The stock market is a vanity fair that magnifies human weaknesses, here, human weaknesses such as too timid, too bold、、、 greedy, psychologically fragile, indecisive, suspicious, and hyperactive may not show much harm in ordinary times, but once they are linked to stocks and money, these weaknesses will be magnified to the extreme, and they are also the main reason for retail investors to lose money.

For example, the problem of being suspicious and too anxious is vividly reflected in Bao Erdan. , down a few points, hurry up and sell it. , so he woke up, patted his head and chased in. And the next time the stock price is a little windy, it is easy to be scared out again.

Once the stock has a few points of profit, Bao Erdan is like holding a bowl of hot soup, always fidgeting, worrying about when there will be a bearish, or the market will drag down, and the stock price will fall. Although Ding Xu repeatedly emphasized that he wanted to let the profits run, he also felt that it made sense at the time, but after a while, looking at the red profit numbers in the account, he couldn't help but be moved, and went to buy what he just fancied.

However, hearing Ding Xu say that when the rare earth industry recovers as a whole, Bao Erdan felt that his previous idea was too ridiculous, so he stabilized his mind and said gratefully: "Okay, miracle, I listen to you, let's continue to cover the bun, and wait for it to take off one day and rise to the sky." Thank you, you have strengthened my faith. ”

Jiangchuan Yuhuo summed up with emotion: "Erdan, in fact, these truths, the group leader has said many times in the group. It's just that we are always good at forgetting, so we always have to explain it repeatedly to the group leader. After all, I'm still not good at absorbing other people's experiences. Only by thoroughly understanding the analysis of the group leader. Turning it into your own way of thinking, you can have reliable opinions on stock trading. to really make money. ”

"Yes, yes, it is better to teach them to fish than to teach them to fish, and we must also learn to weave fishing nets and learn how to catch fish." Bao Erdan nodded, said seriously, and then suddenly came back to his senses, "I'll go." If there is an opinion, there is an opinion, what is a reliable opinion? Brother Yuhuo, are you making fun of me? ”

"Haha, I don't dare to make fun of it, just talk about it. It is easy for everyone to form an opinion in the stock market, but to form a reliable opinion, this is the real reliability, otherwise it is blind and arrogant. I still admire miracles for this. At least since the establishment of the group, there has been no excessive deviation in the trend prediction of the market, sectors and individual stocks. We can get to where we are today, to the end of the process. Jiangchuan Yuhuo hurriedly clarified.

"That's it, he's a young god, and he's definitely not in vain." Bao Erdan smiled.

"Okay, don't stink me, I'm just an ordinary new shareholder, what kind of stock god, it's all nonsense from Sun Securities, and it's used to promote their securities company." Ding Xu smiled helplessly.

"The leader of the group is low-key." Bao Erdan snickered. “。”

"Okay, no. It's almost half past nine, and I'm ready to watch the market. Ding Xu shook his head helplessly.

"PetroChina is high. Do you really want to attack today? Bao Erdan glanced at the plate and exclaimed.

"I hope that the petrochemical duo can rise today." Ding Xu nodded.

Ding Xu still has expectations for today's market to regain the 2O day and 3O day moving averages at the same time, but he didn't expect the trend of PetroChina to be somewhat unexpected,,,, and then it has been moving sideways.

The Shanghai Composite Index is also jumping up and down today, repeatedly oscillating, so that the little hearts of some stockholders are a little unbearable - the Shanghai Composite Index opened slightly higher at 1938 points in the morning, dived rapidly, and then quickly pulled up, rushing to 1941 at 9:38, and then diving to 1927 at 9:5o. Just when the shareholders were worried, it quickly pulled up again, rushing to 1948 at 1o:15, then diving to 1925 at 11:03, and back to 1934 at the end of the morning at 11:30.

There are no hot spots in the sector, but agricultural stocks are more aggressive.

The end and beginning of each year,,,。 In this way, agricultural stocks, including agricultural reclamation, seed industry and other stocks, because of this time period, as long as the general environment of the stock market is better.

