Volume 6 Section 87 Loyal Supporter - Lao Yang

If Sha Zhengyang's views were recognized by the above to a certain extent, which led to Sha Zhengyang's transfer to Changhe Energy Group, then Sha Zhengyang's advice to himself is really worth thinking about.

However, the difference in views shown in a series of articles in various newspapers and magazines recently made Yang Guofu confused.

The article written by Sha Zhengyang was published in the "Economic Daily", and Yang Guofu saw it.

Similarly, soon the signed article by Xiang Wenbo, the CEO of Yidong Coal Industry, was also published in the "Hanchuan Daily", which appeared in the form of an interview, and Yang Guofu read it several times.

Realistically speaking, Yang Guofu feels that Xiang Wenbo's views are more in line with the current reality, and also in line with the opinions of mainstream experts and scholars.

Even Yang Guofu himself feels that after the reform and opening up, although the domestic economic development situation has some twists and turns, but on the whole it is still all the way up, even if there are occasional policy adjustments, it is also the state that the economy is overheated and actively carried out to regulate and control, but now the domestic economic situation is good, but it is far from overheating.

Yang Guofu himself felt that his judgment was not accurate enough, so he also specially found some professors and scholars in economics who could be contacted to analyze and corroborate.

These experts and scholars have come to the conclusion that the current domestic economic situation is relatively good, and there is no overheating at all.

After experiencing a wave of excessive fixed investment in 93-95, in fact, a soft landing was achieved in 1996, and the economy entered a stage of steady growth, and the performance in the first half of 97 was even more very good, and there was no sign of inflation in prices.

This conclusion deepened Yang Guofu's suspicion of Sha Zhengyang's views. It wasn't until July that there was a problem in the financial market in Southeast Asia that Yang Guofu was suddenly shocked.

At the wedding banquet on the National Day last year, Yang Guofu kept Sha Zhengyang's words in mind, and the next two hours of chatting benefited him a lot, although he was still skeptical about some of Sha Zhengyang's views at that time, so he also did some market research.

However, according to the judgment of many experts, scholars and industry insiders, this round of coal price rise is far from the end, the reason is that China's economy will usher in a long period of rapid growth.

He never considered that economic problems in Southeast Asia would affect the country, especially domestic coal prices, and in his view the link was too far away.

Just as those experts and scholars do not believe that the financial problems in Southeast Asia can have much impact on China's economy, even if they do, it is not worth mentioning, and as for the transmission to coal prices, it is even more distant.

The problem is that when Sha Zhengyang predicted last year that Southeast Asia's economy would have problems this year, Yang Guofu later consulted many people on this issue through various channels and relationships.

Among them, there are not only government officials at a certain level, but also scholars and professors who have certain research attainments in foreign financial economy, and some relevant experts who have made great achievements in the field of finance.

He even spent some money at a symposium on the economic situation, which he took the opportunity to inquire about.

The conclusion is that there are no major financial and economic problems in Southeast Asia.

As for minor issues, any country, including China, has them, but the government should be able to control and deal with them without causing any major fluctuations.

All in all, the situation is very good.

Because of this, he finally spent a lot of money last year to buy the two larger coal mines in the county, and almost threw everything into the reconstruction.

Both mines are expected to be operational by the end of the year.

In other words, at that time, you will be able to start counting votes as soon as you start production.

"Do you mean you still won those two coal mines?" Sha Zhengyang paused for the water cup in his hand, glanced at Yang Guofu, and seemed to smile: "Old Yang, it seems that you are very confident." ”

"Hehe, Mr. Sha, it's not self-confidence, last year I also spent some thought and asked some relationships to analyze and study the domestic economic situation, as well as the economic situation in Southeast Asia you mentioned, but the conclusion is that there is no big problem,......

Yang Guofu licked his lips honestly, and the smile on his face made people embarrassed to ridicule the other party, "Now haven't I seen some predictions and discussions in newspapers and magazines about the impact of the economic situation on coal prices, so ......"

"What about you now?" Sha Zhengyang retracted the words that he wanted to ridicule the other party, and he couldn't see that Yang Guofu still knew how to detect changes in wind direction from newspapers and media.

He remembered very well that after Su Lunkang's wedding banquet, he spent some time persuading the other party, which was specifically to show the way to the other party.

I didn't expect this guy to drill into a dead end, and he drilled so deep.

Not only did they take the two coal mines, but they also invested heavily in expansion, which could not be completely completed and put into operation until the end of the year.

