"Mr. Du, my conclusions with Liu Yue are similar, but I mainly analyze them from the fundamentals. Driven by 4 trillion investment, China's economy has begun to come out of the trough, and other countries are also adopting various methods such as sharp interest rate cuts to stimulate the economy and get rid of the negative impact of the global financial crisis. At present, the momentum of global economic recovery has emerged, and the stock market is bound to rise, and A-shares are no exception. ”

Ding Xu stood up and replied unhurriedly, "In the face of this general trend of economic recovery, technical analysis is not so important. I think that at the moment it is medium. If this meeting can introduce some new benefits, the Shenzhen Component Index is likely to break through the bull and bear dividing line of the 12o daily line, and pull the Shanghai Composite Index to continue to rise, starting a wave of bull market. ”

Du Yucheng smiled, and there was a rare hint of ridicule in his always gentle words: "You mean it. The central government is preparing to cooperate with the main force such as the social security fund? ”

The classmates laughed.

"Teacher Du, that's what I think." Ding Xu also laughed, and then explained, "In fact, this wave of market is the policy market led by policy!" ”

According to Ding Xu's understanding, China's A-share market is a typical policy market, which can be described as a policy of rising and falling.

For example, in the past few years, the market has risen from 998 points to 6124 points. At that time, the interest rate hike was adjusted accurately, and the three arrows were in unison to implement a tight monetary policy; The high-level also even issued 12 gold medal orders, trying to suppress the crazy speculation in the bull market, and did not hesitate to come to a rooster cry in the middle of the night. Stamp duty was suddenly raised. caused a tragic baptism of 5.3o. In the end, after the market rose to 6124 points, it successfully suppressed the index.

However, China has always been like this, if it wants to rise, it will rise too much, and if it wants to fall, it will fall too much. When the Shanghai Composite Index collapsed from 6,124 points to 3ooo points, the top management had already made efforts to stop the decline of the stock index. However, the market fell so hard that it couldn't stop the car at all, and finally fell all the way to 1664 points, a drop of 73%.

And now. This qiē is gradually changing, and the regulator should still be very concerned about the pace of market operation, and it seems that it has been tracking. Huijin's increase in holdings, central bank interest rates and reserve reductions are all introduced during a very sensitive time period for the broader market. For example, the reduction of the central bank's interest rate and reserves in the early stage coincided with the long-term trend pressure line of the 3O daily line faced by the Shanghai Index, and the news of Huijin's increase in holdings of the three major bank stocks disclosed last week also happened to be the time when the Shanghai Index was facing a breakthrough of the 6O daily moving average.

The introduction of these two positive products can be said to be the introduction of precise technical points, which has suddenly enhanced the confidence of the market.

Moreover, the top management also formulated the "Nine Articles of the Financial State" this week, including requiring insurance funds to actively increase their shareholding ratios and fire a number of equity funds to enter the market. As well as the suspension of one-year notes, the suspension of a new stock bank, the meeting, and the listing. Interest rate cuts, reserve cuts and other good things are all important tables to encourage the market to go long.

Even last week, several major ace brokerages swept up the bulk trading reduction platform, which should also come from the guidance and support of policies.

Therefore, Ding Xu believes that when the Shenzhen Component Index is about to hit the half-year line, as long as there is another shock, the management is likely to issue positive support again. And even if there is no specific benefit, but in . Under the trend revealed in the central economic work conference, the media will interpret it in a good way, which is enough to stimulate funds to go long.

After all, the semi-annual line and the annual line is an important dividing line for the evolution of the bull and bear pattern in the market, this position is very important, if it can effectively stand on the first half of the line and maintain more than half a month, then it will prove that the market has entered a bull market, if it can not stand, it means that it is still in the bear market.

"In addition, although the Shenzhen Component Index has risen from 5,577 points to 7,279 points last Friday, an increase of 3o, I think there are three more driving forces for the market to continue to rise in the short term, which will help the Shenzhen Component Index hit the half-year line." Speaking of this, Ding Xu threw out another point.

"Oh? What are the three motivators? Du Yucheng asked curiously.

"Floating capital, funds and retail investors, these are three different groups, but they form a common synergy." Ding Xu replied.

In Ding Xu's view, you capital is the biggest winner in the mid-level rebound of the market, they keenly captured the policy of the long breath, and then began to speculate, after the early stage of the 4 trillion to stimulate domestic demand, and began to speculate on the high-quality growth of small and medium-cap stocks, the doubling of the money-making effect, stimulated the market's strong willingness to go long. Obviously, in the case of a 73% decline in the broader bear market, they will not be satisfied with the 3o% increase in the broader market, and will continue to go long.

If the guerrillas are compared, then the funds and institutions are the regular army. They reacted two beats slower than the tour capital, and it was not until Shanghai was around 18oo that they began to really respond to the policy and enter the market. However, at present, their enthusiasm and enthusiasm have been mobilized, and not long ago, the top management also put forward a request to actively increase the shareholding ratio. Coupled with the requirements of the social security fund to replenish and increase positions, some second- and third-tier blue chips have begun to be active, which will surely become an important boost for the market to rise.

