Of course, Hong Yanwu cannot say that the historical development is in his own mind, but argues through several reasoning based on reality.

First, Bincheng sea cucumber is the most well-known and high-grade sea cucumber variety in China. Its scarcity and preciousness are irreplaceable.

The cold, clean waters here are the result of this slow-growing sea cucumber. It takes four or five months to hibernate in summer, and its quality naturally far exceeds that of sea cucumbers that grow quickly in the warm waters of the south.

Therefore, it has long been a sought-after commodity across the country, and the demand has always been far greater than the production.

In addition to the master's words just now, another concrete evidence is that after the sea cucumber hype ebbed two years ago. The sea cucumber in Bencheng once dropped to the starting price of 15 yuan on average, but since then it has been slowly rising and has never gone down. The price has always been ahead of any domestic sea cucumber species.

No one is stupid, the reason why prices are gradually rising. It's because the goods are good and the goods are small. So don't say that the sea cucumber in Bincheng is a little difficult to sell at the moment, if you really put it to the whole country to see, it is still in short supply.

Not to mention anything else, even if the market is so bad today, the price is still at eighteen or twenty, which is still higher than two years ago.

Second, the shortage of sea cucumbers will never be alleviated, and will continue, and even become more and more serious.

Because the basis of this hype of sea cucumbers is the man-made disaster brought about by the "returning to the city educated youth", this kind of man-made disaster will not be easily eliminated. The work of hundreds of thousands of people is not something that anyone can conjure up out of thin air. At least there was no drama for a few years.

And these people have to eat, they have to live, and they will find something to do and have fun when they are idle. Therefore, it is destined that this situation will in turn cause a sea shortage.

It is completely foreseeable that in a few years, not only sea cucumbers, but also "sea red", "sea oysters" and "thorn pots" will be hollowed out by thousands of people and become rare goods.

In short, as long as there are no jobs, sea cucumbers will become more and more scarce, and there will be fewer and fewer them.

Three, the government is already a bit of a strong crossbow now.

The government used the method of deploying sea cucumbers from other places to stabilize the market last time. The only certainty is that this method will only have a temporary effect and will be an absolute failure in the long term, which will be difficult to reverse.

Because in addition to the inside story inadvertently confided by the master master, this is confirmed. Even from the perspective of the whole country, it is Shandong sea cucumber, which is also low supply and large demand.

Not to mention taking 10,000 steps back. There are also educated youths in Shandong, and the sea will also be unrestrainedly sought by those who are extraordinary.

Moreover, Shandong has a large population density, and there are more people than here, otherwise why did the word "break through the eastern part of the country" before?

For example, if there are goods transferred this year, it is just because the educated youth have just begun to return to the city, and it may not be possible next year.

In addition, in the past few days, Hong Yanwu himself and "Little Baizi" have also done some data investigations.

What they now know is that the original rumor that a shipload of sea cucumbers was unloaded on the dock is itself a rumor.

Hong Yanwu has calculated before that in the case of relying entirely on wild fishing, the annual sea cucumber production in Bincheng is nothing more than three or four hundred tons of dried sea cucumbers. And the load of that freighter is too large, at least a few hundred tons, it is simply impossible.

So in fact, only 180 tons of dried sea cucumbers were unloaded. It's simply the people who fry sea cucumbers who scare themselves out of their guts. caused by the collapse of the market.

And in the past few days, they have also visited the warehouse like last time. It was found that the stock of sea cucumbers in Shandong is indeed not much. At present, the remaining 20 tons of goods may barely hold on until the beginning of November.

What's more, Hong Yanwu didn't go to "Clam Bay" just to see the "old knife fish", he also took out some data from the mouth of the fishing village secretary.

What he knows is that now because the seabed is empty, the average cost of fishing for fishing companies is as high as 30 yuan a pound of dried sea cucumbers. Far from the spot price on the supermarket.

What's more, the common people are not stupid, and the good and bad things at the entrance can definitely be distinguished. Shandong sea cucumbers can only be sold because everyone doesn't know about them.

But after a long time, after comparison, everyone understands the condition, and naturally feels that the quality of the goods in the store is lost, not to mention that the price of local sea cucumbers on the market is so much cheaper.

That is to say, it will not be long before the sea cucumber trade will definitely flourish again. Everyone will turn around and rush to the sea cucumber in Bincheng. This kind of price inversion will not be around for long.

At this point, all the "sea bumpers" could no longer suppress the excitement in their hearts. I couldn't help but whisper.

"Okay, that's going to make sense of me. We don't sell sea cucumbers yet. ”

"Yes, great, there is hope, I can't lose. ”

"What about the big brother, in that case, the big brother won't really lose everything...... right?"

Hong Yanwu listened to the noise of these little families and a little bit of IQ arrears, and couldn't help it anymore, slapped the table, and squeezed it.

"You're so useless! Is it just such an idea? It's a shame that I've done so much detailed, thorough investigation!"

The "sea bumpers" were collectively stunned. After looking at each other for a moment, it dawned on me. "You mean ......"

Hong Yanwu's voice was full of excitement. "Take the money and steal the goods! Do you still need to ask? The time has come to get on the bayonet and charge!"

But his passion was in vain. Because the eyes of the "sea bumpers" had just shown eagerness, they quickly hesitated again. Many people also showed embarrassed looks.

"Xiao Wu, we don't have much money in our hands......"

"That is, if we want to use money to copy the goods again, we can only sell the things in our hands......"

"Is this really a good deal? will never lose again? You can guarantee the ticket!"

In front of everyone, Hong Yanwu did not have any embarrassment, and bluntly said a rather piercing sentence.

"It's up to you to decide. Anyway, I'm going to do this together with the "generals". The matter is right in front of you, I have said everything that needs to be said, you can't want to make money and not take any risks. Isn't that the same as it used to be?"

"I'll have to start with a few things here. First, there is nothing foolproof in the world, only which has a high probability and which has a small probability. There is also the consideration of whether the risk is cost-effective compared to the benefit. ”

"Second, any business is not gambling, and it is not something that can be won by stupidity, boldness, and luck. Although it is easier to make money by being bold nowadays. But all the deals I do must have a reasonable logic as a premise. And the more you prepare, the more you know, the better your chances of winning. ”

"Third, there is no such thing as a free lunch. I read about your past friendships and tell you my analysis, and I have fulfilled my obligations as a friend. I don't have to take on anything for you, and you don't have any reason to ask me to promise anything. ”

"Actually, it's not good. In the past, the 'general' was too thoughtful for you, and took on too many responsibilities that should not be borne by him, and in the end you will be complained. Why do you want to listen to him, because you think he is more capable, capable, and trustworthy than you, and that's your choice. ”

"But the 'general' is also a mortal and can make mistakes. He is not your father, and he has no obligation to wipe your ass for nothing, and you have to be scolded and complained. Your fault is that for so long you have taken everything he has borne for you!"

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