Chapter 63: Eyes burn
"The research group where Wang Nuo works is aimed at the stock market, and there is also a trend of subdividing the research industry, you think financial research is to study everything. Tao Xiu subconsciously said something for Wang Nuo.
"Currency exchange rates will affect the stock market, and in macro research, exchange rate changes are a key point that cannot be avoided. Wang Nuo squeezed his eyes at Tao Xiu, but the words he said made the other party almost want to make a grimace to show that his kindness was not reciprocated.
"Oh, forget it, listen to Brother Ye's opinion first, maybe you can make some quick money. Wang Dan quietly squeezed his eyes at Liu Ye, and almost carved the five big characters "I want to be a matchmaker" on his face.
Liu Ye was suddenly full of spirit, he was frustrated again and again on the road of pursuing Tao Xiu, but in fact, many of the people around Tao Xiu had the mentality of matching them, and now that Wang Dan has also joined this team, the success rate must have increased greatly.
"Judging by the U.S. non-farm payrolls data for March...... IPI ...... in the United States The likelihood of a credit rating downgrade will be ...... In my opinion......"
Under the gaze of Wang Nuo, Tao Xiu and Wang Dan, Liu Ye showed himself without hesitation, and he talked endlessly about his analysis of the market.
"I think that the probability of a downgrade of the US credit rating by the World Financial Exchange is about the same as not lowering it, and the dollar has not paid a moderate depreciation for it, which means that we can participate in the short selling of the dollar in moderation. After a while, Liu Ye made a summary.
This is a very simple financial investment thinking, a news leads to a financial target rise and fall probability is in 50%, then its real-time price should be interpreted as neither rising nor falling, if you think its real-time price is high, then short selling is the best choice.
As long as you trade more times, you can pile up the probability of profit to 100%.
Liu Ye smiled, looking at Wang Nuo, Tao Xiu, and Wang Dan who fell into silence, he was very satisfied.
Wang Nuo has a feeling of being taught to be a man, and I have to say that the other party's analysis and investment methods are impeccable, which is the ability of a financial student with a background in the World Financial Institute.
From fundamentals to data, from surface to point, extract your own arguments from a large number of arguments, and then invest in the most secure way, this is a professional financial investor.
I can lose, but I can't always lose, I want to use every investment that is not 100% profitable, and create an investment career that is close to 100% profit.
In terms of professionalism, Wang Nuo saw the gap between himself and Liu Ye.
It's just that in this place in the financial circle, the most correct person is probably not the most professional person, and Liu Ye's analysis seems too rational.
Even if he does not use an honest pen, Wang Nuo only thinks that the dollar will rise based on the little information he has just read.
Very simply, Liu Ye is a good person and thinks that the World Financial Exchange can definitely maintain fairness, so he analyzes the market very rationally and objectively, but because of this, he ignores some dark sides and market psychology.
Wang Nuo is not as "pure" as Liu Ye.
If I were the United States, and the World Financial Exchange was going to downgrade my credit rating, would I be stupid enough to play fair with it?
Is there any frustration in this? What are the Wall Street bunch of people playing? Why hasn't the dollar depreciated proportionately? Wang Nuo believes in the data, but he believes in the interests even more, and the bright data undoubtedly reveals some dark things.
The "pure" Liu Ye uses rationality to analyze the market, but Wang Nuo, a "bad guy", will use his worldview to try to find out the problem while looking at the data rationally, whose personality is closer to the bloodthirsty Wall Street wolves?
Is this the experience that Liuye needs to accumulate in the financial circle? When to know unfairness, when to know how to maintain fairness. Wang Nuo thought silently in his heart: "So, I don't agree with his point of view, and ...... I can know the answer in advance. ”
After listening to Liuye's market analysis, Wang Nuo felt that he had learned something again, but after holding the honest pen in his hand, he had higher requirements for the probability of success in his heart.
Wang Nuo just hesitated, and did not stand up to refute Liu Ye's point of view for the time being.
"Eh, Wang Nuo, what do you think? Otherwise, we will all buy a little bit according to Brother Ye's analysis?" Wang Dan was unwilling to give up any opportunity to make money, and he was ready to sell his favor to Liu Ye.
"According to the analysis of the top students of Northwestern University of Finance and Economics, how can we be qualified to refute the scum of the three Shanghai Institute of Finance. Wang Nuo laughed and laughed at himself.
"No ambition, you're also a researcher in the research group. Wang Dan's eyes rolled, and then he said something that was a little out of line: "Although it is not as good as a high-achieving student like Brother Ye who casually takes an employment contract." ”
"Dandan. Tao Xiu was a little dissatisfied, she could recognize Wang Dan's careful thinking of "selling girlfriends", but she didn't approve of Wang Dan's way of belittling Wang Nuo, even if Wang Dan's words were very objective.
"Oh, Wang Nuo, I'm not stepping on you, it's just ...... Forget it, I don't know how to say it, you won't be angry, will you. Wang Dan said with a smile.
Women can't escape the comparison when they see men, Wang Dan thinks that if she wants to match Liuye and Tao Xiu, the best way is to compare all the men of the right age around Tao Xiu with Liuye.
Male A is not as good as Liuye, male B is not as good as Liuye, and male C is not as good as Liuye, when all the men of the right age around Tao Xiu are not as good as Liuye, Wang Dan feels that Tao Xiu will subconsciously feel that Liuye is very good, and then the two will "have lovers and eventually become married", and she, of course, can get a lot of benefits as a matchmaker.
"I don't agree with Brother Liu's words. Wang Nuo endured it and couldn't help but say this.
At this time, Wang Nuo can swear to the sky that he is really not jealous because of the wind, nor does he want to slap Wang Dan in the face, but ...... I really don't agree with Liu Ye's point of view.
Right is right, wrong is wrong, I don't think you are right, I want to say my own opinion, Wang Nuo is actually a bit of a financial researcher, Wang Dan's disparagement, just accelerated the process.
"Capital, you underestimate the role of capital. Wang Nuo pointed out sharply and said: "You should regard the foreign exchange market as a strong and effective market, but in my opinion, it is a semi-strong and effective or weakly effective market, and even at some times, it can be an ineffective market." ”
"Why is the decline not enough, because the capital power that stabilizes the credit rating of the United States has the advantage, and your so-called investment opportunities are actually the harvesting area left by capital, and all the selling orders against the dollar in this area are the objects of capital devouring. ”
"Data doesn't deceive, but data is deceptive, and what you see is a little different from what I see. ”
Wang Nuo said his point of view loudly, which made Wang Dan and Tao Xiu confused, and also made Liu Ye's eyes seem to burn.