Chapter 226 There is no trapping in the bull market, and there is no shortfall in the bear market

On December 22, Qi Fei saw that the situation was not good, and cleared the big and even golden bull at an average price of 5.28 yuan, which fell by 1o compared with the price limit of 5.85 yuan a few days ago. But even so, Qi Fei also sold 321552 yuan, removing stamp duty and commissions of 1,286 yuan, plus the fraction on the original account, there was a total of 32o679 yuan on the account, and this operation made a total profit of 18%.

This time, Qi Fei saw that the bull stock Qianyuan Power that he had operated some time ago had fallen back to near the 62o daily moving average at the 11.36 yuan position, and it is expected that there will be strong support here, and then there is a high probability that it will attack the 445-day line at the 13.O2 yuan position. In addition, the market has experienced a sharp decline and has been fluctuating sideways, and it has basically reached the downward target calculated by Ding Xu, which is a relatively safe time period, so Qi Fei is tempted again.

So at the end of December 25, Qi Fei bought 277oo shares of Qianyuan Power on the cooperative account at an average price of 11.5O yuan, spending a total of 31,855O yuan, plus 955 yuan commission, and only 1,224 yuan was left in the account.

"God of Wealth bless, this is the last purchase order in 2oo8 years, close the business, you can get some color, it is best to limit it tomorrow. In this way, this year can be regarded as both a good start and a good end. With the support of Tang Hao and Ding Xu, Qi Fei bought this batch of stocks, but he couldn't help but chant for a while at the statue of the God of Wealth placed by the securities company.

However, the God of Wealth did not seem to hear Qi Fei's prayers, and today it is still fluctuating with the fluctuations of the market, and the end of the market once dived. The lowest fell to $11.36. It closed at 11.4O yuan. fell 1.3%, with a turnover of 12.97 million, and the turnover rate was only o.91%.

Although it is about a point shallow, Qi Fei was not intimidated by the diving at the end of the day, because the 62o daily line is currently at the position of 11.36 yuan, and the stock price stopped falling here and began to rise slightly, indicating that the 62o daily line is supported.

And more critically. There are many times in the intraday that there is no transaction for 2-5 minutes, such as 1o:49-1o:53 within five minutes, there is no transaction, indicating that the dealer once again controls the chips, and the control process is still relatively deep.

The trading volume of less than 1% is not only the recent volume, but also returned to the average trading volume level before the last round of fast pulling, indicating that the main force of the wash has basically been in place.

After closing, Qi Fei called Ding Xu and told him about his analysis. Finally, he emphasized: "Today too. Strong stocks such as cement continue to make up for their losses sharply, and I feel that this round of correction is nearing the end. Although Qianyuan Power has fallen a little, I feel that there is no problem. ”

"I also feel that there is nothing wrong with this stock, of course, I must be prepared for both, if it falls below the 62o daily line next week, and then discuss whether to clear the position and stop loss." Ding Xu said with a smile, "This year's battle for the palace depends on how well this closed business is done." ”

"There are still three trading days left this year, aren't you going to buy something?" Qi Fei asked curiously.

"Don't worry, the Shenzhen Component Index has fallen into place, but the Shanghai Index has not yet been in place. I want to see if the Shanghai Composite Index can fall to the downside target I calculated. Ding Xu smiled.

According to Ding Xu's calculation method, both the Shanghai Composite Index and the Shenzhen Component Index have fallen below the rising trend line, and they need to fall to 1885 points and 6659 points respectively to reach the downward target.

Among them, the highest point in this wave of rising market is 7585 points, looking down vertically from the K-line of this day, the corresponding upward trend line is near 7o17 points, 7585-7o17 = 568 points. The point below the trend line on December 12 is about 7227 points, 7227 minus 568 is equal to 6659 points, and this 6659 points is the theoretical downward target.

The highest point of the Shanghai Composite Index in this wave of market is 21oo points on December 9, and a vertical line is drawn below the high point of this point. The upward trend line is at 1897 points, 21oo-1897 = 2o3 points. The point below the trend line is at 1988 points, and 1988 points minus 2o3 points equals 1785 points.

