Chapter 595: A series of effects of war
It is a series of effects brought about by the war in Chapter 612
While the major stock markets in the United States and the United Kingdom fluctuated sharply, the major European markets also plummeted one after another. ,/
Subsequently, another news came from the Associated Press, that is, the US government announced the recent US crude oil reserves in order to curb the rapid rise in oil prices, and when it showed that the oil reserves were sufficient, the price of oil decreased to a certain extent, but then continued to rise.
Immediately afterwards, U.S. President Ronald Reagan visited Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates for talks, and then Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates jointly announced that they would increase oil extraction in the next five years to ensure market supply.
Affected by this news, oil prices fell sharply again, and many investors who heard the news fled the oil market again and turned to the gold market, but there are still some investors who are optimistic about the oil market, they believe that although oil production has increased sharply at this stage, oil prices will fall, but in the long run, the dollar has depreciated, and oil preservation is still a good choice, so there is a group of people who choose to wait and see.
At this time, the price of gold skyrocketed again, at one point to $800 an ounce, and still maintained a strong growth trend.
A large number of investors generally tend to increase their holdings of gold and the yen, and the market is generally bullish on the prospects for gold and the yen.
At a time of global economic turmoil, another bombshell news came out, that is, the Iran-Iraq war has stopped.
The Iran-Iraq War, known in Iran as the Iraq Invasion War, also known as the First Gulf War or the First Persian Gulf War, was an eight-year border war between Iran and Iraq that lasted from 1980 to 1988. Both Iran and Iraq belong geographically to Western Asia. Historically, the two countries have disputed sovereignty over the Shatt al-Arab at the junction of the border. On September 22, 1980, Iraq launched a brazen military attack on Iran for this disputed river, under the pretext of defending against the "Islamic Revolution", and soon the tide of the war took a turn After 1982, Iran invaded Iraqi territory, thus triggering the protracted Iran-Iraq war, which lasted for eight years and became the longest war since the Vietnam War. The entire war process can be divided into: the first stage, Iraq's offensive, Iran's defense; In the second stage, Iran shifted from a strategic stalemate to a strategic counteroffensive, and Iraq lost the initiative on the battlefield. The third stage is the Iranian offensive, the Iraqi defense.
The Iran-Iraq war was actually a "marathon" war of attrition. In the past eight years, the total expenditure and economic losses amounted to 100 million US dollars, and the warring sides suffered 1.48 million casualties and 80,000 prisoners. Among them, the Iranian army lost 350,000 killed, 700,000 wounded, 30,000 captured, and lost about 150 combat aircraft, 1,560 tanks, 1,200 artillery pieces, and 16 ships; The Iraqi army lost 180,000 killed, 250,000 wounded, 50,000 captured, 250 combat aircraft, 1,500 tanks, artillery pieces, and 15 ships. At the same time, the non-belligerents also suffered huge losses, sinking 90 ships and damaging 546, while another 90 were trapped in the Shatt al-Arab, mostly damaged.
The cause of the war was due to Iraqi President Saddam Hussein = Hussein's attempt to take full control of the Shatt al-Arab River, located in the northwestern part of the Persian Gulf, which is an important oil export channel for both countries. The United States armed Saddam Hussein and supported his offensive into this disputed region in an attempt to contain the Iranian regime, which had just come to power through revolution and was strongly anti-American. And in 1975, U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger supported Iranian Shah Pahlavi in launching an attack on a waterway that was then under Iraqi control. Iraq and other Arab countries also fear the spread of the armed regime resulting from Iran's February 1979 revolution into the surrounding region.
Another factor that led to the Iran-Iraq war was the ambitions of the leaders of the two countries. Iranian religious leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Ruhollah Khomeini is trying to spread his Islamic fundamentalist movement throughout However, because the Iranian revolution has only recently succeeded, attempts at this have been limited. For his part, Saddam Hussein has not been in power for long and is trying to bring Iraq to regional hegemony. A successful war against Iran could make Iraq the hegemon of the Gulf region and control the oil trade. Internal cleansing of the army and a severe shortage of American-made equipment parts have greatly affected Iran's once formidable military power. In addition, Iran's defenses in the Shatt al-Arab region are weak. On 22 September 1980, Iraq seized the opportunity to launch an offensive under the pretext of an Iranian-backed assassination attempt on the then Iraqi Foreign Minister Aziz.
The territorial dispute between Iraq and Iran has a history of more than 100 years, and the two countries have long-standing ethnic and religious differences, and both want to dominate the Gulf region, so the relationship between the two sides has been tense, and small border conflicts have continued. In 1978, when civil unrest broke out in Iran, Iraq supported Shah Pahlavi and expelled Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, who was living in Iraq. In February 1979, Iran's Pahlavi dynasty was overthrown; Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini came to power and incited Shiite Muslims in Iraq to overthrow Saddam's regime.
In late September 1980, Iraq took advantage of the political turmoil, economic deterioration, military instability, and the severance of diplomatic relations between Iran and the United States after Ayatollah Khomeini came to power, and launched a war against Iran aimed at recovering lost territory, striking at Khomeini's export revolution, and competing for hegemony in the Gulf.
