229, the cynical deputy director of Bao
The economy, which can be described as the foundation of the country and the soul of the people, deserves special attention for a leader who wants to make a contribution.
Of course, Gu Yang will not forget his goal of achieving immortality at the tenth level of the impact system, and he must make the economic problems clearer in order to achieve all-round development more reasonably and quickly. Technological breakthroughs alone are far from enough, and the most important coordination and guidance are missing.
When turning to the relevant documents of the Municipal Development and Reform Commission, Gu Yang couldn't help frowning, he really couldn't stand it, these development outlines were still stuck in twenty or thirty years ago, the concept was outdated, and he only sought to develop a few ordinary traditional projects, the problem is that these traditional projects have long been oversaturated in the market, and the particularly strict zhòng is that the city has also adopted strict local protectionism, and many products outside cannot enter Mengzhou at all, so as to protect local enterprises to continue to survive.
The danger of this kind of protectionism is very great, it is bound to greatly restrict the enthusiasm and competitiveness of enterprises, and it hinders economic exchanges between regions, runs counter to the general trend of socialized division of labor and cooperation, and is a retrogression of history.
The NDRC is the core department of a region's design and development plan, and its position is very important. Gu Yang knows that if he wants to implement his own development concept, the NDRC must actually win, and more importantly, it is not to take it, but to truly make the NDRC consciously become his pawn, and only by first changing the concept of the main leaders of the NDRC can it be done.
In the past, when Wangxi carried out vigorous construction, Guyang actually did not have a deep understanding of the economy, mainly relying on the earth system and relationships and achieved success for a time and place, but the relationship ultimately belongs to rare resources, can only take care of the interests of a few regions, once the future faces a wider range of areas, the relationship will lose its meaning, not to mention that Lao Tzu is also on the stage for a few years, and finally has to rely on himself. As for the benefits of the system, it is certainly very exciting, but this ultimately belongs to the category of technology, and if we do not solve the guiding ideology of economic development, we will not be able to solve the strict resistance that will inevitably arise from the huge and complex economic system, and we will always be unable to make a comprehensive leap forward at full speed, and the faster the development, the more problems there will be.
In Mengzhou, Gu Yang wanted to solve the problem of the guiding ideology for economic development, but of course he also felt that his current understanding was not deep enough, and he needed to further improve it in practice. Although he doesn't plan to make a super jump like Wangxi in Mengzhou, he will definitely have his own very distinctive characteristics, which is the goal he is striving for.
After flipping through a few pages of the NDRC's text, Gu Yang couldn't stand it anymore, so he casually threw it aside, rubbed his temples, thought about it, picked up the table on the table, and dialed a number directly.
Soon, the phone was connected, and the tepid voice of Bao Yuhuan, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission, came: "Hello. ”
Gu Yang frowned slightly, and said politely: "Deputy Director Bao, hello." I'm Gu Yang, and I would like to invite you to come to the city government to sit down and talk about economic issues. Do you have time? ”
Bao Yuhuan was silent for a moment and replied, "I'll be here in half an hour." ”
Gu Yang said: "Thank you for your hard work......
After hanging up the phone, Gu Yang looked around his somewhat small office, it was really not easy to find a deputy mayor of the Standing Committee, it was like a township mayor's office. It's so poor, it's a bit unaccustomed.
His requirements for the working environment are not high, but he is not a person who likes to bear hardships and stand hard work, the working environment is too poor is not a commendable thing, it can only show that the economy here is very bad, of course, the working environment is good and the working environment in a good area does not prove that the economy of a region is very good, but the working environment in a good economic area is definitely good.
Gu Yang prepared a special pot of tea, which was not a spirit tea, but it was definitely much better than the likes of Tieguanyin.
Gu Yang attaches great importance to Bao Yuhuan, who met and talked about some economic issues on the train, because this is the daughter of ******** Bao Shou, and he is ready to open a breakthrough from here and rebel against this representative of Bao's conservative economics. After all, Bao Yuhuan used to be a very enthusiastic economist in the past, had a lot of novel ideas, and was actually relatively open in thought, but probably due to the influence of the economic situation in recent years, he became more pessimistic, coupled with the inherent worship of his father, and turned into a shrinking turtle for economic development.
