Li Xin hesitated: "There is a gap in the supply of raw materials, but the market should rise in the future." Today's volatility is indeed a bit large, but considering that the current position is the highest point in more than half a year, it is not surprising that the high level is wide range. Isn't it true that the price was pulled up again at the end of the day?"

"I think something is not normal, you should be careful. ”

"Got it. ”

After Li Xin put down the phone, Xia Xiaona asked, "Who is it?"

"A friend. ”

"How can your friend know so much about what you do?"

"This friend is the vice president of a futures company, and my futures account is opened in their company, so of course she knows the changes in my futures account. Li Xin said.

"You see that not only did I persuade you, but your friends also advised you to close the position quickly, so you should think about it yourself more, okay?" Xia Xiaona said worriedly.

Li Xin nodded and said, "I know." ”

Although she watched Li Xin promise herself, Xia Xiaona knew that once Li Xin had her own idea, others would not be able to convince him easily.

After saying everything that should be said, Xia Xiaona had no choice but to say goodbye and say, "Then you are busy, I will go down." ”

"Okay. ”

The sharp drop in the price of sugar futures on Wednesday surprised and delighted Ma Tianming.

What is surprising is that in a few days, the market sales price in the sales area will definitely fall, and the goods that have not been sold out will now make a lot less profit.

I am glad that my judgment is correct, the price of cane sugar cannot rise, and my decision to let my district managers sell the goods quickly is correct.

In fact, the biggest difference between people is not in physiological indicators, but in the mind, in the mind.

From the perspective of physiological indicators, as long as it is a normal person, these values are roughly in the same range. Even if there are some differences, they are only quantitative, and they cannot be substantial.

For example, blood pressure, blood sugar, blood lipids, heart rate, etc., between different people, even if some two indicators are multiples, it is only a quantitative difference, and it cannot be a difference.

For another example, a thinner person can eat two bowls of rice and carry a 30-kilogram burden, while a strong person can eat five bowls of rice and carry an 80-kilogram burden.

Numerically, the difference in physical fitness between these two people is also exponential, but in the end, this difference is still only quantitative, not substantial.

However, in terms of ideology and concepts, two people with exactly the same physiological indicators may have one in the sky and the other in the ground, and the difference is completely positive and negative.

Just like today's sharp decline in sugar futures, in the eyes of the bearish Ma Tianming, this is a clear sign that the market has peaked, and sugar prices can no longer rise in this crushing season.

However, in the view of Li Xin, who has always held a long thinking, this decline is just a deep pullback, and the next step will continue to rise.

The two of them have completely opposite views on the same thing.

In the face of Xia Xiaona and Yuan Jie's advice, Li Xin still maintained a bullish thinking, and what he said to them went in from the left ear, and immediately went out from the right ear.

After Xia Xiaona left, Li Xin looked at the long lower shadow line on today's K-line chart and thought: Although this yin line is a little ugly, it can pull the price up from the falling limit, which shows that the power of buying on dips is very great.

He even secretly admired in his heart that these multi-party trading techniques in the market were very professional and very sophisticated. He has seen this kind of operation method of pulling up and closing positions, then suppressing them with the trend, and then opening positions again at a low level, which he has seen many times in the stock market. This is often the case for stocks that are controlled by the main market makers.

He regretted that he didn't seriously consider Xia Xiaona's suggestion yesterday, otherwise, after the market opened this morning, he could close all the positions in his hand at a high level, and wait until the afternoon when the price dropped sharply to re-open the position.

In this way, one in and one out, the profit from closing the position plus the cost of amortization, as long as the price returns to near this morning's high, he will earn at least more than 5 million yuan.

In the afternoon trading process, the bulls dared to pull the price up from the falling limit by more than 80 yuan, which shows that they, like themselves, are confident that the snow disaster will cause a large-scale reduction in sugarcane production.

No wonder the trend of sugar futures prices is so demonic, it turns out that the main force of the bulls is making waves inside, and compared with them, their trading methods seem too honest. It seems that I should change my previous medium and long-term operation methods, and I still have to combine the long and short, otherwise I will have a big daily fluctuation like this, and I will be very uncomfortable.

After the futures market closed, Ma Tianming immediately called Lin Li: "Have you watched the futures market today?"