1988 was a major turning point in the Iran-Iraq war. On March 24, the two sides used hundreds of missiles to attack each other's towns, setting off a "siege war" on an unprecedented scale. On April 17, the Iraqi army launched an offensive codenamed "Ramadan" against the Iranian defenders in the Faw-Austrian area, and after two days of fierce fighting, on the afternoon of the 18th, all the Faou areas occupied by Iran for two years were fully recovered. Foreign affairs experts commented that this was "a turning point in the Iran-Iraq war," which "opened the door to ending the Iran-Iraq war" and "opened the way for peace between the two countries." Iran was forced to announce on July 18, 18 that it agreed to accept UN Security Council Resolution 598. On August 20, the two sides reached a ceasefire, and the eight-year Iran-Iraq war finally came to an end. For more than four years, starting in April 1984, the two sides attacked and defended each other in the border areas, and the war turned into a long-term war of attrition. By July 1988, almost all of the Iranian territory occupied by Iraq had been lost.
In order to bring the Iran-Iraq war to an end as soon as possible, the UN Security Council adopted Resolution 598 on July 20, 1987, calling for an immediate ceasefire between Iran and Iraq. The following day, Iraq welcomed the United Nations resolution and decided to suspend attacks on Iranian maritime targets as a sign of good faith. However, Iran did not take a position and did not announce its acceptance of Resolution 598 until 18 July 1988. Since August 25, the fifth day after the ceasefire in the Iran-Iraq war, the foreign ministers of the two countries have held several talks under the auspices of the UN Secretary-General, but the negotiations have been fruitless. After Iraq's invasion of Kuwait in 1990 and the outbreak of the Gulf crisis, Iran used the crisis to force Iraq to finally accept Iran's terms of peace, recognize Iran's sovereignty over half of the Shatt al-Arab, and withdraw its troops from Iranian territory.
The Iran-Iraq war, which lasted for eight years, resulted in both defeats. Iraq suffered 480,000 casualties and prisoners, and lost 250 combat aircraft, many tanks, and 1,500 artillery pieces, while Iran lost 150 combat aircraft, 1,500 tanks, 1,200 artillery pieces, and 16 ships. The two sides spent nearly $100 million and suffered economic losses of $100 million, greatly weakening the comprehensive national strength of the two sides.
The Iran-Iraq war lasted seven years and November, making it one of the longest wars of the 20th century. It is a veritable war of attrition, a war in which neither side has more to gain than it loses, and there are no winners. Before the war, Iraq's foreign exchange surplus was nearly $40 billion, and at the end of the war, its foreign debt was $80 billion, of which more than $40 billion was an arms debt owed to Western countries and the Soviet Union, and more than $30 billion was a loan owed to other Arab countries. Iraq suffered 180,000 dead and 250,000 wounded during the war, and its direct losses, including military spending, war damage and economic losses, were $100 million. Iran also owes $45 billion in foreign debt, with 700,000 dead and more than 100,000 wounded, and 200,000 women in Tehran alone who have lost their husbands; Direct loss of 100 million US dollars. The war has delayed economic development plans for both countries by at least 20 to 30 years.
The war took a heavy toll on both countries, stagnating economic development, plummeting oil exports, and killing and wounding millions. As a result, Iraq has also been saddled with a large amount of debt, amounting to $100 million to Kuwait alone. This was one of the reasons why Saddam Hussein later invaded Kuwait.
At the end of the war, the dividing line between the two countries returned to the pre-war situation.
The war was one of the deadliest since World War II, after the Vietnam War and the Korean War. There are many theories about the exact number of casualties, and it is generally believed that the death toll is left in the millions
The Iraqi army grew from 240,000 before the war to 1.2 million after the war.
The Iran-Iraq war lasted seven years and 11 months, making it one of the longest wars of the 20th century. It is a veritable, "marathon" war of attrition, a war in which neither side has more to gain than it loses, and there are no winners. The economic losses on both sides were heavy, development stagnated, oil exports plummeted, and military spending and war-related economic damage amounted to more than $100 million, and the war delayed economic development plans for both countries for at least 20 to 30 years. Before the war, Iraq had a foreign exchange surplus of nearly $40 billion, and at the end of the war, its foreign debt was $80 billion, of which more than $40 billion was an arms debt owed to Western countries and the Soviet Union, more than $30 billion was a loan owed to other Arab countries, and the debt owed to Kuwait alone amounted to $100 million. This was one of the reasons why Saddam Hussein later invaded Kuwait.
Despite the covert support of European countries in the later period of long-term weapons, the battle ended on August 20.
Recently, the United Nations General Assembly was held, and the United States and Britain called for a truce between Iran and Iraq at the United Nations General Assembly, and at this time, Iraq and Iran, which were tired of the long-term war, already had the idea of wanting a truce, but no one wanted to pull down and call for a truce.
The US-British proposal was strongly supported by the Soviet Union, Huaxia, and France, and China's support was due to its stance of safeguarding world peace; since the Iran-Iraq war, Huaxia has been calling for peace talks to solve the problem, and now China has no reason to reject the Iran-Iraq peace talks.
