Chapter 513: It must be buried
For financial scholars, they don't care how much money the institutions in the industry make, they may have a time when they are meritorious, but on the whole, they are relatively pure.
That's why a large number of academics have given up high-paying jobs in the industry to accept hires from state institutions to provide think tanks for China's financial system.
This is not one or two people, it is what the entire Chinese financial universities are doing, the second-level Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, the Beijing University of Finance and Economics, the higher-level Beijing University and other universities, all scholars in the field of finance and economics, will not refuse the opportunity to become a committee member of the central bank or a subordinate institution of the central bank.
It is status, it is the recognition of state institutions, and it is also ...... A pursuit.
In the era when there was no war in a big country, finance was a digital battlefield, and Wang Nuo didn't understand Liu Dechuan's group of people watching the country's financial system be built from scratch and from existence to strength.
As long as there is a possibility, Liu Dechuan and his group don't mind giving the central bank some suggestions that "may lose money", maybe they will lose, but it is extremely difficult to get a chance to suffocate the opponent's economy.
Every country's central bank is not thinking about making money, but thinking about how to protect itself...... Kill your opponents.
Due to the increasingly closely interconnected model of international finance, central banks cannot really kill a rival who is too large, so it has become the highest pursuit to erase the development space of the opponent as much as possible.
Liu Dechuan can understand that Wang Nuo's research report only exposes the possibility, and this possibility is likely to lead to a loss in the investment of China's Huichu, but ...... It can suffocate the development space of the Japanese economy.
Not killing the opponent, but also allowing the opponent to hang like half dead, this is the greatest success.
For the major powers, a lethal trick will not apply to them, just like the central bank of China, dare to directly sell trillions of dollars? If you do this, the next second will be a world war.
After Liu Dechuan finished speaking, he deliberately closed the office door before dialing the number.
Wang Nuo is a little blindsided, he doesn't know why this kind of research report is denied in the eyes of the green corner, why Liu Dechuan values it so much.
And why did the green corner remind Wang Nuo: he is Chinese.
There is a strange smell in this, but from Liu Dechuan's attitude, Wang Nuo vaguely knows something.
Wang Nuo invests in order to make a profit, the country is not, the interest is never a simple money number, but the bloody thing behind the number, and he ...... If the right advice is given, the central bank will not mind letting the "sons and daughters" engage in a wave of venture capital.
The Department of Foreign Exchange Savings should not eat too much leverage, and they don't touch high-risk areas, but when they make big moves, they don't mind letting the small characters in the same sphere of influence add fuel to the fire, and if they succeed, everyone makes money together, and if they fail, there is no way, after all, the world's largest asset management institutions have all taken action, and failure is not a crime of war.
The object of Liu Dechuan's contact was Su Jiyue, the first person in the academic pyramid of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, and Professor Su, who is 63 years old this year, did not start teaching classes a few years ago, but accepted the invitation of the foreign exchange bureau, hung up the hat of a member of a certain committee, and continued to shine.
For people at Su Jiyue's level, reading a piece of data information every year, filtering it and then giving opinions is all the work, and they basically don't distinguish between you and me, but set their sights on a higher level.
"Professor Su, I have something for you to see......" Liu Dechuan is almost ten years younger than Su Jiyue, but he is almost a generation shorter, and he seems a little cautious when he speaks.
With Liu Dechuan's narration, Wang Nuo's heart slowly rose, he is not qualified to participate in this kind of thing, but as long as it is just a few words, it is enough for him to get more certainty.
There is no need for a definite answer on the phone, or in fact it is impossible to have a definite answer, but what Wang Nuo needs is to see if the world's largest asset management institution knows about this possibility, and if it does, then ...... It's almost a foregone conclusion.
Moreover, other market participants have less grasp than Wang Nuo, that is, what is deduced from the trend of the Australian dollar, as long as this thing is added, it is possible to come up with an investment profit plan that is infinitely close to success.
"Whose plan?" After listening to Liu Dechuan's narration, a slightly hoarse voice sounded on the phone, and Su Jiyue's tone also had a hint of surprise, "I know, not only we know, everyone knows, it's not a secret." ”
With a "hum", Wang Nuo almost didn't dare to hear it himself.
"The strong liquidity of the yen is precisely the reason why the effect of QE in Japan is not obvious, which is different from the dollar, and negative interest rates are just a further test, an opportunity or a trap. Su Jiyue repeated: "It's not a secret. ”
In the financial world, there is never a so-called 100% win rate in the top-level confrontation, and every strategy is to test the market's reaction, and the market's reaction may be controlled, or it may be ...... No.
Wang Nuo just said a possibility, the central bank can even give 180 different trends, they also have a lot of filings on the table, for the national central bank, what they have to do is to operate according to the status quo when the market changes, what possibility they can't imagine?
On the other hand, the United States knows about this kind of thing, Europe knows it, and Japan knows it, and everyone is not stupid, and the negative interest rate carry model extended by the carry trade, when the interest rate may be negative, everyone has already come up with several possible models.
There are a lot of things that I don't know, and for this group of institutions, what they want is not profits, but on the premise of trying not to lose money, to get a greater right to speak, and even to lose money to get the right, which is also feasible.
On top of that, the central bank of China, the major institutions in the United States, the wolves in Europe, and the rich people in the Middle East all don't know what other people are thinking, and they are not sure how the market will go, so they can only say that they can do their best and make profits according to the situation, rather than I can sit back and relax with a plan.
Liu Dechuan looked very disappointed, he thought that Wang Nuo's research report was very outstanding, but he didn't expect that Yang Ma was worthy of being Yang Ma, which made him lose a chance to show his face.
For Wang Nuo, he heard the best news and gained some enlightenment.
Don't underestimate other people in the financial circle, when you think that there are interests in the place, there will definitely be people staring at them, and the purpose of coming to Shanghai Finance University has also been achieved, Su Jiyue doesn't seem to have revealed anything, but he is already helping Yang Ma to give "maternal love".
The central bank is ready, and if the timing is right, it will definitely be 100% will, because "it's not a secret".
What Wang Nuo lacks is only this.
If Japan has negative interest rates, the yen depreciates, space appears, major institutions take action, and the yen ...... After the reversal, life and death are divided.
If negative interest rates cannot be saved, the yen will be suffocated within a certain range, and in the final analysis, this is a big gamble by the Japanese authorities.
Wang Nuo also made up the last factor: don't guess whether others know or not, of course institutions know that as long as the market gives corresponding feedback, institutions will make corresponding operations, and the choice of the Central Bank of China is ...... Even if the market doesn't give enough feedback, you have to lose money to push it.
China's attitude toward Japan is: If you dare to die, I will dare to bury you, if you don't die, I will bury you alive, in short, you will bury you.