In the sixth year of Jian'an, the first day of April, Yecheng.

In the General's Mansion, Yuan Shao sat silently behind the handsome case, listening to the reports of his subordinates with a cold face.

Since the fiasco more than three months ago, Yuan Shao has become a little neurotic.

When talking to his subordinates, he always feels that his subordinates are sneering behind his back and watching his jokes, intentionally or unintentionally.

This illusion also made Yuan Shao, who has always loved face, more and more irritable, and punished him severely if he caught a little fault with his subordinates.

At this moment, Tian Feng and Xian Pei were listed on the left, Guo Tu and Feng Ji were listed on the right, also quietly listening to the information sent from the front, thinking about how to deal with the questions that the lord might ask at any time, except for Tian Feng, others didn't even dare to come out.

There were several other Hebei faction and Yuzhou faction strategists, who were also divided into two shifts, and as long as Yuan Shao didn't ask them, they would not be silent.

Soon, the messenger in charge of reporting the military intelligence on the front line had already made everything that needed to be said clear. After Yuan Shao listened, he was silent for a few seconds, and looked around at the advisors under him, expecting them to speak for their own advice.

But after looking around, no one dared to make eye contact with him, they all bowed their heads in respect, and Yuan Shao had to ask questions by name.

"Public rule! You speak first! In the battle of Guandu, you saw through Zhang He's high view of the yin and his two hearts, how can he not see the ground now? Cao Cao gathered in Xudu with heavy troops in an attempt to recapture Wancheng, which had fallen to Liu Biao in the previous year. Is this a good opportunity for our army to take revenge? ”

Guo Tu was named, and he was a little embarrassed for a while, he didn't know what Yuan Shao was thinking in his heart, and he wanted to follow Yuan Shao's meaning, but he didn't know how to speak.

Originally, although Guo Tu was also trusted, he rarely offered advice as the "most trusted and first-speaker in order", and there were always frustrated Tian Feng or Xu Youxian to say. Therefore, Guo Tu can always figure out his intentions from Yuan Shao's conversations with other strategists, and then have a purpose.

Now that there is no stone throwing to ask for directions, Guo Tu has no choice but to bite the bullet, and his mind is spinning rapidly:

"The question just now was, 'This is a good opportunity for our army to take revenge', which shows that the lord should want revenge. But he wasn't sure if this was Cao Cao's trick, and he was afraid that Cao Cao's fiction would be real and real. If I suggest that the lord send troops, I will see the wrong reality of Cao Cao in the future, and I will inevitably be severely punished......"

Thinking so, Guo Tu had no choice but to clear his throat and say something rambling:

"The lord is vengeful, and his subordinates can understand it, but Cao Cao is good at changing his reality and scheming......

In my opinion, we still have to think in the long run, continue to strengthen the sentinel investigation, find out the real deployment of the Cao army, and then try to forge ahead. ”

Guo Tu did not say that he should be beaten, nor did he say that he should not be beaten, but only said that Yuan Shao should strengthen the investigation work.

In this way, no matter how the decision is made in the end, Guo Tu cannot be blamed.

Even if the decision is wrong, it is not the fault of the strategists, but the fault of the people in charge of intelligence work.

Speaking more cautiously than a lawyer with an hourly fee model, that's called picking a clean.

Yuan Shao couldn't hear the mistakes, but felt that Guo Tu supported him in raising troops for revenge in principle, so he let him go, and then turned to the trial on the left hand side and continued to ask his opinion.

The judge secretly scolded Guo Tu for being cunning in his heart, and said the easiest thing to say first, and then the people behind him wanted to be brilliant, it would be even more difficult. But he couldn't pull this cheek himself, so he couldn't talk about the car first.

Seeing that Yuan Shao was uncertain, Tian Feng, who was next to the trial, took the initiative to speak and helped the trial, who was also from Hebei.

"The opportunity is rare, why should the lord hesitate? Liu Biao is incompetent, and the Jingzhou army is not strong, which is known to the world. In order to recapture Wancheng, Cao Cao raised troops to the south, and perhaps defeated the Jingzhou army in a month. If the sentry is repeated and the time is delayed, the fighter plane will inevitably be fleeting.