The third help, of course, is the retail investors, who are like militias, not professionally trained regular troops, but there are so many that no one can ignore them.

Under the atmosphere of policies encouraging longs and the increasingly active market, retail investors are also actively replenishing and increasing their positions. Recently, the market trading volume has been rising, and the hot spots have gradually expanded from point to area, indicating that the entry of incremental funds is more obvious. Since small and medium-sized retail investors can enter the market to make money, the money-making effect will naturally spread and the funds that hesitate in the periphery will eventually enter the market.

Ding Xu believes that at present, these three forces continue to be optimistic about the stock market and continue to enter the market, so the momentum of the market will continue, and the Shenzhen Component Index will also challenge the half-year line in the near future.

Hearing this, Du Yucheng nodded appreciatively and said, "What Ding Xu said is still very reasonable, this is because he is standing in a high position, so he can see far away, but I was abrupt before." Still, Ding Xu, I'd like to hear your thoughts on technical analysis. ”

"Okay, I think that at present, in the medium and long term, whether it is the Shanghai Index or the Shenzhen Component Index, they are supporting the ...... of continuing to rise," Ding Xu analyzed the technical indicators discussed with Qi Fei in the past few days, and finally said, "However, from a short-term point of view, the recent rise is relatively fast, and last Thursday the Shanghai Index and the Shenzhen Component Index both released the amount of the past six months, and the Shenzhen Component Index also appeared in the third gap of this wave of rise, and the short-term adjustment risk has been condensed." Those who do medium and long-term can continue to hold their stocks, but those with technology can consider doing T to reduce costs. ”

The Shenzhen Component Index closed a large gap of 5767-5855 points on November 1o, and then jumped up on November 27, directly crossed the 6o daily line, and closed a gap of 661o-6683 points, but it was quickly filled. And last Thursday, December 4th, the Shenzhen Component Index closed out a gap of 7o41-7122 points, which has not been filled so far, and has also closed out the amount of days in recent months, although this is not a short period of three gaps in succession, and it is not fully in line with Mr. Du's principle of "jumping three times in a row, and the number of gas has been exhausted", but it also indicates the risk of adjustment.

According to Ding Xu's understanding, since the economy has just begun to recover, the stock market is just starting in a bull market. At most, it is a small top in stages, and as the stock market rises, this small top will become the bottom.

However, for retail investors with good short-term technology, even if there is a wave of medium-term or short-term adjustments, it is also very helpful to successfully do T to reduce costs. Last time, Ding Xu tasted the sweetness of doing T on the stock of Baotou Steel Rare Earth, so he was impressed.

"The analysis is good, I hope that today's Shenzhen Component Index can open flat or low, and there will be no third gap in the short term, otherwise it will really become a triple jump in a row." Du Yucheng smiled and motioned for Ding Xu to sit down.

After that, Du Yucheng analyzed some stocks, and the time soon came to half past nine.

The Shenzhen Component Index opened higher at 7,363 points, up 1.16%, 64 points higher than last Friday's peak of 7,299 points.

"It's a gap again!" There was an exclamation from the machine room.

"Opened high again?" Du Yucheng frowned and sighed, "Do you really want to leave the third gap in the short term?" This is not a healthy trend! (To be continued!)

ps: Last night mentioned that "some people say that the market is now buying strict zhòng, to pull back, I don't think there is a need to be nervous, the daily indicator has not been bought, the short rise will continue, holding the stock is a good choice." "Today, the market continued to gap, and the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 2288 points, up 1%, approaching the 23oo point mark, and the forecast was more accurate.

Tomorrow is Thursday again, and there are four black Thursdays in August, will it continue this week?

Personally, the J value of the Shanghai Index KDJ has reached 1O7, has entered the buy area, and has been forced to rise for four consecutive days, tomorrow morning the market should rush to the 23oo integer mark, and then there may be an adjustment, but it will not be a deep adjustment, and Friday may be a red Friday, yang and yin.

Of course, the adjustment risk has also begun to condense, the Shanghai Index today's trading volume is as high as 187.6 billion, is the amount since September last year, and today between 2267-2268, there is a small gap of less than one point, the same is true of the Shenzhen Component Index, July 28, September 1 and today have closed out of the gap, since July this wave of market, the Shanghai Index has two gaps, the Shenzhen Component Index has three. Although it is not a short jump in a short period of time, there is no need to worry about the exhaustion of gas, but the amount of days plus continuous gaps, the market is more likely to be adjusted. Of course, there is no need to be afraid of adjustments, if the technology is good, you can do T, and if the technology is not good, continue to patiently cover the stocks.

In terms of individual stocks, yesterday I spent an hour in the VIP group to analyze oooo39, and today it rose by more than 7 points. Today, I analyzed another one in the VIP group to see how it will be tomorrow.

Tips: The new domain name "biquge.info" has been launched by Biquge, and the original domain name is about to be discontinued. Please tell each other, thank you!