Chapter 47: Looking for Cattle Stocks
Chapter 47: Looking for Cattle Stocks
When Zuo Yuliang posted his experience of copying the bottom to the group, several members of the QQ group began to rejuvenate and vitality again. Messages were sent one after another, asking Zuo Yuliang to introduce whether there were any bull stocks that he liked recently to copy the bottom.
"I look forward to Brother Zuo's report on buying stocks again! Since SAIC was out of the market, it has suffered several defeats in a row, what to buy, what to set, what to cut, what to rise. It's back to the old stock trading spell. After a month, I lost a lot of money again. Li Ruyun sent a message to complain.
"The original desperate Saburo seems to be an old sword! I used to have the courage to chase the rise and kill the fall, but now I can't control the stock market?" Du Wenfeng said in a message.
"It's not that you can't make money, it's that you make it this time, and you lose it next time, sometimes the money you make from a few stocks is not enough to lose a stock, the more diligent you buy, the more chances you have to be deflated, and the more times you lose money, sometimes it's a little scary to buy stocks. Li Ruyun continued to send a message and said.
"I've heard that there is a crop circle, but I haven't heard of the stock speculation circle! It's all caused by Ruyun's lack of firm will to hold shares!" Cao Yinqiu also sent a message and said.
"I can bear the loss of 10 points, but I will hesitate a little if I lose 20 points, if I lose 30 points, I will cut the meat horizontally! If I build a position of 200,000 yuan, then I will lose 60,000 or 70,000 yuan?
"So, it's best not to operate frequently, and when buying stocks, you must be cautious, don't be hot-headed, and chase the price indiscriminately. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"However, I haven't done well recently, after SAIC was out, I also bought a few stocks, and I operated in the short term, but they were not ideal. It's really not my forte to be short-term!" Zuo Yuliang continued to message.
"Brother Zuo, are there any new discoveries recently, would you like to introduce them to you?" Hu Weiyong said in a message.
"I recently carefully studied the trend of SAIC and came to the conclusion that according to the current market, his next low should appear in a year, and the stock price will be around 7 yuan by then. It's a bit unrealistic if we wait for it to fall now and then buy the bottom a year later, but I haven't found a stock to buy the bottom for a while. Therefore, SAIC cannot participate now, and it is not too late for us to enter the market when it is over. Zuo Yuliang posted his research results to the group and said.
"However, I think Wuliangye is good, according to my habit of buying stocks, I can buy whatever I want, Wuliangye is a good target. Zuo Yuliang sent another message and said.
"Wuliangye is a national famous trademark! Theoretically, it is also an enterprise that has not failed for thousands of years, and its performance is relatively good, and the key is that there are still large funds that have been entering the market. Cao Yinqiu sent a message and said.
"Then wouldn't my Wuliangye be thrown a little early?" Chen Menglong said.
"I think we can consider buying Wuliangye in the future, this kind of stock is the same as SAIC, it is a pillar of the country!" Liu Pengfei also sent a message.
"If you can buy it, then you have to wait for a better opportunity to buy the bottom, the price is a little higher now, wait for me to study it and give you a reference price!" Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"Then it's hard Brother Zuo, I'll wait for your news. Hu Weiyong sent a message and said.
After chatting with a few friends in the group for a while, Zuo Yuliang couldn't wait to open the daily chart of Wuliangye, and he began to confirm his judgment with the law of bottom-buying he discovered.
Under the guidance of the upward trend line drawn by Zuo Yuliang, he judged that the daily fluctuations of Wuliangye in the upward stage were in line with the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of the small-band symmetry theory.
From November 2008 to August 2009, the stock price went from 11.69 yuan to 25.5 yuan, which lasted about a year.
From August to November 2009, the stock price went sideways, and the stock price went from 25.5 yuan to 20.5 yuan for 2 months.