And I have heard that when Cao Cao conquered Zhang Xiu four years ago, when he retreated, Zhang Xiu chased the retreating soldiers with strong troops, and Jia Xu said that he would be defeated, and after defeat, he would chase the victorious soldiers with the defeated soldiers, and Jia Xu said that he would win, and in the end it was all as he said. It can be seen that Cao Cao used soldiers, and he has always been honest and light.

Our army was defeated at Guandu in the winter, and Cao Cao must be like Zhang Xiu, who was defeated once when he was young, and he will not be wary of us. Our counterattack at this time, just like the second pursuit that Jia Xu persuaded Zhang Xiu to do the opposite, will definitely surprise Cao Cao! Heaven will take it, and it will be blamed, please judge it! ”

When the judge heard this, he was shocked, and secretly wondered that Tian Feng dared to say that Leng was so iron-clad.

But this is really Tian Feng's style - Tian Feng has been persuading Yuan Shao all his life to "must seize the opportunity of Cao Cao's fire with other princes to steal Cao Cao".

In the original history, Liu Bei killed Che Zhou and stole back to Xuzhou for a short time, Cao Cao hurried east to Xuzhou to recapture it, Tian Feng persuaded Yuan Shao to seize this opportunity to steal his home. Later, Yuan Shao hesitated, Liu Bei was destroyed by Cao Cao, Cao's army returned to defense, and Tian Feng tried his best to prevent Yuan Shao from going to war, and he was imprisoned as a result.

It can be said that Tian Feng has formed a path dependence on the principle of stealing from the void, and he will steal when he sees the void. Yuan Shao didn't listen to him before the battle of Guandu, he had been haunting him, and this time he finally had another chance.

As for Tian Feng's misjudgment because of this, Tian Feng's IQ really can't be blamed - because Xun You deceived Tian Feng to attack Jibei this time, just like Zhuge Jin deceived Zhou Yu to attack Guangling last year.

No matter how high Tian Feng's IQ is, can he be as high as Zhou Yu? Zhou Yu was deceived by Zhuge Jin when the information was insufficient. Tian Feng met Xun You, and Jia Xu, who helped Xun You improve the plan behind his back, also had the problem of information asymmetry, and the misjudgment was not unjust at all.

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In fact, many strategists have such a path dependence, if you are a representative of the hawks, you will be an eagle for a lifetime, and if you are a representative of the doves, you will have a pigeon for a lifetime.

Tian Feng is like Brzezinski, who shouted "USSR must die" for a lifetime. If the USSR had not died, then Brzezinski would have been a fool, and if he had died, he would have become a top-notch expert on international issues.

Guo Jia preached the "theory that Yuan Shao will die" on Cao Cao's side, which also has the same effect. This is all gambling on your own political future, and you are fighting for the probability of a certain type of event, and you will reach a higher level in the academic world, and even if you don't succeed, at least you will be photographed as a leader's sycophant.

Moreover, Tian Feng's theory of fiction and reality is not wrong in principle. In today's situation, Yuan Shaogang lost a game, and Cao Cao must feel that he is powerless to fight back, which is similar to how similar it was to Zhang Xiu chasing Cao Cao after losing the first game!

It's a pity that Tian Feng didn't calculate that he used Jia Xu's theory of fiction and reality to deal with Jia Xu himself, which is a bit of "giving back to the other in his way".

And Yuan Shao's original intention was also eager for revenge, this time seeing that Tian Feng was so supportive, he suddenly felt that this subordinate who had always been against him was not so annoying.

It seems that Tian Feng still has eyes occasionally.

"Since Yuan Hao said so, our army should indeed immediately reorganize its troops, start from the east as soon as possible, and take advantage of Cao Xuan's main force on the western front to form a breakthrough as soon as possible." Yuan Shao finally breathed a sigh of relief and gritted his teeth.

Tian Feng has never been worried about his personal safety, and he didn't think about how to protect himself after admonishing him. The judge on the side pinched his sweat and hurriedly plugged the leak from the side:

"My lord, although Yuan Hao's theory is good, it is based on the premise of 'quick battle', that is, the response must be fast. If the front-line generals delay in carrying out this order, and finally drag it out until the main force of Cao's army returns, this battle will have to be reconsidered, and it may be ...... when it is good."

The trial did not say whether Tian Feng's judgment was accurate or not, and whether he had seen through Cao Cao's hypocrisy, he only said that "Cao Cao's hypocrisy definitely exists, and if he doesn't catch it, it's because the execution level is too slow."

