Chapter 284: Impressed
Today is Luo Feng's treat, and he ordered Cantonese food.
In an upscale place like Emerald Bay Villa, whether it is the traditional eight cuisines, Western food, or cuisine, etc., there are top chefs in charge, ensuring that you can eat all the authentic food in the world when you come here!
However, among all the cuisines, Cantonese cuisine in Emerald Bay is the most famous! It is said that the Cantonese chef here is a disciple of a certain Cantonese cuisine master, and this Cantonese cuisine master has the level of "state banquet".
After three rounds of wine and five flavors of food, they chatted more and more speculatively.
Dai Ziyang is a curious person, he has always been very surprised by how Chen Mingyu learned about the bursting time of the Hainan real estate bubble, is it really because Chen Mingyu has a mysterious high-level background? Moreover, even if Chen Mingyu has a mysterious high-level background, it is impossible for him to predict a fairly accurate time point more than half a year in advance!
What other mysteries are there about this Chen Mingyu?
Originally, he saw that Chen Mingyu was reluctant to say more about it, so he didn't plan to ask again. But now, after drinking a lot of wine, and the fact that he and Chen Mingyu are already brothers, the friendship has taken another step forward, so he wants to bring this matter up again.
So, after touching a glass of wine with Chen Mingyu, Dai Ziyang said: "Mingyu, don't blame my brother for talking too much, I'm really curious how you know the specific time when the bubble burst in the Hainan property market?" ”
After finishing speaking, Dai Ziyang smiled embarrassedly and said, "I have a big shortcoming, that is, I am more curious!" Mingyu, if it's inconvenient for you to say, then I didn't ask, let's continue drinking, haha......"
After listening to Dai Ziyang's words, Luo Feng and the others also put down their cups and looked at Chen Mingyu together, obviously they were all very curious about this issue.
Chen Mingyu smiled slightly, thinking that this Dai Ziyang was really curious! Just now, he had clearly said that he didn't want to talk about what he was like at this time, but he didn't expect him to ask again. Although he said that he didn't want to talk about it, he didn't ask, but judging from this situation, if he really avoided talking about it, not only would it greatly sweep Dai Ziyang's face, but I am afraid that Luo Feng and others would also be very unhappy.
Today, it is not easy to get in touch with so many powerful figures, these are the precious assets of Chen Mingyu's future career, so he is not willing to offend easily!
In fact, Chen Mingyu didn't mean to sell Guanzi, but he really didn't know what to tell them. Do you want to tell them: I am a person with "memories of my past life", so I can accurately predict the time when the bubble in the Hainan property market will burst?
So, Chen Mingyu thought about it quickly, and finally came up with a somewhat reluctant statement.
"Brother Yang, in fact, the answer to this question, I have just told you, for the specific time point of the bursting of the bubble in the Hainan property market, I did guess when I suggested to Brother Feng last year. At that time, I felt that the property market in Hainan was overheated, and this bubble will definitely burst as it blows bigger and bigger! And I don't think this point in time will be too long, so I gave Brother Feng that advice. Chen Mingyu said confidently.
Dai Ziyang, Luo Feng and the others looked at each other, and they didn't seem to be too convinced by Chen Mingyu's answer.
Chen Mingyu saw this scene, smiled lightly, and continued: "However, at the end of March this year, after the new iron-fisted vice premier ranked first in the State Council took office, I knew that this bubble in Hainan would definitely not last long!" Then, in April, after the iron-fisted vice premier in charge of the economy summoned the governors of all provinces to Beijing, I was even more sure that the time for the bubble to burst was getting closer and closer! ”
After Chen Mingyu finished speaking, the expressions of the others became solemn.
The vice premier summoned the governors of various provinces to Beijing, and they all knew about it, but at that time they did not analyze the information that the bubble in the Hainan property market would burst from this news, but Chen Mingyu, a small grassroots cadre, analyzed it, either because Chen Mingyu is indeed amazing in the political field, or Chen Mingyu does have a mysterious background, and behind him, there are also high-level people.