Gu Yang decided to give this talented economic woman a few more fierce medicines, try to change her concept, and stimulate her enthusiasm and fighting spirit. Because of the results of the system search, this is a rare good general to realize the development of Mengzhou, not to mention that she is also Bao Shou's daughter, the fortress is the easiest to break from the inside, and the best effect is to rebel from the closest people around Bao Shou.
Half an hour later, Bao Yuhuan, dressed in a light gray women's suit, came to Gu Yang's office on time.
Gu Yang got up and greeted him warmly, "Deputy Director Bao, please sit on the sofa over there." ”
Bao Yuhuan nodded, walked a few steps, and sat upright on the somewhat old yellow leather sofa.
Gu Yang personally brewed two cups of tea and served them, and sat down across the coffee table on the sofa opposite Bao Yuhuan, "Let's drink some tea first." ”
He grabbed a cup of air himself, blew on the hot air, and took a pleasant sip.
Bao Yuhuan felt a little awkward, the huge jump in the other party's identity still made her a little uncomfortable, such a young deputy mayor, but still his own top boss, he was still on the train at that time, intentionally or unintentionally, a leader shelf, it was just a joke.
She also picked up the cup and blew on it, taking a sip with a hint of surprise on her face, "Where did you buy this tea?" Very good. ”
Gu Yang understated: "A friend gave it, if you like it, I can give you a can." ”
Bao Yuhuan politely said, "That's embarrassing." I continued to take another sip, which felt more mellow and refreshing.
Gu Yang said lightly: "It's just a bag of tea, don't be so polite, you can just take it away when you go back." ”
"Thank you then." Bao Yuhuan, who already likes to drink tea, is no longer polite, she has never tasted such a good tea.
After the two finished tasting the tea, Gu Yang continued to brew two more cups, returned to the sofa, and looked at Bao Yuhuan with a relaxed face, "It's nothing important to call you this time, just."
"yes." Bao Yuhuan deeply agreed, "It's a pity that our officials generally don't have a deep understanding of the economy, and they have fallen into a kind of misunderstanding of blindly rushing for quick success and quick profit, and there are many strict problems. ”
"For example?" Gu Yang asked with an interested smile.
Bao Yuhuan's face was a little heavy, "For example, inflation is a very strict problem, and now our country's total monetary volume M2 is rising at a rate of more than 100% every year, this kind of danger is very big, which is equivalent to directly plundering the wealth of the people." And after deducting inflation, GDP growth is actually far less than that, and we are deluding ourselves. ”
Gu Yang nodded slightly, "What you said is indeed a problem, our use of Keynesianism is too widespread now. Theoretically, printing money can promote the use of surplus labor, and in fact it does. Keynes theorized that when there is a large surplus of labor in a country, the extra money can be absorbed by the new jobs, that is, the money is advanced so that people can produce more products to realize the corresponding value of the money. In fact, printing money is equivalent to providing people with the opportunity to work, and they can produce more products. Without the savings of this money, a large number of laborers would have to be idle, unable to produce the corresponding products.
Under the conditions of a market economy, people cannot be forced to work, only money can make people work. In fact, money is just a means of distribution and exchange, which is equivalent to promising people that as long as they work hard, they can get the corresponding products, in fact, people are working to produce these products, the key is the opportunity to work, there is no opportunity to work without money. Printing money is not just about inflation, it's also about creating opportunities for people to work. As for the rise in prices, there are also periodicity, sometimes they rise fast, sometimes they rise slowly, and sometimes they fall, because there is a time difference between consumption and production, and a certain commodity is in short supply, which is bound to stimulate people to increase production, so it will inevitably reduce prices, but it takes half a year to raise a pig, so the price of similar food is easy to be like a roller coaster, and this price fluctuation cannot be understood as inflation. ”
"You're talking a little bit new." Bao Yuhuan looked at Gu Yang with a little surprise, "However, prices have risen sharply, the living expenses of the people are getting bigger and bigger, and the days are getting more and more tense, I feel that the people's lives are harder than more than ten years ago." What you say doesn't make much sense. ”
"Huh." Gu Yang smiled slightly, "You're quite cynical. ”
Bao Yuhuan's face was heavy, "I'm not cynical, but I am deeply worried about the future of the country. What's the point of economic development if it doesn't bring tangible benefits to people? The little wealth that people had accumulated with great difficulty was immediately diluted by the printing of money, forcing people to carry out all kinds of value preservation, buy houses, hoard gold, and speculate in stocks. Like real estate, the deformed development over the years has been very strict, and it is a great waste for rich people to own too many houses, because these houses can only be empty there. And according to the standard of living of most people, as long as housing prices do not fall, it is difficult to afford houses, and most of these houses can only wait for demolition in vain.
