"After the last five daily limits of Jinshan Kai, whether the main force is shipped, it is necessary to look at it in combination with the chip distribution column - from November 7 to 28, 2oo8, the share price of Jinshan Kai has been sideways at a low level, during which a dense chip band was formed in the area of 4 yuan, and after five daily limits, it reached a maximum of 7.4o yuan on December 8, compared with the previous low point of 2.99 yuan, it has more than doubled, in line with the spatial law of more than double the main shipment."

Ding Xu called up the K-line chart, opened the chip distribution column, and analyzed, "On December 8th, in the rush back after the five daily limits, the negative line was closed, and a huge amount was released, with a transaction of 112 million, and the turnover rate of more than a year was released, and the turnover rate reached 15.86%. At the same time, the dense chips in the lower 4 yuan area began to shorten rapidly, and then in the continuous adjustment process, the dense chips in the 4 yuan area continued to decrease and almost completely disappeared. And this is just the hype of the Disney concept, not a substantial benefit. Therefore, the signs of the main shipment are still obvious. ”

"Why does the disappearance of 4 yuan chips necessarily mean that the main force has been sold? Maybe those chips are all retail investors, but retail investors can't continue to block the limit, so they locked in profits on December 8, 2oo8! Eating not fat, he interjected unconvinced.

"That's a good question, and it's possible. But first, let's investigate. The question is, normally, how much does a stock go up before you sell it? Ding Xu smiled and said.

"If it's more than 5%, I'll want to sell it, but it's usually only 1o%, otherwise it's easy to lose the profit. Instead, it trapped me. A group member who asked the cow to pay attention to the infestation replied.

"Me too. Over 5%. I just want to sell. Otherwise, you will fall down at any time and ride a roller coaster. A group member named "kofkyo" chimed in.

“5-1o%！” Lucky little Hami said.

"Ditto!" Shancheng Yishao replied.

"It's not ideal, I usually sell it if it's more than 1o%, but it's usually not more than 15%!" Looking at the late autumn maple leaves, he said disdainfully.

"I usually accumulate more than 2o% before selling, but it's usually only 5o%. I'm a long-liner. Prime Minister Xuanwu said proudly, "Of course, if it has been trapped for too long, then after it is unwrapped." There is also a strong urge to sell. ”

…………

Ding Xu counted it, including "Cow Infested Attention", kofkyo, Lucky Little Hami, Cow Infested Attention, Shancheng Yishao, No, Dingfeng, Lao Na Want, Wind Blowing Leaves Falling Oo, Looking at Late Autumn Maple Leaves, Two Two Nine, Genius Xiaofeng, "Wind Blowing Leaves Falling Oo", including 14 group friends answered this question, of which 11 group friends are 5-1o% will be sold, 1 group friend is 1o-15%, 1 group friend is 1o-2o%, Prime Minister Xuanwu is special, she has the habit of doing long-term, Generally, 2o-5o% will be sold.

"As you can see, the vast majority of retail investors will sell at 5-1o%. Others will not wait until they have a 5o% profit before selling. Then, Jinshan Kai did not produce substantial benefits. It's just a Disney concept, and there is no continuous sealing of a word board, but a long yang after the limit, two consecutive T-shaped word boards, and then two gaps to rise Changyang, a total of five daily limits. At this time, how many retail investors can get the sixth limit? ”

Ding Xu said with a smile, "I estimate that most retail investors sold it in the first Changyang, and those who were bold enough to sell it when they opened high the next day." Those who are more bold are estimated to have hurried away on the third day when they opened high and fluctuated. In the past three days, the chips in the 4 yuan area have not decreased significantly, since it is not a retail investor, it is naturally the main force. And after the failure of the sixth limit on the sixth day, these chips began to decrease significantly, which is more in line with my judgment, because only the main force knows how many boards they are going to pull, so they all leave the bottom chips to the last board before they start shipping! ”

"It makes sense. That's right, you've said many times that when a retail investor has a few points of profit in his hands, he will fidget like a bowl of hot oil, and he wants to lock in profits right away, and that's true, and I sometimes do. "I can't eat fat, and I'm completely convinced this time.

