Chapter 138: Formulating Policies (Part II)
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Li Chengliang thought so: "With the current equipment level and combat effectiveness of the Tang Army, it is not difficult to defeat any country in the Western Regions, but where to recruit so many people who are willing to go west and go north with the army is the biggest headache for Niu Xiangguo."
To control the land of thousands of miles, at least 200,000 Tang people must gather and live in the local area to form a population advantage, and the land occupied by the countries of the Western Regions is not only thousands of miles away, and the Tang Dynasty does not have so many surplus people to migrate to the countries of the Western Regions.
At present, the wind of comfort in the Tang Kingdom is becoming more and more prevalent, and the people have been peaceful for too long, when the problem of food and clothing is solved, the idea of small wealth and peace is seriously breeding, and there is no longer the spirit of 'the blue wisps of the road to open the mountains and forests, and the wind and rain to forge ahead', how can anyone be willing to move to the barren land in the Western Regions to defend the country.
If the imperial court forcibly forced the Tang people to migrate to the Western Regions, it would be nothing more than causing a lot of human misfortune, which was not only not conducive to resolving domestic contradictions, but also might inspire popular uprisings or cause a large number of people to defect to the enemy, so this problem is not only a headache for Niu Xiangguo, but also the most headache for us border city officials and guards in the future. β
Fan Yunchao said: "Brother Chengliang, Niu Xiangguo has only been in office for a short time, and the new national policy has just been proposed, and there must be many follow-up strategies to follow up and refine, as long as you and I take care of Dunhuang Mansion for the country, we will be responsible, don't continue to spend our minds on this kind of thing, how can there be perfect things in the world." β
Li Chengliang said: "Alas, the humble people dare not forget the worries of the country! Only when the situation in the DPRK is stable can there be local stability." Okay, let's not talk about this, let's talk about what we should do and what we can do in Dunhuang according to the changes in the new national policy.
This time, the barbarian coalition army attacked, almost all the peasant villages near Dunhuang Mansion were destroyed, making the already fragile food supply system of Dunhuang City even more stretched, and this year Dunhuang City may have to purchase a large amount of grain from Suzhou Road and Ganzhou Road in order to meet the consumption of citizens.
Now more than 100,000 peasant households have lost their livelihood at once, and after the opening of the city, they will have to rebuild their homes and reclaim the land, and this year's grain production reduction has become a foregone conclusion, and the grain prices in the city have quietly risen by 30% in the past two days.
Stabilizing grain prices and relocating peasant households is the top priority for Dunhuang this spring, and if it is not handled properly, it may trigger a popular uprising, so we have to be cautious. β
Fan Yunchao said: "Well, in recent years, the construction of Dunhuang Mansion has mainly revolved around the construction of Dunhuang City, based on handicraft manufacturing, border trade, supplemented by animal husbandry and agriculture, and finally developed to the scale of more than 700,000 people, which is an important town in the northwest.
However, this simple industrial model has caused a single product category, lack of characteristics, and the output is difficult to form a scale, and the advantages of Dunhuang products in the border trade are not strong, and the workshop is not big or strong, and the number of hired workers is limited, and there are not enough jobs, which has led to the flow of a large number of young and middle-aged people to Suzhou Road and Ganzhou Road.
At the same time, the agricultural foundation is weak, without enough food, it is impossible to feed more people, the peasant people lack the motivation and desire to have children, and the situation of low birthrate and childlessness in Dunhuang Province is many times more serious than that in other parts of the Tang Dynasty.
Bashu and Jingxiang are rich, with an average of 4.1 children per household, 3.6 children per household in Guanzhong, 3.2 children per household in Gansu, and only 1.8 people per household in Dunhuang, and there are also economic differences in other regions, but the impact on the birth rate is not great, but this data in Dunhuang is really distressing.
Without a sufficient population, it is impossible to promote the development of cities, and we have vigorously encouraged childbearing in recent years, but with little success, and now it is difficult to even replenish the army, and this contradiction is growing day by day. β
Li Chengliang asked: "The imperial court asked us to recruit 13,000 troops on our own, but the progress did not go well? Is there any good way to alleviate this dilemma?"
