out on Christmas Eve.

Cutting the hunter in the outside position is in a sense equivalent to helping the good guy chase the round, and the hunter shooting means that the wolf team is at risk, what if he takes the right one?

When the time comes, there will be another good guy, and the Wolves will fall behind in the round.

If the knife is the people, then it doesn't make much sense, and this is not the slaughter of the people, and the slaughter of the god knife is not a god, so it doesn't make much sense.

In this case, it is better to honestly cut the No. 1 player, and then the No. 4 player blows himself up, if the 1 is not folded, then continue to cut 1, and do not give him the opportunity to report the person.

At this point, there is no need for player 4 to jump with 1 pair of jump prophets, and the good guys may not stand by him, and plate 3 is a wolf.

The night operation soon ended.

After dawn, the system did not directly announce the result of last night's death.

Instead, continue with the sheriff voting session.

In this case, the player under the police can vote for the badge to 1 and let him get the badge.

But in the same way, the Wolves can also take the opportunity to blow themselves up and swallow the police badge to interrupt the sheriff's vote.

Burst!

After dawn, player 4 chose to self-destruct without thinking about it.

He won't let Player 1 get the badge, so take the information to the grave, and he can't let him report it anyway, and as long as there is no badge, 1 can't report it no matter who checks it.

For the prophets, the badge is the best means to pass on the test.

For example, player 1's badge flow is 8 and 12, if he gets the badge, he folds and hands the badge to player 8, which means that 8 is a good person.

In this way, they have one less anti-push position for no reason, how can this work.

[Player 4 chooses to self-destruct, please leave a last word]

"Was the guard the number 1 player last night? If you don't have a gambling mentality and keep the No. 1 player, it is Christmas Eve, if you bet on the outside position to guard the person, then the 1 will be a fold. ”

"Anyway, we were knife 1 last night, after all, player 6 has emphasized knife 1 knife 1 so many times, we have to respect his opinion."

"Although I don't know how you guarded, I hope you didn't guard player 1 last night, but instead went to the outside to guard the person so that we can cut one more knife, and Xing a lot of this knife is related to the final win or loss."

"Okay, I won't talk nonsense, let's see the death results given by the system, that's all, it's over."

(End of chapter)