Chapter 373: Wall Street Fox's Sense of Smell

For the first time, Link discovered that weekends passed faster than weekdays. It seemed like two days had passed in the blink of an eye, and he had to go to work again.

He was still half an hour late that day, and as soon as he arrived at the office, Anne told him, "Mr. Geddes has just come to you." ”

He stopped and asked, "Did he say what happened?"

"No, I just hope you're here, let me let him know. ”

He nodded and said, "I'll call him." ”

As soon as he sat down, he called Neil, who heard that he had come to work and immediately said, "I'll come down right away!"

Link pressed the intercom and asked Anne to prepare two cups of coffee. Within two minutes, Neil knocked on the door.

Link found that he was moving a little faster today than ever. In the past, Neil was a bit old-fashioned, under normal circumstances, he could walk about 100 steps a minute, and each step was about 60 centimeters, but now he has at least 15 steps per minute, and his stride length is also larger.

He asked, "Is there something big going on?"

Neil was about to speak when he heard a knock on the door. He glanced back at Anne who had opened the door, and he shut his mouth again. When Anne brought him coffee, he said, "Thank you, Anne." After a pause, he said. "When you go out, please lock the door for the time being. ”

Anne was stunned for a moment, glanced at Link, and saw that he didn't say anything, then smiled at Neil and nodded: "Okay!"

Link's request for Neil is also a bit strange. After Anne closed the door, he asked, "What the hell are you going to tell me?"

"I think you have also noticed the international crude oil prices in the past two years. ”

Link certainly knew that even if he wasn't paying attention, every month he would receive a statement, which was a real-time price list of Fairville Peak crude oil sales. His crude oil sales are not sold exactly according to the international crude oil price, but are settled once a day, according to the average of the highest and lowest prices of the day.

"What's the matter? Do you see any big market?"

"I'm just suspicious!" Neil muttered. "I remember you and Furren being involved in the last big oil market. ”

Link nodded, and it was because of that that time that Flen turned over again. He said: "But it was completely operated by Flren, and I didn't know anything about crude oil futures before." Do you think there will be big fluctuations in crude oil prices in the near future?"

"I'm just guessing. Neil didn't seem to be sure, as if he was analyzing it for Link, and as if he was trying to convince himself. "You know, the international crude oil trade is huge, and it is impossible to control it with a single agency or a combination of several institutions. Sudden fluctuations in the price of crude oil are due to major political or economic factors, or due to some natural disaster. ”

Link recalls what he's seen on the internet and finds that it's really like that. If there is a war in the oil-producing countries, the price of oil will definitely rise, and if there is a major change in the world economy, the price of crude oil will also change. Some sudden disasters may also affect the supply of crude oil in some countries, which will also make crude oil prices rise in a short period of time, such as the last big market for crude oil.

He remembered that Fllen gave him an analysis at the time, that it should be Wall Street artificially magnifying the impact of the cold, and finally affecting the lack of crude oil supply. There seems to be a shadow of the government, otherwise the government would not have given early warning of the great cold wave.

It's just that this time Neil thinks that there will be a big market for crude oil, and what is the basis for his judgment: "You mean, there is a possibility that something big enough will happen to affect the price of crude oil?"

"I'm not sure. Neil frowned and shook his head. "However, I noticed that in the past quarter, U.S. crude oil reserves were about 5% higher than they were a year ago. Moreover, some large structures that are close to the government, as well as investment institutions of large banks, are optimistic about crude oil. They invest no less than $30 billion in principal in the futures market. ”

"But I haven't heard of a particularly stiff fight between the United States and that country lately, and the weather is about to warm up, and the hurricane season is not yet here. Link thought for a moment and said with a smile. "Could it be that something is wrong with the politics of the major oil-producing countries?"

"I started to have that kind of suspicion. However, there are no major problems in the major oil-producing countries. Even if there is a coup d'Γ©tat, the supply of crude oil will not be interrupted. So the politics of oil-producing countries will not have much impact on oil prices. Unless there is a civil war. But none of the oil-producing countries showed signs of civil war. ”

"Will there be a change in U.S. oil policy, such as banning certain oil and whatever? ”

Neil thought for a moment, shook his head and said, "Impossible. Those oil fields are controlled by the big conglomerates in the United States. He lowered his eyes as if in deep thought, and finally looked up. "I suspect they know something is going to happen there. And that kind of thing will definitely lead to an increase in oil prices. ”

Link thought for a while, but he really couldn't think of anything that would make the price of oil fluctuate suddenly.

Neil lowered his voice to voice his suspicions: "Like a terrorist attack!"

Link was taken aback and said, "In America?"

