Among all the awards at this year's Golden Globe Awards, there is one award that everyone thinks will have no suspense, and that is Best Supporting Actor. Cruise and Robert Jr. Downey, Leif from The Duchess. Vannes, Philip of Child Abuse Suspicions. Seymour. Hoffman, and Heath from The Dark Knight. Ledger, yes, Heath. Ledger, unless the Golden Globes want to create a buzz and stir up the discontent of hundreds of millions of people around the world, it is completely impossible to imagine Heath. The possibility that Ledger won't win the award, and it can even be said with certainty that the Golden Globe is not Heath. Ledger's end, Oscar is.

There is also no suspense about the best actress in a musical comedy, which has been confirmed when the list of nominees is announced. Hawkins should be the biggest favorite, but in fact, with her strength, even if she is classified as the best drama actress, she is also not lagging behind. And Sally. Hawkins' Golden Globe award will also set a record for the Golden Globe Award - for the second year in a row, he will award the current Berlin actress to Marion in last year's "La Vie en Rose". Cotillard was first crowned in Berlin and then won the Golden Globe.

There is no suspense in the Best Animated Film Award, and there are three shortlisted films for the Best Animated Film Award at this year's Golden Globe Awards, namely Pixar's "Robot Wall-E", DreamWorks' "Kung Fu Panda" and Disney's "Lightning Dog". Ledger won the same award, unless it was the Golden Globe Award deliberately creating an upset, it is impossible to have a result other than "WALL-E".

In the film category, in addition to the above three. There is more or less fierce competition. For example, the best actor in the drama category is considered to be Sean of "Milk". Pan and Mickey of "Wrestler". Locke goes head-to-head. Sean. Pan's strength lies in his excellent role, his best record in the awards season outpost, and as the only award shortlisted for "Milk", if he loses, it will inevitably be considered a Golden Globe for the same sex. There is rejection of the love theme, however Mickey. Locke's strength is just as strong as it is outrageous, and he also has an excellent record in the skirmish, which can only be said overall, according to the odds offered by various websites. Sean. Pan is slightly ahead.

The competition for the Best Drama Actress award has reached a fever pitch. Streep, Anne. Hathaway, Angelina. Julie, Christine. Scott. Thomas, Kate. Winslet, everybody's strength is very strong, Kate. Winslet and Annie. Hathaway may have a slightly better chance of winning, but in fact, the other three are also possible.

The best supporting actress also did not appear in a situation where anyone was obviously ahead, perhaps from the strength, qualifications, gimmicks, balance and other factors, Penelope. Cruz and Kate. Winslet is a little more likely, but who knows? Think Melissa. Tomei and Viola. Davis is quite a few.

Due to Lin Yuquan's own strong influence, the award speculation related to him is of course the most important in the major predictions, even the award of Best Score, which he is not directly involved in. In this award, "Wild Tales: Rise of the Apes" is undoubtedly the biggest favorite. The soundtrack is nothing short of spectacular and the most anticipated, but Howard. Xiao wants to get his wish and finally win the award, the difficulty is really not small, not because of his own strength, but because he has won this honor in 04 and 05 with "The Lord of the Rings 3: The Return of the King" and "The Aviator", of which "The Lord of the Rings 3: The Return of the King" also accepted the best song.

Sometimes it's not a good thing to win too many prizes, as well as John. Williams, who has been nominated for the Golden Globe a whopping 21 times, has only won four times, with a gap of 23 years between the third and fourth awards, and has lost ten times in a row.

and Howard. Shaw's situation is more similar with "Benjamin. The Curious Affair of Barton was shortlisted Alexander. DisPratt, who only won the honor last year with "The Veil", certainly not so easily.

This undoubtedly gave the other three nominees, especially Hans in "Frost Talks to Nixon". Zimmer and A.R. Larman of Slumdog Millionaire, the former of whom has lost five consecutive nominations since winning for "The Lion King" and "Gladiator," and perhaps it's time to win three times, and A.R. Rahman of Slumdog have a whimsical and exotic soundtrack that is even the most likely to win considering its history of never being nominated for a Golden Globe.

In the award of Best Screenplay, in which Lin Yuquan personally participated, the actual effect of "Reading Life and Death" was not as expected. There are some problems with the script of "The Curious Affair of Barton" itself, and naturally, the competition will be produced in "Wild Story: Rise of the Apees", "Slumdog Millionaire", and "Frost Talks to Nixon": three widely recognized good scripts.

"Wild Story: The Rise of the Ape Race" is obviously a model of high-quality commercial film scripts, with a wonderful and interesting story that touches people's hearts; A large part of the success of the movie "Slumdog Millionaire" lies in the script, which on the whole is intricate, clever and ingenious; The script for "Frost Versus Nixon" is equally strong, written by Pete Brown, who wrote "The Last Dictatorship" and "The Queen." Morgan.

