Chapter 25: The Game of Probability
Coming out of Mr. Lin's house, I went straight to the old man's villa.
The old man is doing yoga at home...... I watched him absorb the essence of heaven and earth, stretched his old arms and legs, and sat patiently in the living room waiting for him for half an hour.
"Master, you are really versatile. I said sourly.
The old man ignored me, took a shower and changed his clothes.
"Last time, you watched the video of betting on horses, did you realize it?"
My heart tightened, "Huh...... Master, you can show me the reason for horse racing and betting?"
"Rotten wood!" the old man put down his teacup heavily.
"Master, just make it clear. I had a coquettish tone.
The old man said slowly: "This is one of the oldest scams, which originated in the horse betting market. ”
"It's actually a game of chance. Nowadays, the development of the Internet and the media has made more and more variants of this scam. But at the end of the day, the essence is still like that. You want to bet on the horse market if there are two horses racing at a time. One loss and one win, half of the winning and half of the winner. Even if a person who doesn't understand horses guesses, there is a fifty percent chance of winning. The set-up collects the addresses of 10,000 bettors and forecasts the results for them before the race. For the first time, I sent letters to 5,000 people, whether it was an email or a phone call. That's just a different medium in different eras, and in the final analysis, it's the person who bets on horses who tells this speculation. ”
The old man paused and looked at me.
"Send a notice to 5,000 people that A horse is victorious, and another 5,000 people to say that B horse is victorious. Let's say horse A wins after the race. The second time, the 5,000 people who received the A horse and won it were divided into two groups. Send letters to 2,500 people predicting the victory of horse C, and predict the victory of horse D to the other 2,500 people. Let's say horse D wins this time. Those who received the prediction of the winner of the D horse would be surprised to find that someone had predicted the outcome twice. “
"Maybe two times wasn't enough of a shock. Then a third time. 1250 predict E and 1250 F wins. By the time the results came out, 1,250 people must have found that someone had predicted the outcome 3 times perfectly. “
The old man slipped into the tongue and didn't take care of my brain capacity at all......
"Keep pushing. 625 people will receive four perfect predictions.
312 people will receive it five times
156 people will receive it six times
78 people will receive it seven times
39 people will receive it eight times. “
At this point, the old man stopped to take a sip of tea and asked me, "Is it much?"
"Many!" I seem to understand what he means, it's a math game, fission, fission, until it fission is enough bases!
The old man nodded, probably thinking that I was not so stupid that I couldn't help it.
"Think about it, and be able to predict seven or eight times what will happen to these people. After seven or eight predictions, it is time to close the net! There are various ways to close the net, such as attracting funds to gamble on behalf of others, collecting huge membership dues, and so on. Seven or eight perfect predictions are enough for most people to take out their savings and have a sweet dream. “
I got it thoroughly...... Oh my God, such a simple scam, such a huge amount of money! This gap makes me feel both funny and pathetic.
"Master, why don't those people understand such a simple truth?"
"Hehe, people, morality is on both sides, and the word is in the middle!" said the old man, placing a folding fan between the two teacups, and fell heavily......
"You can verify what I said, pay attention when you go back to your part-time job, and then report back to me. “
I came out of the old man's house, and I felt very uncomfortable.
It turns out that human nature is so vulnerable, and after being blinded, it is like an animal that only knows how to grind!
Hanging a handful of grain from the head of the animal, just smelling the smell of the grain, the animal will run away and grind until it has no strength.
I think of the scene at Mr. Lin's house, and I am even more sad.
Such an enviable young couple, talented and beautiful, with a bright career, ended up in this situation.
When I walked into Jujin again, my mood was different.
I paid close attention to the language and performance of each sales, and found that it was indeed as the old man said!
The company has a dedicated "customer collection team" that collects phone numbers from various sources!
From this point on, there is no conscience at all.
The customer collection team will contact different channels to purchase phone numbers, and a number can be converted into only a few dollars. And these sources are diverse, hospitals, beauty clubs, local pork* store members, golf members, gym members, education and training institutions, and even some HR are willing to resell the phone numbers of company employees to seek profits!
In this era, the Internet is so prosperous, you need a mobile phone number to register a game and play an APP.
After the customer collection team gets the phone, it will group people according to the scenario from which the phone number comes from. There is a complex latitude and longitude dimension, which can distinguish the user from the prey according to different goals, so as to use the corresponding words and methods.
For example, most of the numbers collected from beauty salons are rich and idle ladies. These aunt-level characters hold the financial power of the family, and in addition to maintenance, most of them are used to buy gold or manage money.
Therefore, customers here will be divided into "customers with high willingness, weak vigilance, and can cope with high risk and high income".
If you buy a phone number from an education or training institution, it's different.
Most of the education and training institutions for adults are senior white-collar workers who have a sense of self-improvement and investment, but this part of the people will not have too much money. Because the largest project of educational institutions is about 50,000.
Therefore, this part should give him the recommendation of "fast returns, small investment, and short-term".
After I got acquainted, I once chatted with a colleague in the customer collection team, and I was dizzy to see the dense number of customer collection calls on his computer screen.
"So many numbers, it's troublesome, isn't it?" I asked my colleague on purpose.
"It's very simple, five minutes, a few dozen dollars, and it's done!" the colleague looked relaxed.
"That'...... Will they know each other, won't that be revealing?"
"Good question!" a colleague patted me on the shoulder.
"We bought a mobile phone number correlation recognition software. ”
He went back to his desktop and opened a piece of software to show me.
"That's it, import all the numbers you get into it, and the phone numbers with high relevance will be eliminated!"
As he spoke, he opened an excel sheet and showed me that the screening and identification of 10,000 numbers only took less than 1 minute!
"It's amazing. I exclaimed.
"What age is it now, it's here to make money!" the colleague pointed to his temples with a smug expression.
With the first step of number screening, accurate group recommendations will be made for users.
How to become the god in the hearts of these "leeks to be cut"? It depends on the probability game that the old man said.
This is what I see every day: there are countless operators in the office of the University, and they are divided into junior and senior according to their performance.
The office is full of people every day, and the phone rings non-stop. The funniest thing is that sometimes the business executive will walk out of the office and shout: "XXX shares, let's fight!"
In an instant, the whole office moved, and everyone picked up the phone, their mouths were like rivers, and their spit was splashing......
After coming and going, customers are selected and eliminated, and if the prediction is accurate several times in a row, they will become the "god" in the hearts of ordinary people. Then it's time to pay tribute to God......
The game of probability, the game of the world, I sneered in my heart.