Chapter 55 The Heavenly Opportunity of the Stock Market
Chapter 55 The Heavenly Opportunity of the Stock Market
In the Tang Dynasty in Chinese history, there were two great forecasters, one was Yuan Tiangang and the other was Li Chunfeng. Their greatness, in addition to making their own contributions to the astronomical calendar, is that they wrote a book of predictions, which, according to the later masters, predicted the major events of China's historical development in the 2,000 years since the Tang Dynasty. Even Zuo Yuliang often has such a book on his desk, and when he has nothing to do, he can look through it so that he can understand the rugged development process of Chinese history.
The ancients could have such great knowledge, and Zuo Yuliang often admired it. Think about my own study for more than ten years, primary school to middle school, middle school to university, college after graduating from college, and self-taught after graduating from college, I did not learn the magic power and great prediction ability of the ancients, but I learned many things during my own study, and with the passage of time, most of them were returned to teachers.
Therefore, geniuses in this world are geniuses, there are geniuses in ancient times, and there should be in modern times, but unfortunately, this kind of genius is not himself! Zuo Yuliang sometimes sighs from the bottom of his heart.
But the thinking of an almost fool about the stock market makes Zuo Yuliang want to predict his judgment from time to time.
The first part of his prediction is to judge the low point and time when the index is likely to reach in the future from the low point of the stock index.
1996 low, 518, 2005 low, 998, 2008 low, 1664, ????。
Referring to the rise and fall cycle of China's stock index for two years and four years, Zuo Yuliang made a conclusion on the stock index inference of the low point and time of the broader market. That is, what the question marks he listed above might represent.
The 2014 low should be around 2000 to 2100 points, the 2020 low should be around 2400 to 2500 points, the 2026 low point should be around 2900 to 3000 points, and the 2032 low point should be around 3300 to 3400 points.
After Zuo Yuliang wrote down his prediction for the Chinese stock index, he had a general direction in his heart, that is to say, in the next stock index changes, the stock market will really give you a big opportunity, and it is definitely not easy to meet one. But once you meet it, you don't grasp such an opportunity to get rich, which is also the sadness of stock speculators.
After Zuo Yuliang made a rough prediction of the future stock index, he made a careful study and comparison of the five waves of the stock market in 2011 that he counted last time.
The first wave of the rebound: June 26, 2011, bottomed out at 2,610 points, and on July 18, 2011, the rebound high was 2,816 points, rebounding 206 points.
The second wave of the rebound: on August 9, 2011, it bottomed out at 2,437 points, and on August 16, 2011, it rebounded to a high of 2,636 points, rebounding less than 200 points.
The third wave of the rebound: on October 11, 2011, it bottomed out at 2,323 points, and on October 17, 2011, it rebounded by 130 points from a high of 2,452 points.
The fourth wave of the rebound: on October 21, 2011, the bottom was 2313 points, and on November 14, 2011, the rebound high was 2529 points, rebounding 216 points.
The fifth wave of the rebound: December 28, 2011, bottomed out at 2132 points, ?????
According to the law presented by the five waves of killing, Zuo Yuliang also conducted some research.
From the first wave of lows to the fifth wave of lows: the index fell by 173 points, 114 points, 10 points, and 200 points, respectively. In terms of points, the rhythm of the market is fast first and then slow. And then there are signs of acceleration in the fifth wave, which is something to be aware of. However, the maximum decline is within 200 points. That is to say, if there is a sixth wave of killing, the low point should be around 1900 points, which is far beyond the bottom area of 2100 points predicted by Zuo Yuliang. This is a conclusion reached by Zuo Yuliang in studying the five-wave killing and falling of the market.
From the height of the rebound, it is basically the suppression position of the downward trend line, but the amplitude of each rebound is roughly about 200 points, which means that if you want to buy the bottom and grab the rebound, you can refer to the stock index rebound range in the range of 200 points. This requires strict discipline in buying stocks, otherwise it will be a knife licking blood, and nine times out of ten you will have to eat a set. Moreover, the recent wave of killings and declines obviously does not mean that the market has the intention of stopping the decline and stabilizing.
In the face of such analysis results, Zuo Yuliang feels that the best strategy is to wait for a short position and grab a rebound, and the risk is still too great.
So, Zuo Yuliang posted his views to the group, which was counted as the finale of 2011.
"The pessimistic estimate of the broad market index will be low to around 1900 points, and if it rebounds, the approximate space is 200 points, and you can operate cautiously according to this result. Say the important thing three times. Zuo Yuliang copied it three times in a row and posted his analysis of the stock market to the group.
"I'm sad, Brother Zuo, Shanghai Motors can't get up and down. It's more than five dollars per share. Hu Weiyong sent a tearful picture message and said.
"Didn't you remind you to go out when the stock index rebounded to the 610 line?" Zuo Yuliang said in a message.
