Chapter 121: This little thing scares you

The dust settled, and the fog lifted.

After all the tricks he can use are used, Gu Kun finally has time to calculate and estimate how much he can make in this year's Southeast Asian financial crisis and even next year's global Internet bubble.

As mentioned earlier, if the last "real estate stock linkage" tricks are not used to induce and force real estate tycoons such as the Li family and the Zheng family to protect the real estate stocks when Gu Kun sells real estate stocks, then the real estate stocks that are now worth 28 billion US dollars can only sell 17 billion yuan normally.

And to use those seven-seven-eighty-eight linkage induction protection disks, Liang Jinsong carefully calculated and felt that he could increase this report card to 200~21 billion.

That is, relying on the trading strength of Blackstone Fund Asia-Pacific, he sold three or four billion more for Gu Kun out of thin air.

Before shipping real estate stocks, Gu Kun had already paid off all institutional leverage, but the principal and oilfield mortgage were still in the city.

Therefore, after the cashing out of real estate stocks in the early $20 billion period is completed, Gu Kun can first get back his $5 billion principal and re-inject liquidity into his cash flow. Then pay off the $7.5 billion that the oil field received from CCB.

As for CNOOC wanting to occupy a stake in the Lanfang Oilfield after paying off the loan, that is another matter, and it is written in the strategic cooperation treaty that CNOOC will be given a chance, but the valuation of the oilfield can be finalized again, so there is no need to worry.

In this way, more than $12 billion has been removed, leaving seven or eight billion expected funds.

Then, Gu Kun also had to repay the sovereign funds and royal funds of the Lan side - Zhu Youdong took out the money of the government and the royal family to accompany him, and played with Gu Kun for more than a year, and when there were risks, he also took them together, and it made no sense to earn dividends in the end.

And the royal family's money, before rolling to the Hong Kong dollar crisis, is about a billion US dollars. According to the overall rate of return after the shipment of real estate stocks, it should have accumulated more than three times. Gu Kun should probably return more than 400 million to Zhu Youdong.

Eventually, Gu Kun will net $3 billion in cash, pick up about $8 billion worth of shipping companies, banks and real estate companies, and a network telecommunications stock that is currently worth $14 billion and can sell at least $20 billion in next year's dot-com bubble.

Assuming these telecom stocks come out of the bubble boom, Gu Kun's total net cash earnings would reach $24 billion.

Counting the high-quality assets that bought the bottom before, his total financial assets will swell from $5 billion at the beginning of '98 to $35 billion at the end of '99.

This is all the benefits that Gu Kun will reap in this financial vortex that has lasted for two years.

In a word, it is to increase your financial assets by seven times.

It seems that the results are very brilliant, but it must also be noted that this is not only the benefits of the Southeast Asian financial crisis, but also the benefits of the Internet bubble are also overdrawn -

When all the money in real estate stocks escapes, it will have to be in the middle of next year, so it is extremely unlikely that the operation will "withdraw the money and reinvest it in Internet stocks", and Internet stocks will already be at a very high level by then.

Originally, the inflection point where the Nasdaq reached its peak and began to decline all the way down occurred around March 2000, but the bubble was already very large in the second half of '99. Coupled with Gu Kun's desire to withdraw more than 20 billion yuan of cash from Internet stocks, such a large amount of funds may change the trend of financial history, and even cause the bubble to burst a few months early.

Therefore, Gu Kun absolutely did not dare to bet on the precise time point of "March 2000".

He would rather eat better, not eat dry and wipe clean, and he will definitely finish running by the end of 99.

You can't be too greedy.

After this battle, Gu Kun's forced number has not swelled, and he still clearly understands: when you only have a billions of dollars in funds, and stand on the same front as the national team with the protective plate tray, you can consider radically increasing leverage and making money several times and several times.

But this is limited to "his own strength was relatively weak before, and there has been no obvious butterfly effect to change the trend pattern of global financial history".

Once the volume is large enough to change an important node in global financial history, and even after one's own principal reaches the level of tens of billions of dollars, then the prophetic advantage of the reborn will be completely overdrawn.

In other words, even if Gu Kun knew that there would be a subprime mortgage crisis and a European debt crisis in the future, what would he do? At most, he would buy a few more years of high-interest junk bonds when he was stable, and then run away in advance, or play some other daily steady investments that are capital guaranteed and value-added.

Even if they are reborn, in the future, at most, they will "increase their financial assets by a few percent" in the subsequent major crises, and there is no longer the possibility of "increasing several times".

On the other hand, if you stand from the perspective of domestic spectators in China, you may feel that Gu Kun's performance this time is a bit against the sky, and the performance in the future financial market will be relatively weak.

But if you take into account Gu Kun's experience in his previous life, especially his attribute as a Lanfang person, all this is very reasonable, and it won't make people feel strange at all-

Because he was in Southeast Asia, Gu Kun had experienced this wave of crisis caused by Soros in his previous life and suffered from it deeply, so he studied it so thoroughly before he was reborn.

For people in China, the Southeast Asian financial crisis and the future subprime mortgage crisis are both background boards, and they are both "financial crises that occurred in foreign countries".

