Chapter 269: How to Analyze a Stock (3)
"Sister Xian, you haven't joined the group when I said this last time, let me repeat it again. +++23x+”
Hearing Sun Qingyu's question, Ding Xu smiled helplessly, and then flipped through the group verification information, only to realize that Sun Qingyu was indeed added by Yuying not long ago, so he patiently explained, "The so-called reinstatement refers to the use of software to restore the price before the removal of shares for stocks with shares, transfer and allotment, and restore the true face." Forward weighting is to keep the current price unchanged and convert the historical price into a price equivalent to the current price. Backward adjustment is to keep the starting price (historical price) unchanged and convert the current price into a price relative to the historical starting point. The simple way to distinguish this is to keep the forward spot price unchanged and the backward spot price to change. ”
Hearing that Ding Xu reduced his name of "Fairy Sister" to the strange abbreviation of "Fairy Sister", Sun Qingyu was a little unhappy. In addition, Ding Xu's answer also made her look a little confused, she couldn't help but purse her red lips, snorted lightly, and the majestic expression of the head teacher swept over her face. But then I remembered that I was also secretly chatting about stocks during work hours, so I sighed and did not protest in the group.
"I'm finally getting a little bit of an idea...... But, miracle, you still have a question that has not been answered, why do you want to use the former reinstatement now? The stock market boat muttered.
"You're finally getting a little bit of an idea? Brother Xiaochuan, the restoration of rights is the most basic knowledge, you are also an old shareholder, holding hundreds of thousands of dollars in stock speculation, playing meat with the dealer. Fight, I didn't even know this, so I dared to mention it. Guns on the go? The eldest son of the Li family was about to collapse when he heard it on the side, "I said that you usually don't pour more water in the group, and watch more basic knowledge of stocks." In this way, Ding Xu didn't have so many interjections when he lectured. In addition, you will not lose easily. ”
"Yes. Can you learn from me? Why do you want to use post-compounding before the miracle, it is very simple, it is to look at the actual increase in combination with the market price. Because if you use the previous weight, it is calculated forward with the current stock price, the market price of Suning Electric will be displayed as O yuan, and the lowest price is -o.o4 yuan, once there is a negative number, it is very awkward to calculate. ”
Eat not fat said proudly. "If the post-use resumption, the line price is the same as the actual market price, and the calculation of the actual increase is more intuitive. But now if you want to talk about the distribution of chips, you can say that Suning Electric is more than 1,000 yuan, 6 or 700 yuan, and everyone sounds weird, and there is a feeling of unreality. Therefore, when looking at the chip distribution column, it is more convenient to use the pre-weighting, which can be combined with the actual trend of the stock price. At least when looking at the recent price, it is almost the same as not reinstating. ”
"You know a lot!" The stock market boat replied unconvinced, and asked again. "Miracle, is the fat man right?"
"That's pretty much it. When we look at the recent trend when we use the pre-weighting. It is basically the same as the actual stock price in the recent past. At the same time, the moving average is also like this, for example, now the 2O daily moving average is located at 6, and the stock price is about to fall to the 2O daily moving average, we can judge that the next support level is at 6, which is the real price, which is different from the price calculated after the weighting, which is conducive to our operation. In addition, when analyzed in combination with the distribution of chips, it is also a real price, which is also conducive to judging resistance and support levels. ”
Ding Xu smiled, "Okay, let's get back to the topic." The distribution of chips in Suning Electric's stock, everyone should understand it. Now it only took more than two months for the main force to collect most of the retail chips that were cut from a high position, and these chips were concentrated around seven yuan. As long as there are one or two more such tricks of pulling up and then suppressing the market, and then rising to 8-9 yuan, there should be more trapping and cutting meat. Once the meat is cut, there will be no pressure above, it can be said that the sea and the sky are wide, and then there should be a wave of rise, and it is not ruled out that there will be a big market like 2oo7. ”
"Then it's worth buying now!" The stock market boat suddenly became interested.
