Chapter 284: The War Begins
(.) Su Cheng didn't have time to deal with Director Huang, and when Zhou Lao received the call, oil prices had risen significantly. ()
The war did not start immediately, but Bush's opening order must have already been issued. At this time, he was about the time to call his allies, as well as to the Soviet Union and other countries. Gorbachev received a phone call one hour before the war, China had cut off high-level exchanges with the United States since '89, and it had not yet resumed, and the foreign minister and secretary of state met by chance in the airport waiting room...... Zhou Lao received a call from a second-dealer who estimated it.
The oil majors also have their own sources, not necessarily the president's, but they can be a member of the president's staff, a cabinet member or a prominent senator. They invest tens of millions or even hundreds of millions of dollars a year in political parties, legislators, and presidents, and it would be too much to say if they don't have a realistic return.
Now, it is a good time for the oil giants to make profits, and ordinary businessmen have not yet received accurate information, only they have been assured that they dare to enter the market in one go.
Oil will soon be hard to buy.
When Dahua's long orders accumulated to 40 million barrels of oil, oil prices had rebounded significantly, and all the huge short orders that had not been consumed were cancelled. Even if you don't hear the news of the start of the war, you know that the situation in front of you is not normal
Zhou Lao put down the phone at this time, and said to Su Cheng in surprise: "The Americans' plane took off and hit you again, did you guess?"
Su Cheng said with a smile in a relaxed tone: "I'm more bold, the multinational force is going to start attacking in the next few days, but. If it's three to five days at night, it's much more stressful. ”
Director Huang sneered: "The last time I bought short, Su Dong bore a loss for two days, not to mention anything else, the interest alone is hundreds of thousands." In the end, the United States put strategic reserves of oil on the market, and the bulls were blinded at once. Dahua's profit is at least 200 million. $200 million!"
Those who didn't know gasped, and the two intern girls of the State Department looked at Su Cheng with stars in their eyes. At a time when the average monthly salary was less than 1,000 yuan. The aura of $200 million is too dazzling.
Director Huang is very happy that he has done a foreshadowing, so that if the loss of the national reserve is exposed. It is also possible to resist with non-war crimes. Of course, people who are not concerned about this matter will not know the role played by the National Reserve Center.
Su Cheng didn't care about Director Huang's "self-redemption", whether he survived or hung up, he had nothing to do with Dahua, he was really a little too busy.
On the one hand, Mr. Zhou asked with great interest about the process of buying short a few days ago, and occasionally Professor Dai interjected to comment on the situation in the Middle East.
On the one hand, futures exchanges are constantly in need of confirmation. Millions of dollars of transactions need to be authorized by Sioux City, and some futures transactions that exceed the current price also need to be confirmed by Sioux City.
Forced to do so. Su Cheng had no choice but to speak, staring at the screen with one eye, and then typed the authorization over and over again, scolding: Boss Zhou, do you really have nothing else to do? The Gulf War is about to start. Saddam Hussein is about to be beaten, don't you pay attention to it in some secret conference room?
Zhou Lao couldn't hear his heart, but he refused with his actions.
In fact, Zhou Lao, Su Zhenguo, Duan Yuanguang and others all had no intention of leaving, and each chose a comfortable position. Look at the screen, talk, drink tea, chat......
Old Zhou also said to Su Cheng very considerately: "You don't have to worry, do your own thing first, we old men are idle......"
Su Cheng wanted to cry without tears, and most of his energy was still on him. Fortunately, oil prices are constantly rising, and there is not much to think about.
This situation lasted for more than half an hour, and the red phone in the room rang again, and then a staff member turned on the TV.
"Here we go. After Zhou Lao put down the phone, the TV station also quickly released the clip that had been prepared a long time ago.
This is the 305th chapter since the United States came up with asymmetric warfare, and the jaw-dropping performance is just the beginning.
A steady stream of information was sent in from the outside, just looking at the scale and form, the fat expert's face changed, and he said to himself: "It's a bit of a surprise!"
Sioux City sighed secretly, thinking to himself, the ground war is the time for accidents, not to mention China, even Iraq and the Americans are surprised by the power of asymmetric warfare.
"Iraq's heavy equipment is out. Zhou Lao got a message and glanced at Su Cheng deeply.
The fat expert muttered an explanation: "Iraq is too careless, the quality of the soldiers is too poor, and the camouflage is not done well." However, the U.S. air strikes will not last too long, as you can see from the way they attack at fixed points, and if they rely on intelligence, their resources are always limited. In addition, Iraq's counterattack has not yet begun, and if they launch missiles at Saudi Arabia or the United Arab Emirates, it could have an effect......"
Su Cheng couldn't bear to turn his face away.
Duan Yuanguang saw it and said with a smile: "Su Cheng, you also know about military affairs?"
Su Cheng smiled and said: "The time of the US military's air raids and the effect of the air raids determine whether the price of oil rises or falls. If the effect is not good, the price of oil will rise very high and last for a long time. If Iraq had fought back, and it worked, oil prices would have risen even higher. Conversely, if the effect of the air strikes is obvious, or if Iraq's counterattack is weak, oil prices will soon fall back...... I have to think about it so that I can decide the direction of the futures. ”
"Oh, which do you prefer?"