As for Gu Kun, the former is his own experience, and the latter is what exists in the media from a distance.

Therefore, he, a reborn person, does not have many profound prophets to use in the future for the subprime mortgage crisis and the European debt crisis, so it is better to recognize himself and stabilize it.

This is already the most successful time in Gu Kun's life to make waves in the financial market, and it is also the last time.

From now on, it will be time to wash your hands.

......

The words are divided into two ends.

It would be too much of a waste of time for Gu Kun to really wait for this wave of financial operations to end before caring about other things.

There is a specialization in the art industry, as long as the person who is the boss has set the overall policy, the follow-up specific things can be handed over to Liang Jinsong to worry about - in the next year, his mind will be on helping Gu Kun to operate.

As for Gu Kun himself, he was in Xiangjiang until September, and after confirming that the overall situation in all aspects had been decided, he had actually withdrawn and was ready to go back to Lanfang, recuperate and empty himself, and then devote himself to a new career.

In late September, a few days before leaving Xiangjiang, Liang Jinsong and some other close friends of Gu Kun in Xiangjiang got together for a while, which was regarded as seeing off Gu Kun in advance and wishing him a smooth journey.

Throughout August and the first half of September, Gu Kun almost didn't hear anything outside the window, and he was a little isolated from the news of the outside world, so everyone chatted about a lot of anecdotes at the wine table, which also made Gu Kun feel refreshed.

It was also at this moment that he cared about the fate of Kong Shangzhong and Soros and others.

"Gu Sheng, are you interested in playing when HSBC auctioned off some of Kong Shangzhong's mortgaged assets? I heard that he gambled a lot at the beginning, and in order to raise money, he worked with Soros, but he mortgaged a lot of high-quality assets. A few friends in the financial industry teased Gu Kun.

Kong Shangzhong actually ended his life of sin in August, and it has been more than a month since the days were calculated.

Gu Kun was the first time he cared about this person's death - mainly because Kong Shangzhong's card was relatively small, and when he was threatened by life, Gu Kun also devoted his energy to pay attention to it, but later the overall situation was decided, so he didn't care much.

People who can't afford to turn over the storm, why should Gu Kun pay attention? At that time, Gu Kun's mind was full of how to cash out and run away at a high level, and his attention was not enough at all.

At this moment, he was a little emotional: "It turns out that his fate can really be as dramatic as the kind of person on TV, it's a pity." By the way, what about Soros? Do any of you know what's going on with him? If that big horn died, I wouldn't have heard about it. There's been no news lately, so I guess I'm not dead. ”

Gu Kun's reaction really caught the people who reported the news to Kan Dashan a little off guard: Soros is also an international financial tycoon, how can he die so easily?

Listening to your tone, how to buy life is like buying vegetables in the vegetable market.

"Of course Soros is not dead, but he is definitely injured. All the money earned in Southeast Asia has been lost, and the original capital has been reduced by at least seventy or eighty percent. I guess there is still some liquid pocket money and those unsecured fixed assets.

However, it is true that the grapevine said that he was hospitalized. I don't know if it's heart disease or high blood pressure, anyway, people who are already sixty or seventy years old, after such a big blow, it is normal for their mentality and body to collapse. ”

After the tool man answered, he didn't forget to praise: "In the future, everyone in the financial community in Southeast Asia will know whose face it is, congratulations to Gu Sheng for sending countries out of the crisis as soon as possible." ”

The word "leadership" is not daring to use it no matter how arrogant it is, no matter what the occasion. In a small country like Lan Fang, how can he lead his neighbors? Therefore, when the sycophants are filmed to the limit, they only dare to mention "pointing".

Of course, Gu Kun is very measured and knows how to deal with it: "Everyone praised it, I just did some small work, and I was forced to do it out of self-defense, how can He De talk about it." These words will never be mentioned again in the future, and they will attract hatred.

As for Kong Shangzhong's legacy, I'm really not interested - I'm still the same sentence, I look at the real estate in Xiangjiang. Even if this compulsory auction can be discounted by 8% or even 7% off the market price, I am not interested. I think the downside in the future is at least halved. ”

"Are you really so optimistic about housing prices? At present, the housing prices have only fallen by one or two percent compared with 18 months ago, and there are already some speculators with too high leverage jumping off the building. Recently, it seems that there has been a lot of negative talk about suppressing housing prices, and there are more speculators who learn from Kong Shangzhong, so I am afraid that the authorities will not sit idly by. "Those tool people obviously have a lot of nostalgia for the real estate boom in their own country, and even though Gu Kun is already so prestigious, he is still unwilling to budge on these issues.

Of course, Gu Kun just smiled at this, and didn't want to say anything, it was none of his business anyway.

"You guys, you just don't know how to deal with public opinion in the Internet era, a few jumps scared you, sooner or later you will suffer.

After I was ready to return to Lanfang, I persuaded His Royal Highness the Grand Duke to bring the legal system of Lanfang closer to the mainland of China, because I felt that the system of the mainland of China was too superior in the Internet era. ”

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