Chapter 280: Almost 100%
"Aren't you optimistic about ......" Ren Likun said half a sentence, and then joked with a smile: "I learned to keep a hand so quickly." ”
Yes, it is normal for futures speculators to communicate with each other, Ren Likun thought that Wang Nuo understood this practice, and he agreed with it on the surface, but he was a little disappreciative in his heart.
With hundreds of millions of funds in his hands, of course, he has to fool around the existence of an opponent, Wang Nuo just has so much money, why bother.
Showing himself, integrating into the circle, and then getting more information is what Ren Likun thinks Wang Nuo should do.
"It's not a hand, but Mr. Ren's news makes me more cautious. Wang Nuo shook his head and said, but at this moment, he was still a little excited.
In contact with Ren Likun, what Wang Nuo wants to get is information, and now there are clues, how can he not be excited.
Originally, the view of the futures market was that there would be a market, but the strength was limited to a certain level, and now with Ren Likun's information, Wang Nuo is more inclined to think that the change area is wider, and the strength is unknown.
"The same funds, placed on futures products with poor correlation, will cause a large range of volatility, if you put it on black futures......" Wang Nuo explained again: "How can I see it." ”
"That's right. Ren Likun sighed: "But if it's in a narrow area, I won't be able to get this information." ”
"Mr. Ren is too modest. Wang Nuo made a joke.
Ren Likun also smiled, just as the kitchen had made a supper, he and Wang Nuo chatted while eating.
From Ren Likun's words, Wang Nuo also knew the other party's attitude.
Ren Likun's idea is very simple, he gives Wang Nuo a message, and Wang Nuo gives a feedback, what he values is Wang Nuo's analytical ability, and what Wang Nuo values is Ren Likun's news channel.
But...... Wang Nuo said that Ren Likun thought too much.
If it does not cause the energy consumption of the honest pen, Wang Nuo does not mind telling Ren Likun his opinion, if there is consumption, then ...... Mr. Ren, you always stay where it's cool.
As for the next collaboration...... As long as Wang Nuo has always guaranteed the identity of the winner, Ren Likun will always choose to cooperate.
Wang Nuo doesn't give feedback, maybe it's because the information you give is not enough?
"What a little fox. Late at night, when the driver sent Wang Nuo home, Ren Likun recalled his conversation with Wang Nuo and couldn't help laughing and scolding.
After returning to the dormitory, Wang Nuo immediately sorted out the information given by Ren Likun.
To sum up, the information given by Ren Likun reveals a message that the funds pouring into the futures market did not choose futures contracts with poor correlation with other products, but were likely to be distributed in black futures.
Therefore, the seemingly huge amount of money is not necessarily enough.
As soon as this happens, what is even more serious is that the long and short are not the advantage of the bulls as Wang Nuo imagined, but the long and short are evenly matched.
Because...... The funds that poured into the market, it also chose to short.
It's all because of one word: quantity.
When the stall is large, the amount of funds is not very sufficient, so the long and short diverge, forming a relatively chaotic battlefield.
Wang Nuo doesn't have a position in his hand now, he can go long or short if he wants, of course, he can also choose not to enter.
No matter how sluggish the stock market is, relying on the analysis support of the research institute and his own information sources, the probability of Wang Nuo making money is still quite large.
But...... It's still a matter of time, and for Wang Nuo, steady development is no development.
After thinking about it for a while, after reading most of the documents, it became obvious what could be determined.
"Don't do long-term. "First of all, that's for sure.
If it takes half a year for funds to start in and out, it is better to sit back and wait for the next change in the financial market.
In other words, the short and medium term will only enter the market. Wang Nuo's mind finally came up with a plan: "Stretch it to one month?" The proportion of energy consumption of the honest pen is fixed on the timeline, but the opportunities and probabilities of the market on the timeline are not fixed......
"If I stretch the timeline to a month, I might be able to choose a suitable entry point. Looking at the honest pen that was turned to the illusion by himself, Wang Nuo made a decision.
Cut down the energy variables for the next 40 days or so, and then ...... Sit back and wait for the market to change.
Tens of millions of funds are thrown into the futures market, if you choose small products and high leverage, it may be a small variable, and if you choose large products, the influence will be very small.
Among the black futures, the largest product is naturally rebar.
The position of 2 million lots, the current average daily trading volume is about 300,000 lots, the price is above 2,600 yuan per ton, 10 tons per lot is more than 26,000 yuan, and the minimum 5% margin is 1,300 yuan.
Wang Nuo's more than 11 million yuan was thrown in, and he could take more than 8,000 hands in the limit state, which must be a little eye-catching in an ordinary day.
However, if the market comes, positions and high-frequency trading, even if tens of millions of funds are put into the rebar futures market alone, that is, small and medium-sized investors.
Wang Nuo singled out the trading volume to cut it because he had the channel to know the more core information about the position situation, if the cut was a price variable, it would lead to 100% energy consumption, and the proportion of energy consumption caused by cutting other indicators was too high, which can also be said to be too low.
Knowing the trading volume, then knowing some positions, and then waiting for market changes and choosing the right entry point, this is the rhythm of Wang Nuo's choice.
However......
"!" In the early hours of the morning, a foul language suddenly burst out from Wang Nuo's room.
thought that at most ten or twenty points of honest pen energy could be done, but Wang Nuo spent almost fifty points, and the data he got made him feel a kind of pressure not to enter even if he held an honest pen.
The next day, Wednesday.
Early in the morning, after coming to the institute, Wang Nuo chose not his own office location, but the futures research department.
After seeing Wu Xuan, Wang Nuo's state made Wang Nuo a little surprised, and then the two "panda eyes" suddenly felt a sense of sympathy in their hearts.
"Chief Wu didn't go back last night?" Wang Nuo looked at Wu Xuan's haggard state, and he was a little emotional when he spoke.
"Don't want to go back. A bitter expression flashed on Wu Xuan's face, but soon there was inexplicable excitement in his eyes, and the palm placed under the desk was clenched into a fist, and said, "You shouldn't go back." ”
"You come and see, I see something interesting. Wu Xuan was very excited, picked up his laptop and walked over, put the screen in front of Wang Nuo, clicked to open a PPT file, and the data graphs swept by.
"Do you see that?" Wu Xuan was a little expectant.
If it weren't for last night's prediction, Wang Nuo wouldn't have stayed up all night looking at the data and checking the information, but now...... He really has the same cognition as Wu Xuan.
"80%?" Wang Nuo said.
"No, close to 90%! You're too picky, this thing is a 90% overlap rate!" Wu Xuan waved his hand and said: "History will always repeat itself, I don't know what the premise of the same is, but the trend of the data before the change has a high overlap rate with the market trend during this time......
"Look at this again, all the overlapping data, nearly 60% of the trends that appeared after that, yesterday's soybean meal futures market changes, it was too timely!" Wu Xuan seemed to be incoherent.
Wang Nuo admired the other party a little, but for him, it was actually almost 100%.