Chapter 101 The mountains and rivers of the country are red
Thursday, November 27, fine.
At half past nine, the mountains and rivers of the whole country were red, and there were warm applause and cheers in the securities business hall!
The year 2oo8 is a year that all investors will never forget. In this year's bear market, I don't know how many retail investors went from profit to loss, and finally scarred. And at the end of the year, we saw the dawn of a new round of bull market.
In this year, the plunge and yin fall are the mainstream, but there are also some days when the big white line is unforgettable, such as the market limit on September 19, the big white line of over 7% on September 22 and November 1o, and the yang and yin on November 19.
So when the needle pointed to half past nine on November 27, when the market suddenly jumped nearly 7% higher, all the shareholders in the securities business department in the country couldn't help cheering: "Dayang, Dayang!" Up and down, up and down! ”
On November 18, the market briefly rushed to 2o5o points, touched the 6o daily line, and then plunged sharply, closing down 6%, although the next day the main force pulled two barrels of oil, in the way of yang and yin back above the 2ooo point, but the multi-party sharp spirit has been hit hard, and then followed the US stocks continued to fall, until yesterday's 1897 points, closed below 19oo points, so that many shareholders are very disappointed.
Unexpectedly, the market came to a magical reversal today, as soon as it opened, it was 2O2O points, directly crossed the two integer thresholds of 19oo and 2ooo points, and opened directly on the 6O daily line.
The Baotou Steel Rare Earth also opened at 7.57 yuan, opening more than 9 points higher, close to the daily limit, which made the friends of the miracle group excited!
"Up and down, up and down, up and down for buns!" Clumsy excitedly in front of the cheerleader.
"Is the Shanghai Index going to officially challenge the rhythm of the 6o daily line?" Qi Fei also sent a text message to Ding Xu a little excitedly, "Haha, the market rose slightly yesterday, and He Dehua's face was already a little ugly, and now I bet that he must want to jump off the building!" ”
"It's all the central bank that cheated Lao He......" Ding Xu was a little speechless.
"Haha, you're right. However, this is the style of the top management, and he should have guessed that the central bank would come to this hand, and he should have blamed himself for his stupidity. ”
Qi Fei laughed happily, "Did he forget it so quickly, before the 53O tragedy last year, the high-level also swore to refute the rumors, saying that the rumors circulating in the market to raise the stamp duty were all rumors, but as soon as the market settled down, there was a rooster cry in the middle of the night on May 29, announcing that the stamp duty would be raised from 1 thousandth to 3 thousandths, which resulted in the 53o tragedy." The Shanghai Composite Index fell from 4,03 to 3,04, and I don't know how many stocks fell by half in a few days. He can't even remember such a lesson, he deserves it! ”
The reason for this conversation is that last Friday the market was expecting the management to cut interest rates over the weekend, so some funds entered real estate and banking stocks on Friday afternoon, pulling the index up. As a result, a senior official of the central bank publicly stated on November 24: "China's current interest rate level is relatively appropriate, and in the future, it will adjust the interest rate in accordance with the requirements of monetary policy in a timely and appropriate manner according to changes in the situation." ”
The sentence of a senior central bank official that "the current interest rate level is more appropriate" was interpreted as a hint that there would be no interest rate cuts at present, which greatly alleviated the expectation of market funds to cut interest rates in the short term, and also led to the adjustment of bank stocks, which in turn led to the adjustment of the broader market.
Unexpectedly, just two days later, the central bank suddenly announced a sharp interest rate cut, the largest adjustment in 11 years!
The People's Bank of China announced last night that from November 27, 208, it will reduce the benchmark interest rate of one-year RMB deposits and loans of financial institutions by 1.o8 percentage points each, and the benchmark interest rates of deposits and loans of other maturity grades will be adjusted accordingly. At the same time, the central bank's interest rates on relending and rediscounting will be lowered.
This rate cut is the largest reduction in the benchmark interest rate of one-year RMB loans in the PBOC's 11 years (since 1997), and the last time the benchmark interest rate of RMB loans fell the largest in January 23, 1997.
At the same time, the central bank also lowered the reserve requirement ratio to increase liquidity in the financial system and support economic growth.
According to media reports: "The adjustment of the benchmark deposit and loan interest rate is rare in recent years, demonstrating the Chinese government's determination to stimulate economic growth to withstand the impact of the global financial crisis. The requirements for the introduction of policies not long ago are 'quick shots, heavy punches, accurate measures, and practical work'! ”
The central bank was refuting the rumors two days ago, and two days later it introduced an interest rate cut policy, in fact, there are really unspeakable hardships. Because the introduction of such a policy must not allow any rumors to be leaked, otherwise it may cause a sharp shock in the stock market, who is responsible for this?