, once attacked more than three points, but with the shock of the market, the rise fell rapidly, and there was only a little more than a point of gain in the morning, leaving a small white line with a long shadow, similar to the trend of a lightning rod.

"It's just two hours, jumping up and down, Nima, is this a monkey show?" The riverboat fishing fire spat out a groove.

"The Shanghai Index is hitting the position where the 2O and 3O daily lines are bonded, and it will definitely grind the moving average." Ding Xu was very calm.

"Not quite right,." The eldest son of the Li family interjected, "The market has continued to soar in the past two days, and there seem to be signs of big main shipments, everyone should be careful." After all, it is still a bear market, and the main force may run away with a profit of more than a dozen points, repeatedly do point bands, and spread costs. , today's trend is a bit of a lightning rod, be careful of diving and turning green. ”

"Tanhua, I don't think it's a bear market right now. If it is really a bear market, it will fall below 1664 points some time ago. Ding Xu said disapprovingly, "The early stage of the bull market always starts in despair, the middle of the bull market always rises in hesitation and argument, and finally the late bull market will suddenly die in the joy of the whole people." Now, it should still be the junction of the early and middle stages of the bull market. ”

"Whether it's a bear market or a bull market, it's really hard to say right now. With my experience in brokerage firms, it's too early to draw conclusions, and there's no need to jump to conclusions. Let's do a good job of individual stocks. Putting aside the market to make individual stocks and chasing hot spots, you can make money. The eldest son of the Li family smiled. Took the initiative to put aside the controversy, "You see. Regardless of the bear market or bull market, strong stocks like this are good stocks. ”

"Tanhua,?" Asked curiously.

"That's a long story, the daily chart appears straight up and then quickly falls, forming a spire similar to the inverse V, the rise on the left resembles a high rod, and the fall on the right resembles a somewhat curved fishing line. This pattern resembles a fishing rod and a fishing line in the daily chart...... "Li Jia'er explained.

"What's the point of that?" Asked if you want to eat fat.

Generally, when the stock price is at a high level, the main force uses a means to distribute chips and attract retail investors to follow suit. For example, after the opening of the morning market, the following continuous large buy orders, taking the way of knocking to increase the volume, and quickly pulling up the stock price, the stock price rose in a straight line, and retail investors thought that they were going to break through or to rise to the limit, so they followed the trend to buy. At this time, the main force suddenly withdrew the big buy order, and then continued to distribute chips, and the stock price fell steadily. Institutions and retail investors who followed the trend in early trading could not correct their mistakes because they were T+1, and could only watch themselves lose money. Li Jia'er explained, "Today's market is volatile. ”

“！” I looked at the K-line chart of the Shanghai Index and exclaimed, "Is the main force really shipping?" ”

Today's Shanghai Composite Index trend is indeed a bit similar. However, the premise of exploring flowers is. When the stock price is at a high level! Now the market is only 1934 points, less than 2,000 points. What kind of high is it? Ding Xu shook his head and retorted. , it is also a phased shipment, high throwing and low suction and washing. Just be bullish on the long-term uptrend and ignore it. ”

"Miracle, the market has risen from 1664 points to 1934 points now, and it has accumulated a 16% increase, which is not high?" The eldest son of the Li family is also a more serious person, and retorted very seriously, "If it is a bull market, this increase is nothing." But you know, it's a bear market ......"

Speaking of this, the eldest son of the Li family suddenly realized something, so he laughed and said: "It's me who forgot about it, I just said that I want to put aside the debate between the bull market and the bear market and concentrate on individual stocks." ”

"Bull and bear markets are two completely different strategies, and if you don't understand this, you will make a mistake of principle. I'll admit that you're a professional, but professionals often don't judge the market accurately, otherwise stock commentators wouldn't be wrong repeatedly. At the end of the day, it's a matter of horizons, and I think you sometimes focus too much on technical indicators, too cautiously, and ignore the big picture. The current trend will not rise by only 16% and then peak. Ding Xu suddenly became interested and argued with the eldest son of the Li family.