Real estate wastes a lot of manpower and financial resources, which greatly hinders the healthy development of the economy, and even more seriously, high housing prices greatly push up the cost of living in the city, which is driving people out of the city. We keep saying that we want to speed up the process of urbanization, but in fact, by allowing such high housing prices, we are simply hindering urbanization. Not to mention hoarding gold, it is just a precious metal, which is essentially the same as rare earths, and its so-called monetary properties have long been history. The value of the currency is determined by a country's economic level, that is, the productivity, gold has no real meaning, just a hyped commodity, more than ten years ago, the price of gold was less than 300 US dollars per ounce, and then the highest was almost 2000 US dollars, and now there are still more than 1300 US dollars, you can see how inflated its price is, because the world economy in US dollars in the past ten years, at most it is doubled.
As for the stock market, I hate it very much, because it has actually become an out-and-out wealth strangulation machine, most of the people who enter the stock market must be strangled, and the wealth flows to a small number of people, which further exacerbates the gap between the rich and the poor, and turns the originally very expensive group into abject poverty, which will greatly hinder the development of the economy. The stock market is full of too much deception, and China's stock market mechanism is also very imperfect, and all kinds of shady scenes are difficult to explain, making it a legal place for robbery. ”
Gu Yang pondered and muttered: "There is no perfect thing in the world, and stimulating economic development will inevitably produce many problems. It is true that the prices of many daily necessities and services have indeed risen a lot, but many high-tech products have not risen much, and have even fallen. For example, a 50-inch LCD TV, now it is only three or four thousand yuan, and twenty years ago, at the price at that time, it was estimated that hundreds of thousands of people rushed to buy it. Other high-tech products, such as computers, mobile phones, and so on, which are unimaginable in the past, are within people's spending power.
Therefore, inflation is mainly inflated by daily goods and services, and high-tech products are in fact shrinking, and people must bear the rise in daily expenses while enjoying all kinds of high-tech products, because the people who produce daily expenses also have to enjoy modern life, and their productivity has basically not changed, so they can only raise prices to increase their own income, so as to share the corresponding modern products. The benefits of the great increase in the productivity of the high-tech industry are bound to be shared by everyone, and they can only be shared by everyone. Only when everyone's income increases, can high-tech products be sold in large quantities. Like a barbershop, you can't expect it to still charge only five dollars at a time like it did ten years ago, because no matter how the economy develops, the number of people who need haircuts will not increase, and the efficiency of barbers will not increase, but haircuts are necessary for people, and it is normal for prices to rise.
The more the economy develops, the greater the cost of living is bound to be, because the productivity of many traditional industries has basically not improved, but they are necessary for people, so these industries will inevitably share the fruits of various high-productivity industries in modern society in vain, and the result is that the prices of high-productivity industries have risen little or even fallen, and the prices of low-productivity industries have risen rapidly. This seemingly unfair situation is in fact a balance, without which neither high-productivity industries will be able to sell their products, nor will low-productivity industries survive, the former will not be able to make money and will go out of business, and the result will be the shutdown of society as a whole.
In any case, people's quality of life has in fact improved significantly, because the range and variety enjoyed by modern people are far from comparable in the past, digital television, large-capacity broadband networks, all kinds of entertainment, highly convenient transportation, etc., no matter which one, are unimaginable in the past, we only do not feel their preciousness because we have been used to them for a long time, and people from twenty years ago will feel how wonderful our life is, extremely envious, Just as we will envy a life that will be more wonderful in a hundred years. But in fact, a hundred years from now, people will inevitably live much more tired than we do now, and the more you enjoy, the more you will pay, because what everyone enjoys is created by themselves, and the more wonderful things are, of course, more pay. We can't get tired while habitually enjoying the wonderful modern life. You say yes, right? ”
Bao Yuhuan let out a little trance, looking at Gu Yang, who was still very young, it was difficult to associate him with age.