However, in reality, the formulation of a new policy will inevitably consult the opinions of various social levels, and it will inevitably be leaked out, and it will inevitably be used by some well-informed and prescient funds to lurk in the relevant sectors in advance.
And once the rumors are leaked and disclosed by the media, the relevant departments have no choice but to refute the rumors. Because according to their thinking, it is impossible to make an official confirmation and announcement before the policy is considered mature and promulgated, so that once the relevant policy is stillborn, who will pay for the sharp fluctuations in the securities market?
I'm afraid no one can take on this responsibility.
As a result, this phenomenon has gradually become more common, such as the refutation of rumors before the earthquake, such as the refutation of rumors before the fall of high-ranking officials......
Therefore, refuting rumors is sometimes a helpless choice, rather than deliberately trying to tease institutions and shareholders, after all, they also know that they will definitely cause a storm of public opinion afterwards.
Those who say that the top is going back on their word, tunes. Of course, the shareholders of the people have reason to express such anger, but this is actually not much beneficial to stock speculation.
Investors who complain about the sky after losing money in stock speculation, or even prepare to march on the streets, will often continue to fail. Only shareholders who are willing to find reasons in themselves, summarize lessons and lessons, and correct their mistakes in future trading will stand up in the ruins of failure and finally make a profit.
Ding Xu and Qi Fei looked at the 53o tragedy in this way, so after the central bank's high-level refuted the rumors a few days ago, the two of them agreed during the discussion that this kind of refutation of rumors is obviously a helpless move, and it is not even good to blow the wind in advance, after all, after the sentence "China's current interest rate level is more appropriate", isn't there still a sentence "adjust the interest rate in a timely and appropriate manner in the future"?
Therefore, under the clear guidance of technical indicators, Ding Xu and Qi Fei did not take the news of high-ranking officials to refute the rumors too seriously, but turned from empty to long, from resting from empty positions to entering the market to buy the bottom.
This kind of reverse thinking is one of the magic weapons of successful people. After all, most people lose money when they speculate in stocks, so it is inevitable to lose money by following the popular thinking, which highlights the importance of reverse thinking.
So far, this kind of reverse thinking has achieved obvious results, and Qi Fei also perfectly defeated He Dehua who turned long after idling for a long time.
Of course, what is even happier is the real income on the book - Baotou Steel rare earth opened up by more than 9%, which means that Ding Xu suddenly has more than 20,000 gains. The day before yesterday, Qi Fei bought Qianyuan Power at an average price of 8.38 yuan, which rose by more than two points yesterday, and today it directly used 3739 hands to buy orders and sealed it in the position of the price limit!
"A rate cut can really free up liquidity and spur the economic recovery. However, I read that those monetary experts say that interest rate cuts also have a negative effect, so there has been a lot of debate on the Internet about whether interest rates should be cut. Now the interest rate has really been cut, but can this good thing really make the market rise and fall? Will there be some main forces to take advantage of the good shipments? "I don't know why, watching the market open nearly 7% higher, Ding Xu always feels a little empty in his heart, and is a little worried that it will rise and fall.
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(I'm really sorry, I haven't updated until now, to explain, in the past two days, I have held 6ooo1o Baotou Steel shares related to the announcement of the establishment of the Northern Rare Earth Group, and the rise is also more gratifying, and I have already got nearly 2o points of profit.) And this afternoon there was a lot of announcements, including ten for ten, before five o'clock, I have been analyzing these announcements and follow-up trends in the miracle group, delaying the code word, sorry sorry......
Well, this is also a fulfillment of last night's promise to announce my trading in book friends. The group announced it two weeks ago, and some of the group members also bought it with me and made some money to make up for the family......
I would like to take this to declare that the buns written in the book are Baotou Iron and Steel rare earths, but in reality, the buns I made are Baotou Iron and Steel shares, so don't get confused. As for why I now choose buns instead of buns today at book friends. The group has also explained that the most important thing is that Baotou Iron and Steel rare earth has risen too much in the past few years, more than 200 times, and it has no rare earth resources......
Let me state again, although I announced my personal operation, it does not constitute any recommendation, everyone must make independent decisions about stock speculation, do not believe other people's remarks, so as to make money.
Finally, there will always be some trolls who will make trouble with the books that are forced, including some trolls invited by red-eyed authors, which is normal, and everyone doesn't have to pay attention to it. In addition, it is not excluded that some of the stocks I named in the book may have the possibility of Zhuang Tuo making trouble, so just ignore it.
The adjustment of the broader market is very healthy, and it is now impacting the double-headed position from September to December last year, which is a dense trapping area, and lateral shocks are inevitable, but it will not fall sharply. As long as you rush over, there will be a sea and sky behind you, and you will see you again at 2444 points. )
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