Chapter 50 Pujiang Automobile
Sun Haoyang bought his first computer in 2000 and then opened a simulated stock trading account on the Securities Star website.
Because Sun Haoyang had no source of income at that time, he had been using that account to conduct simulated trading operations to learn stock trading skills in those years.
This demo stock account was operated until 2005, until Sun Haoyang opened a real stock account and started real trading, and then stopped using it.
Since then, Sun Haoyang has not thought of opening this demo account for more than a year.
On this day, Sun Haoyang had nothing to do, and inadvertently remembered his demo account, so he logged in to the account out of nostalgia or curiosity and opened it to take a look.
In 2005, the demo account once bought a stock called Chengxin Electric with a full position at a purchase price of about 5 yuan.
At that time, Sun Haoyang's motive for choosing to buy the stock of Chengxin Electric was actually very simple, mainly because he saw that the stock had just been ex-weighted in a large proportion.
Sun Haoyang found a phenomenon after long-term observation and analysis of the K-line chart of the historical stock market in the Chinese stock market, those stocks with a large proportion of allotment shares are ex-rights, and there is a great probability that they will get out of the re-weighting market, so he hopes that the stock of Chengxin Electric can also get out of the right-filling market.
And after this buying operation, because Sun Haoyang opened a stock account and started the real operation, he completely forgot about this matter and didn't remember it until now.
After entering the account number and opening the total assets page of the demo account, Sun Haoyang looked at the total assets data displayed on the page and was surprised, his original 1 million simulated funds have now become more than 2.5 million!
After a closer look at Sun Haoyang, he found that it was the integrity electrical appliances that he bought at that time that had skyrocketed this year, and the stock not only realized the filling of the right, but also continued to soar after filling the right, and it has jumped to 13 yuan in just over half a year, an increase of 150%!
Although Sun Haoyang also relied on ST agricultural machinery to make 5 times in just half a year, it was cheating after all and could not be copied.
But now the integrity of the electrical in front of him is step by step, and it has more than doubled.
Looking back, when Sun Haoyang used to play simulated stock trading, he always worked hard to run short distances. However, after a few years of hard work, the total profit achieved is only 70%, which is less than half of the increase in the stock of Chengxin Electric.
Sun Haoyang suddenly realized that it would never be possible to make a lot of money in the stock market by relying on frequent short-term operations. Only long-term holding is the magic weapon to win in the stock market.
But a new question arises, which stock should I choose for long-term investment?
There are now more and more signs that a bull market has arrived. Choosing the right dark horse stock in a bull market can certainly multiply your assets, but if you choose the wrong stock, it is also very fatal.
Sun Haoyang is still just a fledgling undergraduate student in the economics department with no practical experience, plus the status of the lowest-level ordinary staff of a securities company.
For him today, there is absolutely no inside information or anything, and for value analysis, he only learns a little bit of theoretical knowledge on paper from books.
After thinking about it for a long time, Sun Haoyang finally decided that it was better to be raw than cooked, and the target: Pujiang Automobile.
As a young man with a high level of silk, Sun Haoyang is almost ignorant of the automotive industry. The cheapest car, which costs more than 100,000 or 200,000 yuan, is obviously not something that he can afford now, who only gets a few thousand a month's salary.
Sun Haoyang's current understanding of the automobile industry is all about several major brands, what Volkswagen, Mercedes-Benz, Audi or something he can know at most a trademark, as for the price, performance, characteristics of these brands of cars, he does not know anything.
Although Sun Haoyang doesn't know anything about cars, someone understands that person is a martial artist who has been immersed in the automobile industry for more than 10 years.
In the past six months, the stock that Wu Yingying and Sun Haoyang talked about the most was Pujiang Automobile.
After listening to it a lot, Sun Haoyang naturally became familiar with the situation in the automotive industry. In fact, you don't need to be too proficient, it is enough to be able to read financial statements and know how to use public news to analyze future performance trends.
The performance of the automotive industry is a good forecast, because Pujiang Automobile announces the production and sales of automobiles every month. According to the monthly production and sales data of Pujiang Automobile, coupled with the analysis of the fluctuations in the prices of some major raw materials, the current performance level of Pujiang Automobile can easily be estimated to be the best of ten.
In the past year, Sun Haoyang and Wu Yingying have predicted the quarterly report of Pujiang Automobile for three consecutive quarters, and the error range of each forecast is within 5%.
Before 2005, the performance of Pujiang Automobile was not very good, but since 05, the production and sales of Pujiang Automobile have begun to grow slowly, and this growth trend has become more obvious in 2006.
In 2006, China's industrial and commercial level began to take off, and the automobile industry, as a landmark industry of industrialization, also changed its performance from the previous downturn and began to grow by leaps and bounds.
Sun Haoyang queried a large number of historical data of the automotive industry in various countries through the Internet, including the United States, Japan, Germany, and South Korea. After the industrialization of all countries, the automotive industry is an indispensable and important industry. Correspondingly, the current development prospects of China's automotive industry are absolutely limitless.
More importantly, Pujiang Automobile is now in the process of going public as a whole, which will inject many assets that can generate a lot of profits.
After the injection of these high-quality assets, not to mention how much it will contribute to Pujiang Automobile's profit per share, the growth of its total net profit alone is also huge.
At that time, as long as the report of Pujiang Automobile shows that the total net profit increased by 50% ~ 100% year-on-year, coupled with the bull market environment, are you afraid that this stock will not rise?
From the summer of 2005 to the summer of 2006, the share price of Pujiang Automobile rose from about 3 yuan to more than 6 yuan, and the total share price has more than doubled.
After the arrival of the summer of 2006, as the market began to move sideways, the stock price of Pujiang Automobile also began to correct after a sharp rise.
And here, the judgments of Wu Yingying and Sun Haoyang began to diverge.
Wu Yingying believes that the share price of Pujiang Automobile has more than doubled in the past year, and as the market begins to adjust, there will inevitably be a sharp fall.
Sun Haoyang's view is just the opposite, he believes that the future brilliant performance of Pujiang Automobile can be expected, and now the bull market has just begun, as the so-called gold is difficult to buy cattle back, at this time not only should not be sold, but should be brave to buy when the pullback.
The question of two diametrically opposed judgments is, whose judgment is correct?
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