"This is just a possibility, if the remaining retail investors insist on not cutting the meat, they will become nail households. If the main force does not wash the nails, it may not be raised. And for stocks that have risen dozens of times compared to the market price in 4 years, the main profit is too lucrative, which does not meet the standards of my safety stocks. What if they grind for a long time in order to collect enough chips, it is easy to miss a wave of market. To be more extreme, the main force will suppress 1o-2o%, making retail investors desperate and forcing retail investors to cut meat, what should I do? It's a risk I don't want to take. ”
Ding Xu shook his head and said, "Compared with it, Baotou Steel rare earth is safer." Baotou Iron and Steel Rare Earth was listed on September 24, 1997, with a market price of 4.43 yuan, a closing price of 7.97 yuan on the listing day, and now the right is about 37 yuan, which is only three or four times higher than the closing price on the listing day more than ten years ago, and only more than seven times higher than the market price. Considering that prices have risen rapidly in the past ten years, and compared with stocks like Suning Electric, the increase in buns is quite reasonable, at least safer than Suning Electric. ”
"Group leader, I want to hear you say that my Jinshan Kai, but why do you keep talking about Suning Electric? You're crooked, too! At this time, I didn't eat fat and interjected a sentence speechlessly.
"Don't interrupt the dead fat man, the group leader is giving a lecture, talking about how to look at chips, you can use any stock as an example, the principle is the same." Tian Hanxuan made a picture of kicking away.
"Aren't the chips simple? As soon as the sentence is finished, the dense chips are transferred from the bottom to the top, indicating that it is likely to be the main shipment. That's the core idea of the chip distribution bar, but it's not the best idea. ”
"I've studied this thing for a long time, but I don't think it's accurate at all, because many stocks are constantly moving up in the process of continuous rise, and if you operate according to this principle, you will get off in advance and miss a large wave of market." For example, the pictures just posted by the group owner, Suning Electric's dense chip area, in the big bull market of 2oo5-2oo7, moved from 9o yuan to 2oo yuan, can you go? Then it moved up to 7oo yuan, can you go? After that, it moved to around 1ooo yuan, and then began to peak and fall, can you grasp the most correct opportunity? ”
"The fat man is right, the chip distribution bar is only an auxiliary standard, and it should be combined with other technical indicators. and the market environment. It's not just that one indicator. But. The fat man said that this indicator is not accurate, which is a misunderstanding, because he has not studied deeply, so he has not grasped the essence of this indicator. ”
Ding Xu coughed lightly and said, "The most important thing in stock trading is to follow the main force, you will enter when the main force enters, and you will run when the main force runs." As for the performance, growth, and positive and negative of listed companies, they are all secondary. Because the main force is much better informed and analytical than yours, we have to trust the judgment of the main force and just follow the main force. ”
"That's right, that's it!" Meimei nodded and said, "I don't even know how to read the financial statements of listed companies, let alone anything else." ”
"Well, it's just that the main force has a lot of tricks, including the inflow and outflow of money that is common in paid software. In fact, it is calculated according to large and small orders. The main force splits the large order into a small order, and the software cannot identify it at all. So don't be superstitious about that inflow and outflow. In fact, the main force also has a lot of deception methods, such as making a pre-designed K-line, pretending to fall below or break through an important moving average, or inverting the volume, there are all kinds of tricks to deceive the line, and it is difficult for retail investors to identify these traps, and they will fall into the pit if they are not careful. ”
Ding Xu concluded, "However, some special indicators can still analyze the clues of the main force. For example, on the basis of studying the cost average, Dr. Chen Hao and Dr. Yang Xinyu designed a simulation algorithm for the detailed situation of the holding cost of market investors, simulated the buying and selling behavior of market investors, and finally estimated the amount of shares held by a stock at various prices, which is the chip distribution, code CYQ. This chip distribution can actually be regarded as exposing the movements of the main force to retail investors, so that retail investors can figure out some of the movements of the main force. Of course, the indicator of chip distribution is now well-known to many investors, and the main force of Gao Ming will also have the problem of zài scam line. But all in all, from the analysis of the long-term trend, it is still more difficult to cheat the line in the distribution of chips, and we can judge the intention of the main force in combination with the K-line moving average volume, and finally draw a more reliable conclusion. ”
