"The first step, in the latest tips in F1O, after understanding the share capital of listed companies, we also need to see whether they are fully circulated. Because the shareholders of the recently lifted shares have sold off more sharply, if it is full circulation, you can click on the share capital structure column of F1O to see if the share capital changes have been lifted recently. If it is not fully circulated, it is necessary to see if the ban has been lifted recently in the latest brief column below. If the ban on limited shares has been lifted recently, or the ban on private placement shares has been lifted, and the current stock price is at a relatively high level, which is much higher than the market price or fixed increase price, then it is necessary to be careful of the main shipment. ”

Ding Xu continued, "On the contrary, if the current stock price is still significantly lower than the market price or fixed increase price, then as long as the market is relatively stable and does not deteriorate, then it is basically a risk-free arbitrage opportunity." Because major shareholders generally stay up for several years to get up to the ban, but because the stock price can't rise in the bear market, once the ban is lifted, most of them will do a wave of market before and after the ban, pulling up to the market price, so that they will reduce their holdings at a high level, and then find an opportunity to pick it up at a low level. The same is true for private placement shareholders, they are often inextricably linked with the main force, and they are all big funds anyway, and they will take care of each other. ”

"I'm going, I've forgotten to look at this. Jinshan Kai 2oo6 and 2oo7, 2oo8 have been lifted three times, all of which are the implementation of the share reform plan or the restricted circulation of the share reform, the circulating shares increased from 34.32 million shares to 82.54 million shares, 100 million shares, fortunately, the last lifting of the ban was on February 21, 2oo8, almost a year from now, and only more than 10 million shares were lifted. ”

Eating is not fat, according to Ding Xu's thinking. I looked at the changes in share capital. Smacked his lips. "Annoyingly, on February 16, 2oo9, there was still a batch of unrestricted shares, which were also restricted shares of the share reform, with 82oo shares, which is equivalent to the current flow of the disk expanded by 8o%, and the pressure is not small."

"There's not necessarily a lot of pressure, after all, I've just analyzed that this stock has been listed since 1993. Because of poor performance, it has not risen much, and the current stock price is only more than 14 yuan, which is only more than double the market price. Compared with the price increase in the past ten years, the increase is shabby. And those major shareholders have survived for so many years, and finally got the opportunity to circulate because of the share reform in 2oo5, and this time the ban can be lifted, most of them will pull a wave up, so this is an opportunity. ”

Ding Xu analyzed while calling up the trend of the K-line chart. "For example, before the ban was lifted on February 21, 2oo8. , after which it began to plummet. And during this time, there is enough money to reduce holdings and shipments. ”

"Well, that's right." I was relieved when I couldn't get fat, and said with a smile, "Maybe I can pull a big wave this time, it seems that I still bought the right one." ”

"This share is only 100 million circulating share capital, the stock price is only more than 5 yuan, the circulating market value is only more than 500 million, plus the top ten shareholders account for more than half, and the maximum market value of the outside is only 200 million in the market. Such stocks are active, and there should be many chances of getting out. However, let's make an overall conclusion after analyzing it. ”

Ding Xu pressed F1O again and said, "Next, we can take a look at F1O's company reports and industry reviews to see if there are any themes, good and so on; After that, take a look at the financial analysis of F1O to see how the performance has been in recent years, mainly to see the net profit, net profit growth rate, and what is the return on assets, generally speaking, double digits are the best, if the return on assets is only single digits, it generally means that the growth has slowed down and the prospects have deteriorated. Since we have just analyzed the financial situation in the past few years and analyzed what the reasons for the turnaround are, this step is skipped. Let's take a look at the main tracking bar in F1O. ”

"The main force tracking bar, can you really see the movement of the main force?" A female group named Prime Minister Xuanwu asked curiously, "I just can't figure this out, so I don't know if I should sell Jinshan Kai and lock in profits." ”

The name of Xuanwu Prime Minister is strange, not at all like the name of a female shareholder, this is mainly because Xuanwu Cheng is obsessed with a Journey to the West online game on the Internet for a while, and there is a turtle Prime Minister in it who is very good at brushing magic weapons, so she took such a name that she thinks is auspicious and basically has the same name as NPC, hoping to brush up more equipment. However, after becoming obsessed with stock trading, those virtual magic weapons are no longer in her eyes, and she is full of hope to earn more real money to subsidize her family.

Prime Minister Xuanwu's luck was not bad, so he encountered an adjustment, and he suddenly set nearly 1o%, which made her very flustered. At that time, the group of friends cheered her up, saying that Ding Xu said that it was a bull market now, let her die. As a result, not long after, Jinshan opened five daily limits, which made her smile.

It's just that the sixth limit was not blocked, and then a long adjustment began, which made her lose a lot of profits all at once.

However, Prime Minister Xuanwu was also calm and never sold. In her theory, it is, "It doesn't matter. Stock trading is actually like us women are pregnant, if the profit is less than ten points, the fetus is easy to slip away. But if there is a profit of more than ten points, even if the tire is saved, it is not easy to panic, and you can have a calm attitude and laugh at the profit run. ”

At that time, this somewhat bizarre metaphor led to a frenzy of complaints in the group.

is also because of this metaphor, while laughing without eating fat, he also aimed at Jinshankai's stock, and waited for it to pull back in place. In the past two days, the Disney concept began to dance, and I couldn't bear it anymore if I couldn't eat fat, so I led a group of friends who like to do short-term to kill it.

Even Prime Minister Xuanwu couldn't imagine that his own analogy was jokingly called a disaster by those friends who were trapped.