Now, the Shanghai Composite Index has fallen to a minimum of 1832 points yesterday, only 47 points away from the target of 1785 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index has reached a minimum of 6654 points today, which has reached Ding Xu's downward target, and has been slightly.

Therefore, Ding Xu has such an answer.

"It's almost time for the Shenzhen Component Index to reach the target position, do you have to wait until the Shanghai Composite Index also reaches the downward target level? Wouldn't that be a bit too greedy? Qi Fei asked.

Ding Xu sighed and replied: "I understand what you mean, and I also know that this calculation of the downward target level is not a scientific formula, but a calculation method summarized by the technocrats. Even if there is no positive and negative impact, it may not be very accurate, so as long as it falls to a similar position, plus indicators such as volume, you can confirm the bottom. If there is no positive or negative influence, the deviation should not be large. ”

"So you understand all these truths, so why don't you buy them yet?" Qi Fei was even more puzzled.

"The market is basically in place, but Baotou Steel's rare earth is not yet in place!" Ding Xu replied helplessly, "I also want to do a closed business, but Baozi's Village won't give me a chance." In case he falls to the target level I calculated after buying, I will be trapped for at least ten points! ”

There are two ways to draw the upward trend line of Baotou Steel rare earth.

According to Ding Xu's way of drawing the line, it is connected to the low of 5.66 yuan on November 7 and the low of 6.85 yuan on November 26 to draw an upward trend line. Then the upward trend line corresponding to the peak of the stock price of 9.48 yuan is at 7.66 yuan, 9.=1.82 yuan. The position below the ascending trend line is $8.51, so the theoretical downside target is $8.=6.69.

According to the way the guy loves to speculate on stocks, it is connected to the low point of 5.66 yuan on November 7, the low point of 6.81 yuan on November 28, and the low point of 8.23 yuan on December 16. Then the uptrend line corresponding to $9.48 is at $7.34, $9.=$2.14. The position below the ascending trend line is at $8.11. Therefore, the theoretical downside target is 8.=5.97 yuan.

There are two ways to draw lines. There are more connections. Therefore, Ding Xu and the guy love to speculate in stocks, and neither of them can convince each other.

However, although Baotou Steel Rare Earth hit a new low yesterday, the lowest fell to 7.45 yuan, but there is still nearly 1o% room to fall from the target level of 6.69 yuan calculated by Ding Xu, and there is 2o% room to fall from the target level of the guy who loves to speculate in stocks!

In this case, Ding Xu is naturally reluctant to buy Baotou Steel rare earth now.

"So that's the case, you're still bent on buying back the buns!" Qi Fei shook his head helplessly. "Why don't you consider buying Qianyuan Power with me?"

"I firmly believe that the spring of the rare earth industry is coming, resources are king, and I still prefer to eat steamed buns!" Ding Xu replied firmly.

"Then you can go and dwell on it." Qi Fei laughed and said, "The market has fallen into place, if you don't buy it, you won't be afraid of stepping into the void, and you won't be afraid of regretting?" ”

"I remember someone in the group saying that there is no short market in the bull market. I think there is still some truth to this statement, in a bull market, the general trend will always be upward. You can make money whenever you enter the market. Ding Xu replied, "At most, it is a short period of market." However, it can avoid a period of risk, which cannot affect the overall situation of making money. ”

"The bull market is not short? Don't talk nonsense, how can there be such a stock market proverb, you are spreading falsehood! Qi Fei said with a smile, "It should be that there is no trap in the bull market, and there is no empty in the bear market!" The meaning of this sentence is that the general trend of the bull market has been upward, and even if it is trapped in the short term, it will be quickly untied, and it will not be locked in for a long time. In the bear market, it is basically a unilateral decline, and the rebound opportunities are fleeting, and it is very dangerous to grab the rebound, so it is best to rest all the time and not grab the rebound, so don't worry about the problem of stepping short! ”

"Oh, it's my fault that I didn't go to the test." Ding Xu replied a little embarrassedly, and then agreed, "There is no trap in the bull market, what you said is still reasonable." After all, I want to take everyone to buy buns together, this kind of small-cap stocks, I still have to buy a little in advance and buy them in a dispersed manner, otherwise it is easy to alarm the dealer. There are three days left next week, and I will think about it, try to do a closed business, and take everyone to buy the buns back. ”

…………………………………………

(Thank you very much for the generous rewards of the five hardcore book lovers of "Dao Chong Buying", "Jinyi Night Walking A", "Maofeng", "Sixi West", and "Xuantian Lightning Rod", and collectively become the leader of "Level Retail Investors", and welcome to enter the Miracle Group family for exchanges.)

