Chapter 225: Bottoming Again

Winter has arrived, will spring be far away?

When Ding Xu said this, the big meat bun who was originally very disappointed with the decline in the past few days was refreshed, and he felt that he had seen new hope again.

The group members of the other miracle groups are not as anxious as the big meat buns, after all, the last time the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets fell below the upward trend line, Ding Xu took most of the group members to clear their positions and wait and see, so now they are quite calm.

After all, for short positions, even if the market suddenly rises, at least they keep their principal, and what they lose is just the opportunity to make profits. And if the warehouse is full to meet the plunge, the loss is real money.

Of course, having said that, many people are used to having a full warehouse all year round, and some people can't keep money in their hands at all, and they are itchy when they have a little money, and they want to quickly change to stocks to make money, until they are set up with a solid knot, they are honest, but they are at ease.

This kind of shareholder, Ding Xu gave them a name, called "uncomfortable with short positions".

It's just that such stockholders do the most is to fight for unraveling, or even to fight for life to untie the set, and this kind of stock trading career lacks a lot of fun.

"I feel that although the market has not yet fallen to the downward target calculated by Ding Xu and me, it is not far behind. Moreover, the phenomenon of large-scale compensation for strong stocks has appeared, indicating that the opportunity to buy the bottom is approaching, and we must be ready to attack at any time. Qi Fei suddenly appeared and said something in the miracle group.

Qi Fei was very drunk last night, and finally Ding Xu called a car to help him send his daughter Qi Yushi home and throw Qi Fei back to his rental house.

Originally, Ding Xu thought that Qi Fei would sleep all day today. I didn't expect him to be fine in the afternoon. It's time to look at the market.

"How?" The big meat bun life is a typical empty warehouse uncomfortable type. In the past few days, there has been no sign of the market and Baotou Iron and Steel rare earths, so he is not sure when he will be able to buy the bottom, and he feels very uncomfortable in his heart. At this moment, when he heard Qi Fei say that the opportunity to buy the bottom was approaching, he suddenly perked up and hurriedly asked.

"Have you noticed, since Wednesday's decline, the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have a clear feature, like too. Line cement, China Railway Second Bureau, these former bull stocks. They all stepped down from the altar, no longer had their previous strength, and began to break down. There are also some stocks that fall every day, and most of the stocks that fall are stocks that have risen sharply in the early stage. This is the rhythm of returning to the same starting line with other stocks, and when this rhythm appears, it often means that the adjustment is nearing the end. Qi Fei explained.

"Well, that's what happened." As soon as Qi Fei said this, Ding Xu immediately felt that it made sense.

Too. Xing Cement is the biggest bull stock of the year, and it has been consolidating at a high level after a series of daily limits, when the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets fell sharply on Tuesday. The stock also rose 3.97% against the market, which seems to be very strong. But it's Wednesday, December 24. Too. The line of cement was exposed, the gap opened low and fell directly below the 3o daily moving average, and then continued to fall, the whole day was at a low level of consolidation, and finally closed out a bald big black line, down 9.78%, the high finishing platform was broken, and then continued to fall yesterday and today, came to a high platform diving.

Too. The diving of cement is only a microcosm of the strong stocks in the early stage. Some stocks with continuous daily limits in the early stage include China Railway. Second game, five. Continent. Delivery. Tong, Kang. Strong. Electronics, etc., are similar trends, forming a group effect, rather than the trend of a single stock.

Qi Fei believes that this phenomenon shows that these hot plates have begun to adjust deeply in the short term, but the basis for their strength has not disappeared. The second bureau of this railway infrastructure stocks, as well as too. Building materials stocks such as cement will continue to benefit, but the early rise is too large, and the benefits have been digested in advance.

After sufficient adjustment, these bull stocks that benefit from the policy and have sufficient concepts will have a second chance to rise. Because 2oo8 is still a few days away, starting in the first quarter of 2oo9, many detailed rules and policies supporting the four trillion policies will also be introduced, and these stocks will usher in continuous positive stimulus.

So from that point of view, it's good to go through a period of adjustment. Only when the adjustment is made, can the main force wash the dishes and get rid of some undetermined followers, and those discerning investors will have the opportunity to enter the market again.

