Chapter 54: Witnessing the Bear Market

Zuo Yuliang's favorite sentence is: A wise man will make a mistake if he thinks a thousand times, and a fool will gain something if he thinks a thousand times. This sentence is used to deal with the ups and downs of the stock market, it is like the three life-saving hairs that the Buddha gave to Sun Wukong. As a member of the stock market, you can't speculate in stocks as a wise man, but you must use the stability of a fool to make a profit.

In the ever-changing stock market, sometimes too many ideas can become a source of losing money. For the behind-the-scenes funds that operate the stock price in the stock market, what he is most afraid of is that no one pays attention to the moment change in the stock price. Otherwise, how could there be a large number of panic orders at the bottom, and where would the main force be able to collect a large number of cheap chips?

It is based on the above thinking that Zuo Yuliang has come up with another point of view from stock speculation: to be a fool in the stock market, you must think twice before making a decision to buy or sell stocks. Instead of as some stock speculators say, we must be quick and race against time. Sooner or later, you will not be able to run away and become a candidate for hypertension and heart disease. Sometimes, stock trading can't be rigid or limited to a dime and a dime. Even if the main force opens a position, he is also in an approximate range, and he will not dig up his mind for a penny and a half. As long as it is a value range that they think is reasonable, they will buy it in batches in a planned way. It's just that because they have a lot of money and a lot of money, he can control the stock price in the end.

So, what does the fool have to think about? Very simply, it is necessary to think clearly about the stocks in which the main force has begun to build positions, and to find ways to find the stocks in which the main force has opened positions, and then intervene and dance with the big main forces. To put it mildly, it is to become the maggot of the tarsal bone that is the main force involved in the stock. Less than five times ten times the increase, don't get out easily. Stock trading is actually as simple as that.

This is one of Zuo Yuliang's stock trading philosophy, to keep up with the main capital operation.

So, the next question has to be asked, the main force wants to open a position, where is it to enter the market? high or low? For this question, there is no need to answer! It must be at a low position!

Zuo Yuliang only wants to answer one result, that is, the low level of the stock market since its historical development stage is the most ideal position for buying stocks. Stocks in which the main force builds positions in these positions often appear ten times or even dozens of times the big bull stocks. Other lows can only be counted as the lows of the swing lows, and at most they are only double the profits.

For this point of view, Zuo Yuliang took a lot of effort to make a comparison chart of the time when the corresponding low level of China's A-share index appeared since 2005.

1996 low, 518, 2005 low, 998, 2008 low, 1664, ????。

Judging from the low point trend of the stock index above, on the whole, it reflects that the stock market is indeed a barometer of China's economic development. Because the low point from 1996 to 2008 is walking an upward pattern, it also shows that China's economy has been on the rise in the past ten years, which is the strength of China's economic development.

In other words, after the stock index saw a low of 1664 points in 2008, the next pullback low is likely to be in the range of 2000 to 2100 points. This is the range that Zuo Yuliang, a stock market fool, may have to pull back to for the stock market since 2011. But as for when the adjustment will end, Zuo Yuliang really doesn't have the ability to predict this. After all, the other side of the stock market is a comprehensive result of the participation of tens of millions of people, and it is also a result of the joint influence of various internal and external factors.

As for the question of when the stock market adjustment will end, Zuo Yuliang gave a contingency method: look while walking, and think while watching. When the policy direction has changed, when has large funds begun to enter the market obviously, and when is it estimated that the market will adjust to the end.

Finally, Zuo Yuliang concluded that the stock index may move in 2011, that is, it is in a correction cycle, and the target is between 2000 and 2100 points or nearby.

Oh, there is another point to emphasize, if the market is a sharp decline in the future, it may be a deeper correction, and if the market is a slow correction in the future, the magnitude of the correction may be smaller. In a word, either time for space, or space for time, if you can't change it, then the sideways bull market waits.

Anyway, the magnitude of this market pullback will not be small, nearly 1,000 points. If it falls sharply, it is a stock market crash, and if it falls slowly, it is a boiled frog in warm water. The latter category is the most hurtful move in the stock market.

This is another conclusion that Zuo Yuliang, as a fool in the stock market, came to after thinking about the market. In order to prepare everyone, Zuo Yuliang posted his research results to the group.

"Brother Zuo, it's amazing, it's a thousand-character essay sprinkled again! The analysis is very good, praise one. Liu Pengfei posted a few pictures of roses, and the first one sent a message.

"I also sent a rose to Brother Zuo, which means giving people roses and leaving a lingering fragrance in your hands!" Cao Yinqiu also sent a message.

"Learned, Brother Zuo, you're only eight buckets high!" Li Ruyun sent a message.

"Then according to Brother Zuo's judgment, in the next drop of about 1,000 points, my Shanghai car should not be trapped!" Hu Weiyong said in a message.

"Judgment is judgment, buying stocks is buying stocks, maybe SAIC is the little strong that can't be killed? It's not that there are stocks that have risen against the trend!" Du Wenfeng sent a message to comfort.