After work, I couldn't help but go to the barbecue restaurant and order a grilled fish and some barbecue, and then ask for an egg fried rice, and celebrate a little.

Yesterday, the market dived in a big way, and I mentioned later in the chapter: "The amount of days and the price of the sky are often not together, so today's high point should not be the top of this year, and the high point of 25o8 will be refreshed this year." ”

Judging from today's trend, the market inertia opened low, and the Shanghai Composite Index fell to 2444 points in an instant after opening low, and then fluctuated upward, closing at 2494 points, up 1%, with a turnover of 215.7 billion, a one-third reduction from yesterday, and the shrinkage was obvious. At present, it is only one step away from the 25oo point mark, and it is possible to reach a new high tomorrow with more efforts.

Interestingly, today's low of 2444 is exactly the target and pressure level of the Shanghai Composite Index a while ago, and once this pressure level is crossed, it becomes a support level.

Of course, even if it is a new high, we can't be too optimistic, because after all, it is the end of the year, and the fund ranking war has begun to start secretly.

As I said last night, the index market of heavyweight stocks cannot continue forever, and 28 still has to switch to 82, and today there are some signs of this, and individual stocks have also ushered in a long-lost general rise. The number of gainers and losers in Shanghai and Shenzhen were 893:1o3 and 15o4:245 respectively.

However, stock index futures positions are still high, Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect is good for cashing, a new round of new stock banks is about to be announced, and the stock index futures on the 21st are delivered and transferred...... All kinds of factors have brought resistance and pressure, and it is possible to make a wave of adjustment at any time when everyone is not vigilant enough, and it is more likely to adjust when the stock index futures are transferred next week, because at that time, the news of a new round of new stock subscription is estimated to be introduced.

Of course, under the premise of sufficient funds, it is also possible to refresh the index high at any time, which is a characteristic of a bull market, and it is the general direction and trend. The correction is just a small direction, a small trend.

Therefore, as I said a few days ago, there is a dilemma at the moment, and the exit may be short, and the full position is easy to face the adjustment like yesterday. But as I said in the chapter and in the group today, the bull market is ahead, and ahead of us is the bright road, and this is the road we must take. The road will not be smooth, there will be rain, snow, and hail on the way. But we can't choke on food, we can't stop walking this road because we are afraid of the rain, then we will never succeed and we will never achieve financial freedom. As long as you are mentally prepared and bring our umbrella, there is nothing to fear. Again, when lightning strikes, we must be present.

Of course, considering the repetition of the market at the end of the year, in terms of holding ideas, I still think that we can consider holding low-priced defensive stocks, such as coal and rare earth sectors.

In addition to low prices, stocks that are still low in price-to-earnings and benefit from policy tilts are better. But low prices are the most important thing. The most fierce rise in the bull market is often penny stocks, and a few times more does not seem to be very high.

Careful book friends will find that many of the varieties that have risen sharply recently are low-priced stocks that meet these elements, as well as sprint stocks that need to be ranked by the fund, and the varieties that have fallen sharply are mainly stocks that have risen sharply in the early stage, and there are also some poor performance stocks with poor annual report expectations, which is also a unique hot spot model in the market in the fourth quarter of each year. As our stockholders, as long as we don't chase the stocks that have risen sharply, and only buy the safety stocks that obviously have capital intervention, the safety factor will be much greater, and the so-called will not die if you don't die.

In addition, the long-term is the truth of gold, last night got the latest interpretation, a new alliance leader who joined the miracle group told me that his father bought 20,000 yuan of stocks more than ten years ago, and then even forgot the account number and password, yesterday I thought of it, he asked someone to calculate, it is said that it has risen more than 60 times, and the car and house I want to buy in an instant are there, hehe...... Forget your account and password...... (To be continued!)

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