"Mr. Ma, I watched. ”

"How? I'm not mistaken, the price can't go up. ”

"yes, it fell too hard today. ”

"It's still as I say, the price is slightly lower than the market price, and we will step up the shipment as soon as possible. I don't think it will be long before the selling price in the market will follow. ”

"Okay, I'll ship it as soon as possible. ”

Li Xin thought that the price of sugar was pulled up from the falling limit as a signal that the pullback had bottomed out, but as soon as the market opened on Thursday, the trend of sugar prices once again disappointed his ideas.

The opening price of this day was 4501, which was significantly lower than the previous day's closing price by more than 80 yuan.

This situation made Li Xin's heart cold: How could this be? This price is lower than the price of yesterday's falling limit, which means that the result of the efforts of many parties yesterday afternoon was completely burned.

It stands to reason that with such a momentum, Li Xin should be able to see that the rally is over.

However, it is because the price of sugar did not continue to fall sharply after the opening, but fluctuated slightly back and forth around the integer mark of 4,500 yuan.

And the lowest price and closing price of this day have just fallen below 4,500 yuan, and there is still a big gap from last week's lowest point of 4,440 yuan.

So he still thinks that this is just the end of the pullback, and as long as it does not break below last week's lows, the rally will still exist.

It's not that he didn't imagine that sugar prices would continue to fall, but after carefully studying the candlestick chart over the past two weeks, he didn't think it would continue to fall.

Because if you want to say that it is now the M top, yesterday's high of 4844 yuan is far more than the high point near 3700 yuan a week ago, and the pattern is completely unconfirmed.

From the perspective of the magnitude of the callback, the low point of this wave is around 4500 yuan, and it is still a big cut from the low point of 4440 yuan in the previous wave.

Judging from the current results, the highs and lows are higher than the previous wave, and the probability of stopping the decline and continuing to rise in the next step is very high.

Because yesterday's high of 4844 was set a few days after the previous sharp pullback. Judging from the analysis of the situation in all aspects, this pullback is very similar to the last one, and there is a high probability of repeating the previous rise.

At this time, what you have to do is to hold a firm position, not to wander left and right, otherwise if you close your position in this place and leave, the price will rise up in a few days, and you will regret it.

The price fell to this position, and Li Xin has now lost nearly 400,000 yuan.

This number is nothing more than a drop in the bucket for him.

When he was still working as a warehouse keeper in a remote town, the maximum floating loss of holding long orders on sugar futures was much more than the 400,000.

But this time it was different, the first time he made a lot of money in sugar futures was because of the opportunity brought by natural disasters.

So this time in the snow disaster, he was also sure that the price of cane sugar would skyrocket.

The price has fallen to this position, and the only thing on his mind is where the pullback will end and then start to continue rising.

And the worst thing is that when this wave of long orders entered the market, he didn't set a stop loss position in his heart at all.

On Friday, the price action of sugar futures once again frustrated Li Xin's plans.

After opening a gap of more than 40 points, it went all the way down, out of a wave of lower than a wave of downward market.

By the time the market closed, the price had fallen to 4,415 yuan, which had fallen below the lowest point of last week.

He has always believed that the price will stop falling and rise up at 4440, and he is a little confused: What is going on? This is not like it will stop falling and rise up. Could it be that there is something new?

It was only then that he suddenly remembered that he had not received any new information about sugar cane production and sugar production for more than two weeks.

Thinking of this, he didn't even have time to turn off the computer, so he hurriedly went downstairs to Ma Tianming's office.

As soon as Li Xin arrived at the door of Ma Tianming's office, he met him and came out. Li Xin asked, "Mr. Ma, do you want to go out?"

"No, I'll go to the finance department, do you have something to do?"

"I'm going to talk to you. ”

"Then you sit and wait for me, and I'll be here in a few minutes." ”

"Okay. ”

Li Xin, who was restless, had to sit down on the sofa in Ma Tianming's office and wait for him.

It didn't take long for Ma Tianming to come back with a stack of reports: "I'm sorry, I've been waiting for a long time, have a cup of tea?" ”

Although Li Xin has no position or power now, Ma Tianming knows his ability, and he still does not dare to slack off in words.

Li Xin said: "No, no, you're welcome, I just drank upstairs before coming down." ”

"Then why are you coming here today...?" Ma Tianming remembered that Li Xin had just told him at the door that he wanted to talk a few words, and he also wanted to know what Li Xin was doing when he came to find him at this time?

Li Xin was originally a cheerful person, and he never talked around the mountains and rivers, and this matter was very urgent, so he asked straight to the point: "Is there any new news from the sugar association recently?"

"Nothing new, what's wrong?"

"Why did the price of sugar drop so sharply? In just three days, it fell by nearly 500 yuan!"