Chapter 215: Missed Opportunity, Zhuge Liang's Helplessness
After going back, Zhuge Liang reluctantly told Liu Bei about it, hoping that Liu Bei would be prepared so as not to be implicated.
Zhuge Liang felt very guilty about this, if it weren't for him, Liu Bei would not have been involved in this kind of thing.
Liu Bei was not displeased.
"I know Mr. Kong Ming's wisdom, and it is normal for others to want to borrow your wisdom, and in that case, I am afraid that anyone will not do better than Mr. Kong Ming!"
"So Mr. Kong Ming doesn't have to mind."
Even if Liu Bei didn't care, Zhuge Liang still felt guilty and uneasy because he had brought Liu Bei a lot of trouble.
Fortunately, Liu Qi was indeed enough to keep his promise, and even half of the news about what happened in the courtyard was not transmitted, which made Zhuge Liang feel a lot more relieved.
But soon, everyone's minds were not on this matter.
Because Cao Cao is ready to conquer Wuhuan.
Yuan Shao's remnants, Yuan Shang and Yuan Xi, fled to Wuhuan after the defeat, and Cao Cao, after some struggle and entanglement, finally prepared to conquer Wuhuan at the suggestion of Guo Jia!
Zhuge Liang knew as soon as he heard that this was an absolutely rare opportunity, and he must not let it go!
But just when Liu Bei set out to persuade Liu Biao to take the opportunity to attack Xu Du, Zhuge Liang suddenly thought of the deduction of the situation in the world when he was talking with Qin Tian before.
Thinking of the current situation, Zhuge Liang was shocked to find that the situation in the world was just as Qin Tian said, evolving exactly the same!
……
1 month ago.
When Qin Tian and Zhuge Liang were chatting, Zhuge Liang suddenly became interested and wanted to compete with Qin Tian on the deduction method of the general trend of the world.
Qin Tian was naturally very interested, and the two quickly started talking.
"So Brother Qin thinks that Yuan Shang and Yuan Xi will be defeated?"
Qin Tian nodded.
"If Cao Cao wants to continue the southern expedition, then he must have a stable rear, and the relationship between Wuhuan and the Yuan family has always been good, plus Yuan Shang and Yuan Xi are now in Wuhuan again."
"Therefore, Cao Cao will definitely solve the problem in the rear before the official southern expedition, so no later than a year, Cao Cao will definitely make a move against Wu Huan!"
Zhuge Liang did not agree with Qin Tian's statement.
"No, no, in my opinion, Cao Cao will not do anything to Wu Huan, and even if he does, he will definitely not officially do it in the next few years!"
Qin Tian raised his eyebrows: "I would like to hear about it." ”
Zhuge Liang quickly expressed his considerations.
He believes that Cao Cao will not be very easy to solve Wuhuan, not to mention the nest, at least the rear is empty.
Regarding this, Qin Tian also recognized it very much.
Don't look at Cao Cao's current power, fighting this kind of thing, you must not be arrogant, in order to completely solve the influence left by Yuan Shao, Cao Cao will definitely use all his strength.
Then the question arises, since the attack on Wuhuan Cao Cao requires the mobilization of a large army, is there still a need to attack?
You must know that the world is not peaceful now, if you attack Wuhuan, Cao Cao's rear defense will be very empty, giving the enemy a chance to take advantage of the weakness!
Cao Cao must have known that Liu Bei's plans were very big, and once he dared to send troops, Liu Bei would definitely not let go of this opportunity.
At that time, Xu Du is in danger!
This is the main reason why Zhuge Liang made such a judgment!
"Kong Ming is right, but you overlooked one point."
"I want to hear about it." Zhuge Liang raised his eyebrows, and didn't seem to agree with Qin Tian's statement.
His speculations are all based on existing information, not to say that it will definitely happen, but the probability of it happening is at least eighty percent.
Zhuge Liang is very confident in himself, confident that he will never lose.
Qin Tian smiled lightly: "You think too highly of Liu Bei." ”
Zhuge Liang frowned.
He couldn't say much about Liu Bei, but he at least knew that Liu Bei was by no means a short-sighted person.
Zhuge Liang didn't believe that Liu Bei couldn't make a correct judgment.
"No, no, no, I misunderstood, I mean, you overestimated Liu Bei's weight in Liu Biao's heart."
It's a simple truth.
Liu Biao is a pure talker on paper, a politician who only knows how to sit and talk.
He knew that his ability was not enough to control Liu Bei, so he would inevitably be wary of Liu Bei.
In order to prevent Liu Bei from becoming bigger, or even posing a threat to him in turn, Liu Biao would definitely not agree to Liu Bei's request.
