PS: Ask for tickets at the end of the month

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"The Supreme Commander of the Russian Army, Kornilov, staged a coup d'état?" Wen Desi did not express too much surprise at the latest news from Russia.

Xin Jie smiled and said, "Yes, it's already a fight." Kornilov yesterday announced a march on the capital, demanding the resignation of the Provisional Government, and is now fighting the Red Guards outside the city. As it was, Kornilov could barely stand it. ”

Last month, Kerensky, on behalf of the provisional government, asked China for an aid loan of 200 million Chinese yuan, but the two sides did not negotiate in the end because the Chinese side offered too high an offer. At that time, China said that the loan was not a problem, but it demanded that the Sino-Russian border be restored to the state before 1858, and Kerensky was not a fool, and besides, it was not to the point of exhaustion at that time, so he directly refused this request, so the matter was not discussed.

Without Chinese aid, the Provisional Government's lack of supplies could not be improved, and morale at the front was extremely low, so they not only failed the Kerensky Offensive last month, but also caused a mutiny in the army. Taking advantage of the discontent of the officers and soldiers, the commander of the Southwestern Front, Kornilov, under the pretext of a temporary **, staged a coup d'état yesterday.

Wen Deji said disdainfully: "Hehe, Kornilov is just a clown, and he is jumping out now, just to precursor to the king." However, Kerensky is now embarrassed enough to ask his opponent for help, which means that he is almost finished. ”

Xinjie also said: "Yes, because of the failure of Kerensky's counteroffensive plan, most of his cronies' troops have already been lost. Now the armed forces of Petrograd are all in the hands of the Brucellos. If the Kornilov rebels are defeated again this time, it will be time for both sides to turn the other cheeks. Now Kerensky has lost the support of almost everyone, and the government without the support of the army is definitely doomed......"

Russia had been in a mess since the February Revolution, and the Provisional Government was in a state of disarray, unable to reintegrate the country in a short period of time. The most terrible thing is that this provisional government is full of various political factions, and no one has an absolute advantage, so it is natural that it will fall into endless verbal nonsense.

The Russian Provisional Government after the February Revolution was like an Internet forum in later generations, and the various factions were arguing every day, unable to do anything serious, and no one else was allowed to do it. This kind of rip-off lasted until June, during which there were several political crises because of the rip-off, and Prime Minister Li Wufu couldn't hold on anymore and pulled out of power.

So Kerensky became prime minister with his extraordinary mouth cannon, and at the same time served as the minister of the army and navy. But the position of prime minister is not so easy to sit in. In the current situation in Russia, it is impossible to do without a strong political party, Lvov is not good, Kerensky is still the same, even if he is powerful, it is useless.

Post-revolutionary Russia stood at the crossroads of World War I, "war or peace", and the Provisional Government was divided into two factions. The Nationalist Peace faction, led by the Brucella d'Abner, advocated peace talks with the Allies and resolutely opposed the continuation of the war. On the other hand, the main war faction led by the Socialist-Revolutionary Party held that Russia should advance and retreat together with Britain and France, and advocated persisting in carrying out the war.

Kerensky was the representative of the main battle faction, and he not only won the support of many officers, but also persuaded many neutrals with his eloquence, so that in the end the main battle faction gained the upper hand, so that the provisional government finally passed the decision to continue the war.

After the Provisional Government promised to continue the war, the relieved Entente recognized the Russian Provisional Government as soon as possible and said that they could provide assistance. But this also disappointed the allies who were full of hope that Russia would withdraw from the war, and felt the anger of leaving, you are all like this, and you still want to fight?

However, in all seriousness, Kerensky's eloquence and agitation skills are still good. He personally went to the front line to boost the morale of the officers and men and urged the Russian ** unit to maintain its original combat effectiveness. He took an active part in the army's political gatherings and made speeches constantly. He called on his soldiers to continue fighting to reclaim the sacred territory that had been invaded by foreign enemies. His eloquence began to win the favor of the soldiers, and he was applauded by the audience when he shouted the ornate slogan "I can't provide a big meal, but I can make you die with honor!"

Seeing that morale had picked up, Kerensky's confidence began to swell, and he planned a counteroffensive in June to maintain morale with a victory. He believed that as soon as the guns rang out, the soldiers who had made it their duty to obey would immediately return to the battlefield, share the same hatred of the enemy, and forget about the political assembly.