Fan Yunchao said: "With the help of the impact of the Dunhuang victory this time, the number of people who signed up to join the army has increased compared with the past, but it is basically hopeless to recruit 13,000 recruits at a time."
As for how to improve the internal and external environment of Dunhuang Mansion and increase the population fertility rate of Dunhuang Mansion, it depends on how determined the imperial court is and how much benefit and stimulus policies it can give to the people of Dunhuang.
At present, I can think of only four effective ways to do this: giving birth subsidies to families of childbearing age, encouraging people to concentrate on planting, encouraging joint operations of handicraft workshops, and restricting the internal migration of wealthy businessmen. β
Li Chengliang showed great interest: "Brother Xian, can you tell us more about these four items?"
Fan Yunchao said: "Well, I just want to report to my eldest brother in detail."
First of all, we can stipulate that starting from this year, starting from the second newborn of each family of childbearing age in Dunhuang Prefecture, the government will give a certain amount of support subsidy on a monthly basis, which should account for 50% of the child's maintenance expenses, mainly with grain as the main and cloth as the supplement.
In the future, for each additional child born to the family, the subsidy rate will be increased by 10%, and after the birth of the sixth child, the government will bear the full amount of child support.
In the later stage of this policy, we can gradually add some new assistance content, such as when children enter public schools in various towns, tuition fees can be exempted, and children will be given priority to enter the workshop as apprentices after the age of 14, which will have a certain attraction to families of childbearing age. β
Li Chengliang pondered for a while and said: "Brother Xian, wait a minute, your ideas are very practical and to the point, I think this kind of chatting is too wasteful of our efforts, I will call the documents in the house to record, today we will sort out a set of directional things, and then we will gradually improve." β
The clerk in the house soon came, it was a thin man in his thirties, with a set of pen, ink, paper and inkstone under his arm, after understanding Li Chengliang's words, he hurriedly spread out the pen, ink, paper and inkstone on the table, ready to record.
Li Chengliang asked Fan Yunchao to repeat what he had just said, this clerk has good calligraphy, timeless handwriting, and a flying pen, and at first glance he is a talent who often performs recording tasks.
He writes very fast and has a very good memory, and he can record Fan Yunchao's words word for word, and he is not much slower than Fan Yunchao's speed of speaking.
Li Chengliang was very satisfied with the performance of the clerk, and instructed the clerk to continue to record all the conversations between the two, and he said to Fan Yunchao: "Yunchao, the method you proposed is feasible, and I will ask Sima to calculate it when I go back and see if the annual tax of Dunhuang Mansion can support such a subsidy policy."
But I'm still a little worried, doesn't such a policy need to restrict the population? Will it stimulate the rich to have more children and take money from it, while the common people still don't have a high fertility rate?"
Fan Yunchao said: "Big brother, don't worry about this, the rich are not afraid of having more children, this is a good thing, the children also have concubines, those concubines cannot inherit the family property, and they will eventually become laborers."
And to feed the growing family, it forces the wealthy to invest more to earn more money, which prompts them to hire and absorb more workers.
In addition, it is important to note that the concubines of wealthy families are higher than ordinary people in terms of physical condition and education, and perhaps a third class can be formed between rich families and ordinary people in the future.
In addition, we can control public opinion and let all the people supervise the situation of rich households arbitraging birth subsidies, forming public opinion pressure, and over time let the rich households form the shameful idea of arbitraging birth subsidies, and the rich households who arbitrage expenses will naturally decrease, or even disappear.
As for the budget for this policy, I estimate that the current total tax is not enough, and we still have to make more efforts to open up sources and reduce expenditures, which has to talk about two measures: encouraging people to concentrate on pioneering planting and encouraging joint operation of handicraft workshops.
The imperial court's tax reduction and exemption for the people of Dunhuang for three years is an opportunity for us to encourage the people to go out of the city to open up wasteland, build water conservancy around the Dang River and Shule River, and carry out concentrated agricultural planting.