"No, of course not. Neil shook his head and said. "The economy of the United States is not good right now, and if there is a major terrorist attack in the United States, it will only hurt the United States itself. ”

Link listened to him and was genuinely frightened. His eyes flashed for a moment, and he whispered, "You mean." The U.S. government supports ......"

"It's not like they haven't done anything like that!" Neil nodded. "More than 10 years ago, the chaos in the Middle East was not all caused by the United States? ”

A thought crossed Link's head, and he said, "Dollars?"

"That's right. Neil laughed, and Link's ability to say those two words proves that he doesn't know anything about American finance. "The euro now accounts for 27% of world trade settlements, and the renminbi is on the rise. The position of the US dollar has been strongly challenged. The U.S. has almost no manufacturing industry, and for the dollar to remain strong, it will have to get other countries to use more dollars. ”

He paused for a moment and added, "And now the main crude oil trade is still settled in dollars." ”

So the U.S. government wants oil prices to rise in order to get more dollars into circulation?

Link was silent. He wondered how likely Neil was to say.

The more he thought about it, the more he thought it was possible. The United States really needs a lot of oil. But the United States itself is one of the world's largest oil producers. No matter how high the import price of crude oil is, consumers will pay in the end, and they can even sell the reserve price of crude oil at a high price. Therefore, oil companies will not oppose the increase in crude oil prices, and maybe they will add fuel to the fire.

However, the proportion of the U.S. manufacturing industry in the national economy is very low, and the rise in crude oil prices will not cause the U.S. economy to be substantially harmed. And if these people go bankrupt, they just shake these industries and then merge.

And the U.S. doesn't necessarily push oil prices too high. As long as it remains within the acceptable range of Americans in the end. Then the United States will not break its bones. For example, raise the price of crude oil to sixty or seventy dollars per barrel. Americans will not feel unbearable, but it can improve the status of the dollar a lot, and maybe it can also promote the return of dollars to the United States, so that the American stock market will have a big bull market.

Thinking of this, he looked at Neil and said, "You want to give it a try?" Of course he knew that Neil had come to him to say this, not to let him know about it.

"Yes. I want to give it a try!"

Link hesitated for a moment and asked, "How sure are you?" if what Neil said was true. Then he doesn't have to be afraid that someone will deliberately go short in order to deal with Neil. Because tens of billions of dollars have already been invested, it is very difficult to turn around.

His only concern was that Neil would make a mistake in judgment. Futures and stocks are two different things, and a small movement can lead to huge losses.

"If I could decide for myself, I would do it 100 percent. ”

Neil's answer left him at a loss for what to say. He thought for a moment and then asked, "How much money are you going to use?"

"GE stock hasn't been picked up much. I still have twelve dollars in my hand. If you agree, I'm going to do it with that $1.2 billion. ”

Hearing him say that he didn't need to allocate funds, Link didn't turn the corner: "Aren't you very confident?"

"The principal of 1.2 billion is already a lot. Neil smiled. "Of course, if you can allocate more money, I definitely don't have a problem. ”

"What are you going to do?"

"New York, London, Frankfurt, Tokyo, Hong Kong and Singapore, I intend to spread my money across these six exchanges. ”

Link heard him say this and knew he was trying to avoid the eyes and ears of the others. He thought for a while and said, "Let Claire transfer another $2.4 billion to you." But the $2.4 billion will only give you two months at most. After two months, it will be returned to the bank along with the proceeds. ”

Neil told him about this, just to get his consent and let him use the funds of the financial investment company to operate crude oil. Now seeing that he plans to double the principal again, he is inevitably a little moved in his heart, and says, "I can't guarantee that there will be a big return." But I promise that even if I lose, I will never lose much. ”

Link nodded, smiled and said, "I think you should let people know that Neil Geddes is still a figure who can dominate the speculative market." ”

Neil smiled, stood up and said, "I'm going to New York tomorrow." I'd like to talk to Fren. If this time it was really the way I thought, and I didn't tell him, he might have flown himself and hit me. ”

His joke was a little cold, but anyone who really knew Fren couldn't help but laugh out loud.

Flon has a fear of flying!

Link smiled and said, "Okay." Yes, he should be told. "Not to mention that Stoll has half of his shares, even if Flon doesn't plan to participate this time. Fren can also help Neil with his analysis, which will definitely help Neil.

He thought Neil should think the same way. If you just want to inform Fren, you can just call or other means, and you don't have to go to New York at all.

Maybe Neil also learned the lesson of the failure and bankruptcy of the last gold operation, and now he doesn't dare to be too confident.

This is good for him and Link.