Chapter 64: Rising in Response to the Voice (Asking for Recommendation Votes)
Wang Nuo's point of view is to deny the profit margin that Liu Ye said.
To sum up, the World Financial Exchange may downgrade the credit rating of the United States, with a 50% probability of yes and no, and if it does downgrade, assuming that the dollar index will fall by 1%, then the dollar index should be at 99.5% of the original index before the news is determined.
But now the U.S. dollar index does not provide enough decline to fully reflect this variable, it is not at 99.5%, but at 99.75%, so why does this 0.25% exist, is there a profit margin as Liu Ye said, or is it the embodiment of the will of capital as Wang Nuo said, the difference lies in the perception of the fair bottom line.
It is normal for capital to leave an area for its own harvest, but it is also abnormal, and the strength of financial investors is not equal to each other, so how can it be absolutely fair.
I have 100 million, I can manipulate the stock price of a small cap stock at will, as long as the interest is enough, I can definitely do it.
However, what Liu Ye believes is that there is no problem with the World Financial Exchange, which can ensure that the data will not be leaked, and can also ensure the objective evaluation of the data, so even if there is no absolute fairness, the bottom line of fairness will not allow the market to have such a large harvest range of 0.25%.
Liu Ye felt that Wang Nuo was doped with too much capital and subjective speculation, and Wang Nuo felt that Liu Ye's analysis was too rational and rigid.
"The decline is too shallow, and the dollar index should not be at this position. When Liu Ye's tone carried a hint of anger.
"That's what it was. Wang Nuo shook his head and said, "I don't think that a completely rational analysis can lead to the most correct conclusion. ”
"Guessing is not something a financial researcher should do. Liu Ye said.
"You don't think I'm guessing out of thin air, otherwise why are you angry? You should be disdainful, you should still be polite, you should still be the Liu Ye I know. Wang Nuo suddenly felt that people like Liu Ye were quite pure.
Burning himself and lighting up his ideals, Liu Ye is worthy of being the reserve of the World Financial Institute.
"I ...... With reservations. Liu Ye was a little frightened in his heart, he suddenly knew why the elders of the World Financial Exchange wanted him to work in various financial institutions, just because, without darkness, how to define light?
Wang Nuo easily understands this kind of thing, small sellers will be short of pounds and two, financial predators talk about fairness with ordinary investors, what kind of international jokes, part of the rationality of the data comes from their irrationality.
The objective that is subjectively influenced is called reality!
"So, you're bullish?" asked Liu Ye with some paranoia.
"I'm going to get a power bank. "Wang Nuocai has read a lot of information, and his opinion is that Liu Ye's rational analysis is wrong, not that the dollar will rise, but the honest pen can.
In fact, Wang Nuo has not said that he is bullish on the dollar, he just said that Liuye's so-called "profit margin" does not exist, and he can also be bearish.
Wang Nuo stood up, walked back to his room, and while taking out the power bank, he also took a look at the answers.
"The U.S. dollar index rose on April 4, U.S. time. When the handwriting of this sentence remained on the paper, Wang Nuo had already seen an opportunity to exchange energy for money.
"The U.S. dollar index had an increase of more than 0.5% on April 4, US time. When the second sentence disappeared, Wang Nuo knew how many positions to build.
Before returning to the living room, Wang Nuo took the time to borrow an account from Yao Shuliang for foreign exchange speculation and sold 10 lots of US dollars/other currencies.
Wang Dan didn't know why, Liu Ye was thinking, and Tao Xiu naturally looked at Wang Nuo, who had just walked out of the room.
Although she doesn't fully know the conversation between Wang Nuo and Liu Ye just now, she knows that Liu Ye's current approximate psychological activities are nothing more than "how the world is different from what I know" and other feelings.
Wang Nuo returned to the living room, and he was greeted by Liu Ye, who had come back to his senses.
"There are cognitive differences between us, and the basis for them is surprising to me. Seeing Wang Nuo come back, Liu Ye quickly broke free of the meaningless thoughts, but quickly reacted and successfully took another step on the road of "mental illness", "I still insist on my own opinion, are you bullish?"
"Yes, I'm bullish. This time, Wang Nuo replied with certainty, he was a little envious of people like Liu Ye, but he immediately laughed dumbly.
Pure is a kind of purity, not pure can also be a kind of purity, life is varied, each has its own ideals, why bother to distinguish between high and low.
"The dollar index will not rise more than 0.5% today. Wang Nuo continued.
"If your analysis is correct, I admit that I was wrong. Liu Ye's free and easy temperament added another point, he returned to his polite appearance, looked at Wang Nuo with very interested eyes, and said: "This may allow me to see the reality more clearly." ”
Liu Ye had a smile on his face, and the point of conflict between him and Wang Nuo was how far away there was between absolute fairness and relative fairness.
Due to the differences in the strength of financial investors, unfairness is absolute, and the fairness maintained by the World Financial Exchange is only relative, so Liu Ye feels that the predecessors of the World Financial Exchange should have been working hard to make the relative fairness closer to the absolute fairness, which is really a career that can be fought for all his life.
This is also a point of respect for all financial practitioners, including Wang Nuo, for the World Financial Institute, they may not be able to achieve their goals in their lifetime, but they have been striving for the goal, and the financial circle needs this group of defenders, and the financial circle is willing to provide remuneration for this group of defenders.
But this does not mean that the World Financial Exchange is omnipotent, and while waiting for the results, Wang Nuo is very excited.
He knew the result, but more importantly, before he knew the result, he used his analysis and Liu Ye to fight a little, and most importantly, he was on the right side.
In the financial circle, there are more people with professional ability, and completely rational analysis is actually very boring, and what you need to do is to directly take out those rational analyses and use them, and then express your own views on a certain variable, adjust the analysis conclusions, and point out the profit margins.
Just like tonight, Wang Nuo's point of view comes from Liuye's professional analysis, without Liuye's professional analysis, he doesn't see the possibility of abnormality at all, but ...... Who cares?
In this industry, the comparison is different views on the same variables, Wang Nuo saw that he had this talent, coupled with the existence of an honest pen, he was confident enough to overpower others.
Tao Xiu and Wang Dan are also full of interest, insiders look at the doorway, laymen look at the excitement, they don't know any professional data, but they know that Wang Nuo is bullish and Liu Ye is bearish.
"Shouldn't this guy be able to win Liuye again?" Tao Xiu looked at Wang Nuo, not knowing what he was thinking.
Although he couldn't understand their debate, Wang Nuo couldn't win Liuye, it was just his luck last time. Wang Dan is a staunch supporter of Liuye, she is also a graduate of Shanghai Institute of Finance, even if she did not study finance, she also knows the weight of her classmates in the Department of Finance.
"The fairness maintained by Shijin is not so low!" Liu Ye was full of confidence and even a little paranoid.
At 10:30 p.m., the U.S. securities market began to trade, and the AAA behind the U.S. sovereign credit rating remained unchanged, but the assessment time was refreshed to April 4 this year.
When the dust settled, the dollar jumped directly from 93.3615 to 93.7165, an increase of 0.38%.