If large-scale agricultural planting can be formed within three years, we can reduce the tax burden of newly reclaimed land for another three years, so that these landcuters can really benefit, so that more people will be willing to go out of the city to open up wasteland.
If this virtuous cycle continues, within ten years, Dunhuang Mansion will not only be self-sufficient in grain, but will also become the largest granary in this region. β
Li Chengliang said: "I would like to insert a sentence here, this time the expansion of land out of the city can no longer be carried out in the mode of open villages and towns without defense, we need to send grassroots officials to manage and guide, and we must build Tucheng villages, organize villagers to protect themselves, and gradually form some small cities, so that we can be regarded as effective pioneering." β
Fan Yunchao said: "Well, the eldest brother is good at this point, Dunhuang Mansion has the name of a state capital, and only one city is really cold, if these earthen cities can be developed, they can be reported to the imperial court to build a county government, so that some capable low-level officials can also be encouraged to take the initiative to go out to participate in pioneering."
In addition, the younger brother has a suggestion, I don't know if it is mature, the ecological environment near Dunhuang Mansion is weak, the trees are cut down, the grassland is seriously degraded, and it cannot support too many livestock breeding, so animal husbandry should be banned.
As for the people's meat consumption, we encourage the public to develop poultry and egg farming, and externally we can sign long-term cattle and sheep supply agreements with nearby barbarian tribes to make up for the lack of meat. β
Li Chengliang praised: "I really didn't expect that the virtuous brother could still see the damage of animal husbandry to the environment, why the Gobi Desert is everywhere in the Western Regions, it is all caused by the herdsmen's excessive grazing for countless years, and the available grassland is becoming less and less, which also inhibits the population growth of all ethnic groups in the Western Regions." β
Fan Yunchao said: "As for the workshops in Dunhuang City, it is now time to have to rectify, serious pollution, shoddy, single products, vicious competition of the four stubborn diseases, has almost smashed the brand of Dunhuang workshop products."
From now on, all the workshops in the city should be sorted out, the workshops of the same category should be merged, and the workshops that lack the ability and scale should be closed down and transferred, and eventually two or three workshops of each category should be left to form a large joint workshop, which is conducive to centralized production, improving efficiency, monitoring quality, and reducing disorderly competition.
At the same time, the stable production and operation of this kind of large-scale workshop is also a kind of protection for the workers of the workshop, avoiding the displacement of some craftsmen with good craftsmanship due to the closure of the workshop; at the same time, it is also conducive to the research and development of new varieties, the promotion of new skills, and the shortening of the cycle and cost of training new workers. β
Li Chengliang nodded and said, "I would like to add that a heavily polluting workshop like nitrate leather goods should be kept away from the source of drinking water, and it is best to move out of the city." β
Fan Yunchao said: "Yes, the disease comes from the mouth, this ice leech is a lesson, protecting the safety of water is a very urgent matter, not only the nitrate leather industry, other polluting industries should also gradually move outside the city." β
Li Chengliang said: "Brother Xian, you can talk about restricting the internal migration of wealthy businessmen and wealthy families. β
Fan Yunchao said: "In recent years, many merchants and families in Dunhuang Mansion have accumulated a lot of wealth with the help of border trade and cross-border caravan trade, and have become the emerging wealthy class in Dunhuang Province, or have led their families to become wealthy families.
These people should have used the money they earned from Dunhuang Mansion for the construction of their hometowns, but many of them were not optimistic about the development of Dunhuang City, but instead took out the money and continued to buy properties or develop other businesses in Suzhou Road, Ganzhou Road, and even Guanzhong, Bashu, Jingxiang and other places.
Such continuous blood draws caused the business atmosphere in Dunhuang Mansion to always be difficult to meet expectations, although the City Lord's Mansion sent people to warn them many times, but there were still signs of capital outflow.
If we do not take coercive measures to restrict the internal relocation of the funds of wealthy businessmen and wealthy families, such a demonstration effect will lead more people to follow suit, which will cause great damage to the economy of Dunhuang Prefecture. β
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