"That's what I said, but if you look at Jinshan Kai, zoom in to the first half of 2oo6, and you don't need to reinstate the power." Eating not being convinced, he called up the trend of Jinshan Kai, and made a few corresponding chip distribution maps, and then said, "On March 8, 2oo6, Jinshan Kai fell to 2.59 yuan at the lowest, at this time the chips were concentrated in the 2.8 yuan area, and then on March 21, the highest rose to 3.31 yuan, and began to adjust sharply, at this time, the chips in the 2.8 yuan area quickly shortened, decreased, and transferred to the 3 yuan area above, do you sell it?" After that, it rose to 4.38 yuan on June 2, 2oo6, and adjusted again, and the chips that were originally at 3 yuan were also greatly reduced, do you sell or not? If you sell it according to this theory, I'm afraid you will regret it, and then it rose to 18.5o yuan! ”
"The fat man said that he still wants me to analyze Jin Shan Kai directly. But you overlook one point, shipping space! Generally speaking, from the bottom, the main force must be pulled up to at least 5o% or more, so as to have room and profit for phased shipments. The main force usually doubles before it really thinks about shipping, and smashes the stock price after the shipment, and then re-collects chips at the bottom. Therefore, doubling resistance needs to be paid close attention to, and after the stock price doubles from the low, there is often a wave of adjustment. ”
Ding Xu smiled and reminded, "And what you said about transferring from 2.8 yuan to 3 yuan, there is not even 1o% space during the period, even if the chips are transferred to the top, it is impossible to ship." When it rose to 4.38 yuan, it did not double, and the possibility of shipment was still relatively small, more of a wash, and a stage of high selling and low sucking. Of course, if you see it right, follow the main force to sell high and suck low, at least you can throw at the second high, buy at the second low, and make a beautiful T. ”
"It makes sense, at least under double the space, you don't have to rush to get out of the car." I nodded thoughtfully, and then asked, "I just couldn't understand the process of transferring the bottom chips up many times, which time would be the main force to really ship, so I later gave up this indicator." ”
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(Heartfelt thanks to 19 hardcore book friends such as "Lao Na Wants", Taurus Lord, Deep-Sea Fish's Vest, Shang Meng, the World's No. 1 Sao, Xi ~ Hee ~ ~ Shadow, Ghost Hermit, Crispy Not Bad, Mystery, Ycapoo, Happy Prince 19, Duoduo Little Fairy, Coco Daddy 52o, Maxim79, Full Plate Floating Red, Mu Zi Qiuzhou, Xiao Lin Ge, "Lucky Little Hami" and other 19 hardcore book friends generously rewarded as the alliance leader of this book, welcome to the alliance leader group (miracle group) family exchange.)
PetroChina and Agricultural Bank of China, which were analyzed in the book last weekend, followed last week's rise, and today's PetroChina rose by the limit, and the Agricultural Bank of China rose nearly 5%, congratulations to the readers who bought it. But don't thank me, thank me for my vision and decision-making.
As of tonight, there are 446 alliance leaders in this book, and although it has not been updated on the list, it still shows 423 alliance leaders, which is still ranked third for the time being, and it is estimated that it will not be refreshed until tomorrow. But in fact, our book "Level Retail Investors" has ranked second on the list of the main list of the starting point league, second only to the book "The Road to Awakening" by Qianmeng.
This is a heavy honor, thank you for your support, and I wish you all a daily price limit!
New questions have come out, will we become the second in 10,000 years?
Hehe, this depends on everyone's continued support, and Banban will accompany you through this wave of bull market, and strive to go all the way to the next bull market. Hopefully we can do it one day!
is still the same sentence, people have no dreams, waiting for salted fish.
Today, a lot of new subscriptions have been added, thank you for moving to give genuine support, and I also say here, please enter the alliance leader group and VIP4 group, download relevant information in the group text jiàn to learn, and verify it in combination with the actual trend of the stock market, enrich and improve yourself in a timely manner, which is the king of lasting money.
In the afternoon, according to the rules set yesterday, I discussed for an hour in the alliance leader group, and the atmosphere was good, and everyone also reported a lot of enlightenment. However, once again, I would like to remind the group friends who downloaded the relevant chat records to watch that this is just my personal opinion, time is in a hurry, mistakes and omissions are inevitable, and it is only for reference for analyzing stocks, not as an investment basis. Stock trading is risky, investment needs to be cautious, and decision-making should be autonomous.
After a while, I will write today's disk and news analysis, and then upload it to the group text, plus I have to get up at five o'clock tomorrow morning to deliver the car, and I have to go to bed early. Moreover, there are a lot of things in the unit these days, and the superiors have to come to check and write a few big materials, which is a lot of pressure. You really don't want to talk to me privately about stocks, and I won't reply. The first is that there is no time, and the second is to implement the new rules formulated yesterday, so please forgive me.
Following today's big start, I wish everyone to continue to make a big profit tomorrow, and I also wish Sister Yuying a complete recovery of health as soon as possible. (To be continued......)
Tips: The new domain name "biquge.info" has been launched by Biquge, and the original domain name is about to be discontinued. Please tell each other, thank you!