Chapter 298: Liu Bei was deceived, why couldn't I, Cao Cao?
Because of the good news of the destruction of Sun Ce, Liu Bei in Wuchang City was really chic for a while, drinking and feasting every day.
After asking Zhuge Liang for no additional opinions, Liu Bei approved all the personnel arrangements requested by Zhuge Jin and immediately approved them.
As for the strategic plan for the next phase...... To be honest, Liu Bei hadn't thought about it yet, and he hadn't thought about it.
Having just won such a major victory, who is impatient to immediately think about what will follow? People are inert, what's wrong with Shuangshuang.
It's never too late to talk about next month!
It's a pity that Zhuge Jin didn't give Liu Bei much time to be pure, just a few days after Liu Bei approved the personnel appointment, Zhuge Jin sent another urgent report from Danyang, the content was about the military affairs of the Northern Front. Please pay attention to Liu Bei and refer to it in detail.
Liu Bei first took a general look, and the content was nothing more than "There seems to be Cao Jun's actions opposite the defense line of Xuzhou Yi and Si, Guan Yu has taken over the work from the north of Wu County, and the counties in the southern mountainous areas of Huiji are in charge, and Zhao Yun and Bu Qi are currently in charge."
After reporting the situation on the Eastern Front, Zhuge Jin attached his own judgment, saying that he felt that this might be a feint by Cao Jun, and with Cao Cao's wisdom, it was unlikely that he would provoke our army again at this time.
Therefore, I hope that the western front side will also pay attention to the situation on the front line bordering the Cao army, and see if there is any change in the Cao army, and if there is any change, Zhuge Liang and Pang Tong should be carefully evaluated.
Liu Bei hadn't cared about military affairs for several days, and he didn't know much about what Zhuge Jin asked in his letter, so he had to find Zhuge Liang and Pang Tong again.
Liu Bei showed the letter to Zhuge Liang and discussed: "Recently, in the direction of Runan, can there be any changes in Cao Jun?" Cao Cao doesn't expect to cross the Dabie Mountains to start a war with us, right?
Although he defeated Yuan Shao, he did not occupy much land in Yuan Shao, and he has been recovering his combat strength for the next three months, and has not made any further moves, how dare he suddenly go south? ”
Zhuge Liang has always paid attention to the surrounding military situation, and after listening to Liu Bei's question, he was immediately able to respond to the answer: "There has been no abnormal movement in the direction of Runan recently, and if there is any abnormal movement in Huaisi, it should also be a feint."
Maybe it was really as my brother said, he wanted to trick Yuan Shao into taking the bait and make him mistakenly think that after Cao Cao's victory in Guandu, he would withdraw from the south and fight on two fronts? If Yuan Shao was really fooled, it was possible to organize a second wave of offensive, thinking that he had taken advantage of the situation. ”
Liu Bei: "Then Cao Cao borders our army for thousands of miles, why did he just choose the place of Huaisi to feint?" ”
After Liu Bei read Zhuge Jin's letter, he was actually a little inclined to believe it, but he couldn't understand this point.
Cao and Liu's two families, now the distance between the border is very long, Dabie Mountain may not be easy to march and fight, but Hefei, Shouchun can also be moved, Cao Cao only chose the Pi side to feint, there must be other considerations.
Zhuge Liang didn't have a clue at first, but after thinking about it for a while, he thought of some possibilities: "I thought that Cao Cao's choice to feint in Xiapi may have two considerations-
First of all, Cao Cao's territory is relatively thin around Xiapi, and the local area is a place where our army, Cao Jun, and Yuan Tan are mixed together, and Cao Jun's slightest move is easy to be discovered by Yuan Tan, and then reported to Yuan Shao.
If Cao Cao moved between Zhendi and Shouchun, or flanked from Runan to Hefei, those places were too far away from Yuan Shao's territory to be seen by Yuan Shao.
Secondly, Cao Cao's feint in Xiapi may be able to pretend to be rescuing Sun Ce and 'encircling Wei to save Zhao'. In this way, Yuan Shao's chances of being deceived will also be greatly increased.