"You're right, professionals have just learned more economic theories, sometimes on paper, and not as good as some retail investors. However, we have seen too many tragedies in this market, so we will naturally be more cautious, more risk-conscious, and walk on thin ice step by step, because only in this way can we survive. The eldest son of the Li family sighed and said, "For example, now, I think the expectation that it is a bull market is indeed too optimistic, and if you are too optimistic, it is likely that when the stock market peaks, you will think that it is halfway up the mountain!" ”

"Well, it's right to be risk-aware. New investors who are not aware of risk, even if they make more money in a bull market, can easily lose all their profits or even lose money in a bear market. I do have to reflect on whether I'm too optimistic. Ding Xu nodded and said.

"Damn, keep arguing! Why is it that a consensus has not been reached yet? After Bao Erdan took a class, he returned to the office, climbed the stairs very seriously, looked through the chat records, and suddenly Ding Xu and the eldest of the Li family stopped talking, and couldn't help but be anxious, "You guys give a conclusion, is it the main force that is shipping now?" ”

"I think it's a low position, it's a valley, it's not a shipment, and the market is still relatively safe. The Li family believes that it is a high position, and the market has systemic risks. Who do you choose to believe? Ding Xu smiled.

"Tangled, miracle. I've always believed you, but you also said that Tanhua is a professional......" Bao Erdan said tangledly.

"The professional is not necessarily the right one. I just said that. There are articles on the financial network every day about the market forecast of fund companies and securities companies for the next day, and they are not often wrong? It's a miracle market analysis. , I feel much stronger than the pros. Anyway, I believe in the judgment of miracles, I don't ship it, and I don't cut the meat, anyway, I'm still wearing it, just two words, dead cover. The river boat interjected.

"Brother Yuhuo has a point, it's true. Good. I'll wait and see. Bao Erdan nodded and replied with some hesitation.

"Erdan, do you want to double your market value this year?" Ding Xu sighed and said a little speechlessly.

"Yes, I want to think very much!" Bao Eran nodded like pounded garlic.

"Then I'll give you a secret decision. Only six words. Ding Xu smiled.

"Which six words?" Bao Erdan hurriedly asked, "Is it 'insisting that the long-term is golden'?" ”

"These six words are also true, but the six words I want to say more are, you just have to believe it!" Ding Xu replied.

"I'm rubbing, isn't this in the just-released "Kung Fu Panda",?" Bao Erdan asked with a smile. "I can't imagine that miracles are the same as me, watching cartoons."

That's right, it's the classic line ...... Kung Fu Panda, as for the panda Ah Bao, who was accepted as an apprentice by mistake, he has no potential in his eyes, and he doesn't want to teach it kung fu at all. , firmly believe that only the panda Po can read the wordless book of heaven and save the valley. ,, you just have to believe! Ding Xu began to recall the plot.

"I know this plot. and found a way to attract pandas to practice with food, and finally Panda Po finally practiced peerless martial arts. And saw his own shadow in the wordless heavenly book that was as smooth as a mirror, and realized the ultimate meaning of believing in himself. His confidence increased, and he created his own magic trick and finally defeated the snow leopard! Bao Erdan replied as if rushing to answer, and then asked suspiciously, "Do you want me to believe in you, or believe in myself?" Although I am also an old shareholder, my level is too poor to compare with you. ”

"Don't just trust me, but trust your own judgment and stick to it! In fact, as an old shareholder, you still have a certain ability to judge, and you can also understand the high and low positions, but the key is that you are not confident enough, have no perseverance, and cannot always adhere to your own judgment. ”

Ding Xu said seriously, "For example, you judged that the bun has just started at the bottom now, and the goal is to at least double, so you buy it at eight yuan." As a result, it has risen sharply in the past two days, and you are full of confidence, and last night you said that you will soon be able to rise to ten yuan, and you can double it in three months. But today, as soon as the market fluctuates and dives, you will beat a drum in your heart, and this is still the case that the buns have not fallen. If the bun falls, you will panic even more and doubt your previous double judgment. Think what's wrong with the buns, isn't it okay? Do you want to lock in profits? If the bun falls sharply today, you may immediately admit loss. As for the shareholding plan you made before, no matter how carefully it was formulated, it has long been forgotten. ”

"Yes, yes, that's what I am, you're not wrong at all." Bao Erdan said dejectedly, "Am I too fickle? ”

………………………………………… Dividing line ....................................