Putting this ugly thing in front and foreshadowing it first, even if Yuan Shao didn't succeed in the end, he wouldn't want to kill Tian Feng and hold him accountable.

Yuan Shao was in the mood recovery period, so he didn't notice this little trick of the trial match, but just said loudly that he wanted to urge Jiang Qi, Han Meng, Jiao Touch, and Zhang Nan to speed up the march, and asked Tian Feng to come up with an offensive target and a specific plan.

As for this specific battle plan, there was no disagreement within Yuan Shao's camp. Yuan Shao has always had heavy troops in Cangtingjintun, and now he has to hurry up, of course, he can only cross the Yellow River from Cangtingjinnan and attack Dong'e and Fan counties first.

Yuan's army prepared very quickly, and it took less than ten days from the meeting to make decisions, to the second sentinel to confirm the enemy's recent situation, and then to assemble the troops and set off officially.

On the ninth day of April, Yuan Shaojun launched an operation to cross the Yellow River south from Cangtingjin. Yuan Shao himself also left Yecheng on the third day of the fourth month, personally toured east for four days to arrive at Cangting, and after a short rest, he began the battle of crossing the river.

(Note: Yecheng is between Cixian and Linzhang counties, Handan City, Hebei Province, and Cangtingjin is between Xin County, Liaocheng City, Shandong Province.) The straight-line distance between the two is 120 kilometers, and the whole process is Hebei Plain Road, which is very easy to walk, and it is normal for Yuan Shao to walk in four days. ）

……

After Yuan Shao successfully crossed the river, he did not notice anything unusual at first.

In particular, the Cao army did not send troops to "attack the Yuan army halfway", and Yuan Shao was not disturbed throughout the whole process of crossing the river, and moved the large army to the south bank in an An An, and also established a stable grain bridgehead on the south bank.

Seeing this scene, Yuan Shao's heart, which had been suppressed for four months, finally relaxed.

"Ah Pu really didn't watch out for me! Yuan Hao is really scheming, everything is as he said, 'After Apo wins, he will not continue to be vigilant, but only seek to return to the southern line as soon as possible and break Liu Biao first'. If I had listened to Yuan Hao earlier last year, how could I have lost Guandu! Alas! ”

Yuan Shao regretted it in his heart, of course, it was absolutely impossible to say it clearly, he would never admit his mistakes, even if he already knew that Tian Feng was right in his heart, he could not deny his former self.

But no matter what, at least at this moment, Yuan Shao's trust in Tian Feng has returned to the peak.

Unfortunately, this peak lasted a bit short.

After the successful crossing of the river, Yuan's army immediately threw itself into an all-out onslaught on Dong'e and Fan counties, especially Dong'e, which was farther away from Cao's main force.

But Dong'e seemed empty, but the defenders were very resolute, Yuan Shao was deterred by strong soldiers, and the garrisons in small counties had no intention of surrendering at all. Yuan Shao was forced to attack the city step by step in order to get an important foothold on the south bank of the Yellow River.

He didn't know that at this moment in Dong'e City, the guard general was Cheng Yu, who had just been transferred from the Taishou of Jiyin County to the Taishou of Jibei County - Cheng Yuzhi was good at guarding and Cao Ying was also famous.

Seven years ago, when Cao Cao attacked Tao Qian, he was stolen by Lu Bu, and in the end, there were three counties along the Yellow River in Dong'e, Fanxian and Juancheng that were not missed, and Cheng Yu guarded them.

Cheng Yu not only withstood Lü Bu for half a year in Dong'e, but even in the end, when Cao Cao's other base areas were lost, he was able to supply the military food needs of Cao Cao's army and Lü Bu during the battle with only one county town in Dong'e.

You must know that Dong'e Xiaoxian originally had no grain, and Cao Cao's tens of thousands of troops could not expect a county to supply grain for half a year? Therefore, Cheng Yu obviously has a special way to conjure up special military rations, and this perseverance and resilience are breathtaking all over the world.

And now Yuan Shao thought that Cao's army was empty, and crossed the river from Cangting to Dong'a, but he suddenly kicked Cheng Yu, who had revisited his hometown.

Cheng Yu was able to carry Lu Bu with so many resources back then. Now that the shotgun has been replaced, it is not too easy to attract Yuan Shao and carry it to the main force of the Cao army to complete the roundabout outflanking.

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