Among them, the competitiveness of "Frost Dialogue with Nixon" is relatively weak, because of the interview form of the film itself and the existence of objective history, all the lines in the film have to copy the original dialogue of the year, which greatly limits the play of the screenwriter, and many film critics think that the script is excellent, but the role of the screenwriter has not been fully displayed.

Many media critics believe that the competition for best screenplay will be between "Wild Stories: Rise of the Apes" and "Slumdog Millionaire", compared to "Slumdog Millionaire", "Slumdog Millionaire" is more creative, but the intricate and complex script will inevitably have some loopholes, and as a commercial film, it is obviously not as entertaining as "Wild Stories: Rise of the Apes".

This depends on the choice of the Golden Globe Award, if you talk about the overall level, then naturally "Savage: The Rise of the Ape" has the last laugh, if it is innovative, then it is "Slumdog Millionaire" to win, and there is almost no third possibility.

Speaking of which, the reason why the Golden Globe Awards divide the awards into two categories: drama and musical drama. It's all about attracting more celebrities to attend. And as part of a separate separation. Of course, the overall quality of the films nominated for the Musical Comedy Awards is not comparable to that of the Drama category, which is also reflected in the list of nominees for Best Musical Comedy Film at this year's Golden Globe Awards, "Killer No Holiday", "Carefree", "Mamma Mia", "Midnight in Barcelona", "Heartbeat", such five films are obviously far from the five films of the best drama film, "Benjamin. The Curious Case of Barton", "Frost in Conversation with Nixon", "Life and Death Reading", "Wild Story: The Rise of the Apees", and "Slumdog Millionaire" have a big gap in quality.

In terms of connotation and ideology, the realistic style of "Carefree" is of course the most outstanding one, but the best musical comedy film will consider this. But the overall quality and entertainment of the film will not be ignored, if you talk about the overall quality of the film, "Midnight Barcelona" and "Heartbeat" are obviously the best, and if you talk about entertainment, "Heartbeat" and "Mamma Mia", "Killer No Holiday" are the best, all things considered, "Heartbeat" has a very high winning rate.

And one thing that cannot be ignored is that the Golden Globe Awards, which have always focused on attracting celebrities, are evenly matched in the musical comedy category. It's always more inclined to give awards to directors and stars who are bigger names. Lee and Woody. Alan is a master director. When it comes to global influence, they are far from the sky-high Lin Yuquan.

Originally, the winning rate was high, and with the blessing of influence, it was difficult for "Heartbeat" to win, in fact, this is also the most sure that Lin Yuquan's two films were shortlisted for five awards, and in the handicap started by a well-known British bookmaker, the odds of 1.37 for "Heartbeat" are much lower than 2.82 times that of the second place "Midnight Barcelona".

There is no doubt that among the awards related to Lin Yuquan, and among all the awards of this year's Golden Globe Awards, the two awards for Best Drama Film and Best Director are the most eye-catching.

In comparison, especially the best director, this award is of course fiercely competitive. Bauer, David. Finch, Lang. Howard, Steven. Moral benefit, there is no weak hand, but there is a comparison between strength and weakness, Lang. Howard and Stephen. Dudley can only play well, in fact, the two are not so indisputable, "Milk", "Wrestler", "The Dark Knight", "Robot Wall-E", many directors are quite unconvinced, in addition, compared with the two in the past won the Golden Globe Award for Best Drama Film "Moment" and "A Beautiful Mind", obviously exposed the shortcomings of their works this year.

And from the awards season to the present, Lin Yuquan, Danny. Bauer, David. The three Finch are basically evenly matched, each of them won the best director, and all of them were nominated for it, but the strong have their own strong players, whether it is on film evaluation or sensational, Lin Yuquan is obviously higher, and considering Lin Yuquan's age, it is even more amazing, at the age of 25, he can make a movie like "Wild Tales: The Rise of the Apes", which is a unique thing, if he wins the award, it will undoubtedly be the most recognized in the world.

But on the other hand, the issue of age is also a huge obstacle, and seniority doesn't matter, Danny. Bauer and David. Finch is also nominated for the Golden Globe Award for Best Director for the first time, but it is really difficult to cross in terms of age.

Prior to this, the youngest of the Golden Globe Awards for Best Director was Francis. Ford. Coppola, who won Best Director at the 30th Golden Globe Awards at the age of 33 for "The Godfather".

In addition to him, 35 years old? Kevin. Kostner and? Laszlo. Benedict, 40-year-old Mel. Jebson and? Oliver. Stone is already the youngest.