(Heartfelt thanks to the "Ethereal Knife", Thousand Cities 2, Confidant Lover 1198, Desert Ore, DSH Light as Water, A Brick, jyy123654, "Night Flame Red Dust" These 8 hardcore book friends generously rewarded as the leader of this book, welcome to the alliance leader group (miracle group) family exchange.)

Thank you very much for your monthly pass and subscription support, and continue to ask for a subscription and a monthly pass.

Let's talk about the big picture.

Contrary to yesterday's pattern of strong Shanghai and deep weakness, today is Shanghai weak and Shenzhen strong. , reported 3o32 points, with a turnover of 419.5 billion yuan, and reported 1o57o points, with a turnover of 219.3 billion yuan.

On the market, wine, insurance, and sub-IPO stocks were active, while steel, coal, electricity, banking and other sectors fell by 3% as a whole.

Last night I mentioned in my 6,000-word analysis that ",,, so. I feel that the broader market is starting to gather risks, and it is possible that we will have to start to stop moving forward in the near future, after completing the target of recovering the 2o1o high of 3186 points. It began to move sideways or even fall. There are two possibilities after that, one is that this small bull market will come to an end. This possibility is very small, only 1o%, the second is still the rest of the first half, next year from the spring annual report market, again to the second half of the bull market, this probability is high, 9o%.

Because, although the economic numbers are still not good. However, several core motives of this bull market are still running, one is the easing of funds brought about by interest rate cuts, the third is the sector driving force brought about by Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, state-owned enterprise reform and economic innovation, and the fourth is the need for high-level banks to new shares and the implementation of the registration system. If these three motives do not rest, and the registration system does not start, I feel that the bull market will not end here.

I feel that some of the heavyweight stocks that have risen too much recently will rest, and the index stocks that have taken a break for a while, such as some brokerage stocks that have been adjusted in place, will take turns to perform. Let the index not fall too much, so as to retain the funds chasing into the bull market and maintain the bull market sentiment.

Other words. Heavyweight stocks are just taking turns to rest, and it is difficult to continue to fall sharply. Therefore, in the next trading day, it is still necessary to put aside the index and make individual stocks. So, where will the market hotspots be in the future? I think second-tier blue chips will still be a hot spot, and when the elephants take turns to rest, the second-tier blue chips represented by the 6O1 Corps will take turns to perform, just like when the big stars are resting, there will be second-tier singers who come up to sing and perform. Let the audience have a play to watch.

At the same time, opportunities for small and mid-cap stocks will also be quietly coming. ”

Last night, my predictions were once again fulfilled by the trend. Today's weighted stock adjustment, Agricultural Bank of China. After the strong rise of the PetroChina aircraft carrier yesterday, today took the lead in diving, the Agricultural Bank of China and PetroChina seem to have made an appointment, and it is indeed a professional tool for rushing and smashing the market, and the 6O1 Corps also has a lot of shares plummeting, which is somewhat beyond my expectations.

At the same time, in the morning, small and medium-cap stocks began to force, there is a meaning of 28 switching, the gem and small and medium-sized board once rose sharply, but the market dived too hard, the Shanghai Index fell by more than 3%, so small and medium-cap stocks also began to turn green. But small- and mid-cap stocks have seen much smaller declines than large heavyweights.

So what will happen to the market? It is estimated that many people want to ask me, take a good look at my disk analysis, and combine the disk judgment to form your own analysis.

If you have the ability to make a judgment, trust your own judgment, which is much better than trusting others.

