JS086 Price Analysis
At the west end of Qinglin Village, there is a very flat piece of land, about two kilometers away from the village, and it is no more than 500 meters next to Qinglin Lake.
The Qingxi River, which connects the Qingjia River to Qinglin Lake, flows through the middle of this piece of land, dividing it in two. The only part of the land used by Qinglin Village is the east side of Qingxi, and the part west of Qingxi is completely deserted.
The land in the eastern part of Qingxi is about sixty acres, and the western part of Qingxi is probably a little more, at least one hundred acres by sight.
An Liang didn't know the specific data, it was just a visual inspection.
The permanent population of Qinglin Village does not exceed 100 people, who are basically old people and children, and there are very few young people. This also means that there is a serious shortage of agricultural labor in Qinglin Village. Therefore, the land in the west of the village is only used in the east of Qingxi, and it is still a big problem whether the used part adds up to ten acres of land.
If he can, An Liang is 100% willing to lease all the land in the west of Qinglin Village. But An Liang knows that if you want to hurry, you can't reach it.
According to the analysis of the permanent population of Qinglin Village, Qinglin Village has a serious shortage of agricultural labor, and those abandoned land are just wasteland that can be used for planting for Qinglin Village. If no one cultivates it, no benefit can be generated.
An Liang didn't want to take advantage of anything, but An Liang didn't want to be taken advantage of either.
"Whether you can rent it all depends on the specific price!" An Liang smiled and said, "Village Chief Qin, at what price do you plan to rent out the cultivated land in Qinglin Village?" β
Qin Dabao thought about it, but after a while, Qin Dabao was a little crazy and said, "I don't know, how much is the right amount per mu!" β
An Liang rolled his eyes, this situation is the most depressing, you can't let An Liang make a price, right? Whether it's high or low, it's not suitable!
opened high, harming An Liang's own interests; If it is lower, once Qinglin Village finds out that the price is low in the future, I am afraid that the two sides will have a conflict.
"Village Chief Qin, let's not discuss the price for the time being, let's discuss it in another way." An Liang thought about it and decided to use the alternative method to set the price.
"Tell me, in what way?" Although Qin Dabao doesn't understand the price, he doesn't understand anything, if the price proposed by An Liang is obviously too low, he will definitely not be able to accept it!
Before coming to Qinglin Village, An Liang had already made detailed calculations. Currently, the small space produces a fixed 500 liters of Fountain of Life every day.
Of these, 100 litres are reserved for crops that grow inside the small space, as well as for emergencies. In other words, the fountain of life that can be freely called upon is only 400 liters.
Maybe 400 liters sounds like a lot, but in reality, 400 liters is not much!
After An Liang's experiments, coupled with the ideological information of the Fountain of Life, An Liang learned that if he wants to maintain a taste of at least A, the Fountain of Life required for every square meter of irrigation is at least 0.1 liters, that is, 100 milliliters.
100 ml is already very little, equivalent to a bottle of mineral water, irrigating five square meters of land. Without the assistance of the Fountain of Life, this kind of micro-irrigation would not have been possible at all.
Fortunately, with the help of the Fountain of Life!
Despite the aid of the Fountain of Life, a minimum irrigation amount of 100 milliliters per square meter is still required. Then, the total amount of 400 liters of Fountain of Life can be irrigated to 4,000 square meters, which is infinitely similar to 6 acres of land.
Although the yield of the Fountain of Life can only irrigate 6 acres of land, it does not mean that Anliang only needs 6 acres of land. Anliang also needs a part of the land for ordinary planting, which is also a pollution-free organic crop, which can also be sold to the restaurant where the lover returns and is used as a raw material for ordinary catering.
It's impossible for a lover to come back to the restaurant and operate high-end cooking, right?
According to the ratio of one to four, about 24 acres of land are needed to grow ordinary vegetables, that is, Anliang needs a total of 30 acres of land.
However, the west end of the village has more than 160 acres of land! Although An Liang wanted to take a bite, An Liang also knew that after taking a bite, he would definitely suffer from indigestion.
Therefore, An Liang set a goal in his heart, that is, in the initial stage, only 30 acres of land were needed. Unless the small space evolves again and has more fountains of life, An Liang will continue to rent more land.
"Village Chief Qin, under normal circumstances, the average yield of rice per mu is about 600 kilograms, right?" An Liang decided on the rented area in his mind and took the initiative to start negotiations to determine the price.
"Yes!" Qin Dabao became more and more convinced that An Liang was renting land to grow vegetables, rather than starting a chemical factory. After all, the information on the yield per mu of rice, An Liang estimated that it was very close.