"But I have a question...... Miracle, you said half an hour ago that the chips opened by Jinshan are still at the bottom as a whole, and it is worth intervening. Prime Minister Xuanwu was completely confused, "Why do you say that the main force is shipped now?" ”

"Let me tell you my understanding, I think the group leader just talked about the long cycle of a few years or more than ten years, and looked at the changes in the high and low positions of long-term chips. But if you look at the short operation cycle of one or two months, the high and low have another meaning. ”

At this time, the eldest son of the Li family interjected and explained, "After the main force doubled, sell high at the top, sell most of the short-term chips around 7 yuan, and then use the remaining chips to smash the stock price down to more than 5 yuan, and then pick up the chips in batches, isn't this a profit of about 4o% for nothing?" The reason why some main forces can reduce the cost to negative after long-term operation is because they continue to sell high and buy low, and take phased operations to amortize the cost. ”

"Yes, that's it. When the main force is at a relatively low level, it often does a band, throws it high at the top of the band, and picks it up at the bottom of the band. Some stocks do not have too many long-term rules in combination with the number of shareholders in the main tracking column. For example, in one quarter, there was a very clear dispersion in the number of shareholders, from 5,000 to 10,000, and at the same time, the stock price formed a spire and began to fall. But after two quarters, it went from 10,000 to 6,000, and the stock price rose again, then there was another spire, and then it began to fall again. ”

Ding Xu said, "This is because after selling high and buying low, the market or plate market is up, and the main force will take advantage of the situation to rise, and many stocks that have more than doubled will often be pulled out while the main force will have several shipping points." For example, when it doubled, the main force sold most of the goods and made a lot of money, and when I saw that the market and the plate were still rising, the main force took advantage of the stock price to be suppressed, continued to pull, pulled to the next high, and continued to come out. ”

The eldest of the Li family nodded and said, "That's right." Some Changzhuang likes to do this. Anyway, throw high and suck low. It can be a phased shipment or a permanent shipment, and he also has to decide the future trend according to the environment of the market, which is the so-called improvisation. It is not easy to enter a stock as a banker, Changzhuang has made money, will not be willing to go away, will always leave a part of the chips in hand, whether it is pulling up and smashing. You have to keep a hand. Selling high and buying low, and constantly reducing the cost of holding a position, is what they like to do the most. ”

Ding Xu smiled and replied, "That's right." Judging from the entire historical trend, Jinshan Kai is still at a low level overall. The current bands are estimated to be preparing for a sharp rise in the future. Of course, this is still a preliminary judgment, and we still have some things left to analyze, so we have to continue to analyze. ”

"It's too complicated...... A stock, it only takes a second to buy it. You have been analyzing for more than an hour, and you have not yet come to a final conclusion. Prime Minister Xuanwu felt dizzy.

"It's easy to buy shares. But if you don't do a thorough analysis beforehand, you tend to make the wrong decisions. Ding Xu said helplessly, "We spend an hour or two or even a day or two to analyze whether a stock has prospects, and if you think it is worth investing in the medium and long term, you can ignore it after buying it." It doesn't matter if it's up or down tomorrow, I won't panic. However, many people have listened to other people's advice, and decided what stock to buy within five minutes, but after buying, they have no bottom in their hearts, and they have to keep an eye on the market for four hours every day, and they are happy and worried about the fluctuation of stock prices, and even worry that they can't sleep well, which way do you think is more cost-effective and safer? ”

"Sharpen the knife and don't mistake the woodcutter, I realized." Prime Minister Xuanwu playfully stuck out his tongue and said with a smile, "Okay, you continue to analyze." ”