However, Lin Yuquan is only 25 years old, which is more than the award-winning Francis. Ford. Coppola is eight years younger.

46-year-old David. Finch and 52-year-old Danny. Bauer won the award without any age barrier, but it takes a lot of determination to make a great breakthrough in the Golden Globe Awards to send Lin Yuquan to the best director throne.

What's more, the amazing visual effects of "Wild Story: The Rise of the Ape Race" are also an obstacle for Lin Yuquan to become the best director, because it is completely motion capture, there is no external performance of the actor himself, which will inevitably weaken Lin Yuquan's directorial ability in the film.

Therefore, Lin Yuquan's odds are not in the leading position on the handicap opened by the bookmaker, but in Danny. After Bauer. David. Before Finch. Danny. Bauer's strength is that he doesn't have an age barrier. "Slumdog Millionaire" is more realistic, more profound, and in comparison, it is easier to please the college judges, to be exact, the old white men.

For such a result, Lin Yuquan's fans are naturally not satisfied, in their opinion. It's definitely a joke, even James. Cameron and Peter. Jackson both topped the Oscars and Golden Globe Awards for Best Director with "Titanic" and "The Lord of the Rings 3: The Return of the King", and by the way, he also won the double Best Picture, why Lin Yuquan can't, the box office of "Wild Story: The Rise of the Ape Race" is even more amazing, and then compared with the age of the two at the age of 43 and 42 at the time, Lin Yuquan's achievements are undoubtedly more incredible, if even Lin Yuquan can't win the award, then doesn't it mean that the Golden Globe Award was awarded to James in the past. Cameron and Peter. Jackson was a mistake.

Perhaps the only reason that can be found is that the competition between the two at that time was not as fierce as Lin Yuquan is now, but is this really the case? James. Cameron's rival at the time was Curtis. Hansen, Steven. Spielberg, James. L. Brooks, Jim. Sheridan. At that time, their shortlisted works were "Los Angeles Confidential", "Broken Lock Rage", "Perfect", "In the Name of Love", compared with "Benjamin. The Curious Case of Barton", "Frost in Conversation with Nixon", "Life and Death Reading", and "Slumdog Millionaire". Not only will it not be weak, but it will only be stronger, and even stronger than a little bit.

Look at Peter again. Jackson's rival, Sophia. Coppola, Clint. Eastwood, Anthony. Minghella, Peter. Will, their corresponding works are "Lost in Translation", "Mystic River", "Cold Mountain", "Angry Sea Battle", maybe weaker, but definitely not weaker, among which "Cold Mountain" is Anthony. Minghella's masterpiece after "The English Patient" is Miramax's masterpiece for Best Picture at the 2004 Oscars, entirely because of the encounter with the booming "The Lord of the Rings 3: The Return of the King".

So this reason is completely untenable, unless the Golden Globe Awards dislike Lin Yuquan's age is too young, but this is absolutely absurd and outrageous, of course, the more amazing the record, the better, and finally there is a legitimate opportunity to rewrite the historical record, not only do not grasp it, but also dislike it, such a Golden Globe Award is absolutely stupid.

Fans and fans are not only dissatisfied with the prediction results, many people have spontaneously built momentum for Lin Yuquan on the Internet, and for a while, there were overwhelming articles on the Internet in support of Lin Yuquan winning the best director, oh, by the way, and the best drama film, "Titanic 3: The Return of the King" both won this award, and there is no reason not to let "Wild Story: Rise of the Apes" win.

And the media or bookmakers obviously still think that "Slumdog Millionaire" has a better chance of winning the award, and of course it is not ruled out that the Golden Globes will once again separate the best drama film and best director. With Bauer winning Best Director, "Wild Story: The Rise of the Apes" may be able to reach the top, anyway, Lin Yuquan wants to win the Best Drama Film and Best Director awards, the possibility is too small.

According to a survey by the Los Angeles Times, 61% of people believe that Lin Yuquan can win the best director at this Golden Globe Awards, and if you put aside this Golden Globe Awards, 96% of people think that he will definitely become the youngest best director at the Golden Globe Awards.

Lin Yuquan didn't pay much attention to the lively Golden Globe Award speculation, before watching other nominated films, he could only analyze the past awards of the Golden Globe Awards, although this can indeed predict the award results to a large extent, but he doesn't want to do this, this is really not the result he hopes in his heart, he is more willing, or just wants to, after carefully watching other nominated films, stand in an objective point of view, professional judgment.

What's more, compared with the award prediction of the Golden Globe Awards, there is one more thing that he cares about, that is, "Lichun" will be officially released in Shuguang theaters for the second time. (To be continued......)