"Mr. Sha, your prediction is really accurate, there is a problem in Southeast Asia, so I still feel un,......reliable," Yang Guofu said honestly.

"But we don't seem to have much impact in China. Sha Zhengyang said lightly.

"I remember you saying that it may take a conduction period, and there may be repeated fluctuations,......"

Yang Guofu remembered Sha Zhengyang's words very well at that time, but unfortunately he didn't listen to them at the time, but it doesn't seem too late now.

"Do you remember now?" Sha Zhengyang asked casually.

"Hehe, Mr. Sha, you don't remember villains, where can I compare with you with this brain, or I can't still toss around here at this age. Yang Guofu scratched his head and said honestly.

"Forget it, Lao Yang, don't pretend to be a pig and eat a tiger in front of me, your Lao Yang is famous in Jin County, you have a bad brain, can you toss such a big battle?" Sha Zhengyang asked rhetorically: "What do you think of the current situation, and how should we deal with it?"

"Mr. Sha, I am now the six gods and no master, and I don't know what to do, so I came to ask you for advice, please help me get an idea. Yang Guofu said calmly.

Sha Zhengyang naturally would not refuse, originally he also wanted to help Yang Guofu, an entrepreneur like this who was born from the grassroots but has a little ambition, he can't ask for it when he grows up.

After briefly asking about Yang Guofu's current situation, Yang Guofu is almost a millionaire, not only owing nearly 20 million to the bank, but also raising more than 10 million yuan in the private sector, which was not only used to buy two new coal mines and expansion, but also expanded and renovated his original small coal mine, but put aside the phosphate mine and phosphate fertilizer plant.

"Lao Yang, do you really think that my judgment is absolutely correct, aren't you afraid that my judgment is wrong and you will go bankrupt?" Sha Zhengyang looked at Yang Guofu and asked with a smile.

"Mr. Sha, it's not easy for me to earn this little bit of belongings, but I also know that this is how to do business, if you sail against the current, if you don't advance, you will retreat, and this retreat means that it will disappear, so sometimes you have to make a decision. At this time, Yang Guofu was very decisive, "To be honest, I am still a little reluctant to coal mines, I remember you told me that this is a few years of recession in the coal market, right?"

Sha Zhengyang nodded: "Yes, my judgment is that in three to four years, three years at the earliest, or four years at the latest, the coal market will usher in a period of recovery and even prosperity, which is in line with the rhythm of our domestic economic development." ”

"Then my idea is to sell all my three coal mines, and then pay back the high-interest part of the raised funds, and the remaining bank funds are temporarily bridged and reloaned, and these funds are invested in phosphate rock and phosphate fertilizer plants to expand production,...... "According to market research, the phosphate fertilizer market is relatively stable, and you also mentioned that the phosphate fertilizer market is not expected to have such big ups and downs as coal mines in the future, and it is still on ,......the rise in general."

In fact, Yang Guofu already had a plan in his heart, and this time he came to make a final confirmation in Sha Zhengyang and ask for peace of mind.

Sha Zhengyang thought for a moment, " I think you can, I remember I gave you advice last time, Hanchuan University's chemical engineering major is still very strong, you can cooperate with it, promote a deeper level of improvement in products, make the brand of phosphate fertilizer products, strengthen marketing, and build a regional famous brand, once the market is controlled, the future prospects are very promising, although not as high as the coal market profits, but the coal market is risky, and the competition is fierce, this asset is more likely to be favored in the future, whether it is listed or mortgaged in the future. ”

"Do you mean that I should focus on phosphate fertilizer now?" Yang Guofu was unwilling, no matter who had come into contact with the coal mine, it was difficult to give up easily.

"If I ask you to give up the coal completely, would you be willing?" Sha Zhengyang asked rhetorically.

Yang Guofu looked at Sha Zhengyang, his expression changed, and after a while, he nodded deeply: "There must always be a trade-off, I believe that Sha will not harm me, if you really think that the future coal market is too risky and not suitable for me, then I will do phosphate fertilizer in a down-to-earth manner." ”

Sha Zhengyang laughed, "Well, sell the coal mine immediately, spend two years to do a good job of phosphate fertilizer, maybe the end of the 99th or the beginning of 2000, it will be a good time to re-enter the coal market." ”

Yang Guofu also laughed, "Okay, I'll dispose of the three coal mines as soon as I go back, but it's a pity that there are still two coal mines that are about to make money, and they will be transferred to others, I don't know how many people will scold me for getting into the water." ”

"Whose brain gets into the water remains to be seen by time. Sha Zhengyang said confidently: "Wait and see, it won't be long." ”

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