Chapter 447: Caspian Oil
Since the reform and opening up, China's rapid development has often been unpredictable for senior leaders, and it is often the case that something arises before thinking about the reasons and connections.
The same is true for the issue of oil imports and exports.
Before the 90s, China's oil foreign exchange was the main foreign exchange income, accounting for more than 50% of the total, in contrast, other domestic export products, whether it is handmade art, porcelain, coal, or agricultural and sideline products, the unit is millions of dollars, and occasionally tens of millions of transactions, will inevitably be written in a big book, all over the world to make a report. ""The fastest update, full text hand-typed
Because of this, both the policy of large-scale oil contracting and the opinions of national leaders require oil companies to produce as much oil as possible and sell as much oil as possible. The annual foreign exchange income of more than 5 billion US dollars helped China, which was poor at that time, to complete the upgrading of the industrial and commercial industry.
In 1993, it became a dividing line.
This year, China has become a net importer of oil, and a country that used to rely on oil to earn foreign exchange suddenly has to use foreign exchange to buy oil, which inevitably makes it difficult for policymakers to adapt. At this time, some people took a closer look at China's oil consumption, China's oil exploitation, and China's oil reserves...... Baidu search "" to see the latest chapters
Anyone with the slightest economic acumen will find that China's dependence on oil is so great that importing oil has become an irreversible fact.
For a time, the National Development and Reform Commission and the State Council, which were still counting on oil and foreign exchange, all began heated discussions.
As a member of the discussion wave, Qi Meng naturally thought of Su Cheng and his Dahua Industrial.
Today. It is also the only oil field that China has acquired overseas. Moreover, the more he learned about the world oil industry, the more Qi Meng became more aware. It is not easy for Dahua to obtain the Setan oil field, and how lucky it is.
This also made Qi Meng admire Su Cheng's vision.
Today, when he heard about Dahua's achievements in the shipbuilding industry and chemical industry, Qi Meng was in a hurry...... Not only did he want to know Dahua's thoughts on oil development, but he was also worried that Dahua would be too distracted. In these respects.
Forced by eagerness, Qi Meng asked Su Cheng "Do you have any plans for oil development?" ”
Su Zhenguo also turned his head curiously. He doesn't need to plan for a specific industry anymore, but oil is the main energy source. There are a lot of people and things involved.
Su Cheng was slightly stunned by Qi Meng's sudden question, and said with a smile: "Dahua Industry will naturally not give up oil development. But. At present, the competition in the oil field is becoming increasingly fierce, and we must have a full understanding before we can take action. ”
His words had the flavor of a press conference, but they didn't look like a report to the leader.
Qi Mengcai didn't care, he immediately asked: "As far as you know, where will you choose to develop oil first?"
Su Cheng hesitated for a moment and said, "It's going to be the Asian part." ”
The scope of Asia is wide, and the Middle East is considered Asian. Siberia is also Asian. As a strategic goal, Sioux City will not be very clear.
Qi Meng's focus is on the last two words of the "Asian part". With a twist of his head, he asked: "Russia?"
"It's a direction. Su Cheng said a little insincerely. Dahua is very interested in Russian oil, and there was once a discussion of additional funds in Russia.
However, knowing that Putin will be like an emperor and will be in power in Russia for 20 years, how can he spend a lot of time and energy to extract oil in Russia? That's simply plunging the rest of your life into endless struggles.
The Russian Emperor's life's work was probably to eliminate Russia's foreign oil companies and Russia's oil oligarchs. Comrade Putin and the basis of his Russian existence, that is, profits from oil. Anyone who wants to get their hands on it is shaking Putin's foundations. The former judoka will fight hard because of this.
An energy company should not be afraid of trouble and politics, and even military unrest cannot stop oil companies from making profits. However, doing what you can is the norm for all behavior. Companies like ExxonMobil, or BP in the UK, have capital salivating over Russian oil. PetroChina, which is only five years old, would do well to stay away from such a thing as extracting Russian oil.
As a result, Sioux City has long excluded Russia from the list of targets for oil development.
The so-called direction is just a perfunctory treatment of Qi Meng.
However, Qi Meng himself felt that it was normal, Dahua Industrial had a business in Russia, and it was relatively easy to open up oil fields there. Although the competition in Russia is fierce, it is surprising that Russia is indeed rich in oil resources.
Fantasizing that millions of barrels of oil can solve China's energy problems, Qi Meng smiled and issued an invitation: "We actually have plans to build an oil pipeline and actively contact with Russian oil companies." I remember that Dahua Industrial has a gas company, which also installs oil pipelines, and if you are interested, you can get involved. ”
"An oil pipeline from Russia to the country?"
"Yes. Since the discussion had been more in-depth, and facing the bosses again, Qi Meng said with a smile: "If there is no accident, we plan to build an oil pipeline from the Angarsk oil field in Russia to China." ”
Ontario Line!
Sioux City reacted immediately.
This is not the first time he has heard about the Ontario line from domestic officials.