In fact, I was like playing chess last night, and I had already predicted the second move, that is, what would happen after the adjustment, and I repeated the above analysis, and I won't say more about it tonight.

As long as you understand these words, I don't think you will be worried about the sharp fall of the Shanghai Composite Index, right?

You just have to believe!

The title of today's chapter, I thought about it for a long time in the evening, and finally settled on these six words.

These six words are what I want to say to you.

The analysis of the mentality of "Bao Erdan" in the text is also what I want to say to everyone. Of course, because of the length of the article, I haven't finished it, so I'll continue to write it tomorrow night.

Just like the mentality of Bao Erdan, we retail investors are often like this, judging that a stock has just started at the bottom, and the target is at least double in the bull market, so they buy it at ten yuan, and formulate a careful shareholding plan, including time, increase, and shipping timing after doubling. Well, that's good.

As a result, it rose by 8% the next day, and suddenly his confidence swelled, asserting that he would be able to rise to 11 yuan tomorrow and 12 yuan next week, which is bound to double in three months. But the next day, the stock fell by 5%, and suddenly like the second egg classmate, the drum in my heart, what's wrong with this stock, is there a potential negative, no? Is it time to lock in profits? If it falls by 5% on the third day, he will immediately panic and admit his loss. The previous elaborate shareholding plan has long been forgotten at this time. As a result, after being thrown away, the stock price rode into the dust, and then never looked back, and then missed a dark horse and was washed away by the main force.

Concentration!

In many cases, investors do not lack technology, but lack a good stock trading mentality.

I have repeatedly emphasized that stock trading is a three-point technique and a seven-point mentality, and this is the truth.

You believe the stock is at a low level. It can be doubled in the future, OK, regardless of whether it goes up or down in the short term. Whether it is up or down, you must hold it firmly. So. You'll get what you want, and he'll make you taste twice as happy.

This is the case in a bull market, most stocks can multiply several times or even dozens of times, and if you look back at this year's lows, are many stocks more than doubling? If you keep short-term, can you cover it to double?

That song is sung like this, if you die, you won't sell it, and if you don't double it for me, it's not happy.

The lyrics sound funny. Do you know that this is the blood and tears of many old stockholders, and this lyric was summed up?

Speaking of today's market, the 28 switch between small and mid-cap and large-cap stocks is expected to continue, and small- and medium-cap stocks will have the opportunity to continue to perform. However, don't think that there is no chance just because the second-tier blue chips are also falling sharply today, this kind of thinking is too pessimistic.

I feel that today's Shanghai Composite Index has basically completed the adjustment target in the form of a rapid plunge. This is a way to exchange space for time, and the larger the room for adjustment, the shorter the adjustment time.

The market is not dead. Still playing dead.

The bull market sees a long yin, and after the long yin, it tends to quickly regain lost ground.

I feel that the second-tier blue chips represented by the 6O1 legion, the overall increase is not too big, today is more to complete a quick shuffle in the way of a big fall, and there will be a chance to strengthen again this week, including the large-cap heavyweights will also fluctuate repeatedly, and even take turns to rise.

I have said many times in the past the overall judgment of the 28 issue, and this point will be emphasized again tonight. The small and medium-cap stocks such as the GEM have risen in a wave last year, while the first- and second-tier blue chips have been lying in the nest for a few years. This eldest son is bound to be the protagonist of this bull market, and big money makes the market bigger. To be a large-cap stock, they will be the shining protagonists, while the small- and medium-cap stocks are the youngest sons, and most of them are supporting roles for a long time, and the overall rise of the bull market is estimated to be weaker than that of the first and second tier blue chips.

