222 Stock speculation can't join in the fun
222、
"There are fewer people opening accounts recently"
After a while, Hei Tianyou put down the cup, sighed, and said.
"Really?"
"Well, when I first joined the sales department, from mid-July to early August, many new investors flocked to the market, and compared with that time, the sales department is now a lot more deserted."
During that time, Zhang Yuanyi was in Dali, so he didn't know the situation of the sales department here, but he did notice that there were more people speculating in stocks at the end of July and early August.
Retail investors are like this, watching others make a lot of money, and they also want to make a profit!
Always in the stock market into the rising channel of the stage of the top of the stage can not restrain the urge to chase up, so in the dealer quickly pulled up, can't wait to follow up the full position, throughout July, fear of the psychology of the short permeated the entire stock secondary market, in those days, the daily trading volume of up to eight or nine billion days, how many new shareholders happily undertake the dealer happily distributed chips!
However, once the market entered the adjustment period, the panic disk swarmed out, which made ordinary retail investors very afraid, so they followed the meat, and the panic disk was stained with bloody chips.
Due to the lack of a demonstration effect of making money, the over-the-counter funds have become stagnant, the number of account openings has dropped sharply, and many people are eager to quickly withdraw money from the stock market and deposit it in the bank.
This phenomenon is all too normal. This happens all the time, regardless of bulls and bears.
It's just that, in Zhang Yuanyi's view, stock speculation is absolutely not "join in the fun", a round of bull market, it is impossible to rise all the time, there is always a time for adjustment, and every round of adjustment in the bull market is a good opportunity to increase positions!
A clear sign of the adjustment is that the front of the securities business department has suddenly become deserted, and smart people will find that this is a good time to enter the market!
At present, the stock market has plummeted by nearly 150 points in less than 10 trading days, a decline of nearly 10%, while some stocks have fallen by more than 50%, and some have even been beaten back to their original shape, which means that the investment value of many stocks has reappeared.
As an old shareholder said: "It is to break 1700 points again, and an earth-shattering counteroffensive may occur at any time!" ”
At this time, if you don't buy stocks, when will you gradually build a position?
In the stock market, as long as those who can accurately judge the trend and dare to buy the bottom, they have the foundation to become big winners.
"Boss"
Zhang Yuanyi was meditating, and the fat man suddenly shouted, pulling him to reality.
"What's the matter?"
"Recently, I found a phenomenon in the review, that is, in recent months, the index and many individual stocks have closed with a bald head long white candle or a barefoot long black candle, what do you think? How to deal with it from the perspective of trading strategy? ”
"Well, I've found out about this situation too," Hei Tianyou interjected.
Zhang Yuanyi also noticed this situation when he reviewed it, so he said:
"If in the past, if you hit the bald long white line, you should not sell the shares, and the short positions should be bold before the close, because in this case, most of them will open high the next day, so that you can buy a short-term basically nine out of ten, you can sell at a good price; On the contrary, if you encounter a long black candle closing, then you have to follow the kill, because the next day will basically open lower, and if you don't sell the next day, you will lose even more......"
"Boss, but the situation has been a bit abnormal lately."
Hei Tianyou has his own opinion.
"Otherwise, how can I say what if it was in the past?" Zhang Yuanyi smiled, "Then you can talk about it"
Hei Tianyou smiled and said, "Boss, fat man, then I'll tell you my opinion, I found that the recent market is different from previous years." ”
"Huh?" The fat man was a little puzzled.
Hei Tianyou looked at the fat man, took a sip of tea, and continued: "The recent situation is that if the end of the market is about to close with a long white line, it is best to come out in the last few minutes before closing, because most of the next day is flat or low, even if it is open high, there is not much to take over, and the selling price is not as good as before yesterday's closing." The first day rose sharply, and the next day adjusted mostly, which is a feature of the recent market. ”
When Zhang Yuanyi heard this, he smiled slightly and motioned for Hei Tianyou to continue.
"On the contrary, if the recent market encounters a long black candle closing, you must dare to buy before closing, and don't expect a lower price to appear the next day, because the first day it falls more and the next day tends to rebound. In the past month or two, there have been three or four barefoot long black candles, and every time I buy a sharply falling stock in the panic selling before the close, I can always make a gain of about 5% the next day. ”
"You're awesome!" The fat man smiled and stretched out a thumbs up to Hei Tianyou.
"But is this going to continue?" The fat man then asked.
This is the weakness of human nature, overcoming greed and fear, and facing the dangerous stock market with a good attitude, is the most important magic weapon to win! In the stock market, it is easy to form inertial thinking, and this inertial thinking often kills people.
"The current market is indeed the situation that Black Box just said," Zhang Yuanyi said, "At least it is still like this for now, as for whether it will continue, I think it will definitely find changes in the future, if this market finds itself moving characteristics are discovered, the market itself will change."