Last time, when he was still going to Russia, Su Cheng heard about the planned Ontario line from Liu Bing. Sioux City objected to the doomed oil pipeline at the time.
Now it seems that either Liu Bing did not heed his opinion, or Liu Bing's rank was not enough to stop such a seemingly successful oil pipeline.
In fact, if it weren't for the foresight of an afterthought, judging by the available information, no one would have said that the Ontario line would have failed. Further, if it weren't for Putin's unplanned strength, in terms of development, the Anda line would have been very smooth.
However, because the Russian partner company chosen by China is Yukos, which is about to be brought down by Putin. The failure of this pipeline is doomed.
The failure of this pipeline wasted more than 8 years of China's time, around 2004. It was determined that the Ontario line could not be completed, so he began to try other overseas pipelines. On the other hand, the oil delivery agreement, which has been delayed for 10 years, will also cost a lot of money.
However, to stop this oil pipeline, Sioux City does not seem to have enough capital either. After all, people are always in the negotiation stage. At best, it is a wasted opportunity. Sioux City can't even talk to people.
In addition, the occasion at this time is not suitable for detailed discussion, Su Cheng only said: "Such an oil pipeline." It is better to finalize it as soon as possible, so as not to have too many dreams at night. ”
"We are about to enter the substantive negotiation phase. Qi Meng said with some hesitation: "Once the oil pipeline is built, China will not have to worry about oil supply for 10 years." If Chinese companies can enter the oil fields of East Siberia. That's even better. ”
Su Cheng smiled a little weirdly. China in 2003. However, China, which joined the WTO, consumed resources at that time and could scare the decision-makers to death in 93 years, and an oil pipeline could satisfy it, that is to say.
Qi Meng's eyes were so poisonous, and when he saw that Su Cheng's face was different, he tilted his head and thought about it.
At this time, the officials of the ship. Began to entertain the leaders to visit.
Su Zhenguo walked in front with a smile, looking amiable.
Sioux City can't rob the Jiangnan shipyard of the scenery. Naturally fall in the rear.
After a while, Qi Meng followed and asked in a low voice, "Su Dong, let's talk in private, what do you think of the Anda Line?"
Su Cheng and he have been on friendly relationship for several years, smiled, and said, "To tell you the truth, I think it's difficult. ”
"You Su Dong don't look like a person who is afraid of difficulties. Qi Meng said softly.
Su Cheng smiled: "The political situation in Russia is unstable, and this kind of difficulty is something I don't want to touch." ”
Qi Meng thought for a moment and said: "If there is no oil pipeline, it will be difficult for Russian oil to be transported into the country." ”
"With domestic consumption, we can buy it from the international market. ”
"That's not good, the country's energy security should not be underestimated, and to buy oil from the international market, you have to go through the Strait of Malacca. According to our estimates, by 2010, more than 30% of the oil we need will be transported through the Strait of Malacca, and new sources of oil must be opened. ”
Su Cheng looked at Qi Meng sympathetically, and thought: It's good to think about it, but it's a pity that it's still lightly estimated.
No single person or institution can measure China's steady and rapid development over the past 20 years. Even the Chinese government itself cannot guarantee or predict.
Therefore, Qimeng and their models are based on the so-called high-speed growth of 3% or 4% that is common abroad, and the later the estimation time, the more errors and omissions there will be.
By 2010, China needed more than 60% of its oil to be transported through the Strait of Malacca, not 30%.
Even if the Russian oil pipeline is opened, because there is too much crude oil required, it will not be fundamentally changed.
Chinese in 1993 would be surprised to see hundreds of workers on motorcycles.
In the future, everyone can afford to buy a private car, so how much will the amount of oil increase?
However, Qi Meng's idea is good, and Su Cheng also hopes to ensure China's energy security, but based on the experience of hindsight, by 2010, no country in the world can guarantee absolute energy security.
Not for the United States, not for China, not for Japan. Even oil-producing countries themselves can't do it, because of the lack of refining equipment, they often need to transport crude oil and buy refined products.
The more Su Cheng thought about it, the more strange his expression became.
Qi Meng looked at him, his mind became uncertain, and he couldn't help asking, "If you are asked to do it, what will you do?"
Su Cheng smiled dumbly: "This topic is too big. ”
Qi Meng thought about it, even if people knew, it was hard to say. So he smirked twice and lowered his head.
At this time, Su Cheng suddenly spoke, saying: "Don't talk about national energy security, just talk about oil development, I tend to the Caspian oil circle, as well as the China-Kazakhstan or China-Arab oil pipelines." ”
"Caspian Sea?" Qi Meng suddenly searched for his memory. The Caspian oil circle includes Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan, all of which were members of the former Soviet Union. But unlike Russian oil fields such as Siberia, these countries encourage foreign investment.
"It's just ......" Qi Meng asked uncertainly: "Judging from the exploration of the former Soviet Union, there is a risk of depletion of Caspian oil." ”
Hearing him say this, Su Cheng was happy and said with a smile: "In another 50 years, the oil in the Caspian Sea will not be exhausted." ”
…… (To be continued.) )