An Liang continued: "For 600 kilograms of rice, we ignore the problem of water evaporation during the drying process, and then use a hulling machine to separate the rice and bran, assuming that the net yield of hulling is 70 percent, that is, 600 kilograms of rice can get 420 kilograms of rice, and 180 kilograms of bran. Right? β
Qin Dabao denied: "No, the rice we have here is only six or two meters per catty. β
An Liang looked at Qin Dabao with a smile, ignoring his statement that the net yield of hulling was sixty percent, and continued: "One hundred and eighty kilograms of chaff is almost worthless, right? Four hundred and twenty kilograms of rice are worth about 1,000 to 1,200 pieces. This is an estimate, does Village Chief Qin agree? β
In the supermarket, the price of ordinary rice is about 4 yuan per kilogram. But it also requires a series of packaging, transportation, as well as labor costs and store costs.
Therefore, the selling price of farmers is definitely not comparable to that of supermarkets!
"Well, almost, it should be a little less!" Qin Dabao affirmed An Liang's statement.
An Liang continued to analyze: "The cost of pesticides is about 50 to 80 yuan, the cost of fertilizers is about 120 to 150 yuan, and the cost of seeds is about 10 yuan. Taken together, the cost of one mu of rice also needs at least 200 yuan, right? β
"Yes." Qin Dabao still nodded, as an old farmer, Qin Dabao naturally knew these contents, even if there was a discrepancy with An Liang's analysis, it would not be much different.
An Liang said with a smile: "To put it simply, excluding the cost of materials and ignoring the cost of labor, the final income of one mu of rice is about 800 yuan to 1,000 yuan." In addition, it is necessary to eat according to God's face, if there is a natural disaster and insect pest, a year's hard work will be wasted. For example, before rice heading, there is a natural stem, and a large number of empty shells will appear; If there is an insect infestation after heading, a large number of grains will be lost; And near the ripening period, you have to worry about thundershowers, that is, easterly rain. At that time, the ears of grain are wet, which will cause mold in the ears of grain. Right? β
For An Liang's profession, Qin Dabao has to affirm. "That's right!"
"For the whole rice season, I'm afraid I'm scared, for fear that something will happen and make a year's hard work in vain, right?" An Liang didn't wait for Qin Dabao's answer, so he continued, "Even so, when selling rice or rice, it has to be sold by buyers and dealers to lower the price, right? β
Qin Dabao had a helpless expression, "Yes! Peasants, it's difficult! β
An conscience is also sour, Qin Dabao is right, farmers, it's really difficult, the so-called vegetables are expensive, fruits are expensive, in fact, do farmers really make money?
The logistics link, the vendor link, and the store link are the ones who really make money!
And what does this have to do with farmers?
"Village Chief Qin, regarding the analysis of the profit per mu of rice, we still ignore one of the most important things, that is, labor costs!" An Liang continued.
Qin Dabao was a little puzzled, "What is the labor cost?" β
"Rice planting, starting with the initial transplanting, followed by insecticide, fertilization, weeding, irrigation, harvesting, threshing, hulling, etc., all require the participation of labor, right? Isn't it cost-effective? Let's say, let's understand it in another way, when threshing and threshing, the labor at home is not enough, and it is generally necessary to hire people, right? How much does it cost to hire someone to threshing and threshing a day? An Liang explained in detail.
Qin Dabao had already understood what An Liang meant, he didn't answer An Liang, but his face was a little gloomy. As Anliang analyzed, these are all cost-effective.
In a simpler way, if the labor used to grow rice is put into other planting labor, other value will be created.
Therefore, labor is also a type of cost, not something that is overlooked.
If, according to An Liang's statement, the profit of one mu of rice every year is quite limited, and it can only be profitable if natural disasters and insect disasters do not occur.
Otherwise, you will lose all your money!
An Liang did not continue to analyze, just at this time, Qin Dabao's wife Tian Xiaofeng, and his grandchildren Qin Changrong came out of the kitchen.
"Second grandpa, it's time to eat!" Qin Changrong shouted.
"Let's eat first, we'll talk about it later!" Qin Dabao was panicked in his heart, especially after An Liang's analysis, he was really uncomfortable.
An Liang also faintly understood Qin Dabao's thoughts, "Well, let's eat!" β
The local chickens in remote mountain villages taste better than the local chickens fed by the farmer's grain, after all, the growth environment is better. An Liang has a faint idea in his conscience, maybe he can also develop the aquaculture industry at the same time?
A farmhouse luncheon with a unique flavor made the picky An Liang feel very good.
After lunch, Qin Dabao asked Qin Changrong to make tea, according to Qin Dabao, the tea leaves are wild tea picked in the mountains, and the taste is not bad.
The two gossiped for a while, and neither of them raised the issue of price again. It wasn't until about two o'clock that Qin Dabao finally couldn't help but ask, "Young man, what is the price of the land you want to lease?" β
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