Chapter 073 It's better to be blocked

The year 2008 is finally a thing of the past.

2008 is a turning point in the world economic growth cycle, an economic crisis caused by the financial tsunami can be said to be dominoes to destroy the world, and under the influence of this economy, China's economy has also undergone great changes, has been greatly affected, the economic growth rate has slowed down significantly, and this adverse impact has spread from the virtual economy to the real economy, from the east to the central and western regions. Therefore, how to maintain the steady growth of China's economy has become the primary task of the country's macroeconomic regulation and control.

The complex and changeable international and domestic situation has made the development of China's economy in 2008 withstand tests and challenges. Major natural disasters such as the rain, snow and ice in the south and the Wenchuan earthquake in Xichuan have caused heavy losses to the production and life of the disaster areas, which has had an adverse impact on the economy. At the same time, the financial turmoil caused by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States continues to spread around the world, the world economy is facing the risk of recession, and various uncertain factors have had an adverse impact on the Chinese economy.

The victory of the earthquake relief and the successful holding of the Beijing Olympic Games have proved the tremendous achievements made by China in the 30 years of reform and opening up. China has the foundation, space, and ability to resist the world financial crisis, and as long as effective measures are taken and actively responded, it will be able to maintain the healthy development of China's economy in the future. Experts predict that in 2008, China's economy will still reach a high growth rate of about 9.8 percent, which is comparable to the average annual growth rate in the past 30 years since the reform and opening up. At the same time, it is believed that by comprehensively using a variety of policy tools and grasping the focus, rhythm, and intensity of macroeconomic regulation and control, we will be able to maintain a good trend of relatively rapid economic growth, slowing down price increases, and improving the structure in 2009.

In 2003~2007, Huaxia actively responded to the complex and changeable international environment, focused on solving the outstanding contradictions and problems in macroeconomic operation, correctly grasped the direction, rhythm and intensity of macroeconomic regulation and control, comprehensively used a variety of macroeconomic regulation and control means and methods, not only paid attention to maintaining the continuity and stability of the policy, but also adjusted the policy in a timely and appropriate manner according to the changes in the situation, promoted the steady and rapid development of the economy, and avoided major ups and downs.

Over the past five years, macroeconomic regulation and control have been rich in content and have achieved remarkable results. China's comprehensive national strength has been significantly enhanced, social undertakings have developed in an all-round way, and the people have received more benefits. In 2007, the GDP exceeded 24 trillion yuan, an increase of 6 over 2002, rising from the sixth place to the fourth place; The country's fiscal revenue reached 5.13 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.71 times, and the total import and export volume reached the sixth place and rose to the third place.

Macroeconomic regulation and control is not a one-time exercise. In the second half of 2007, in light of the problems in China's economic operation at that time, especially the greater pressure on economic growth to turn from rapid to overheating, and the pressure on rising prices, the Central Economic Work Conference at the end of 2007 put forward the goal of "double prevention", that is, to prevent economic growth from turning from rapid to overheating, and to prevent prices from turning from structural rise to obvious inflation.

In 2008, the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States deepened, the world economic growth slowed down, and many countries faced greater inflationary pressure. Historically rare low-temperature, rain, snow, and freezing disasters, catastrophic earthquakes, and floods have occurred in China, causing heavy losses to the lives and property of the people in the disaster-stricken areas. In order to adapt to the changes in the situation, in July the central authorities promptly put forward the principle of "one guarantee and one control," that is, to maintain steady and relatively rapid economic development and control excessively rapid price rises as the primary task of macroeconomic regulation and control.

Now, 2008 has passed, and 2009 is quietly coming. How to face the new challenges in 2009 is not only a question for the central government of China, but also Jiangdong, which is in a leading position in China's economy, is also facing the same challenges.

In 2008, Jiangdong Province's economic and social development withstood unprecedented severe challenges. Under the leadership of the Jiangdong Provincial Party Committee and the Provincial Government, the province's economic and social development has generally shown a good trend of "rapid growth, price stabilization, structural optimization, and improvement of people's livelihood", with a regional GDP of nearly 3.5 trillion yuan, an increase of about 12.9 percent, a local general budget revenue of 273.14 billion yuan, an increase of 22.1 percent, a total investment in fixed assets of 1,506.15 billion yuan, an increase of 22.7 percent, and a total retail sales of consumer goods of 966.14 billion yuan, an increase of 23.3 percent. The total import and export volume of foreign trade was 392.27 billion US dollars, an increase of 12.2 percent. Specifically, it presents the characteristics of seven aspects:

First, the industrial structure has been further optimized. The situation of agricultural production is good. To further increase the investment in the "three rural" areas, the provincial financial investment in the "three rural" was 37.7 billion yuan, an increase of 60% over the previous year. The total annual grain output was 63.5 billion catties, an increase for five consecutive years. The new high-efficiency agricultural area was 2.56 million mu, and the total area of facility horticulture was developed to 6.05 million mu. We have strengthened the cultivation of fine varieties and made new progress in the construction of the quality of agricultural products. The proportion of large-scale animal husbandry breeding has increased by more than 5 percentage points. The sales revenue of the 180 leading enterprises above the provincial level included in the assessment increased by 17.1%, and the profits and taxes increased by 21.1%. More than 5,700 new rural cooperative economic organizations have been added, and land management on a moderate scale has been promoted in an orderly manner. We will continue to implement a new round of the "double growth" plan for high-tech industries, and the output value of high-tech industries will reach 1,840.2 billion yuan, an increase of 25.2 percent, accounting for 28 percent of the total number of industries above designated size. Emerging industries have developed rapidly, and the scale of solar photovoltaic and wind power equipment industries has doubled. The added value of the service industry was 1,165.6 billion yuan, an increase of 12.6 percent, accounting for 38.5 percent of the regional GDP, an increase of 0.8 percentage points over the previous year. The production and service industry developed rapidly, and the sales revenue of the software industry reached 126.2 billion yuan, an increase of 51.5 percent. New achievements have been made in the intensive development of industries, and the construction of "four along" industrial belts along the Shanghai-Nanjing line, along the Yangtze River, along the Donglonghai line and along the coast has been accelerated. Five high-tech industrial bases, including Jinning Software, Wucheng Electronic Information, Liangxi Microelectronics, Hailing Biomedicine and Gangcheng New Materials, have been recognized by the state. There are 20 provincial-level modern service industry clusters newly identified, with a total of 67. There are more than 90 enterprises with operating income exceeding 10 billion yuan.

Second, the transformation of the development mode has been accelerated. Investment in scientific and technological innovation has increased, and the investment in science and technology of the whole society has exceeded 100 billion yuan, of which 54 billion yuan has been invested in research and development. It has organized and implemented 109 provincial scientific and technological achievement transformation fund projects, built 234 new science and technology platforms at or above the provincial level, and has 147 science and technology business incubators. The number of patent applications was 128,000 and the number of patents granted was 44,600, an increase of 43.9% and 40.4% respectively. The "Double Hundred Project" of independent innovation has been accelerated. Energy consumption per unit of GDP is expected to drop by about 4.6%, and chemical oxygen demand and sulfur dioxide emissions are reduced by 4.48% and 7.2% respectively. It has completed 1,340 key emission reduction projects, eliminated more than 5 million tons of backward iron-making and steel-making capacity, 4 million kilowatts of small thermal power units, closed 3,742 small chemical production enterprises, and completed the three-year remediation target of small chemical industry one year ahead of schedule. Solid progress has been made in the prevention and control of water pollution in key river basins such as Taihu Lake, Huai River and Yangtze River, and the comprehensive treatment plan for the water environment of Taihu Lake has been fully implemented, and the water quality of Taihu Lake basin is generally better than that of the previous year. Substantial progress has been made in the paid allocation of pollutant discharge rights and regional compensation for environmental resources. The daily sewage treatment capacity of the new city is 1.165 million tons. 1.63 million mu of afforestation was planted, and the forest coverage rate increased by 1 percentage point. The number of national eco-cities has increased to five.

Third, regional development has become more coordinated. The overall development of the region has been further strengthened, and the common development of the three major regions of southern Jiangsu, central Jiangsu, and northern Jiangsu has shown a good situation. Seize the major opportunity of Jiangdong Province's coastal development as a national strategy, and start construction of a number of major infrastructure and industrial projects. Cooperate with relevant ministries and commissions of the state to prepare the development plan for the coastal area of Jiangdong, and prepare the provincial main functional area plan and the overall land use plan. Formulate 10 policies and measures to support the acceleration of the development of northern Jiangsu, formulate and introduce guidance and related policies to accelerate the revitalization of the old industrial base of Pengcheng, vigorously promote the industrial transfer and co-construction of the development zone between the north and the south, and start more than 2,000 industrial transfer projects of more than 5 million yuan in northern Jiangsu throughout the year, with a total investment of more than 120 billion yuan, and newly approved 4 north-south co-construction parks, with a total of 15 parks. The growth rate of the main economic indicators in northern Jiangsu continued to be higher than the provincial average. Support the development of advantageous and special industries in Jiangsu and China, and form a new pattern of river-sea linkage and cross-river linkage development. Guide southern Jiangsu to accelerate the transformation of development mode, enhance the ability of independent innovation, and promote industrial transformation and upgrading. Conscientiously implement the guidance of the State Council on the economic integration of the Yangtze River Delta, actively promote the economic integration of the Yangtze River Delta, and expand new space for development.