But Kerensky's ability is just a mouthpiece, he overestimated his prestige, and also overestimated the state of the Russian ** team at this time. His agitation at the front did have some effect, and the morale of the troops did pick up, but that was about it.

Since the February Revolution, the attitude of Germany and Austria-Hungary towards Russia has been one of "wait and see", and they want Russia to withdraw from the war. Therefore, Berlin and Vienna expressly forbade the two ** teams to take any initiative, so as not to provoke the Russian army. Under this guiding ideology, the entire eastern front, from the Baltic Sea in the north to the Black Sea, entered a state of "no war on the eastern front."

The Germans had been trying to convince the Russian soldiers that now that the Tsar had stepped down, there should no more blood shed for the interests of Britain and France. Therefore, although intelligence on the Eastern Front indicates that the Russian army has recently acted abnormally, Berlin has decided not to take the initiative on the Eastern Front.

It is precisely because of this attitude of the Allies that the counteroffensive launched by the Russian army on June 15 did play some role, and it can even be said to be a "great success" in the initial stage, because of the counter-water of the Czech troops, the Russian army opened a big hole in the defense area of the Austro-Hungarian 2nd Army. Russian troops continued to pour in from here, successively capturing some villages and high grounds, and completed the goal of the first day's advance beyond plan. At the end of the first day of fighting, the Russian 11th Army claimed to have captured 18,000 enemy men and captured countless artillery guns.

Over the course of the next week, the Russians made some gains in Austria-Hungary, with the Russian 8th Army making gaps in the Austro-Hungarian 3rd Army's line and seizing some positions.

But this kind of appearance is just a return to the glory of the Russian army. Having reacted, Germany and Austria organized a counteroffensive on 22 June. In front of the superior Allied forces, the Russian ** team, which lacked everything, once again hit the streets. On the second day of the counterattack, the German-Austrian forces tore a 50-kilometer-wide gap in the Russian defense line. The commander-in-chief of the Russian army, Brusilov, made a final effort, he threw in the Caucasian troops closest to the battlefield, but to no avail.

At this point, not only did Kerensky and the highly-anticipated offensive have died out, but the entire front of the Russian army is on the verge of collapse, many units have begun to flee in formation, and the army has disbanded itself. The Germans and Austria-Hungary were in a no-man's land, and the Germans advanced more than a hundred kilometers in just a few days, until the soldiers stopped because they were overworked, and now the only thing restricting the German advance was their own supply lines.

By 1 July, the German-Austrian army had stopped its advance again. The Germans had already conquered most of Belarus, Latvia and Estonia, and the Austrian army was advancing rapidly in the Ukrainian direction, advancing all the way to the Dnieper.

The Kerensky offensive was the last effort of the Russian army in this European war. After paying the price of 50,000 killed, 50,000 wounded, and 70,000 captured, the Russian ** team was completely defeated, and this defeat exhausted the last trace of morale of the front-line soldiers.

The defeat also brought Kerensky's prestige to the bottom, as his insistence on the war against the Allies, the new military catastrophe in Russia, and his failure to adopt fundamental reforms caused increasing impatience and a loss of trust in him on both the left and right.

Of course, his greatest death was the appointment of General Kornilov, the second oldest lieutenant commander, as the supreme commander of the army. This Kornilov was not grateful to Dade for Kerensky appointing him as supreme commander of the army, and the reward he gave was a coup d'état......

Kornilov was convinced that Russia was in a critical situation, and that defeat would damage national pride and glory. He thought that it was all due to the Bugs, and in his eyes, Ulyanov and his treasonous and collaborators had to be eliminated as soon as possible. The overthrow of the Soviets, the rectification of military discipline, and the rectification of the government were his goals.

Lao Ke thinks that the provisional government is too ineffective, and they are all a bunch of soft eggs. Therefore, he tried to establish a military dictatorship to eliminate the forces of the Cloth Party and rebuild the country. He staged a coup d'état on 7 July, ordered his troops to advance on Petrograd, and presented Kerensky with an ultimatum demanding the resignation of all members of the Provisional Government and the transfer of power to him.

