Chapter 42 Closing Positions with Profits

It didn't take long for Li Xin's thoughts to slowly turn to futures prices. He thought about what Lin Li said just now, the new crushing season is about to start, if the company still has the funds to do business, what will they do?

The price of sugar in the market is now around 3,600, and the price of the T709 contract delivered by the Jiangnan Futures Exchange in September next year is even lower, only 3,220 yuan. Such a low price has not been seen in recent years, is it a little low?

According to the province's sugarcane sugar rate over the years, a ton of sucrose needs 8 or 9 tons of sugarcane, although the sugar mill has not yet passed the information of the new crushing season, but there is no abnormal change in the climate of the province this year, and the sugarcane sugar rate should not be much different.

If we refer to the purchase price of raw materials in the last crushing season, the price of sucrose 3220 is on the low side. Is this an opportunity? He wasn't sure.

The biggest variable now is the output of sugarcane, but from what we know so far, the situation in the major sugarcane producing areas in China is not bad, unlike the last crushing season, the output of raw materials has been greatly reduced, and the overall level is comparable to the normal level of previous years.

Thinking of this, he said to Xia Xiaona: "Look at the price list faxed here, the futures sugar price in September next year is only 3,200 yuan now, isn't it an exaggeration?"

Xia Xiaona didn't have the heart to think about these now, she dealt with it a little absent-mindedly: "The price is so low, it always makes sense." ”

Li Xin didn't pay attention to Xia Xiaona's demeanor, and continued: "Such a low price indicates that next year's supply will still exceed demand, but I think next year's supply and demand relationship will not be as outrageous as this year, right? ”

Xia Xiaona shirked: "This will not be known until the sugarcane production statistics of various provinces are compiled for a while. ”

Li Xin said unwillingly: "Then do you estimate that the sugarcane output in the new crushing season will be completely opposite to the past crushing season, and the supply will be oversupplied?"

Xia Xiaona thought for a while and said, "Probably not? The domestic supply of cane sugar has been in a tight balance for most years, and it is rare to see a large oversupply." ”

Speaking of this, Li Xin felt more and more that the thought that just popped up in his heart might really be a drama: "It is precisely because of this that the price of sugar to be delivered next year is even more unreasonable now!"

Seeing that Li Xin was so sure, Xia Xiaona was a little disapproving, and said: "This year's sugar prices have fallen like this, and most of the sugar businesses are losing money, perhaps for this reason, everyone dare not expect too much from next year's price." ”

Li Xin thought for a while and said, "It seems to make sense." ”

The two were talking, and when they saw Gao Hui passing by the door, Li Xin greeted him and said, "Manager Gao, come in." ”

Gao Hui walked in and asked, "What's the matter?"

Li Xin saw his gloomy face, so he smiled and said, "Ask a question, why is this expression?"

Gao Hui said angrily: "Hey, it's okay, it's okay with you." Say, what's the matter?"

Li Xin estimated that his mood was not high because of the meeting of the sugar branch just now, and when he saw that he diverted the topic, he didn't ask any more questions, and said: "We were discussing just now, and now the sugar price of 3600 is low enough, do you think the sugar price at this time next year will be lower than now?"

Gao Hui said: "It's hard to say. ”

Li Xin further asked: "If you can buy 3,200 yuan of sugar now, do you dare to buy it?"

Gao Hui said: "You're talking about futures prices, right?"

Li Xin smiled and said: "Yes, the sucrose contract for delivery in September next year on the futures exchange is now about 3,200 yuan, do you think this price is a little low?"

Gao Huihu asked suspiciously, "Why do you care about this? Are you doing futures?"

Li Xin has never talked about futures to outsiders, these things are very sensitive in the company, seeing him ask, he flatly denied it: "No, I just think the price of faxing is a little low, just ask." ”

Gao Hui prevaricated and said: "Don't worry about this, no matter how low the price is, there is no play, and there is no money in the company to do business!"

Li Xin saw him change the topic, so he said: "Manager Gao, don't fight with me, whether there is money in the company to do business is another matter." I'm asking you if the price of sugar at about 3,200 yuan in September next year is a bit low? You didn't answer my question!"

Gao Hui muttered, "You're so annoying! ”

Li Xin said with a smiling face: "Let's talk about it." ”

Gao Hui saw that he couldn't hide, thought about it, and said: "The price of sugar in September next year is only 3,200 yuan now, which must be a little lower, and there has not been such a low price in the past few years." But then again, that's the price a year from now, so I'm not sure. It's like last year, who would have thought that the price of sugar in September this year would be as low as 3,600 yuan?

Li Xin didn't squeak when he heard it.