Maybe in Liu Biao's eyes, what Liu Bei said and what he proposed were just a means for him to fight for power and profit!
A villain and a gentleman are different.
Even if Liu Bei told Liu Biao bluntly that he would never forget the kindness he had taken in before, he would not attack Liu Biao.
But the question is, does Liu Biao dare to believe it?
Does he have the guts to believe that Liu Bei won't do it to himself?
Obviously, Liu Biao didn't have that guts.
So even if Xu Du was empty and defenseless, Liu Biao would never agree to Liu Bei's request.
Not only that, but he wouldn't even allow Liu Bei to go on the expedition without permission, because it would cause him trouble and make Cao Cao's eyes shift to him.
Therefore, Cao Cao's expedition to Wuhuan did not need to consider Liu Bei's problem at all.
Naturally, someone will come forward to stop Liu Bei, and this person is Liu Biao.
I have to say that people of the same force actually pulled each other's hind legs in the end, which is really an extremely funny joke.
Zhuge Liang frowned and listened to Qin Tian finish his speculation, even he had to admit that what Qin Tian said was not bad at all.
Liu Biao is really such a person.
If that really happens, even Zhuge Liang has to admit that things will really develop as Qin Tian said!
It's just that Zhuge Liang is not reconciled: "But the question is, can Cao Cao realize this?" ”
Qin Tian was able to accurately analyze Liu Biao's weaknesses and the relationship between Liu Biao and Liu Bei.
But others may not be able to do this, especially Cao Cao, who is hostile to Liu Biao.
Could it be that Cao Cao dared to bet on the possibility of Liu Biao giving up Xu Du?
What if, even if there is only a 1 in 10,000 possibility, Liu Biao adopted Liu Bei's opinion?
Isn't that dangerous?
Zhuge Liang still felt that even if someone under Cao Cao's account really noticed this, he would definitely not be able to convince Cao Cao!
Qin Tian smiled and said nothing.
After a long time, he said slowly: "Others may not be able to, but Fengxiao must be able to!" ”
"Bong-hyo? Guo Jia? Zhuge Liang was slightly stunned.
Soon, he realized who Qin Tian was talking about.
Ghost talent, Guo Jia!
I have to admit that Guo Jia is indeed a strategist who is very good at planning and reading people's hearts.
If he is against Guo Jia, even Zhuge Liang is not confident that he can win 100%.
If it's Guo Jia, then it seems that everything can make sense.
This time to deduce the situation in the world, Zhuge Liang had to admit that he lost.
But this is without taking into account his presence.
Zhuge Liang felt that if he was included, relying on his eloquence, might be able to make Liu Biao change his mind.
Qin Tian still didn't approve.
Zhuge Liang's eloquence may be able to convince Liu Biao, but he can't eliminate the suspicion in Liu Biao's heart.
Once Liu Biao's suspicion increases, I am afraid that Liu Bei will not even have the last place to stay.
If Zhuge Liang really came forward in person, it would make Liu Biao even more convinced that Liu Bei did have a problem.
It's self-defeating!
At that time, I am afraid that the gains will outweigh the losses.
Therefore, Qin Tian felt that if Zhuge Liang was really present later, it was best not to show up too much, and just hide it superficially.
Otherwise, it is easy to push things into an irreparable abyss!
……
When he came back to his senses, Zhuge Liang found that what happened today was exactly the same as what Qin Tian had deduced at the beginning, and there was almost no difference.
Zhuge Liang is in Fancheng, and he can only hope that Qin Tian's speculation is wrong, and Liu Biao can have a little more strategic vision.
But things often don't go as planned.
Liu Bei came back and brought back a team of Zhuge Liang with extremely bad news.
Liu Biao still rejected Liu Bei's request, and was even quite displeased.
After thinking about it, Zhuge Liang finally decided to go out in person and try to persuade Liu Biao.
If you miss this opportunity, I am afraid that there will be no way to defeat Cao Cao.
Once Wuhuan is captured and his worries are solved, Cao Cao's next goal will definitely be the southern expedition.
At that time, Sun Quan will be defeated again, and there will be no one in the world who can stop Cao Cao!
Could it be that he Zhuge Liang could still conjure up hundreds of thousands of troops out of thin air!
In the final analysis, success or failure will still fall on people.
However, Zhuge Liang still underestimated Liu Biao's suspicions.
He personally went out not only failed to convince Liu Biao, but made Liu Biao more determined to have Liu Bei's problematic idea.
In his opinion, it is impossible for Cao Cao not to think of this, and attacking Xu Du now will not only not gain anything, but will anger Cao Cao and make Cao Cao's next target become himself.