Su Cheng glanced at the fat expert, smiled, and said, "When the price of oil rises to a certain extent, it will fall, and the speed may be very fast." ”
From what he just said, this is completely against the opinion of the fat expert.
The fat expert said angrily: "You are going to suffer a big loss for this kind of judgment...... Modern weaponry is only one aspect, the human factor is very important, and without people, no matter how good a weapon is, it is just a lump of steel......"
Zhang Chao is also a young man, and he was worried that this fat expert would affect Su Cheng, so he couldn't help but interject: "What you say is good, and the judgment we make will decide whether to make money or lose money." Do you have a kind of pressure of 10,000 yuan to come in and try it?"
Su Cheng stopped him and said, "Don't talk nonsense, do things." ”
Zhang Chao glanced at the fat expert and went back to supervise.
The fat expert coughed heavily, and when he was about to prepare a rebuttal, the Dahua trader disturbed his thinking with an earth-shattering roar: "London $32!"
The price of oil, which had just hovered from $26 to $28, climbed to $32 as if it had suddenly hit the adrenaline. Because it's too fast. The $4 rise even broke off the curve of the screen.
The quotes in the market are so fast that the quotes can't keep up with the real price.
Traders in the City of London look at their screens and send messages to traders around the world over the phone. There is always an interval of a few seconds in between. If it is not usually apparent, in such a period of drastic change, artificial lag will be revealed. You can only keep buying more and buying more......
A few minutes later. Oil prices climbed to $38. The traders at the National Reserve Center let out a huge cheer as if they were released, and they didn't care what occasion they were in.
Director Huang was overjoyed and ran to hug Zhu Enbo. In the last day or so, the pressure on them has been enormous. The $60 million deposit really makes people lose their hair just thinking about it.
Zhou Lao tilted his body, put one arm on the arm of the chair, and asked with a smile: "This makes money?"
"Yes, we opened a position at $26.5 on average, to $38.5. A profit of $12 per barrel was made. "The profit of 40 million barrels is $480 million, and Sioux City has nothing to say about it.
Zhou Lao continued to ask: "The National Reserve Center is also profitable?"
Director Huang was not in front of him, and Director Mao replied on his behalf: "The National Reserve Center remembers that it is a long buy, so it is also profitable." ”
"Not at $26, right? I think they're a little late in their joy. ”
"It's not. I don't know exactly how much. Director Mao didn't dare to take responsibility, so he hurriedly called Director Huang back. Ask him, "How much do you buy?" ”
Director Huang replied hesitantly: "Start at $36." ”
"So, if the war hadn't started, the National Reserve Center would have actually lost $10?" Zhou Lao's thinking was very clear, and he directly grasped the point.
Director Huang opened his mouth and was speechless. Director Mao was also extremely embarrassed.
Zhou Lao waved his hand and let them go down, and the price of oil continued to grow wildly, although it was a little slower than just now. But it's also much faster than normal. It only took half an hour to get to $40.
This time, since Dahua Industrial and the State Reserve Center were both overbought, the atmosphere in the conference hall was much more harmonious. Everyone was in high spirits.
Su Cheng quietly ordered Zhang Chao: "Prepare to buy short." ”
Zhang Chao was surprised: "So fast?"
"Iraq has no power to resist, and it is exposed. "Sioux City is sitting in the hall, and it is actually difficult to get first-hand information. But with the words that Zhou Lao revealed, as well as the reports of the TV station, it was enough for him to disguise.
$42 is the highest price in Sioux City's memory, but it's hard to know how long the $42 summit will last. Maybe it's just a moment, maybe just a few lots traded?
Therefore, the peak price cannot be used as a basis for trading. What's more, from $26 to $40, it has earned $14 per barrel, a total of $640 million, and short selling is another big income, so you don't have to worry about the gains and losses of one or two dollars.
The correct judgment in the past few days has given Zhang Chao a strong psychological hint. He didn't ask any more questions, returned to the corner of Dahua, and began to organize traders to sell orders.
Dahua did not hide it, and their actions immediately attracted the attention of the National Reserve Center.
Zhu Enbo was in a dilemma.
As far as sanity is concerned, he should advance and retreat with Sioux City, because Sioux City's judgment has been correct for a long time. But emotionally, he felt that he had left too soon. It has only been 1 hour since the war began, can a war end in 1 hour?
In Zhu Enbo's view, oil prices are likely to rise by another $5, and it is not too late to sell them to $45. The most important thing is that although selling orders now can make the national reserve money, it will only make a few million. At that time, it is not certain whether the merits can be offset or not.
On the contrary, if you hold on for a few more hours, or a day, and let the oil price rise to $45 and then sell it, the national reserve center can earn tens of millions of dollars, which has a completely different meaning......
Su Cheng waited for more than ten minutes, and when he saw that the national prince still didn't move, he couldn't help but shake his head secretly.
He came directly to Director Mao and said, "Director Mao, oil prices will soon enter a downward channel, please order the State Reserve Center to sell orders." ”
Director Mao is the director of the National Reserve Center, and when Su Cheng said this, Director Huang and Zhu Enbo were all anxious.
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