Fourth, the key construction is progressing smoothly. The 160 key projects identified at the beginning of the year have been steadily advanced, and the investment of 190 billion yuan has been completed throughout the year. The new investment of the central government is nearly 3 billion yuan, involving a total investment of 28 billion yuan. Accelerate the implementation of a number of major infrastructure projects, add 167 kilometers of expressway mileage, build 700 kilometers of national and provincial trunk roads, Wujing Bridge, Shanghai-Jiangsu-Zhejiang Expressway Jiangdong section has been completed and opened to traffic, Hailing Yangtze River Bridge, Jinning Yangtze River Bridge, Chongqi Yangtze River Bridge started construction. The railway investment was 34.7 billion yuan. The construction of the Jiangdong section of the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway, the Jinning South Railway Station of the railway, and the Shanghai-Nanjing intercity railway have started, and the preliminary work of the Shanghai-Jing Railway, the Gangyan (Gangcheng, Yandu) Railway, and the Suhuai Railway has made significant progress. Liangxi Shuofang Airport, Yandu Nanyang Airport, and Pengcheng Guanyin Airport were opened to the public, and the construction of Huaiyin Civil Airport began. Port projects such as the container berth of Gangcheng Port and the ore wharf of Hucang Port have been completed and put into operation, and the province's new port throughput capacity is 80 million tons. The pace of construction of energy projects has been accelerated, and projects such as Unit 2 of Hailing Power Plant and Yixing Pumped Storage Power Station have been completed, adding 3.75 million kVA of 500 kV substation capacity and 351 kilometers of lines. The first phase of the eastern route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project, the second phase of the southbound diversion project of the Yishusi Flood Eastward Diversion Project, and the northern extension of the Tongyu River are progressing smoothly. A number of major industrial projects such as Liangxi Hynix, Lucheng Longteng Optoelectronics, Huaiyīn Foxconn, Hailing Medical City, and Nantong Rongsheng Shipbuilding have been successfully implemented, and the development stamina has been further enhanced.

Fifth, reform and opening up have been deepened. Actively promote reforms in key areas and key links. The reform of the administrative management system has continued to deepen, and the province has explored the implementation of a management system directly over the county, and the economic management authority at the county level has been expanded. 121 administrative fees and 2 administrative funds were cancelled or stopped. Adjust the fiscal and taxation distribution system, and improve the financial system of counties directly under the control of the province. Local financial institutions have developed and expanded, and the construction of outlets of Jiangdong Bank and Jinning Bank has accelerated. Actively build a provincial credit guarantee system, and the provincial government has invested 1 billion yuan to set up a provincial credit re-guarantee company. There were 11 new domestic and foreign listed companies, and enterprises issued 28.6 billion yuan of various bonds. Various reforms in rural areas have been carried out in depth, the development of new financial organizations in rural areas has been accelerated, 23 rural microfinance companies have been established, 4 village and township banks have been put into operation, and agricultural insurance pilot projects have been fully launched. The reform of state-owned enterprises has been further deepened. The open economy continues to maintain its leading edge. The total import and export volume of foreign trade was 392.27 billion US dollars, of which exports were 238.04 billion US dollars, an increase of 12.2% and 16.9% respectively. The export structure was further optimized. General trade, exports of domestic enterprises and exports to emerging markets grew rapidly, the proportion of exports of self-owned brand products increased, and the offshore execution of international service outsourcing increased by nearly three times. The actual utilization of foreign investment was 25.12 billion US dollars, an increase of 14.7 percent. 168 projects of more than 90 million US dollars were introduced, an increase of 7.7%. The pace of "going out" has accelerated, with 232 overseas investment projects approved, and overseas Chinese agreed investment increased by 35.6%.

Sixth, people's livelihood continued to improve. The per capita disposable income of urban residents was 18,680 yuan, an increase of 14.1 percent, and the per capita net income of farmers was 7,357 yuan, an increase of 12.1 percent. The registered unemployment rate in urban areas was 3.25%, and 1.18 million new jobs were created in urban areas, exceeding one million for four consecutive years, and the dynamics of zero-employment households continued to remain zero. The social security system has been further improved, and the number of insured people has continued to increase. As of the end of December, the number of people insured in the province's basic old-age, medical and unemployment insurance reached 12.909 million, 16.042 million and 10.522 million respectively, an increase of 1.235 million, 1.684 million and 837,000 respectively over the end of the previous year, and the coverage rate was stable at more than 95%. The number of migrant workers participating in old-age insurance, medical care and work-related injury insurance reached 3.369 million, 3.756 million and 3.957 million respectively. We have intensified the construction of low-rent housing and affordable housing, started construction of 161,100 affordable housing units, added 53,100 low-rent housing units, and provided more than 110,000 low-rent housing units with rent allocation in kind and rent subsidies. Ten practical projects to improve people's livelihood have been steadily promoted, and the ten major projects for the construction of new rural areas and five new practical projects for rural areas have progressed smoothly, and the problem of safe water for 3.5 million rural residents has been solved in accordance with the schedule. The poverty alleviation project was launched, and 1 million people in poverty with an annual income of less than 2,500 yuan were lifted out of poverty.