"So, black boy, it's best for you to find it in a small area, don't scribble everywhere, I found that you like to write things in the stock bar"
"Isn't it good to write it out? It can let more small scatters see the stock market clearly! ”
"Uh...... Your feelings are commendable, but do you know that once a method in the stock market is summed up, this form may become ineffective, you are also born in finance, you should understand that when cheats become a popular fashion, it will be difficult to make money! ”
Hei Tianyou thought about it, nodded and said, "Boss, what you said makes sense, it seems that you should say less in the stock bar in the future."
"Well, Blackboy, it's good that you understand. You know, the stock bar is mixed, you don't know what the eyes in front of the screen in the distance are, it's okay if you're right, if you say it's wrong, you don't say it's uncomfortable, others will scold you, so, I think you should be low-key in the future with the 'up limit' as the ID number"
Zhang Yuanyi looked at Hei Tianyou with a smile and suggested.
"Uh...... Okay"
Hei Tianyou thought about it, it was true, he pushed a short-term line this week, because the stock price did not move in the expected direction, and the netizens in the stock bar scolded him badly, saying that he was the lackey of the banker, which made him sad for two days, and when he thought of this, he felt aggrieved.
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This week, the Shanghai Composite Index stabilized and rebounded after hitting a new low of 2,647.17 points on Wednesday, but it was plagued by insufficient trading volume, and the rebound was obviously insufficient. Especially after Thursday's rebound, the stock index performed poorly on Friday, the gem erased Thursday's gains, and the Shenzhen index also weakened, with only the Shanghai index falling slightly, mainly due to the support of two barrels of oil.
The recent turmoil in the external market has dragged down A-shares, and due to the lack of significant incremental funds to enter the market, A-shares have shown a trend of following fluctuations. Driven by the strength of the "two barrels of oil", the main board trend is significantly stronger than that of small and medium-sized enterprises, but it must be noted that one phenomenon is that the new stocks reappeared on the fifth day of the "falling limit", and a total of 27 stocks fell to the limit, which is not a good phenomenon. Next week, investors should beware of the risk of another decline in theme stocks.
Here's a look back at last week's market:
Dragged down by the continuous decline of the Hang Seng Index at the beginning of the week (there is a view that the Hang Seng Index entered a technical bear market), A-shares shrank from Monday to Wednesday, and the Shanghai Composite Index hit a new low of 2,647.17 points on Wednesday, just one step away from 2,638 points. On Thursday, only the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.15%, and on Friday, it re-shrank and fell 0.18%.
I believe that the recent decline in A-shares has been disturbed by the external market, especially the Hong Kong stock market. However, after Hong Kong stocks stabilized and rebounded, the response of A-shares was weak, mainly due to the lack of incremental funds. From a technical point of view, there is no obvious stop signal after the Shanghai Composite Index weekly line three consecutive negatives, and if the heavyweight stocks cannot continue to rise next week, the market may return to a weak bottoming trend. After all, all three major stock indexes are currently in a downtrend channel.
In this week's market, there is a phenomenon that the Shanghai Composite 50 Index is relatively resistant.
Although the broader market is still in a weak market, from the perspective of sub-indexes, the Shanghai Composite 50 Index has only fallen by 0.50% this week, and it is the most resilient.
According to statistics, the Shanghai 50 Index mainly benefited from the "two barrels of oil" this week, with PetroChina and Sinopec rising 5.61% and 3.80% respectively, far outperforming the market. Since the third quarter, PetroChina has risen 12.32% and Sinopec has risen 6.95%. Poly Real Estate, SAIC, Yili, Qingdao Haier, and China Heavy Industry also contributed a lot to the index.
Let's take a look at the list of decliners, Hengrui Pharmaceutical, Conch Cement, 360, Wanhua Chemical, San'an Optoelectronics, China Unicom, and Daqin Railway are among the top decliners. In the early stage, the white horse plate and the corresponding white horse stocks such as Baijiu Moutai, Electric Beauty, Little Swan, etc., continued to break down, and since February, these plates have ended the previous upward trend and reversed downward.
Another feature of this week's market is the "falling limit" of new stocks.
Although the main board market has stabilized after bottoming out, the sub-IPO fell in a large area on Friday, which is worrying. Most of the top decliners on Friday are new stocks, such as Meiya Pico, Sunline Technology, Xinxing Equipment, Ruike Laser, Chinalco International, Huide Technology, etc., among which the technology stocks have a large pullback, and some of the previous good trend of individual stocks has been completely destroyed.
Now there are two weeks left before the National Day holiday, and I personally believe that it is difficult for A-shares to rebound at a large level in the near future, mainly because large funds are still on the sidelines. This week, the market mainly relies on heavyweight stocks to protect the disk, and the opportunities for theme stocks are more concentrated in over-falling varieties. Considering that the National Day holiday will be ushered in, investors are more willing to hold coins for the holiday in order to avoid risk. At present, the factors that disturb A-shares have not been eliminated, and if the rebound cannot stand firm on the ten-week line, the rebound will be meaningless.
Although from a valuation perspective, the market is at a historic low. But as far as the current trend is concerned, it is still downward, and there is no sign of reversal. Therefore, it is recommended to be more cautious in the near future, to prevent risks, to control positions less, to wait for the opportunity, and to be more patient.