However, there are two points, one is that the small and mid-cap stocks that did not rise much last year and have just started now are exceptions, because they are easy to pull up, and they may have more potential in the future. Second, small and mid-cap stocks have now ushered in an opportunity to switch from 28 to 82 style, and it will not be as some media say, the whole bull market will be empty. Large enterprises want to do market value, to reduce the stock market holdings to complete the reform and innovation, and the market accounted for the small and medium-cap stocks also need, even because small and medium-sized enterprises are difficult to finance and more urgent, they are also an important subject to complete economic innovation and transformation, as long as it is not the kind of stocks that have risen in the past two years, the bull market will have the same opportunity. And 2o14 is coming to an end, the annual report market is about to begin, small and medium-cap growth stocks, more likely to rise in performance and high distribution, this kind of stocks will become a concentration camp of bull stocks, and the future increase is likely to exceed the current sharp rise in the first-line stocks. Therefore, the layout of such growth stocks on dips will be a shortcut to asset appreciation.

At present, small- and mid-cap stocks and large-cap stocks have fallen sharply in the past two days, which can be regarded as returning to the same starting line. Then, it is easier for the funds to form a synergy in the future.

Of course, to see a risk, the key now is that the Shanghai Composite Index has broken below a new uptrend line today.

However, it is not effectively broken down,.

There are about three options next, one is to open a parallel ascending channel in the current ascending channel, run in this parallel channel, consolidate, or continue to smash a lower point to form a new ascending channel with a slower slope and a slower bullish trend. The second is to regain lost ground within three days, return to the existing ascending channel, and continue to be fast. The third is to return to the original ascending channel since July and move in the slowest slow bull way.

There are all three possibilities, but the third possibility is the smallest, because the original upward channel since July is still at more than 2,600 points, which is too far away. It's more of the first or second possibility, so it's basically still constantly oscillating upward, but it's just a difference between fast bulls and slow bulls. Of course, I think it is better to slow cattle, first, it is healthier, and secondly, small and medium-cap stocks will come out of the table, so that it will form a real money-making effect, attract more funds to enter the market, and push the small bull market to the big bull market.

The bull market should be like a continuous spring rain.

Just imagine, why haven't new investors entered the market like crazy in 2oo7, forming a feast for the whole people to speculate in stocks? In fact, it is very simple, the money-making effect of the market is not strong. When new investors inquire about the stock market, most of them hear the news and reports of the false prosperity of the index, including the three-day bull market and the loss of money earned in the bear market for three years, and the follow-up funds cannot keep up.

Therefore, when the 100 stocks fell yesterday, I had a strong premonition that it was time to change gears, and then it was time for small and medium-cap stocks to perform, and the market would also enter the time when individual stocks would rise, so it should be a golden period to make money, so as to continue to attract over-the-counter funds into the market.

Personally, I feel that the empty position can be considered to buy the bottom, I haven't run for the past two days, the strategy is very simple, or those two words, dead cover!

If you are also like Bao Erdan's mentality (to explain, the Erdan's classmates in the group are not so fragile, just an adaptation of the novel), I recommend that you can look at stocks once a week, and then on weekends, don't look at them during opening hours!

If you think it's doubled every three months, it doesn't matter if you watch it once a month.

Let the profits run.

Are you worried? What is there to worry about?

If you don't watch the market, will the stock price fall? Will the main force never rise?

On the contrary, what the main force is most afraid of is that retail investors do not look at the market.

The main force is like a big star on the stage, he holds a concert, if the retail investors don't support the show, no one watches him sing, his actor fees, lighting fees, venue fees, labor costs and other expenses will make him unbearable.

If you don't look at the market, you will only lose time, and what you will gain is ease and profit. And the main force is more anxious than you, whether he pulls up, consolidates or smashes, he has to pay the cost of capital, he has to hire someone to operate, and also consider whether there will be a lot of money to grab the bank, miss this wave of bull market, will there be no chance to make money......

So, don't care about the big drop in one day, how it falls, and how it will rise back in the future.

You just have to believe!

(,Self-examination for an hour,Still didn't pass,Finally, with the help of the alliance leader group friends,,I sweat,.) (To be continued)

Tips: The new domain name "biquge.info" has been launched by Biquge, and the original domain name is about to be discontinued. Please tell each other, thank you!