From November 2009 to the end of December 2009, the stock price was 20.5 yuan to 32.6 yuan. It lasted 2 months
How will it be adjusted after the end of December 2009? It is estimated that it should be about 2 to 4 months.
After Zuo Yuliang listed this table, he began his analysis.
According to the prompt of the upward trend line, several important swing lows of Wuliangye are: 11.6 yuan, 20.5 yuan, and 23 yuan (the average price during the sideways period). That is to say, in the process of rising in the general trend in the future, the low point of Wuliangye's pullback is estimated to be in the range of 20.5 to 23 yuan, that is, if the stock price enters this range, you can theoretically open a position to buy.
For stocks in a large cycle, the uptrend should conform to the law of symmetry of small cycle time.
It is the two months of the main rise, plus the two months of sideways, and then considering the year-end holiday factor, the time period adjusted from the high point this time is between 4 and 5 months.
So, Zuo Yuliang wrote down the results of his analysis:
The stock price is between 20.5 and 23 yuan, and the time is around April to May 2010.
Zuo Yuliang looked at the conclusion, it was the end of 2009, and it would take at least four to five months to see the bottom of Wuliangye worth buying, which made Zuo Yuliang feel that the waiting time was too long, but he still sent the news to the group.
"According to my calculations, the price of Wuliangye can probably be between 20 yuan and 23 yuan, and the time is about April to May next year. ”
"Do we have to wait for a few months?
"This is just my opinion, if you are willing to try, you might as well buy some Wuliangye first, how about being a pioneer in the pathfinder?
"It makes sense, Hu Wei will sacrifice you once, right?" Liu Pengfei also sent a message.
"If you really want to buy, then buy less, it's okay to play, the position is too heavy and easy to eat. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
At present, the overall market is in a correction, it has risen for a year, and it will theoretically fall for a year. Don't just make two dollars and just think about sending it back!" Zuo Yuliang continued to send a message.
"Hahaha, I actually bought a thousand shares for thirty yuan, but I didn't have the embarrassment to tell everyone. Hu Weiyong sent a message and said.
"Nine times out of ten, you're going to lose money this time, and after Wuliangye crossed the 610 line, you haven't confirmed the pullback?
"Our stock market, to have a market, all stocks have a market, or no market, all stocks are a bear, up and down together is a typical feature of our market! Therefore, we should not think that you are much better than others, expect to buy bull stocks in the bear market, the probability is very small. Again, if you want to buy Wuliangye, start in the range of 20 to 23, and then hold the stock to rise, and watch as you go. Zuo Yuliang posted his opinion to the group.
"Anyway, Hu Weiyong has already been a pioneer, everyone just needs to be optimistic about the stock price, hehehe. Cao Yinqiu sent a message and said.
"I am the biggest winner of this purchase of SAIC, and I also think that this stock really can't be bought indiscriminately! It takes a little discipline to do it. Otherwise, it will be very fast to lose money!" Li Ruyun said in a message.
"Even Ruyun, the captain of the death team, has surrendered to defeat, and he is timid when he makes money, this is really a problem shared by rich people!" Hu Weiyong said in a message.
"Don't keep thinking about buying stocks to make money, you don't have such good luck. If you don't have a chance, you can't move, you must wait for an empty position, otherwise when the opportunity comes, you will miss it again. Zuo Yuliang sent a message to continue to emphasize.
"I only use one-fifth of the money to speculate on the short-term, and even if I do, it's not a big problem. Hu Weiyong sent a message and said.
"Hu Wei should be encouraged to have the courage to explore the way for everyone, I think let's take a look first, and don't rush to buy. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.
"Don't talk nonsense, everyone has one point of view, as long as you see the stock price of Wuliangye in the range of 20 to 23, you can enter the market to work, and the important things are only said once!" After Zuo Yuliang told everyone, he went offline to eat.
"Understood, received. ”
"That's it. ”
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From time to time, everyone's reply messages came from the group, but unfortunately Zuo Yuliang was no longer next to the computer.