Chapter 55 The Secret of Winning in Stock Trading

Sun Haoyang looked at Wang Yue: "You want to become a madman?" ”

"yes." Wang Yue nodded: "Didn't you say that only madmen and fools can make money in the stock market?" ”

"It's not that easy to be a madman. Maniacs dare to bungee jump, do you dare? ”

Wang Yue rolled his eyes and said, "Can you not keep mentioning bungee jumping, you are as thin as a bamboo pole, of course it's no problem to go bungee jumping." But you don't look at my tonnage, God knows if the safety rope can pull me. ”

Sun Haoyang couldn't help but laugh when he heard this: "What you said also has some truth, then I'll give you a simpler condition, a madman dares to eat Xiang, do you dare?" I remember which famous figure in ancient times, when he pretended to be crazy and stupid, he relied on eating Xiang to deceive the enemy and survive. ”

"Uh...... Can you change the conditions? ”

"Alright then, a madman dares to engage in Ji, do you dare? Many genius artists in ancient times were gay. ”

Wang Yue looked at Sun Haoyang with wide eyes, then at his lower body, and said as if he had made up his mind: "I g ......"

"Alright, stop! I didn't say that. Sun Haoyang looked at Wang Yue's eyes wrong, and quickly interrupted his thoughts, for fear that the chrysanthemum would not be safe.

"This madman is sometimes a genius, according to historical records, many famous artists and inventors in ancient times were a little out of their minds. So this thing is innate, and you can't be it anyway. ”

Hearing this answer, Wang Yue was a little frustrated: "Isn't that a madman who can't make money from the stock market?" ”

"You can't be a madman, but you can be a fool."

"To be a fool?"

Sun Haoyang nodded and said, "That's right, it's just to be a fool and use the fool's trading method that I have researched to win without losing money." ”

"What is the fool's trading method that is sure to win without losing money? Let's hear it. As soon as Wang Yue heard that Sun Haoyang was going to impart experience, he quickly pricked up his ears.

"After so many years of analysis and research, I have found that there is a pattern in the trend of stocks in the Chinese stock market, that is, trend.

When a stock starts to rise, it is likely to continue this upward trend in the future; And when a stock starts to fall, this decline is often endless, with no end.

To put it simply, the strong are always strong, and the weak are always weak.

Therefore, we only need to follow one principle when selecting stocks, and that is to follow the trend. Buy strong stocks that are in an ascending channel and avoid stocks that are trending downwards.

In this way we will always make money and never lose money. ”

"It sounds like a lot of sense, but how do you do it? When the stock trend rises and falls for a while, what is the judgment scale of this strong stock? ”

"One of the easiest ways to tell is to use moving averages.

When judging the trend, you need to use two moving averages, one long-term moving average and one short-term moving average. The number of days of the moving average can be adjusted according to your own experience and the nature of the stock you choose.

I generally use the 5-day moving average and the 20-day moving average to make judgments.

When the 5-day moving average crosses above the 20-day moving average to form a golden cross, it means that the stock is trending upwards and it should be bought at this time. When the 5-day moving average crosses below the 20-day moving average to form a death fork, it means that the stock is trending downward, and it should be sold at this time. ”

"And then?"

"That's it, that's all, no more?"

"Golden cross buy, death fork sell? This is what you said about winning without losing money, foolish stock speculation method? ”

"That's right, so it's a fool's stock speculation method, even a fool who doesn't understand stocks at all.

The specific operation is that there is no need to keep an eye on the market at all, and take a look at it 5 minutes before the close every day, if the two moving averages of the day are crossed, buy a full position 1 minute before the close. If the two moving averages are dead, liquidate the position one minute before the market closes. ”

"It's so easy to make money? This...... It's unlikely, right? If that's the case, isn't it even an idiot who can speculate in stocks? ”

"In fact, it's that simple. If you don't believe me, you can choose a few stocks to verify. ”

"Okay, then I'll simply click on Pujiang Automobile."

"Okay." After speaking, Sun Haoyang and Wang Yue opened an excel on the computer and calculated it against the historical market K-line.

On January 4, 2006, Pujiang Automobile opened at 3.3 yuan, and on December 29, 2006, Pujiang Automobile closed at 8.31 yuan. In this year, the stock has risen by 151.81%.

Then if you use our golden cross death fork trading method, see what the total profit is.

The 5-day moving average on January 4, 2006 is above the 20-day moving average, so we default to buying a full position at the opening price at $3.3.

The first time the stock fell below the 20-day moving average to form a dead fork was on February 20, 2006, and we sold it at a closing price of $3.45.

Then the second golden cross is in ......

Finally, in the whole year of 2006, Pujiang Automobile was operated by the golden fork death fork trading method for a total of 7 transactions. The cumulative profit is 96%. ”

"Well, I'll just say how such a simple method can be so magical. Pujiang Automobile has risen 1.5 times in a year, and it has earned less than 1 time using this method. ”

"Indeed, the use of moving average trading method in the unilateral rise of the market, sometimes does not necessarily outperform the trend of individual stocks, I have randomly selected 50 stocks, with the past two years of historical market data for simulation calculation, of which the use of moving average trading method to outperform the trend of individual stocks probability of more than 60%."

