Chapter 59: One Hundred Percent
"Oh?" The human pig was a little puzzled, "I don't understand what you mean." ”
Lao Lu was also a little puzzled: "Boy, what are you talking about?" Is there a "way to win" in this game? ”
"I don't dare to say how to win." Qi Xia shook his head, "But the 'pig game' is definitely not a 'luck' game, but a 'probability' through and through. ”
"What do you mean?" Lao Lu was a little confused, "No matter how you distribute it, the number of black and white pieces is fifty, which means that the probability of you touching all the chess pieces is one in two." ”
"Really?" Qi Xia shook his head noncommittally, "It's because of this that this game seems to be close to the 'luck type'. ”
"I'll tell you the truth, boy." Lao Lu leaned into Qi Xia's ear and whispered, "The first time I separated the black and white chess pieces, so that as long as I could pick the bowl with the black seeds, I won, but unfortunately I lost." The second time I distributed the black and white pieces evenly into the two bowls, I still didn't touch the black pieces, and my luck was really bad. ”
Lao Lu touched his chin and said, "If you think about it carefully, if the ratio is broken, there will be more or less black and white chess pieces in each bowl, which will be more unfavorable for me to touch the black pieces." So no matter what, there can be no way to win. ”
Qi Xia nodded: "It's impossible to win this game, I can only try to make my chances of winning higher." ”
"Huh? Do you have a solution? ”
Qi Xia didn't answer, but said to the human pig: "I'm ready, let's start." ”
Ren Zhu Han smiled, then stretched out his hand and made a "please" gesture: "Start distributing." ”
Qi Xia looked at the two identical bowls, and then at the black and white chess pieces with the same texture and touch, silently grabbed a chess piece and put it into the bowl.
Lao Lu looked at Qi Xia silently, not knowing how he was going to arrange these hundred chess pieces.
I saw that Qi Xia kept grabbing the chess pieces and kept throwing them into the bowl, as if he didn't count the number of black and white pieces at all.
"Hey...... Will it work? Lao Lu asked with some hesitation, "Do you want to count how many you have already put in it?" ”
Qi Xia didn't speak, just kept throwing chess pieces into a bowl.
Lao Lu and Lin Yi glanced at each other, and they didn't know what Qi Xia was going to do.
It wasn't until Qi Xia threw all the pieces into the same bowl that he stopped.
Seeing this, the pig-headed man was a little angry: "Hey, hey, hey! It's a foul! It has to be divided into two bowls! ”
"I know." Qi Xia nodded, "The distribution is not over yet. ”
With that, he picked up a black piece from the bowl and threw it into another bowl.
"My assignment is over." Qi Xia raised his head and looked at the human pig indifferently.
"What?!"
Several people present were a little stunned.
What is this distribution method?
One black disc in one bowl and the rest ninety-nine chess pieces in the other?
Lao Lu looked at the two bowls on the table, his pupils moved, and it took a long time before he spoke: "Wonderful...... Wonderful......"
He understood Qi Xia's tactics.
Originally, no matter how Lao Lu distributed, the "optimal distribution" of the two chess pieces in the bowl was that both of them became one-half.
In this way, he can guarantee that he has half a chance of touching the sunspot.
But Qi Xia broke this equilibrium.
He made the probability of touching a sunspot in one bowl 100 percent, and the probability of touching a sunspot in another bowl was as close to 1 in 2 as possible.
Since he had to choose a bowl at the beginning, Qi Xia was likely to directly choose the bowl with the black seeds, and he didn't need to pick the pieces from the bowl to win directly.
Even if he was unlucky and chose another bowl, the probability of choosing a sunspot would be about the same as one in two, after all, forty-nine percent
He added a layer of "insurance" to his victory.
When the human pig saw this scene, his eyes under the mask obviously became a little colder.
"Are you playing tricks on me?" The tone of the human pig changed, and it sounded no longer so childish, but with a hint of cunning.
"Clever?" Qi Xia felt a little funny, raised his eyebrows and said, "Everything I did didn't break the rules, how could I be clever?" ”
The human pig took out an eye patch from his pocket, slowly handed it to Qi Xia, and said, "I know a lot of smart people, and most of them have bad luck. ”
Qi Xia nodded and took the blindfold: "I can't refute this, after all, smart people rarely rely on luck to do things." ”
"But at the end of the day, we're gambling." Renzhu said in a low tone, "The most important thing in gambling is "strong luck", you are very smart, but what about your luck? ”
"I don't know." Qi Xia replied, "But we'll find out soon." ”
Qi Xia slowly put on the blindfold and put his hands on the table without moving.
The man-pig took the two bowls and began to shake the pieces in them.
This rule was originally intended to deal with some opportunists, who would base themselves with white seeds and then spread all the sunspots on the top layer so that they could easily touch them.
But now for Qi Xia's tactics, this rule has completely lost its effect.
Renzhu knew that no matter how he shook the chess pieces, the man in front of him would not hesitate to choose one.
After all, everything he has to do has been done, and next, he is ready to leave everything to his "luck".
Thinking of this, he shook it casually, and then disrupted the position of the two bowls, and rearranged them one on the left and one on the right.
"Hey, which bowl are you going to choose?" The man-pig asked, "Your left-hand side...... Or right-hand side? ”
"I ......" Qi Xia lowered his head and was silent for a while, then said, "Left, I choose the left." ”
Lin Yi and Lao Lu were stunned at the same time, and they suddenly felt bad in their hearts.
Because Qi Xia's left hand side is the bowl containing ninety-nine chess pieces!
The eyes of the human pig suddenly lit up: "Very good, please choose the chess pieces from them." ”
He pushed the bowl in front of Qi Xia with a slight mockery, as if watching his joke.
The corners of Qi Xia's mouth rose slightly, and he said, "Don't you want to test my luck?" It's just right to test with this bowl. ”
"What......" Renzhu was stunned, "You, do you know that this bowl is 'wrong'?! ”
"Pretty much." Qi Xia slowly put his hand into the bowl and said, "In fact, choosing "left and right sides" is the same as choosing "rock-paper-scissors", which seems to be a balanced probability, but it always leads to deviations due to human thinking. ”
"What do you mean?" Lao Lu asked puzzled.
"Just like most people rock-paper-scissors will come out first, the odds aren't even." Qi Xia explained, "'Cloth' will make your palms wide open and lose your sense of security, while 'rock' will clench your palms and make people feel depressed subconsciously, so 'scissors' have become the most moderate choice. The same is true for choosing the left and right sides, people will subconsciously think that "the left side is safer", after all, most people in this world are right-handed, they often use the right hand, and the chance of injury to the right hand is much higher than the left hand, so when choosing a safe direction, it is easy to choose the "left side". ”
"You...... Not ordinary people, indeed. Manpig said.
"There's no need to praise me, because you understand these things." Qi Xia said, "You put ninety-nine chess pieces on my left hand, it shouldn't be unintentional, right?" ”