After all, everyone in the world knows that our army was unable to go north to help Yuan flank Cao Cao during the battle of Yuan Cao Guandu, because Sun Ce dragged our army. But our army destroyed Sun Ce, it was only a matter of last month.
In order not to bear more responsibilities to help Yuan, and in order to paralyze Cao Cao and prevent Cao Cao from being too wary of us, we have not announced the destruction of Sun to the outside world for a long time - and there are at least ten counties in the southern part of Huiji County that we have not yet received, and it is reasonable to say that 'Sun has not been destroyed yet'.
As long as Yuan Cao does not know that Sun Ce has been destroyed for the time being, then Yuan Shao will of course believe that 'Cao Cao will save Sun at all costs in order not to lose Sun Ce, a bargaining chip that has long contained our army from behind', and will also believe that Cao Cao's northern front has reappeared with an empty force, so he will venture forward - Yuan Shao knows too well the value of Sun Ce to Cao Cao. ”
When Liu Bei heard it at first glance, he was a little confused by these twists and turns of suspicion. Fortunately, there was a Pang Tong next to him, and it took dozens of seconds to finally sort out these logics.
Liu Bei finally realized: Indeed, he used the "information time difference" to deceive Sun Ce, and he used it twice before and after.
The first time was before the war, Cao Jun obviously did not go south, Xiapi did not bear pressure, and Guangling was not empty, but Ziyu deceived Sun Ce into thinking that Guangling was empty, and even Zhou Yu was fooled and sent a wave in Guangling.
The second time was before the final battle, Cao Jun had obviously won the battle of Guandu, but Sun Cejun didn't know it when he held Moling and Wu County, and he failed to boost morale and hold on for a while.
These two experiences are enough to prove that "when the princes in the sandwich position block the news, the princes in the border may not know the latest progress of the war between the princes on the other side until they are a month or two late."
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Since he can do this, of course Cao Cao can do the same, because Cao Liu belongs to the princes who are "in the sandwich position".
Since these sandwich princes are facing the disadvantage of being attacked by the enemy, they should enjoy the advantage of cheating the enemy on their backs, and the world is very fair.
And Cao Cao may have pretended to save Sun Ce and deceived Yibo Xian when he didn't even know that Sun Ce was finished. In fact, Cao Cao may not have the courage to save Sun Ce at all, because once he saves Sun Ce, it means that he will take the initiative to officially start a war with Liu Bei.
After clarifying these ideas, Liu Bei only wanted to know how to deal with it:
"So, does our army have to try to inform Yuan Shao and Cao that the main forces of the army have not been transferred south? If Yuan Shao could be made to wake up, Yuan Shao might not launch a new round of attack. But even if Yuan Shao attacks, he may not be defeated again......
Even if we lose, if we can consume a little more Cao Cao's troops, it will not be harmful to us - how should we deal with it, sir? ”
Zhuge Liang thought about it, and said very decisively: "When it is time to remind Yuan Shao, I still have to remind him, after all, our two armies are nominally in a state of alliance to resist Cao, and it is detrimental to the righteousness of our army to sit back and watch friendly troops fall into the tricks of Cao thieves and ignore them-
The key is that his brother's letter mentioned that a few days before he wrote this letter, he had just intercepted and forced Zhou Yu in the water battle at the mouth of the Yangtze River, and as a price, he promised Zhou Yu not to kill Sun Quan.
Once Sun Quan appears, Cao Cao's plan to pretend to save Sun will be self-defeating, and Yuan Tan will definitely know that Sun Ce has perished - of course, Cao Cao can also 'pretend that he does not know that Sun Ce is dead, pretend that he really does his best to save Sun, and there is still emptiness on the northern front'.
Therefore, if Sun Quan arrives at Yuan Tan's place, but our warning messenger is delayed, what will Yuan Shao and Yuan Tan think of us in the future? This reminder is indispensable, you can be late, later than Sun Quan, just say that it was delayed on the road, but you must not go. ”
Only then did Liu Bei remember that in the letter Zhuge Jin gave him just now, there was another detail that he ignored and did not link several things to see. Or Zhuge Liang's planning is exhaustive, and all the details have been thought of.