However, Corvo also overestimated his prestige, and his subordinates did not support him as much as he thought, and many troops refused to carry out orders when they received them. Even if some high-ranking officers carried out the order, the lower-ranking officers and soldiers were grinding foreign workers, as can be seen from the fact that these regular troops were now blocked outside the city by a group of workers and could not move.

In other words, if there is no accident, Lao Ke's street fight is also a matter of the past few days.

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While talking, Gu Xiaolan brought the latest information: "Mr. Wen, Petrograd sent an urgent telegram, the coup d'état was quelled, and Kornilov and his supporters were arrested......"

"Oh, it's over so soon?" said Wende. This Kornilov incident has been in trouble for a few days in the history of the original time and space, why did he kneel in only two days this time?

Gu Xiaolan said briefly: "His guard unit was rebelled by the Bu Party, and the soldiers mutinied. They killed the captain of the guard, stormed the conference room, and arrested Kornilov and a group of cronies. ”

“...... This is too child's play!" After reading this information, Wen Deji didn't know what to make an expression.

Zhang Lizheng took the information and looked at it, and said: "Although the coup failed, the strength of the provisional government has been weakened by Yan zhòng, and the Bu Party has completely controlled the armed forces in Petrograd in this coup d'état, and its strength has grown again. The army, which was the backbone of the Provisional Government, collapsed, and the soldiers would no longer believe in the Provisional Government and would turn to the side of the Bolshevik Party......"

Wen Deji also said lightly: "Kerensky is finished." This rebellion was crushed though. But the political prestige of the Provisional Government was also completely shattered, and not only did the army that supported him quickly collapse, but both the left and the right lost trust in him...... It seems that our Mr. Ulyanov is also about to do it, for him the current shape is ripe, and it seems that the second revolution in Russia will probably not have to wait until October......"

"Mr. Wen, now we should wait and see what happens, as long as we protect the Tsar's family......" Zhang Lizheng said with a smile.

Xin Jie said with a smile: "Hehe, in fact, if Mr. Ulyanov can give us a copy of the Eastern Brest Treaty, the Tsar's family can give them ......"

"That's not enough, Russia is too big, it's better to divide a few more pieces. Wen Deji stood up, pointed to the map and said: "Actually, I am not very interested in the Siberian part, what I want here is Baikal Lake and the Outer Northeast, as long as this large lake and the Outer Northeast are in hand, it doesn't matter if the rest of the places are wanted." Of course, it would be nice to have more, but this is not worth the effort. ”

"Indeed, the essence of Siberia lies in the two regions of Lake Baikal and the Outer Northeast. The physical geography and climatic conditions of the rest of the region are not suitable for economic development. More than eighty percent of the land is located in permafrost zones and swamps that have been formed over the years, making development extremely difficult. The production cost of agriculture and animal husbandry is too high, the output is very low, and whether it is planting or breeding, it is not self-sufficient. These places basically do not have the conditions for the development of agriculture, and can only engage in forestry and mining. But even forestry and mining require a lot of basic inputs, and their benefits are far from comparable to those in other regions. Zhang Lizheng mainly looks at the problem from the perspective of economic interests.

In Siberia, you can only work for half a year and stay at home at other times, which is not suitable for any industry. In the history of the original time and space, even in the heyday of the Soviet Union, the development of the Siberian region was very moving, and a large amount of financial subsidies were invested every year.

"Another important reason is the tendency to immigrate," he added. We Han people are temperate people, and the vast majority of people are not adapted to the alpine climate, according to expert analysis, the outer northeast and Lake Baikal are the limits of immigration. If you are north of the Outer Khing'an Mountains, I'm afraid few people are willing to go to that kind of bitter cold place. Nor can a territory be consolidated without a sufficient number of people. ”

Wen Deji nodded: "Well, that's true, so I think it's better to encroach on the Siberian region, and I can't digest it if I swallow it at once." In any case, regardless of which government came to power in Russia, the bottom line of our territorial claims is to restore the borders to the state they were before 1858, with the addition of the Baikal region...... This is the bottom line, the rest of the regions can take it, and if they can't, forget it. ”

For Mr. Wen, the land in the north is not so important, and he can't spend too much effort for those bitter cold places. It is better to use this strength in the south, where the benefits are better.