"There is indeed some truth in what you said, and it inspires me a lot." Bao Yuhuan sighed with emotion, "But the current situation is really bad, money printing and plundering is always plunder!" ”
"You're attacking policy!" Gu Yang pretended to be strict, "As a leader, you must be consistent with the central government, and it is important to be consistent." ”
Bao Yuhuan looked impassioned, "I naturally want to support what is right, and I have to put forward my own opinions if I am wrong, and if I do wrong, I will do wrong!" I don't care about my personal future. ”
"You're still too young." Gu Yang shook his head.
Bao Yuhuan held his breath, "I'm a few years older than you!" ”
Gu Yang smiled disappreciatively, "This has nothing to do with age. As a leader, you have to look farther. ”
After a pause, he said thoughtfully: "Printing money is ostensibly plundering the wealth of the people, but in fact, it is also creating the wealth of the people. Because the money printed can allow more people to participate in production, and then produce more products, which is the creation of wealth. In fact, the state also prints money for production and construction, takes it from the people, uses it for the people, and finally returns it to the people. You think of money printing as a state tax to do a good job, and it's essentially the same. ”
Bao Yuhuan was a little surprised, "You look at the problem from a very different angle. I have to admit that what you say does have a point. But I'm worried that if inflation continues like this, people will one day lose it. Because everything is going up now, that is, wages are not going up much, and real income is declining, which is a very serious problem. ”
Gu Yang said with some heaviness: "It's not a problem of inflation anymore, it's more strict about deflation." Although there is still a slight increase in daily necessities and services, and the annual growth rate of the consumer price index CPI is still a few percent, the prices of industrial goods have been growing negatively in recent years, falling by a few percentages every year. Considering the annual increase of more than 10 percent in monetary aggregates, this shows that deflationary deflation is already quite severe, which is much greater than the danger of inflation.
Although the number of various products is generally growing, and the number of sales is also increasing, the profits of manufacturers are getting smaller and smaller, because prices cannot rise. For consumers who are also producers, the manufacturer's profit is less, and the consumer's income will be reduced accordingly, because the manufacturer cannot pay more bonuses. The result can only be that the manufacturers are desperately producing, but the consumers lack the money to buy, so the manufacturers are forced to lower the price, in the case of ensuring the number of sales, the profit is less, the money issued to the consumer as a producer is also less, the consumption power continues to decrease, can only continue to reduce the price of the product, the profit is getting less and less, this is a vicious circle. Of course, due to the general decline in the price of industrial products, although the price of selling products is low, the price of raw materials is also low, so it can be supported for a long time, but there is no money to make is the general experience of manufacturers.
The problem is that the cost of living is still rising, which greatly limits the sustainability of this model, as people are bound to spend more of their income on basic daily expenses than on the various types of industrial goods that are not necessarily needed. The problem is that manufacturers generally have a lot of debts, even if they don't repay the principal, the interest alone is enough to make these manufacturers breathless, and they can't increase profits by reducing production, because some manufacturers reduce production, and the increase in product prices will only make the rest of the manufacturers who have not reduced production profit in vain.
I'm worried about a massive credit crisis, which will cause a large number of manufacturers to go out of business. The country is now faced with a dilemma, and continuing to use the large amount of additional money issued to maintain production will make the profits of manufacturers more and more zero, but it will not immediately go out of business. However, if no more money is issued, the entire production system, which has lost its source of money, will be shut down in large numbers, countless manufacturers will quickly fail, and the banking system will have incalculable consequences. The emergence of such a situation is the backlog of long-term contradictions, frozen three feet, not a day's cold. It is indeed difficult to solve such a dilemma! ”
Hearing this, Bao Yuhuan's forehead was deeply locked, and he said thoughtfully: "Now that the inflation of daily expenses and the deflation of industrial products coexist at the same time, the situation is indeed very serious. Since you can see it so clearly, is there any solution? (To be continued.) )