At the same time, the continuous sideways oscillation after the market break, from the current point of view, is an adjustment, but for 2oo9 is an opportunity, the more fully adjusted the current one, the greater the chance of rising later. From this point of view, the current adjustment is the premise of the rise, and it is also an opportunity to buy the bottom.

Qi Fei has been staring at Qianyuan Power for the past few days, preparing to buy the bottom, and filled Qianyuan Power yesterday.

As for why you bought this stock, it's a long story.

In late November, Qi Fei was optimistic about the power sector and discussed with Ding Xu to use a cooperative account to operate. Under Ding Xu's construction, he finally picked the stock of Qianyuan Power.

Qianyuan Power has only 132 million outstanding shares, which is a typical small-cap stock. After hitting a low of 6.2O yuan on September 18 this year, the next day's daily limit, and then slowly rising, more than a month ahead of the broader market out of the bottom, during which the daily limit was repeated many times.

Ding Xu chose this stock among many power stocks, because he is now highly controlled by the bookmaker, such as on January 13 this year, from 1o to 35 a.m., there was no transaction for 2o minutes, proving that the vast majority of chips are concentrated in the hands of the main force. Three minutes before the closing, the main force only used a buy order of 545 hands to pull the stock price from a 2.2% increase to the daily limit position, and came to a "seckill".

On the next day, Qianyuan Power fell 4.27%, but in the case of the previous day's limit, only 5.19 million yuan was traded on this day, and the turnover rate was only O.54%, indicating that the dealer controlled the market very deeply. Otherwise, it is normal for small-cap stocks to have a turnover rate of at least 5% or more the next day after the daily limit.

Therefore, Ding Xujian bought this stock, and bought 219oo shares of Qianyuan Power at an average price of 8.38 yuan on November 25, and cleared the position at an average price of 12.53 yuan on December 1o, which took only half a month. Appreciation of 49.5%. The yield is impressive.

This was a successful operation. Let Qi Fei have a good impression of Qianyuan Power and continue to pay attention to it.

This time throw off the big. Even after the Golden Bull, Qi Fei studied the three moving averages of 445 days, 62o days and 99o days, and now Qianyuan Power peaked and fell back to the position of the 445 day line a while ago, and recently it has fallen back to the 62o daily moving average below. At present, the position of the 62O daily moving average is 11.36 yuan, and Qi Fei feels that there should be support here and can be used as a purchase point.

And there have been many times in recent times that there has been no transaction for two or three minutes. It shows that the main force has re-absorbed enough chips after the last phased shipment, and controlled the disk, and it is estimated that the market will attack with a high probability of attacking, at least to hit the 445-day line again.

At present, the 445-day line is near 13.o2 yuan, if it can be broken, according to the theory of 469, it means that the stock has entered a bull market, and there is a lot of room for growth in the future.

And even if it hits the 445-day line again, it will still not be stable. But at least 13.o2 yuan is 15% away from 11.36 yuan, so if you can pick up the goods near the 62o moving average. Earning more than 1o points should not be a big problem.

Based on this consideration, Qi Fei has been staring at the stock of Qianyuan Power recently, waiting for it to fall to around 11.36 yuan.

And yesterday, Qianyuan Power finally fell to the ideal price of Qi Fei, and the market is not far from the downward target calculated by Ding Xu.

Qi Fei felt that the time was ripe, and finally made a move, and once again copied the bottom, filling up Qianyuan Power.

………………………………………………

(Today is November 11, 2o14, a memorable day, not only because today is Singles' Day, but also because the Shanghai Composite Index broke through the 25oo point mark intraday, with a turnover of 331.3 billion, a new high in history.)

I remember that not long ago, I was still saying that the market was ready to rush to the 24oo mark, and in the blink of an eye, 25oo was also broken in the intraday.

This is the rhythm of the bull market, slowly rising, and before you know it, it has risen a lot, until the mad cow begins to bury its head and gallop......

Of course, the index has risen sharply, but most of the investors who hold small and mid-cap stocks have made no money on the index. Today's market diving is also very strong, from the high, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by more than 2%, the small and medium-sized board and the gem is even worse.