Therefore, Liu Biao would rather maintain the current situation and do nothing, rather than make mistakes.
As for Liu Bei and Zhuge Liang, who instigated him to attack Xudu, they naturally harbored evil intentions, and their hearts can be punished!
At this time, the relationship between Liu Biao and Liu Bei had just eased up, and it deteriorated again.
The deterioration in relations soon became apparent, and Liu Bei's life in Fancheng gradually began to become less pleasant.
Cao Cao's determination to conquer Wuhuan surprised everyone.
Cao Cao began his march in May, and it was already September when the news came out.
Another month passed after the news came out, and I received news from Cao Cao again that he had defeated the Wuhuan army.
In the battle of White Wolf Mountain, Cao's army won a complete victory, and more than 200,000 Hu and Han surrendered.
From the news to the end of the war, Cao Jun established the victory, and it took only a month before and after.
If Liu Biao can grasp the opportunity now, maybe there is still a little possibility of winning Xu Du.
But even at this time, Liu Biao still refused to believe Liu Bei's suggestion.
He insisted that Cao Jun would never relax his vigilance, and attacking Xu Du now would be tantamount to a sheep falling into the mouth of a tiger!
In this way, Liu Biao missed the last opportunity to take Xu Du.
When the dust settled, it was already the end of November, and it was about to reach the lunar month.
In such weather, even if Xu Du is still empty, the cold weather of winter will make it even more difficult for the army to conquer.
In the month of Layue, news from all sides continued to circulate.
Judging from what happened before, Liu Biao suddenly realized that Liu Bei's suggestion was absolutely correct!
When Cao Cao returned to the Central Plains, it turned out that Liu Biao's judgment was completely wrong, and at this time Liu Biao finally summoned Liu Bei and said: "I didn't take your suggestion before, and now I have lost such a good opportunity." ”
In this regard, Liu Bei was very generous.
In other words, there is nothing he can do about it, even if he is not generous.
In the final analysis, he is still a small general, with no soldiers under his command and no strength, and no one will want to believe anything.
At this time, it was Liu Bei who comforted Liu Biao.
"Now that the world is divided, the opportunity will definitely appear again, how can there be no chance?"
"If we can seize the opportunity in the future, this time it will not be enough to regret it."
Zhuge Liang was also helpless about this.
It's done, and even if you regret it now, it's useless, you can only wait for a better time!
……
Even if it is war, it needs to make way for the New Year.
In this era, the Chinese New Year is the only thing ordinary people can refer to.
The big victory before the Chinese New Year shocked the entire north.
No matter who is under the rule, as long as life can go on, as long as they can continue to win battles, the people have hope in their hearts.
The reason is also very simple, winning battles all the time means that their rulers are really powerful, so the people do not have to worry about the city they live in being breached, they are being swept up in war, and even their families are ruined.
What is it to have a bite to eat, to be able to not ruin a family, and to have a hard life?
Therefore, this year, the people of the north can be called happy.
The people were quite happy, but Cao Cao was not happy at all, even if he won a big victory, clearing the last rear obstacle for himself to dominate the world.
Because Guo Jia was already terminally ill at this time.
Speaking of which, this is also related to Guo Jia's conquest of Wu Huan.
The so-called soldiers are fast, although they are confident that Liu Bei will be blocked by Liu Biao, but the night is long and dreamy, once the war drags on for a long time, it is difficult to guarantee that Liu Biao will not be suspicious.
At that time, I am afraid that he will really attack Xu Du.
At the same time, the terrain of Wuhuan is also very complicated, and if the other party is given the opportunity to prepare, then this war will inevitably be dragged into a tug-of-war.
No one wants to see that happen.
So in order to solve this problem, Cao Cao and Guo Jia left their baggage, advanced quickly with light troops, and attacked them unprepared.
But if you don't carry baggage, the end of the soldiers is that it is very difficult to supply the army.
The march was in extremely bad condition, with 200 miles of dry and waterless along the way.
Cao's army was extremely short of supplies, and even had to kill thousands of horses to satisfy his hunger, so that he could reach his destination with difficulty.
In the process of this conquest, Guo Jia's body showed abnormalities several times, but the military situation was urgent, and Guo Jia did not have time to rest.
Finally, after the end of the war, on the way back from Liucheng, Guo Jia's physical problems broke out.
Because it was already winter, the water and soil were not adapted, coupled with the extremely bad weather in the northern winter, and the overwork caused by the rapid travel day and night, Guo Jia finally fell ill all of a sudden.
This can make Cao Cao anxious, and he looks for doctors everywhere, hoping to find someone who can treat Guo Jia.
At this time, Qin Tian also came all the way to the north.
(End of chapter)