Liu Bei agreed with a reprimand: "In this way, send someone to remind Yuan Tan that it is necessary to go, Cao Cao's strategy also has loopholes, and he may not be able to deceive Yuan Shao - that gentleman thinks that there is a suitable candidate for sending someone to Yuan Tan this time?" If not, I will send Gongyou as usual. ”
Zhuge Liang rarely recommended someone this time: "It's better to send your brother to go - Gongyou is capable, if you are delayed on the road, you arrive too late, and you don't catch up with Yuan Shao to warn Yuan Shao, it will inevitably make people more suspicious."
The younger brother is only eighteen years old, he has never held an official position, and he did things for the first time, procrastination and missed major events, and Yuan Tan can't blame us, he can only sigh for bad luck. And Yuan Tan has always been good friends with me since I went to Hebei four years ago, and our Zhuge family sent people to see sincerity, even if something is wrong, he will not be detained. ”
When Zhuge Liang suggested this, he was already imperceptibly influenced by his eldest brother.
Zhuge Jin likes to find the vanity and mediocrity among their brothers and classmates to serve as dangerous envoys and earn some credit. This time, Zhuge Liang hit the idea of this "mediocre talent" on the head of the third brother Zhuge Jun.
Even if Yuan Tan has a very good relationship with Zhuge Liang, the brothers Zhuge Jin and Zhuge Liang are already in high power, and the world knows that they are unborn geniuses.
Zhuge Jun doesn't have this problem, he doesn't have any ability, he just eats mixed rice. Yuan Tan knew how useless he was, and he would never have any thoughts.
Even if the third brother was late and was condemned by Yuan Tan, it just made the third brother have a long memory, knowing that it is not easy to do things for officials, and he will study hard and improve his life in the future - in the past few years, compared with other brothers and sisters, Zhuge Jun is really "degenerate", and he doesn't have to learn so many dense scrolls at home, he fishes for three days and dries his nets for two days.
Liu Bei felt that Zhuge Liang's suggestion was very reasonable, and immediately approved Zhuge Jun to go on a "publicly-funded tour". Zhuge all started from Yuzhang and wanted to take a detour to Qingzhou, which was far away, and the delay should also be deserved.
After arranging an afterthought warning to Yuan Shao's camp, Zhuge Liang sorted out the matter again, drew inferences from one another, thought of another possibility, and shared it with Liu Bei and Pang Tong by the way.
"I thought that if Cao Cao was trying to seduce Yuan Shao and feel that his northern line was empty, he would make a move in Xiapi. Then he may well combine it with other moves to further strengthen his deception.
Shouchun, Hefei and Dabie Mountain cannot be his offensive direction, and Yuan Shao will not believe it, so it can be ruled out. But in another direction, it is entirely possible, and that is Nanyang County - in the early winter of last year, after Liu Biao and us reached peace on the control of Jingnan, they once again asked Huang Zhongwen to lead his troops north and storm Wancheng.
In the end, Cao Cao transferred almost all of Nanyang's troops to Guandu at the critical moment of life and death because of the tightness of Guandu, which also led to the final loss of Wancheng in Layue this year.
After that, Liu Biao wanted to make persistent efforts to recover the entire Nanyang Basin. However, at that time, the battle of Guandu had already been decided, and Cao Cao also quickly returned to the army to block the area of Yexian and Bowang, and did not let Liu Biao occupy the Funiu Mountain and Tongbai Mountain passes on the northeast side of the Nanyang Basin.
Nanyang County is relatively close to Xudu, and if Cao Cao sends troops south in order to recover Wancheng, Yuan Shao is very likely to believe it. Our army may pay attention to the direction of Wancheng and remind Liu Biao by the way.
If Cao Cao really wants to do something to Wancheng, then his deception of Yuan Shao may just be my carelessness. But if there is also a false shot in the direction of Wancheng, Yuan Shao will be really dangerous. ”
Liu Bei thought so, and directly agreed to this suggestion: "What Mr. said is very true, I will strengthen the front-line sentinel on Brother Jingsheng's side." ”
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