Chapter 154: Three Profit Models
On the morning of December 8, the market continued to open higher, and there were more than 6 varieties of daily limits in Shanghai and Shenzhen.
Among them, the Shanghai Composite Index opened high at 2o49 points, an increase of 1.51%, and then fell slightly to 2o38 points before it began to stop falling upward, leaving a large gap of 19 points from 2o19 to 2o38 points.
The Shenzhen Component Index was similar, opening at 7,363 points, up 1.16%, and then slid slightly to 7,347 points, leaving a large gap of 7,299-7,347 points.
The Shanghai Composite Index struggled to the upside, trying to move a little further away from the 6o daily line below.
The deep component index is also trying to climb upwards, trying to get a little closer to the 12o daily line above.
"The volume is rising, and the shape is great." Ding Xu couldn't help laughing.
As the broader market index struggles upwards, almost all stocks are rising, and a sea of red on the computer screen is exhilarating and intoxicating.
The sea of red is the picture that investors like to see the most.
"Nantian Information has a daily limit, whether it can drive the software sector, it remains to be seen."
"Western Materials has had 3 consecutive daily limits, but they are all directly sealed, and there is no chance for follow-up funds."
"Chong Hing Real Estate once again closed the price limit. A small Disney theme has made a number of speculative stocks follow the trend and make a lot of money! ”
"No, Chong Hing Real Estate's daily limit is open, and now the turnover rate is over 6%. If the main force does not quickly seal the price limit, today's change of hands will definitely be over 15%, so be careful of the risk of shipment. ”
"At present, Shanghai continues to be dominated by penny stocks, while Shenzhen is dominated by small and mid-cap stocks."
As time went by, Mr. Du Yucheng continued to broadcast his latest results to the students.
Ding Xu also stared at the content on the projector. Consciously coordinate the content of his own viewing plate with Mr. Du Yucheng.
Du Yucheng is worthy of being a teacher who teaches investment. The hand of the operation is very fast. Suddenly switch to the K-line chart of different time periods, switch back and forth in more than a dozen technical indicators, and suddenly turn to various information of the stock to find information, which looks like a dazzling feeling.
However, no matter how fast Du Yucheng's hand was, Ding Xu followed desperately, even if it was a flower in his eyes, he had to grit his teeth and follow.
No way. If you want to learn from others, you have to keep up with him.
What Ding Xu wants to learn now is the ability to make short-term and quick decisions.
"Mr. Du, what kind of stocks should I choose to buy today?" At this time, Liu Yue raised his hand and asked.
"Are you going to buy stocks now? Aren't you afraid of chasing high quilt covers? After all, many stocks are now up more than 5o%. Du Yucheng glanced at Liu Yue.
Liu Yue replied with a smile: "It's not very likely to chase the high quilt cover." After all, the market has now entered a relatively stable upward channel, and it should be able to run for a while. However, the rise of the index can give us confidence, but it does not allow us to make money, and we have to rely on individual stocks to make money. Now that the broader market is steadily moving up in an upward channel, there is no systemic risk. Then we still have to seize the better individual stocks in order to make profits. That's why I asked Mr. Du for advice. ”
"Oh? You think there is no risk, but Ding Xu thinks there is, he just said that since the rise of the Shenzhen Component Index, there have been three gaps, which is a systemic risk. Du Yucheng glanced at Ding Xu and said with a smile, "Classmate Ding Xu, isn't that so?" ”
"Isn't this for me to fight Liu Yue in the ring?"
Ding Xu thought about it a little entangledly, but he had to stand up and replied seriously: "What Senior Sister Liu Yue said makes sense, many stocks haven't risen much now, and there is a feeling that they don't make money by making indexes." Therefore, it is very important to select individual stocks, if you choose well, you can outperform the market, and if you choose poorly, you will stagtagnation. ”
"I'm asking you whether there is a systemic risk in the broader market, and you don't shy away from it." Du Yucheng frowned slightly.
Ding Xu had no choice but to reply: "There is naturally a risk. As I just said, the Shenzhen Component Index closed a breakthrough upward gap on November 1o, and then closed a gap on November 27 and December 4, respectively, and today the Shenzhen Component Index has a big gap again, if it can't be filled in the intraday, then it is the third gap in a row within 8 trading days. As the saying goes, jump three times in a row, and the number of gas is exhausted! I think the market may peak in stages in the near future, but it will not be a big top, just a small top. In the future, this small top will be crossed and become a mountainside. ”
"Liu Yue, what do you think of Ding Xu's opinion?" Du Yucheng glanced at Liu Yue again.
It seems that Du Yucheng likes to organize classmate debates very much, and this time, Ding Xu and Liu Yue's views can be described as needle-to-point.