Xia Xiaona interjected at this time: "Why don't you call the sugar factory and see what they say." ”

Li Xin was right to think about it, he looked at his watch, it was already time to get off work in the afternoon, even if he called at this time, there was probably no one at the sugar factory, so he said: "You have a good idea, I will call tomorrow morning to ask the sugar factory." ”

Gao Hui waved his hand and said, "The opinions of the sugar factory are not necessarily reliable. In the past crushing season, at the beginning they set the ex-factory price so high, but then the sugar could not be sold, and the price was not reduced sharply? ”

What Gao Hui said seemed to make sense, Li Xin couldn't make up his mind for a while, and the thought that just popped up in his heart was a little wavering.

Ask the sugar mill tomorrow, he thought.

In the evening, on the way to ask Li Ying out for dinner, Li Xin said to her: "Our company is estimated to be insolvent." ”

Li Ying asked in surprise, "What's the matter, why haven't I heard you say it before?"

Li Xin said: "I also just found out. ”

Li Ying asked, "Why is this happening all of a sudden?"

Li Xin said: "It's a long story, simply put, at the end of last year, our company took out a loan to buy a large amount of cane sugar, and then the price of cane sugar fell sharply, and now after all the sales are out, this business has suffered a huge loss, so it has led to the company's current predicament." ”

"It's been so long since last year, why haven't I heard you tell me before?" Li Ying complained.

"I only found out the details today. A lot of business things, business personnel don't say, where will our ordinary employees know. Now the three branches are out of funds, normal business has stopped, and many things have surfaced. Li Xin explained.

"It'll still get better in the future, right?" asked Li Ying worriedly.

"With the current situation of the sugar company, I don't think I can get a loan at the bank, so how can I do business without money?

"In that case, what will you do in the future?" Li Ying asked with a frown.

"If you can contact other units, you can find a way to transfer them. Li Xin said.

"How difficult it is to transfer now, it doesn't matter at all, it can't be done at all, let alone a good unit!" Li Ying said.

"yes, I don't have anything to do with it, so I have to run around and ask. If you really can't do it, you will quit and find another way, and you won't be hungry if you do it yourself anyway!" Li Xin said disapprovingly.

"You said it lightly, what will you eat after you quit your job?" Li Ying said with a sinking face.

In fact, with Li Xin's current economic situation, he doesn't care much about how the company will develop in the future.

Regarding the company's situation, he just said it casually today, but he didn't expect Li Ying to have such a big reaction when he said this.

Li Xin listened to Li Ying's tone of voice and looked at her demeanor, feeling a little surprised.

Her look and attitude were like none he had ever seen.

In an instant, the gentle and empathetic Li Ying disappeared, and the person standing in front of him seemed to be a stranger.

Li Xin, who was easily affected by other people's emotions, was also a little uncomfortable, in order to ease the atmosphere, he changed the topic and said: "There must be a road before the car reaches the mountain, don't talk about this today, it's not early, let's go to dinner first." ”

Li Ying, who was suspicious, was sullen all night, she didn't say anything, but in her heart she complained that Li Xin hid such important news from her.

The workplace is about to go out of business, and he is still so indifferent, it is not the same thing. This is a major event in life, I really don't know what he thinks!

Li Ying's expression changed drastically, which made Li Xin feel very unhappy. He regretted telling her such a thing at work, and it made the night unpleasant.

It was originally a very simple thing, and I didn't even tell her in my heart, why did it get so complicated to her?

If Li Ying asked him well, he might be patient to explain something, but with her attitude, Li Xin's temper also came up, he is a smooth donkey, he eats soft and not hard, so he will not be wronged to say good things to coax her.

The point is that he feels like he's not right at all.

After eating at the restaurant, Li Xin sent Li Ying back early.

The beautiful night he had been expecting was ruined like this, and he was very frustrated, and when he returned to the dormitory, he was alone watching a boring TV show to kill time.

At about nine o'clock in the morning the next day, Li Xin picked up the phone and dialed the director of the Zhulin Sugar Factory: "Zhulin Sugar Factory? ”

On the phone, he said, "I am, who are you?"

Li Xin said: "Hello, Director Wang, I am Li Xin from the office of the sugar company. ”

Wang Dong said: "Hello, Xiao Li, is there something wrong?"

Li Xin said: "There is no urgency, isn't this the crushing season about to begin? The estimated crushing time of your factory, the output of sugarcane in the sugarcane area, the sugar content, the sucrose output, the harvesting time and other information should be summarized and faxed as soon as possible. ”

Wang Dong said: "Okay, I'll let them do it as soon as possible and pass it on to you." ”

Li Xin said: "Director Wang, what do you expect to be the situation in your factory in the new crushing season?