Gluttonous half-fairy joked in the group that the reason for diving was because of Tao. Po is heavily discounted, so those lose. Family. Mother. Collectively, they take money out of the stock market and make a net. Bought ......

At the close of trading in the morning, I took a look, and the trading volume of the Shanghai Index exceeded 200 billion yuan in the morning, but only the large-cap blue-chip brokerage banking sector rose sharply, while many small and medium-cap stocks, including the Growth Enterprise Market, fell against the market, with more than 700 stocks falling in the Shanghai Stock Exchange and only more than 200 rising. Shenzhen also saw 1,400 declines, while only more than 300 rose. The small and medium-sized board and the gem both fell sharply.

Compared with the bright red index, looking at the stocks that have fallen against the trend, this sense of disparity has made many people very disappointed, which is like becoming an alternative short-footer in the bull market, watching flowers in the mirror, and looking at the moon in the water.

At that time, I reminded in each group that the current false prosperity of the index has reflected the systemic risk of the broader market, and it is recommended that everyone take the time to closely observe the market.

In the afternoon, the market dived, and the small and medium-cap stocks that had not risen much in the past few days took the lead in falling, and the stocks that fell by more than 5% for a time exceeded 1,000, and dozens of stocks fell at the same time, which looked very scary, and some new shareholders were intimidated, and some people even had the idea of withdrawing from the stock market - or stay at home and keep their money in the bank safely!

The recent rise in low-priced large-cap stocks has its reasonableness, for example, I don't want foreign capital to come in and pick up the cheap after the opening of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, so I will rise first. However, I always feel that there is some deception in this 28 conversion now, and this trend of continuously lifting up index stocks and suppressing small and medium-cap stocks is a kind of blinding, which should be a deliberate behavior of institutional investors to shake their positions, and serve them for their position adjustment and stock swap.

In fact, the 28 conversion in the 2oo7 bull market, 2oo9 years of the small bull market also existed, in a period of time, large-cap stocks rose, the index rose, small and mid-cap stocks rested or even fell, after a period of time, large-cap stocks rested, small and medium-cap stocks and theme stocks began to rise. The time period when large-cap stocks collectively danced and pulled the index wildly was generally three or four months in the last bull market. For example, after the crash on May 3o, 2oo7, the big blue-chip market from July to November, when the state was ready to regulate the overheating of the stock market. Stamp duty was raised to 3 thousandths. But then the stock market went wildly led by blue chips. In the end, the index went straight from more than 3,000 points to 6ooo points. Another example is May to August of 2oo9. The blue-chip sector collectively rose sharply and successfully completed the 28 conversion.

At other times, the 28 conversion is largely unsuccessful, because the market value of the heavyweights is getting bigger and bigger, and more and more money is needed to continue to pull up, which is not so much money in a bear market. Therefore, the general rule of A-shares is that when the weighted stocks rise. Small and mid-cap stocks will also rise, as the so-called elephant dances, chickens and dogs ascend to the sky; When small-cap stocks rise, their weights do not necessarily rise, and they may fall sharply. Most of the time, small-cap stocks are still the main force in the market. This phenomenon is relatively rare, and it is only a short-term phenomenon in a special period.

Therefore, I personally think that book lovers with small and medium-cap stocks in their hands should not give up lightly, and do not chase heavy stocks that have risen sharply after cutting meat, so as not to be slapped on both sides. To know. Most of the fund's heavy stocks are small and mid-cap stocks, and perhaps institutions are pulling up the weighted stocks. is repairing the plank road in the open, secretly Chen Cang, and kills a horse gun. When you cut the meat, they're snickering.

After all, two represents weighted shares, and eight represents common shares. Common stocks make up the majority of the stock market, and if they have been falling against the market, rather than rising in general, how can this be called a bull market, and how can they get the funds to work together to go long?

And since July, the weight has basically been rising, and it has been rising for three or four months. There is a saying that it takes more than 300 billion yuan in daily transactions to mean that the 28 conversion can be successful. Then today's more than 300 billion, it may also be that it has begun to convert to 82, and then the index may rest at the end of the year, so that small and medium-cap stocks will become a hot spot in the market again, forming a money-making effect, further improving the interest of new shareholders in the market, and further attracting funds to enter the market.

