Fifth, the future is worrying

Mao Dan said that the third episode of the economy has started again, and he has begun to sum up the lessons and lessons of the world economic development in the past 63 years. "Since www.biquge.info the beginning of the 20th century, there have been four rounds of skyscraper fever around the world, and each one has been accompanied by recession and financial turmoil," he said. In the past 63 years, why have the world's political leaders not remembered for a long time and repeated the mistakes of history again and again, pointing the world economy to the quagmire of crisis?

This cannot but make the people of the earth wonder whether the politicians are brainless or visionless, so how can billions of people on the earth elect some brainless and visionless people to act as the guides of the world economy. Perhaps the politicians have a vision, but they are short-sighted, and they only see the things in their term of office, and they do not want to look at the long-term things. Because the presidents, prime ministers, and heads of state of various countries in the world often serve for five to 10 years, and as long as they fool around some difficult things during their term of office, regardless of whether their successors face the collapse of the sky or the sinking of the ground after taking office, this kind of short-term behavior has contributed to the emergence of endless problems in the world economy.

How to avoid repeating the mistakes of history and find a good path for the steady development of the world economy has become the direction of the future efforts of the people of the earth. ”

There are still people on earth who consider this problem, that is, the chairman of the bank, the enterprise, and the network group are in a state of stability, and we will ask the host of the program to be in a state of stability and share some of his thoughts with you. ”

After Mao Dan finished speaking, the five guests clapped their hands to welcome the bistable speech. After a round of applause, Bistable State spoke, saying: "In fact, the answer to this question can be found in the book "The Mean" written by the thinker, politician, and educator Confucius in the late Spring and Autumn period more than 2,000 years ago. The book "The Mean" has been carried forward by generations of literati in Chinese history and has become a golden mean, which is very enlightening for the future development of the world economy.

There is a lot of content in the book "The Mean", and we will only find out the content that is enlightening for the development of the world economy and talk about it here. The theoretical basis of the golden mean is 'the unity of nature and man', that is, in the process of interaction between people, or in the process of interaction, in the process of competition, to meet the needs of the appropriate, to achieve their own needs in the middle. The middle section is impartial, unbiased. Contains neutral quadripart, up and down or at the same distance at both ends. Moderation: The unbiased is the middle, and the difficult is the way. The middle is the right way in the world. This is a very philosophical quote that the ancients said when they observed the dialectical relationship between the development of things in nature and found the dialectical relationship in the process of change.

Just imagine, everything in the world is changing, and the change of things is fast, There is slow, there is high, there is low, the positive curve is a thing has a high to low evolution curve, the trajectory of the curve starts from the zero point all the way to the high, this high has a vertex, when the trajectory reaches the apex value, we call it the maximum or peak, if the value of this point is 1, this point is the inflection point of the trajectory, the trajectory from this point all the way down to the bottom of the minus 1, which tells people that the development and evolution of things is low to high; and then from high to low, high and low have vertices, things to the apex it will evolve in the opposite direction。

Fast and slow are the same, in the athlete's long-distance running field, the athlete starts from the start, his physical strength is stronger, he runs faster, and with the consumption of physical strength, his long-distance running speed will slowly slow down, he is a process from fast to slow.

Throughout the 63 years of the world economy, the economic development of all countries in the world after World War II has been moving towards a high level, typically high speed, high debt, high wages, high consumption, high prices, and high welfare, thus pushing up the high cost of living. This kind of height will also have vertices, and when it reaches the apex, it will change from high to low. The most typical is GDP, that is, gross domestic product, after the war in developed countries, its GDP added value has experienced a process from low to high, and then from high to low.

Sixty-three years later, from the Americas to Europe to Asia, real estate has grown extraordinarily, real estate construction in North America has brought the United States into the quagmire of financial crisis, real estate in Europe has caused a debt crisis, Latin America has suffered the same problem, and real estate in Asia has followed. Sixty-three years after the end of World War II, the world's infrastructure has reached a peak of development, and the problem after that is to slip from the top to the bottom.

After the 2008 financial crisis, most countries in the world have built almost all the houses, and due to environmental constraints, there are too many cars, so what is the driving force of economic development in the future?

Some people may say that the next direction of the development of our earthlings is the Internet, wireless communication three G, four G, e-commerce, Internet of Things, solar energy, new technology three-D printer industrial application and so on.

However, the problem is that the popularization and application of the Internet, the Internet of Things, industrial automation, and three-D printers have reduced the number of industrial workers, simplified the circulation links, and closed a large number of small and medium-sized shops, increasing the number of laid-off and unemployed people.

This development direction will make people's lives more convenient, labor efficiency higher, and information and logistics transmission faster. People just need to sit at home and turn on the computer to know everything, and everything can be delivered to their door. The biggest problem in this direction of development is where do the large number of unemployed people sit in the homes of high-rise buildings and earn wages?

In the 63 years since the end of World War II, the world economy has made countless brilliant achievements, but its high debt has also overdrawn the driving force for development in the years to come; the world economy stands at the zero point of the horizon, and looking backwards is a big bag of debts that has been blown up, and there is already very little room for future development of capital construction and automobile manufacturers, and people's employment opportunities may become less and less; looking ahead, it is a big hole that has been dug deeply, and now we are filling the world's debts into the big hole that we have dug deep in front of us, and I don't know whether we can fill that big hole. The path of world economic development is very much like a curve. Speaking of which, it is time for bistability to rest.