"To be honest, there are usually no eggs under the nest, and as for whether there are any exceptions, no one can say! I have said before that stocks are like a football, who knows where it will fly if you kick it. But I judge that there is a high probability that Shanghai Automobile will fall. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.

"Then I might as well get out of the game early and admit defeat and treat you?" Don't lose money and treat yourself again!" Hu Weiyong said in another message.

"Brother Zuo, this is just a family's words, it scares you. In this way, I will also buy a thousand shares and be a companion with you, so you can rest assured, right?" Li Ruyun said in a message.

"It's still like a cloud, and with you by my side, I'm much more at ease. Hehehe. Hu Weiyong said with a smile picture.

"Are you pulling people into the water? Ruyun should be cautious!" Zuo Yuliang reminded him by sending a message.

"Anyway, a thousand shares, it should be regarded as practice, otherwise it is really itchy to watch the market every day!"

Li Ruyun sent a message to explain.

"I'm waiting for a short position, let's take a look and then talk about it, the stock index has indeed been killing recently. The policy is also cool!" Liu Pengfei said in a message.

"It is estimated that the stock index will fall in a short time, and now the 13-day moving average has crossed the 34-day moving average, which is not a good sign!" Cao Yinqiu also sent a message.

Just when everyone was discussing the rise and fall of the stock index, Liu Pengfei sent a message that the country had raised the reserve ratio again, and after that, the stock index began to fall rapidly, and the market broke through the support of the 610 long bull moving average under the long yin line in one breath, and the stock index in the next few days, it was gone without looking back, like a broken embankment, and the market was in a panic.

"Brother Zuo, it's terrible, I bought a thousand shares of Shanghai Motor, and I lost 2,000 as soon as I entered the market. It seems that I really have to listen to people's persuasion!" Li Ruyun said in a message.

"Brother Zuo, do you want to cut the meat? Give me a suggestion?" Hu Weiyong also sent a message asking for help.

"Hehehe, if you don't hit the south wall, you won't look back, it's hard to turn back if you hit the south wall!" Liu Pengfei sent a message and said teasingly.

"Anyway, I earned it last time, and it doesn't hurt to lose points this time, hahaha. Chen Menglong sent a message and said.

"Now is the first time to fall below the 610 line, there must be a pullback confirmation link, if the next market rebound can not stand on the 610 line, I judge that the real killing will begin, then you two still have a chance to break the high, but it is more difficult to grasp, don't see the stock price rise by then, and reluctant to cut the meat out. Zuo Yuliang sent a message to analyze.

"One of the bad signs of the market breaking the 610 long bull line is that the black line is too long! According to the proportion, it is necessary to explore the position of the golden section! According to 3000 points, it will be around 1854 points! This is even worse. Cao Yinqiu also sent a message and said.

"Isn't that stock going to be cut in half?" Hu Weiyong said in a message.

"When that happens, the great opportunity will come again. Ten baggers will appear. Then it will be a rare opportunity to enter the market. Hehehe. Zuo Yuliang also sent a message and said.

"Let's not talk about anything else, right? Hu Weiyong is going to consider having a treat?" Du Wenfeng said in a message.

Liu Pengfei contacted the Hawkers, let's get together again. Hu Weiyong sent a message and said.

"Wei Yong, forget it! Victory or defeat is a common thing in stock speculation! We can't fall into the trap. Hehehe. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.

"Brother Zuo, if you don't go, you will look down on me. Don't you need to ask Lian Po for the same crime as Lin Xiangru?" Hu Weiyong continued to message.

"Interesting, then you can carry a few wickers to the high roller then. Hehehe. Du Wenfeng sent a message and said.

"Hahaha, this can be there. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.

"I've already made contact, the high rollers are coming, it's better to choose the day than to hit the day, just tonight, let's go to see the 'will be harmonious'. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.

Just after Zuo Yuliang and everyone reunited with the high rollers, the market weakly withdrew to the 610 position, and then launched a wave of killing and rebounding, rebounding and then killing the long bear road.

And Zuo Yuliang and several of his friends also witnessed the bear market journey of the stock market in desperation.

The first wave of rebounds: June 26, 2011, bottoming out at 2,610 points, and July 18, 2011, rebounding from a high of 2,816 points, rebounding 206 points.

The second wave of the rebound: on August 9, 2011, it bottomed out at 2,437 points, and on August 16, 2011, it rebounded to a high of 2,636 points, rebounding less than 200 points.

The third wave of the rebound: on October 11, 2011, it bottomed out at 2,323 points, and on October 17, 2011, it rebounded by 130 points from a high of 2,452 points.

The fourth wave of the rebound: on October 21, 2011, it bottomed out at 2,313 points, and on November 14, 2011, it rebounded to a high of 2,529 points, rebounding 216 points.

The fifth wave of the rebound: December 28, 2011, bottomed out at 2132 points, ?????

At the end of another year, Zuo Yuliang accompanied the market all the way to around 2,100 points that he had judged. At this time, they began to sit still again, and they were all preparing for a New Year's big purchase.