As for the Soviet Union, although they were only the second most benefited country in the Iran-Iraq war, in the later period, in fact, the two Iraqs no longer had sufficient funds to purchase weapons, and if they exchanged oil, it was obviously impossible for the current Soviet Union.
As for France's position, it is very simple, although they claim that France calls for peace and believes that peace talks should be held, but no one knows what they really mean, including the United States.
After a war of words, the two countries agreed to the mediation of the United Nations, declared a ceasefire, and retreated to their respective borders.
However, this does not mean that the contradictions between the two countries have been resolved, and they are still-for-tat in the international arena, and the Cold War will not continue.
Affected by the armistice of the Iran-Iraq war, international oil prices fell sharply again, investors generally believe that as one of the world's largest oil reserves, the cessation of the war means that there may be greater oil production capacity in the future, and the future oil supply will continue to increase, and the room for oil price reduction will gradually increase.
The sharp drop in oil prices has caused a large transfer of international safe-haven funds again, and the latest gold trading price has continued to hit a new high.
At this time, at the Elysée Palace in Paris, Italy, Italian President Francesco = Cossiga and Lin Yu were discussing some issues.
Francesco = Cosiga asked with a look of surprise, "You mean that there will be a war in the Middle East in the near future, and this war will be between Iraq and Kuwait?" ”
"Not bad" Lin Yu nodded and said, "You must know that Kuwait is now the richest country in the world, and its oil reserves and exports are very large, do you think Iraq will not fight Kuwait's idea?" ”
"However, with such a reckless force, Saddam Hussein is not afraid of offending the anger of the public?" Francesco = Corsiga frowned and waited for Lin Yu's answer.
"Under normal circumstances, Saddam Hussein would indeed be worried, but now it is different, the international situation is changing, everyone can feel that the United States and Europe are fighting now, he thinks that the United States will not be distracted by Iraq, and at the same time, because of the war, Iraq's domestic economic situation is deteriorating, it is difficult to maintain the position of Iraq in the Middle East, which is trying to establish hegemony in the Middle East, and at the same time, the neighboring Kuwait has a lot of money, and the army is not very good, what do you think will happen?"
Francesco = Cosiga nodded abruptly, "In this way, it should be very possible for Iraq to invade Kuwait, so what do we need to do?" ”
Lin Yu replied lightly, "What to do?" Once Iraq dares to cross the line, the United States, which wants to meddle in the Middle East, will inevitably hold high the 'banner of righteousness' and launch a war against Iraq. ”
"Then we need to join the United States?" Francesco = Corsiga Tentative Tract.
"No," Lin Yu shook his head and said softly, "On the contrary, we want the United States to be with us." ”
"Let the United States come with us?" Francesco = Cossiga frowned and looked at Lin Yu, would the Americans really listen to the Italians like this? To believe this, it is better to believe that the sun will come out of the west.
Lin Yu nodded, pointed in the direction of the Soviet Union, and said, "To be exact, let's work with the Soviet Union and let the Americans also participate." ”
"Oh," Francesco = Cosiga's eyes lit up, he remembered Lin Yu's relationship in the Soviet Union, although he didn't know why Lin Yu's relationship with the Soviet Union was so good, but as long as he knew that the Soviet Union would be on the Italian side at some point, well, it should be said that it was on Lin Yu's side.
Of course, the United States is indispensable to this plan to strike at Iraq, otherwise the Americans would not have finished making a fuss.
Thinking of this, Francesco = Corsiga suddenly thought of a problem, that is, if you want to operate this spearhead strike war, there must be a very reasonable excuse, otherwise, the Europeans can find it, the Soviet Union can find it, the United States can also find it, and the Americans will definitely want to fight to destroy Iraq, then this will be troublesome.
So Francesco = Cossiga asked, "So how do we find a suitable excuse?" ”
Lin Yan smiled, then narrowed his eyes, and said in a deep voice, "This is the reason why I came to you." ”
Then, Lin Yu said softly, "I want you to pay close attention to the movements of the Kuwaiti royal family, although I have already made arrangements, but in order to be foolproof, you need to have a move, it is best to have a good relationship with the royal family recently, as long as you can find a way to bring the royal family back to Europe during the war, then everything is up to us." ”
Francesco = Cosiga listened and nodded cautiously, "Okay, I'll arrange it." ”
After explaining the situation about the Middle East, Lin Yu left the presidential palace.
After arriving at the hotel, Lin Yu also received the latest international developments, that is, the price of gold has soared nearly twice in recent times, and the price of oil has fallen sharply.
They have a lot of money in the international market, and he doesn't care much about how much money he can make in this crisis, but he is full of expectations about what he will gain in the United States afterwards.
While Lin Yu was pondering in the room, Jason's phone called.
"Boss, I received the latest news that the central banks of the United States and England are ready to lend gold on a large scale and put it on the market to suppress gold, and the Rockefeller family and the Morgan family will also announce the recent discovery of a large number of gold mines and the expansion of production capacity at an appropriate time."
"It looks like everything is going according to plan." Lin Yu groaned.