7. Accelerate the development of social undertakings. Investment in various social undertakings has been increased. Free compulsory education in urban and rural areas has been fully implemented throughout the province after the Wucheng pilot project, the standard of financial appropriation per student in all types of schools has been raised, the debts of rural compulsory education have been basically resolved, and the debts of provincial colleges and universities for capital construction have been resolved in an all-round way. 90 per cent of students are enrolled in higher education and 38 per cent in higher education. The urban and rural public health and medical service systems have been further improved, with the participation rate of new rural cooperative medical services remaining stable at more than 95 percent, and the coverage rate of community health service centers reaching 98 percent. The construction of the three-level medical and health service network in rural areas and the health service network in urban communities has been accelerated. The public cultural service system has been further improved, 116 township cultural stations have been completed to meet the construction standards, the first batch of 174 museums, public libraries, memorial halls and patriotic education bases have been opened free of charge, 5,500 rural bookstores have been built, and 1.435 million rural cable TV users have been added. National fitness activities have been widely carried out, and the number of gold medals won by athletes in Jiangdong Province in the Beijing Olympic and Paralympic Games ranks first in the country. A number of key social undertakings have been accelerated.

……

It can be said that, judging from the data, Jiangdong is already rapidly moving towards the national leader. From the perspective of regional GDP, the GDP of Lingnan Province, which is close to the first, is almost the same, surpassing the 3,107.2 billion yuan of Qidong Province. And in terms of GDP per capita, it has also advanced by two places.

However, Xiao Chen saw a serious crisis: Jiangdong's export-oriented economy is more dependent on the international market than almost all other provinces in the country, and in the face of a global economic crisis, Jiangdong is likely to be more affected. Although this point can in turn show that Jiangdong's basic economy is already in the top position in the country, in the face of the current difficulties, Xiao Chen, as Jiangdong's No. 1, is also very worried.

According to Xiao Chen's theory, once the profits of physical investment, or rather industrial investment, fall sharply, then under the unique idea of "starting a family and starting a business" of Chinese people, more and more enterprises will invest in real estate, which will lead to further rise in housing prices, so it will fall into a terrible and extremely dead circle: housing prices are getting more and more expensive, and people are more and more unable to afford houses, so they save money to buy a house as soon as possible (live, rent, wait for appreciation), and then reduce consumption in other aspects. Enterprises and industries corresponding to these consumption are in difficulty, and these enterprises have no choice but to invest in real estate, and the price of land has been further raised, the cost of building houses has continued to rise, and housing prices have risen again...... The cycle goes on and on, and eventually the bubble bursts and the economy collapses.

So Xiao Chen fell into a very tangled distress, often looking at a bunch of reports and smoking, Chen Dang every time he saw the secretary's desk ashtray full of cigarette butts, he was a little worried, and a little strange: Jiangdong's housing prices are relatively good compared to the overall situation of the country, even an economic city like Wucheng, with an annual GDP of more than 700 billion, and housing prices are lower than many cities whose economy is not as good as it, such as Lin'an in Jiangnan. Whoever reads Jiangdong's policy must probably say that as the secretary of the provincial party committee, Xiao Chen has used all the power within his authority to control housing prices, and the results are outstanding. - But why is Secretary Xiao still worried?

Xiao Chen suddenly stood up from the office chair at this time, looking excited. Chen Dang rarely saw Xiao Chen's expression so extraordinary, in his opinion, Secretary Xiao was usually moody and angry, Chen Dang was a little overwhelmed, and when Xiao Chen walked in front of him, he remembered his duties and hurriedly asked, "Secretary, what are your instructions?" ”

Xiao Chen didn't instruct anything, but smiled happily: "You know Dayu's water control, right?" ”

Chen dared not mutter, and said honestly: "I know." ”

"yes, yes, everybody knows." Xiao Chen laughed self-deprecatingly: "But I have insisted on chasing and blocking for several years, but I didn't expect that 'blocking is better than sparse', isn't it ridiculous?" ”

Chen Dang looked dazed.