"Reluctant to cut the meat, unfortunately it was all said by Brother Zuo, once it is trapped, cutting the meat is not an ordinary pain!" Hu Weiyong continued to send a message.
"I didn't get out of the stock index when it rebounded, and now I'm in a deep set! I can be regarded as paying another tuition! Sadly, every time I fall by one yuan, I make up for my position!" Li Ruyun said in a message.
"Then let's hold the shares! Anyway, a thousand shares, holding shares until now, it is no longer cost-effective to cut meat. Now that the stock index has fallen by nearly 1,000 points, it has also reached the low point we judged at the beginning, and now it is time to see if it is dark before dawn to fall again. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"There is still no intention of blowing warm wind in policy, and the overall stock market environment has not changed much. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.
"The index won't fall to 1664 points again, right?" Cao Yinqiu said.
"It shouldn't be, it's a historical regression, and the competent authorities can't get over it. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"It's been a loss to buy stocks for more than a year, buy one set of one, cut one, and the previous nightmare is like a curse again. I'm sad!" Chen Menglong said.
"The stock market has fallen by a thousand points, and I have been beaten back to my original shape!" Li Ruyun said in a message.
"What kind of rhythm are you guys, can't it be that you have been chasing up and down again in the past few months?" Zuo Yuliang asked in a message.
Over the past year or so, I have successively increased my position in SAIC, buying 16 yuan to make up the position, 17 yuan to make up the position, and I have bought 20,000 shares before and after, and now I have a book loss of tens of thousands. Li Ruyun sent a message and said.
"Hahaha, this time Li Ruyun is a pioneer in an emergency, it makes sense, when the market stabilizes and stops falling, I will go in to save you. Du Wenfeng sent a message and said.
"There's no other way, it's still my countermeasure, just lose time and don't lose money. Hold the shares and wait!" Zuo Yuliang replied by message.
"Do you want to continue to cover the position!" Li Ruyun said in a message.
"Don't worry, let's wait and see!" Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"Ruyun still has money to make up for the position?" asked Hu Weiyong with a message.
"You can also make up 10,000 shares, that's it, it's a bit timid. Li Ruyun sent a message and said.
"In terms of the general trend, the future of China's stock market is bright, and theoretically, as long as you are patient and hold shares, you can see a lot of historical highs in the future. For example:
The 1996 low, 518, the 2005 low, 998, the 2008 low, 1,664;
There are also things we may experience in the future: the 2014 lows should be around 2000 to 2100 points;
The 2020 lows should be around 2400 to 2500;
The 2026 lows should be around 2,900 to 3,000 points;
The 2032 lows should be around 3300 to 3400 points.
This is the likely evolution of the index pullback lows that we will experience in the future, and look at these and you'll be in a good mood. Zuo Yuliang made his research conclusions on the large-market index in a joking tone.
"The future is bright, but the road is tortuous. Which great man seems to have said this?" Hu Weiyong said in a message.
"It's an investment in my daughter's future dowry, and it's a big deal to wait for a few years. Li Ruyun sent a message a little frustrated.
"As long as you live a long life, there will be a day when you will be relieved. Du Wenfeng sent a message and said.
"It's too pessimistic, I don't have to wait too long, four years at most. Generally speaking, our stock market bull and bear go through a cycle of about six years, two years of bull market, four years of bear market. The last low point was in 2008, this time it is estimated to be around 2014, and now 2011 is coming to an end, and it is estimated that there will be two years at most, and the good days will come again. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"Two years, how can you survive this time?" Li Ruyun said in a message.
"It's also fast, get a little money to participate in the band rebound, if you can earn it, you can earn it, and if you can't earn power, it's not good to use it as a practice?" Zuo Yuliang said in a message.
"I'm a heavy position, if I lose, I'll lose all my previous earnings!" Li Ruyun said with some frustration.
"You still have to look at the scenery, let's hold the shares! Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.
"I had to wait. Woooooooo Li Ruyun sent a message and said.
"At present, the market has fallen by more than 200 points, according to my prediction, it is estimated that there will be a wave of rebound, and the amplitude is about 200 points, comrades can be ready to buy the bottom. Let's grab a short term together. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"Then which stock will we copy this time?" Hu Weiyong asked in a message.
"It's better to be raw than cooked, we will buy SAIC, which is basically synchronized with the trend of the market, and we are more comfortable in operation. What do you think?" Zuo Yuliang said in a message.
"I'm just waiting for the big army to enter the field as soon as possible to liberate my brother, what about me?" Li Ruyun said in a message.
"It's almost the end of the year, let's see! See if there are any favorable policies for the New Year. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.
Although few people responded to Zuo Yuliang's call to buy the bottom, in Zuo Yuliang's conscience, he was ready to buy the bottom of Shanghai Motor, and he was waiting for the arrival of the bottom opportunity at that stage.