"The main tracking column is mainly the number of shareholders and the average number of shares held by each household, generally speaking, in the case of no change in share capital. Basically, it can still reflect the main chip collection and shipping action. For example, Jinshan Kai. From the third quarter of 2oo5. The number of shareholders continued to decline, and the average shareholding continued to rise, indicating that the main force has more and more chips in its hands. However, in the third quarter of 2oo7, the number of shareholders began to increase, and the average shareholding of households began to decrease, reflecting the signs of the main shipment, which is basically confirmed by the stock price trend. ”

Ding Xu explained, "And at the end of the third quarter of 2oo8. The number of shareholders decreased from 29,342 to 22,984, and the average shareholding increased from 12,051 shares to 15,385 shares. The stock price has been falling sideways in the third quarter, so the main force took advantage of the stock price to fall from the low, and the action of quickly collecting chips at the bottom is also obvious. After that, it bottomed out in the fourth quarter and had five daily limits at the end of the year. ”

"Great, the main force should still be collecting chips, and I can continue to cover the stocks." Prime Minister Xuanwu said happily as if he had taken a reassuring pill.

"Don't get too happy, let's not fall into the trap of thinking that the fewer the number of shareholders. It means that the more chips the main player collects, the more you can buy with confidence. All I can say is. This is generally the case, but in conjunction with the stock price. Because the number of shareholders is only announced once a quarter, there is a three-month lag in itself, and the announcement of semi-annual reports and annual reports is often delayed by several months, so it is even more delayed. ”

Ding Xu hurriedly said, "Now that the annual report has not come out, we can't see the chip changes in the fourth quarter of last year, and the information has lagged behind for several months." Of course, even if you can see it today, it's too late, because in the fourth quarter of last year, Jinshan Kai has almost doubled, and then it has pulled back, so I estimate that the chips in the fourth quarter are still greatly dispersed, which is the usual trick of the main force, and the time difference is played. ”

"How so? How could the chips be so dispersed in the fourth quarter? Prime Minister Xuanwu was taken aback.

"What's so strange about that? Some stocks have risen two or three times in a row, and when the number of shareholders reaches the minimum value and is announced in the annual report, when you see it, the main force may have been shipped on the top of the mountain, and when the next quarterly report comes out, you will be surprised to find that the number of shareholders has been greatly dispersed. At the same time, the stock price has also fallen significantly. ”

Ding Xu explained, "In addition, some stocks show that the number of shareholders has not increased, but the average shareholding of households has increased significantly, which may be ten for ten." In addition, even if the number of shareholders increases and the average shareholding decreases, it seems that the main force is shipping, but it may be that the main force has adopted the method of splitting the position, and in fact it is not shipping. Therefore, it is necessary to judge from all aspects, and we should not be superstitious about the number of this column, because this is often the appearance. However, after a few years, the average shareholding of households has continued to increase by one-third or even more than half, and it is generally the main force that continues to collect chips, and it is generally not wrong. ”

"Huh?" Prime Minister Xuanwu's heart just let go, and immediately raised it again, "After the last five price limits, has this main force been shipped?" If it is shipped, I will be miserable. ”

……………………………………… Dividing Line.......................................

(Heartfelt thanks to 9 hardcore book friends such as "Dream of the World", Shenbin, Blind Speculation, Look at the Landscape, Xiaohe Flowing Water, Sunny Day Beijing, Earn Some Family Money, Holy Communion Invincible, "Rabbit with a Shell" and other 9 hardcore book friends generously rewarded as the alliance leader of this book, welcome to the alliance leader group (miracle group) family exchange.)

Today's situation is special, and many readers are very frightened. So I will mention a few words after the text - when I started diving in the morning, I said in the alliance leader group that this is still a wash nature, and it is expected to fall below the 33oo point mark, and then fall by 1o points, and it will be about the same to about 329o points. In the afternoon, I also said that the closing should be between 329o-33oo points, and then it was indeed the case when closing, so it was ridiculed by the group friends again as a crossing board.

My judgment is that the squat action before the subscription of new shares, and then there will be a jump, which is already a routine. So when I dived during the day, I didn't panic at all, and said that it would be Black Thursday, Red Friday, and tomorrow the blue chips are expected to have a retaliatory rebound. For more information, see the analysis uploaded to the group article jiàn tonight.

In last night's analysis of "Looking Forward to the Second Half of the Bull Market", I made an outlook on the high and hot sectors throughout the year, which also needs to be verified by this year's trend. It is precisely because it is from the general trend to see the direction of the future, so a big fall can not make me nervous at all, build yì everyone to do the medium and long-term must have a long-term vision, if you see that you can double, then tomorrow is up or down, is the up limit is down, you can not care at all.

By the way, some of the stock discussions this afternoon, as well as some of the previous discussions, I hope that the friends of the alliance leader group will not spread it, because some are small-cap stocks, once they attract attention, they will be shocked, and then there may be an adverse impact on the group members who hold stocks, I hope you will pay attention to this. In addition, I have changed the level of 10 billion, 1 billion to million, and 100,000 group members of the alliance leader group to bubbling, diving, nagging, etc., and then set the level at that time, I think I can ask for a pick, and I hope that everyone's property will increase in value. But I don't want everyone to fill the group with water for a virtual level, so that swiping the screen will be dazzling and will drown out a lot of useful information. I asked the administrator not to eat fat to open a discussion group, and in the future, people who want water will go there to water, and the alliance leader group will only discuss the market and stocks, so that it can improve everyone.

Tonight's disk analysis came out before about half past twelve.,Let's sleep first.,Just download it in the group text tomorrow morning.。

I wish you all to regain lost ground tomorrow, and the yang will cover the yin. (To be continued!)

Tips: The new domain name "biquge.info" has been launched by Biquge, and the original domain name is about to be discontinued. Please tell each other, thank you!