"So what's the use of that?"

"Because of fools. Let me ask you, how much money have you made on Pujiang Auto since this bull market? ”

"I ......" Wang Yue was angry for a while, unable to speak.

"I know you're out of the woods. Have you ever considered why you set foot in the air?

Because you are an ordinary person, if you are an ordinary person, you will have seven emotions and six desires.

In the face of the stock market jumping up and down, you will be greedy, you will be afraid, you will be happy, you will be afraid. No matter how strong your mind is, you can't be completely still.

When trading stocks, as long as your mentality is unbalanced, you will definitely make a mistake in judgment. ”

"The biggest effect of my moving average trading method is that you can completely abandon the seven emotions and six desires of human beings, as long as you strictly follow the rules of trading, no matter how dangerous the stock trend is, you can still be calm and immovable.

In addition, this moving average trading method is essentially an operational strategy that eats fish and only eats the middle.

It is true that Pujiang Automobile has risen by as much as 150%, but we don't need to earn so much, we only need to earn 100% of it, and the remaining 50% of the fish head and tail are good for others to earn. ”

Wang Yue pondered for a moment, nodded and said, "What you said is very reasonable, if I had speculated in stocks according to the method you said earlier, even if I couldn't make as much money as you, I could at least double my total assets." ”

"One of the biggest advantages of my moving average trading method is that it can be used in both bull and bear markets. And the bigger the bull market, the better the effect in the big bear market.

If you really encounter the kind of roller coaster market where the stock price doubles in a few months and then halves in a few months, you can play the maximum role of this method.

For example, in the second half of 2001 and the beginning of 2002, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by more than 40% in a violent crash, but if you use the moving average method, you will only suffer a loss of 10% at most.

In fact, for the vast majority of retail investors, the bull market makes a little less money, and everyone will not have much opinion, but the bull market did not make much, and the next bear market will lose a mess, which is what they are most afraid of.

And once the moving average trading method is adopted, how much should be earned in the bull market is still how much can be earned; In a bear market, someone else's account assets are cut in half, and you can lose up to 10 percentage points.

If you make 20% less in a bull market and 80% less in a bear market, you will have to work for a long time in five, ten, or twenty years, and your wealth will definitely snowball. ”

"Then according to what you say, this stock speculation is too simple, buy with a golden fork every day, sell with a dead fork, and don't care about anything else, so isn't everyone able to get rich?"

"Of course not. The core idea of the moving average trading method is to eat fish and only eat the middle section, but there is a question, what kind of fish are you eating? It's the same fish, the middle of a small hairy fish and the middle of a big whale, and it's a world of difference. ”

"Correct, whales are not fishes, they are mammals, and I am a student biology in the college entrance examination."

Sun Haoyang raised his fist and feigned anger: "Believe it or not, I'm going to beat you into a dead fish now?" Don't worry about those details, let's change to the big shark.

Therefore, in this fool's trading method, the use of the golden fork and the death fork to buy and sell is only half of the secret, and the other half of the secret is the fool's stock selection method. ”

Wang Yue's eyes widened and said, "Stock selection can also be done by a fool's method?" ”

"That's nature.

According to the statistics of tens of thousands of stocks in dozens of countries around the world, according to the statistics of tens of thousands of stock historical market data of dozens of countries around the world, there is a law in the stock market trend, that is, the rise of small-cap stocks is significantly greater than that of large-cap stocks, and the rise of penny stocks is also significantly higher than that of high-priced stocks.

So in today's bull market, either you're a Bole who can know Maxima, or you have definite inside information, otherwise, ordinary stock people who don't have the expertise only need to follow two principles when selecting stocks, which is to buy small-cap stocks and buy penny stocks. ”

"Buy small-cap stocks, buy penny stocks? When you say that, I'm so happy to find out that's really the case. ”

"The fool's stock selection method I just mentioned is to exclude those stocks with a circulating share capital of more than 1 billion shares, delisting risks, and major scandals from the two or three thousand stocks in Shanghai and Shenzhen.

Sort all the remaining stocks by share price, pick out the twenty cheapest stocks among them, and then randomly select five of them.

Then divide your total assets into five equal shares, and buy one of the stocks according to the moving average method.

As long as this method is strictly implemented, after one year of cyclical operation, your total asset growth is conservatively estimated to be able to outperform the market by at least 20%, if you can't outperform the market by then, you come to me. ”

"Good! I see, isn't it the moving average trading method, it's too simple.

However, regarding stock selection, I have you, a big dark horse by my side, so I don't have to bother to pick stocks, you can quickly recommend another dark horse stock to me.

This time, I promise to operate according to the moving average trading method you said, and never mess around again. ”

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