Chapter 8: Confusion and Escape

"First of all, make sure of one thing," Hikiya naturally took on the responsibility of analyzing the problem, "Is this picture real?"

"There was no problem with the photo, but it wasn't the kind of problem we were discussing with Kogi at the time. Yui replied a little nervously, I hadn't seen her when she first came to the ministry, but the situation now must be not much different from then.

"It's okay if the photos are real, it doesn't really matter what you say, what matters is what the audience wants to believe, and it's obviously more exciting than three people drinking tea and chatting carefree. ”

"If we were really going to do this kind of backroom deal, would the three of us be able to do it in such a place where other people could easily see it?" said weakly under the snow, holding his forehead.

"If the masses who are interested in this news have the ability to think about this layer, this news will not make too many waves. After all, the campus is not an entertainment industry, and students' ability to distinguish gossip news is not so strong. ”

I'm reminded of another conspiracy theory incident I solved for Koharu, and the two seemed to have similarities, profiting from providing a story that would catch the public's attention in a reasonably inferential way without conclusive evidence.

Of course, there are many differences between the two, the most direct point is the beneficiary of this incident. In the Koharu incident, the beneficiaries are the head of the soccer department whose name I have forgotten, and the conspirators in the student council who were finally revealed. However, this time the conspiracy theory incident, although the damage area is quite extensive, there is no way to find a clear direct beneficiary

- Of course, if I have to say, this man is Isseki, however, I can't imagine that she, who has been running in elections in a dignified way, would use such despicable means.

Second, there is more evidence for this incident, and a photograph involving three people can make people think about it, and it will also make people more inclined to believe the established hypothesis, that is, the solution of using one other hypothesis to confuse people and then fish in troubled waters will not work.

Finally, there is the perfection of the reasoning of events, which perfectly explains the connection of a series of coincidences through known facts, interlocking logical faces. When a coincidence becomes a coincidence, people believe that it is a coincidence, but when someone connects the coincidences, they also believe that it is not a coincidence.

"The difficulty with this incident is that these things are so abnormal," explained Hikiya, circling the newspaper next to him, "and when people find out that these things are potentially connected, it doesn't work to say that they are unrelated." Of course, our chances are also here, that is, they are given the fact that the event, there is a problem. ”

After sorting out my thoughts in my head, I roughly understood what Biqigu meant. The "truthfulness" of the news this time depends on the "reasonable inference" of the established news facts, but if the so-called "facts" of the news are not facts, then they fundamentally overturn their assumptions.

"So, let's look at a few of the so-called 'facts' mentioned in the news, one is the photo of the three of them eating together, to be honest, it's hard to deny, logically denying this is certainly valid, but no one wants to talk to you about this logic. ”

Xue Xia and her sister nodded silently. None of them are stupid and can easily accept this. Of course, no one will believe what I said about the three-person dinner, and the problem is that even if there is a third party to prove it, the likelihood of being inclined to believe the testimony of a third party is not high, and this is where public opinion differs from the court.

"The second point is the relationship between Yukishita and your sister," Hikiya continued, "To be honest, this is a point that can be exploited, Yukishita's relationship with Miss Yono is not good, this can be proven, and the conflict between you and Miss Yono in the executive committee can be testified to by many executive members. While conspiracy theorists can think that this situation is part of your acting skills, at this point the number of people who believe in such conspiracy theories will be greatly reduced, and people will naturally resent the idea that what they see is an illusion. ”

"However, there are two questions here: one is the question of whether you yourself are willing to make this situation public under the snow, and many people's private observation and self-admission of this result are two different things, and admitting this result yourself will also put ' The second is Miss Yono's own reaction, which is unpredictable, or in other words, she is likely to refuse to admit that she is not on good terms with Xuexia, and if she makes this choice, then we will be completely passive, and Xuexia will become an even worse person who will not hesitate to abandon her family in order to clear her name. Of course, whether anyone is willing to testify for us is another level of question, and to be honest, this question is not difficult to solve. ”

I looked at my eyes under the snow, and the blue-green pupils drooped the moment they made contact with me. This kind of situation, which does not conform to the usual style under the snow, but has been seen many times in recent times, has already told me the answer.

"I don't care about these comments myself, but my sister's words-"

Actually, I still don't know why she asked me to join her band at the time, the idea was to get Xiaoxue's approval, but now it seems that it is not so simple. My sister patted her head in distress.

"I'll skip my question first!" said Snowy Valley, softly.

