The game of the Three Kingdoms

Things have to start with a Three Kingdoms killing that I went to the board game bar yesterday. Pen, fun, pavilion www. biquge。 info

We played a 7-player game (1 main, 2 medium, 3 reverse, 1 in). I was honored to draw an anti-thief identity.

The main man is Dong Fatzi (Dong Zhuo, 9 drops of blood).

The loyal minister is Cai Wenji, full of favorites

The traitor Zuo Ci declared Guo Jia's will

I chose Ma Tan (a general who became famous in 2011, 3 blood, skills for heart war and tears. I'm here for the old version of Ma Tan) The choice of the other two anti-thieves is not important, so I won't explain too much. The advantage of anti-thieves in a 7-person game is not as great as that in an 8-person game. Because the firepower of the anti-thief is one less, and the position of the traitor is also elusive, it is always necessary to guard against the cold gun in the back.

Before I do that, I would like to introduce two of Ma Tan's skills.

Mental War: If your hand is greater than your HP, you can look at the top three cards of the pile, then show any number of hearts before getting them, and put the rest at the top of the pile in any order.

Tear: Lock-on, when you die, the character who killed you discards all of their cards.

My considerations for choosing Ma Jian are as follows: 1. As a thief, no matter who it is, he is very afraid of killing Ma Tan. will have their own concerns in it. After all, it's not a good idea to discard all the cards you have in your hand at once for the sake of three cards.

2, Ma Tan's mental battle is equivalent to Zhuge Xiaoxing's stargazing. Although you can't decide which cards you draw, you can see and change the cards of the next house (and later know that the next house is a small one), which is better in both support and control.

At the beginning of the game, the lord and loyal ministers all set fire to me, and the early stage was very miserable. When 4 cards are gone, 3 blood becomes 1 health. One lap of AOE can kill me.

Then the situation started to get interesting.

I lost a lot in the first round, but the hands of the lord and the loyal ministers were full of cards. The anti-thieves also suffered a lot. So the situation turned in favor of the Lord. But an interesting thing happened, the lord was upset when he saw my blood and wanted to kill me, so he encouraged his loyal ministers to show their loyalty. One loyal minister has been instigating another loyal minister to kill on the pretext that he did not kill, while another loyal minister has used the excuse that he cannot be killed. I guess I have some concerns, worried that the good cards I have saved will be discarded. After all, you don't know what the redrawn cards are.

The traitor is also worried about his hand being discarded at the moment, after all, his goal is to kill everyone, and he has to preserve his strength, so he will not take the initiative to kill me.

In this way, the fortified castle began to disintegrate from the inside.

The lord began to suspect that one of the two loyal ministers was Xiao Nei, and the two loyal ministers were also suspicious of each other. My little inner at home said that it was none of my business, and hung it high. The thieves took advantage of their infighting to develop.

After three rounds, the two loyal ministers fought in a happy manner, and the last thief took the opportunity to break out and take away the two loyal ministers who were only two drops of blood left in the infighting. Since no one beats Zuo Ci, Zuo Ci's output is not strong. In the end, the three thieves teamed up to kill Dong Zhuo's father. The anti-thief wins.

This incident once again triggered me to think deeply (note that it was triggered again)

We can analyze the gains and losses of the Lord's loyalty to me from the perspective of game theory.

Suppose the gain from killing a horse is -3, and the gain from not killing a horse is 0. If we exclude the fact that two people killed Ma Tan at the same time, the following table can be made. The numbers in parentheses mean (A's earnings, B's earnings)

-- A kills -- A does not kill

B kill-non-existent―(0,-3)

B does not kill-(-3,0)―(0,0)

Judging from A or B alone, as long as you don't kill Ma Yan, you won't lose anything. If you want to kill Ma Jian from someone, then you have to bear the loss of -3. Of course, this is in the case of clear identity. If the identity is not clear, it will be timid, and the damage will be more than expected.

This is the famous prisoner's dilemma in game theory.

This can also be simply expressed as Nash equilibrium, that is, in a static game with incomplete information, the optimal balance is reached for both sides.

It is more complicated to say, and to use the example of this incident to illustrate that only what is best for the lord is the best for the loyal minister. The best strategy is to use a "bullish" strategy. That is, kill Ma Tan and draw 3 cards. Neither of the two loyalists has achieved the optimal strategy, and blindly protecting themselves will only make people break one by one.

This brings me to protectionism. In the era of economic globalization, it is impossible to protect oneself in the midst of the great economic crisis, and only by joining forces can we resist the flood of financial crisis.

Looking at it the other way, the loyal ministers have Cai Wenji, and her skills can abolish the skills of the generals. But we still have a thief who would rather sacrifice himself to accomplish great things. This is China's good teammate!

I don't know if anyone has read these things written on it. To sum it up: don't try to sell your teammates to save your strength, otherwise your team will be greeted with failure.

PS1: Well, I talked so much nonsense just to say that the main plot can't be remembered.

ps2: The author is a pure engineering ancestry, so he is not very good at economics. If I have a question about what I wrote, please reply to me in the comment area, and we will learn and discuss together.

ps3: Anyway, the comment area is really deserted, begging for water.