Of course, the current 28 market is also beneficial. Objectively, the main force will pull up the index quickly, even if it lacks enough money-making effect, but it is also conducive to attracting over-the-counter funds to run into the market. Because what they see more is that the index has risen.

Today's adjustment is expected, it was expected last week, and even I was short for a while, and yesterday it was mentioned later in the chapter: "The market is obviously worrying, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by more than 2% today, but it is still the world of large-cap stocks and concept stocks, and it still has not formed the due pattern of individual stocks...... This phenomenon at least shows that there is a divergence in funds, in the secret adjustment of positions and stock exchanges, and the total amount of funds is also insufficient, pulling large-cap stocks, it is necessary to draw funds from small-cap stocks, and there may be intraday dives again in the next few days to release this pressure. ”

However, as said at the weekend, the current market is not easy to operate because the index continues to be short because of the main control of index stocks, so it is not easy to operate, and it is a dilemma that is both afraid of adjustment and afraid of shorting. Therefore, I have repeatedly built in the past two days that you hold stocks that have stagflation in the early stage and have the need to make up for the rise, as defensive stocks, which can be attacked, retreated, and used as a safe haven.

For example, I now have two stocks, one steel and rare earth stocks, and one coal stock, both of which are stagflation stocks that I am optimistic about. There are many positives to this steel and rare earth stock, but it has risen less than 7o from the low point of recent years, and coal stocks have risen less than 3o from the low point of recent years, which is relatively safe. One of the stocks rose more than four points yesterday and fell more than two points today, and the other stock rose more than three points yesterday and fell less than half a point today. )。

Finally, I will post some of the chats I have in several groups today, and these views are for your reference only.

"After taking a nap, I started to dive and plummet. But since it's about to plummet, it's not a big deal, so it's over. As long as it's not up and down. The bull market is long and will go up after that.

If this ** cap stock falls, it may be able to switch to the 82 style, and small and medium-cap stocks may be able to make up for the rise. The market, which is driven by large-cap stocks, is very expensive, and it is difficult to maintain the sustainability of follow-up funds. The real bull market must have the money-making effect of the general rise of individual stocks, those who hold small and medium-cap stocks and make no money from the index, as long as the stocks in their hands are not stocks that have risen sharply recently, they can hold them and wait for the rise. This is also emphasized in the chapters of these two days. ”

"Accidentally, today's Shanghai market has hit a new high in 25 years since the opening of the market in 199o, 331.3 billion, which will become a symbol, and today we have witnessed history.

However, the amount of days and the sky-high price are often not together, so today's high point should not be the top of this year, and the high point of 25o8 will be refreshed this year.

And it's not high now, it's just 2o% higher than the low, and the bull market will generally double from the low, so the bull market is only halfway up the mountain at most, which shows that the outside funds are running into the market, including the funds that originally invested in the property market. Think about it, just two years ago, could you smash the pot and sell iron to make up 300 billion? Therefore, with these incremental funds, the market outlook is still high, 331.3 billion is not the amount of this wave of bull market, the real amount of heaven is next year, 400 billion is not surprising! ”

Finally, I would like to express my grand thanks to the hardcore book friend "xzhcai", "Shuo? World", &&I'm a bookiac&" to reward to become the leader of this book, and welcome to the Miracle Group family to communicate.

Anyway, when I finished the code and was ready to upload, I opened the page and looked at it, and I almost thought that I was dazzled, and the market was not good today, but tonight there were three book friends who collectively rewarded to become the leader of the alliance, which is really the most memorable Singles' Day for me, hehe, thank you very much.

In the end, today's chapter is 4o minutes late, because the prompt has a sensitive word, and finally it appears 'Join the Miracle Group. Something went wrong with the phrase 'Communication', Khan, it took me half an hour to find out. (To be continued!)

Tips: The new domain name "biquge.info" has been launched by Biquge, and the original domain name is about to be discontinued. Please tell each other, thank you!