"Teacher Du, just now after Ding Xu said the sentence 'jump three times in a row, the number of qi is exhausted', I searched on the Internet and did not find this sentence at all. Similarly, there are only two sentences: 'the stock price jumps three shorts, and the gas number is exhausted' and 'the market jumps three shorts, and the gas number is exhausted', Ding Xu's sentence should be adapted from these two sentences. However, these two sentences are not right in themselves! ”
Liu Yue said seriously, "For example, there are many individual stocks that have left more than three, or even as many as ten or eight upward gaps, on the way up, but the stock price has been rising, rising several times in a row." Moreover, in the bull market that began in 2oo5, the market also left more than ten gaps, and several gaps have not been filled so far, but they have risen six times before stopping. Therefore, the sentence adapted by Ding Xu from these two stock market proverbs is naturally not correct and cannot stand the test of actual combat. ”
It is precisely because these two sentences are inaccurate that some people have re-summarized the relevant laws, added the word 'connection' in front of the 'jump three gaps', and limited the gap to three consecutive conditions. As the saying goes, one blow, then decline, three and exhaustion. If there are three gaps in the short term, the probability of peaking in the short term is indeed very large, and when the Shanghai Index peaked last year, it was like this! Ding Xu turned his head and glanced at Liu Yue and said with a smile.
"Someone resuming it up? Who is it? Liu Yue asked unconvinced.
"Teacher Du." Ding Xu decided not to let Du Yucheng stand behind the scenes to watch the play.
Liu Yue was speechless for a moment.
"Ahem...... In this wave of rising market, some students have been hesitant, and finally stepped short, and asked me this morning if I can buy now and make a profit. Now, I will talk about a few profit models in the current environment. The first technical form is to adjust after the first wave of the market rise, and the individual stocks that have shrunk significantly during the adjustment. ”
Du Yucheng was happy to hear it, and when he heard that the topic was on him, he quickly changed the topic, "This kind of stock is divided into two kinds, one is the stock that has risen sharply or even doubled, such as China Railway Second Bureau, this kind of stock is risky, and it is not built to intervene." The other is just from the bottom of the start, in a state of just breaking through, especially just breaking through the 6o daily moving average, short-term gains are not large, this kind of stocks, the market still has a greater opportunity. This is the first monetization model. ”
Ding Xu's eyes lit up when he heard this, and he quickly recorded this passage.
"The technical form of the second stock is that after the first wave of rise, the stock price has been moving sideways, carrying out a strong consolidation, and the stock price has not fallen much, nor has it risen much, building a platform. Such a platform can be called in-flight refueling. As long as this type of stock breaks through the platform, it will generally rise by more than 2o%, and more can even reach more than double. ”
Du Yucheng continued, "The third technical form is the individual stocks that have been stagflating in the early stage. This kind of stock has not risen much in the early stage, and the increase is not even as good as the market, which is either the main force has not absorbed enough chips and is unwilling to start, or there is no capital to take care of it, or the main force has misjudged the market. As long as the main force decides to pull up, or gets the favor of short funds, it can also get a large increase. Of course, there is also a risk in buying this kind of stagflation stock, that is, it has been stagnating, and then it will miss the market. ”
"Yes, stagflation stocks are very abrasive, I can't stand it, I still like to buy stocks that rise fast, Mr. Du, how to find this kind of stock?" Liu Yue asked. (To be continued!)
ps: Last night's prediction: "Tomorrow morning, the market should rush to the 23oo integer mark, and then there may be an adjustment, but it will not be a deep adjustment, and Friday may be a red Friday, yang and yin...... Don't be afraid if there is adjustment, you can do T if you have good technology, and continue to patiently cover stocks if you have bad technology. ”
Judging from the trend of today's September 4th, the market is stronger than I expected, although there were several dives and green movements in the morning, but the morning adjustment, afternoon sprint, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 23o6 points, standing on the 23oo point mark, and I predicted that the order of the first charge and then adjustment was reversed.
I said in the book in July that I saw more than 2444 points in this wave, and now I am standing at 23oo points, which is one step closer to this goal.
It is expected that the market will adjust slightly again tomorrow morning, grinding the integer mark of 23oo points, the so-called grinding, is nothing more than falling below the 23oo mark, and then standing on it again, which is the mode of strong intraday washing...... Despite the fact that the indicator further indicates a buy, I still feel that there is no need to worry because the indicator is blunted. This is often the case with China's stock market, which tends to fall too well and overgrow.
This wave of rise is dominated by second-tier blue chips, so the index has reached a new high, but many stocks have not returned to their original positions, and many people have regretted that they have not made money in the index these days. It doesn't matter, the plate will rotate, and there will be a general rise, be patient and wait for the stock to rise, don't change shares frequently, otherwise it is easy to be slapped on both sides.
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