"Stock speculation is a process of chips from dispersion to concentration, and then to dispersion. The main force collects the scattered chips of retail investors, and it is concentrated, and the stock price is also raised. After that, when they are sold to retail investors, the chips are dispersed and the stock price falls. This is the essence of stock trading, and it is the only rule for retail investors to make money with dealers. Since Jinshan Kai shows that the chips in the third quarter of 2oo8 are concentrated, and they are concentrated in the process of falling, but the stock price in the fourth quarter of last year has also risen a lot, so in the main tracking column, the chip concentration in the third quarter does not necessarily have much reference value, it may be lagging behind, and the main force has been shipped in stages. ”

Ding Xu continued to analyze, "Therefore, small-cap stocks like Jinshan Kai, because the timing of the shipment is very ingenious, there is a time difference, so the short-term trend is not easy to grasp." And like some large-cap stocks, it is difficult for the main force to hide this. Because tens of millions of shares, one or two hundred million small-cap stocks, you may be able to use dozens or hundreds of accounts to divide positions. But large-cap stocks, he can't do it, and it is unlikely to use tens of thousands of accounts to operate, after all, the accounts are limited, and with so many traders, it is easy to operate on such a large scale, and it is easy to have unexpected situations. Like this kind of large-cap stocks, the main force spent a few years to collect chips, so that the number of shareholders fell by half, and the average shareholding of households was concentrated by half, but the stock price was flat or even fell, which is the most beautiful beauty, and it is easy to judge from the main tracking column. Once this kind of stock starts to rise, it is worth pursuing, because there is a lot of certainty of profitability. ”

"No wonder you pay so much attention to the main tracking and chip distribution column, two words, that is, with the banker!" Xuanwu Cheng came to his senses.

"Yes, the first move and the second move are all for the sake of the bank, and the third move is still for the bank." Ding Xu said with a smile, "After reading these fundamentals and chip distribution, we have to look at the third step, that is, the analysis of technical indicators, mainly looking at the K-line moving average volume, to go through these technical things, to determine whether the fundamentals and technical aspects have reached resonance, and further judge whether the main force has the intention of pulling up in the near future." My conclusion may not be correct, but it can be used as a basis for analyzing a stock for everyone to start their thinking. ”

Ding Xu said as he gushed about analyzing the technical stuff. Since these things have to be expressed by charts, in half an hour, Ding Xu made dozens of charts in a row and explained the technical aspects of Jinshan Kai in detail.

Just as I was talking, the bell rang for the end of class.

"I'll go, I'm fascinated by what I hear, it's all closed!" I looked at my watch and saw that it was already twelve o'clock.

"Uh, I've got to go to dinner too, goodbye." Ding Xu hurriedly packed up his things and left the computer room.

This discussion made the group friends gain a lot, and they sorted out the relevant records and uploaded them to the group text for everyone's reference.

Ding Xu himself didn't expect that after opening this start, such a similar way of lecturing in the future would become a fine tradition of the miracle group, and a group of novices also realized and embarked on their own road to profit.

……………………………… Dividing line ..........................................

(Heartfelt thanks to 13 hardcore book friends such as "Longbow and Arrow", Songtao Xiaodeng, An Poverty Shoudao, gu1f1iu, book friends 15O1O721O928289, Chen Ying, Huiji, baggio661o, Qi Gao Feixiang, Lynch, Forced 11eey, AJ1O2, "Xiaohai Xiaodao", etc., generously rewarded as the alliance leader of this book, welcome to enter the alliance leader group (miracle group) family exchange.)

My stock selection ideas are basically in this consecutive seven chapters, just the technical average K-line volume and the like, the expression is too complicated, and there must be a picture to cooperate, it is not easy to write in the novel, so I skipped the third step for your reference.

Today's plate is a typical roller coaster, there is a special discussion on this in the afternoon in the alliance main group, which has been uploaded to the alliance leader group and VIP group, please download it yourself.

Because it is necessary to write the analysis in combination with the news of the weekend, and it has been analyzed this afternoon, it is customary to write the analysis of the market on Sunday.

Happy weekend. (To be continued!)

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