She flinched under the snow, but she still chose to escape, and she still chose to escape without even thinking about the possibility of communicating with her sister.

Under the snow recently, I feel especially cowardly.

Would a person who had been on crutches really be scared after suddenly letting her walk independently? Even under the snow, Yukino seemed to be no exception.

"The next, and the last, is the biggest flaw in this news report, enough to overturn all its assumptions, and it is also the fact that I think is the easiest to refute," Hikiya's eyes narrowed, "Although I myself am not sure, I believe that the confession of Kogi Yu's predecessors is true, right?"

My sister and the eyes under the snow instantly fixed on me. I don't know if it's because I'm not sure or because I don't want to put extra pressure on me.

"Among the three people involved in the scandal, Yubihama is the biggest beneficiary, and he can get the crown of Miss Taketaka, and Yukishita, as Yubihama's close friend, has a considerable possibility of creating conditions for Yubihama. Everyone can see that the only thing that can't be explained is what Xiao Mu Cao's predecessors did and what Xiao Mu Cao's predecessors were able to get, of course, the so-called special award dark box operation can explain the latter. However, is the goal of Kogi Sao's predecessor's confession at the cultural festival really just to cover up for Yubihama?"

"In other words, if Yukina-kogi's confession is the right person," Hikiya looked at everyone and continued to say confidently, "then her confession can't be tinged with conspiracy theories, and if she uses this shocking confession as a means to serve others, then the object of her confession will definitely be very angry, right?" In other words, as long as Yukina's confession is true, the conspiracy theory against her will not be valid, and there will be loopholes in the entire logical chain, and this kind of loophole logic will naturally not be believed. ”

"So, what we have to do is to find the 'confession partner'. For the first time, Bikiya turned his gaze in my direction, and this time, he stared at me unscrupulously and unreservedly.

Sure enough, people who know the situation have been able to deduce the inside story?

I just laughed at Yukino's escape under the snow, and now, it seems that it is my turn to escape.

However, before I could make a declaration of escape, two voices in unison took the lead.

"No way!"

From Sister Yui, and the same voice under the snow.

Glancing at each other in surprise, my sister preemptively said in a very Yui Hihama style: "No, since Kohe-well, I mean that the person didn't respond like this, it means that he hasn't figured out what to do, and if you find that person at this time and force him to give a response, isn't it pitiful?"

It's a very Yui-sama-style answer, however, her answer doesn't explain another question.

Waiting for the unknown answer, isn't she pitiful?

I know that, I know this very well, so I hate my evasion, I hate my non-solution, so, I want to fix this after the student council election is done.

I had planned it well, but the news ruined everything.

However, Yui-san is also really, and when everyone was careful not to mention my name, she exposed the person in question like this.

"Well, my objection is here," Xue Xia glanced at me and said, "If that personβ€”if it's someone close to us, like someone's brother or something, then even if that person stands up to Kogi Senpai-senpai in person, it will be considered a person we made up deliberately, right?" ”

"As long as you agree, and then in fact you have a relationship, then this kind of doubt will disappear, right? After all, the three of them know each other, and it is understandable that the circle of friends overlaps with each other. Hikiya retorted calmly.

"What if, the answer is noβ€”at least not now?"

"So, Yubihama, do you think that person would do that?"

"I'm just suggesting a possibility, but why did Mr. Kiya have such confidence in that person's response. ”

"I'm just imagining the best-case scenario, and if the kind of situation you say happens, there's nothing I can do about it. Biqigu sighed, shook his head and said.

The discussion on this issue seems to have stalled here.

No one has been able to come up with better ideas for solving problems, and no one has been able to judge the previous impasse.

The second hand of the newly purchased alarm clock in the ministry in the classroom was ticking and turning, which was particularly harsh at this time.

"Let's get here today, right?" began the expectation of temporary relief with the minister's announcement, "After all, the problem has been sorted out, and we can go back and think about the solution to the problem, what do you think?"

"Well, no problem. ”

"I've said everything I want to say. ”

"Acceptable. ”

Maybe it's because we're too tired, so we all ignore that this is a rare time to ask for everyone's opinions.

"Yubihama, was your answer sincere at the time?" After the disbandment, Hikiya asked me again when there was no one.

"I'm just making a hypothesis. "I continued to run away from the other person's questions.

But escapism is not the answer, especially when the last heroine of a conspiracy theory event is unavoidably in front of me.

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I feel like I'm going farther and farther on the road to death (secretly telling myself that I can hold the emotional line)