Chen Mingyu continued: "It is said that the vice premier spoke to these feudal officials at that time, the main content of which was to let them correctly understand the spirit of the central government, not only to seize the opportunity and accelerate development, but also to be prudent and cautious to avoid losses. What do you mean by the Deputy Prime Minister's words? ”
Ge Cheng is usually relatively taciturn, but he is a person who pays great attention to learning and understanding the country's major policies, and after listening to Chen Mingyu's words, he said casually: "The vice premier means that he is going to put the brakes on the overheated economy." ”
Chen Mingyu snapped his fingers and said, "Brother Cheng is right! The eldest brothers here should be very clear, what was the national economic situation last year? The price index, basic means of subsistence, and means of production in large cities have all risen by more than 30 percent! That's a terrifying number! What does this increase mean? This is a typical inflation! What is the reason for this? Some say that the scale of national investment is large. Indeed, in 1992, the central government's financial expenditure exceeded 200 billion yuan, but the revenue was only 100 billion yuan, and the net reached 100 billion yuan! But in my opinion, that's not the main reason. The main reason is that under the guidance of the spring breeze of reform and opening up, the officials of various provinces and cities have blindly expanded the scale of investment and worked hard for their own local interests, or even for the sake of political achievements! Today, the proliferation of development zones across the country is a striking example. However, to invest, you need to have money. But where does the money come from? If you can't get it out, you have to borrow money from the bank. As a result, a large amount of hot money is integrated into the market, the economy is not overheated, and the currency is not inflated, which is strange! ”
"Our iron-fisted deputy prime minister is an economic expert, and of course he knows everything about this situation! Therefore, after completing the ideological work of the main leaders of the provinces, he made measures. And in this era, which industry is the hottest and the most able to pull the economy? Real estate, of course! And where is the hottest real estate? Hainan and Beihai! Therefore, these two places have become the key targets of the deputy prime minister! As a result, as soon as the sixteen opinions came out, the sky immediately fell apart, and the real estate markets in Hainan and Beihai immediately collapsed! In addition, some time ago, the State Council launched a nationwide campaign to shut down and dismantle development zones, which was also to put the brakes on the overheated economy and redundant construction. I think that in the future, our iron-fisted deputy prime minister will definitely make more moves in the economic field that we are not currently expecting and will be surprised by the time! ”
After listening to Chen Mingyu's words, Luo Feng and the others fell into deep thought.
In fact, for the information Chen Mingyu said, except for Guo Peng, who doesn't care about these current events and doesn't know much about them, the other people all know it clearly.
However, although they knew about these current events, they did not analyze the information Chen Mingyu said from these real-time news. If it weren't for Chen Mingyu's warning, Luo Feng managed to get the internal information, so he made up his mind to evacuate Hainan Island, I'm afraid that he and Dai Ziyang have been trapped in Hainan now, and if they are more down, they will be more down!
That's the gap!
Chen Mingyu looked around at everyone, smiled lightly, and asked, "A few big brothers, are you still satisfied with my answer?" ”
Luo Feng sighed lightly and said, "Not only satisfied, but also very admired!" Mingyu, don't say anything else, I toast you with a glass of wine, I hope you can communicate with us more in the future, and we can learn from you! ”
Ge Cheng, who has always been more talkative, also sighed: "I have always paid more attention to current political affairs, and I thought that my analytical ability was good, but after listening to your words today, I know what is called a gap!" ”
Chen Mingyu smiled and said, "Big brothers, you guys are very exalted to me!" I still toast you big brothers, it's my honor to meet a few big brothers today! ”
Everyone else chimed in and picked up their cups.
After Chen Mingyu's performance, he completely established an unfathomable and towering tall image in front of Luo Feng and others!
After drinking a glass of wine, Luo Feng asked: "Mingyu, you said that the central government stepped on the brakes this time, so in the past two years, is the economy going to be cold?" ”
Chen Mingyu shook his head and said: "I don't think so, since Deng Gong's second southern tour, the spirit of reform and development has penetrated into the hearts of the people of the whole country from top to bottom, and this general trend is irreversible. Development is always the last word! This time, the central authorities stepped on the brakes, mainly in those financial fields, especially those state-owned banks, which took the people's savings, and at the request of the local party and government leaders, in order to keep their positions, they indulged in the demands of the local leaders, repeated construction, and made inefficient investments, and in fact did not make many projects that could produce good returns, and most of the investments became bad debts and bad debts, and this loss was ultimately paid by the state and the entire people. ”
Dai Ziyang said with a wry smile: "What Mingyu said is right, the current bank is a bank as scheduled, and it is better to say that it is the cashier of the government at all levels." When the bank can be completely independent, it may be able to truly play the role that a bank should have. However, there is good news that the state has clearly promulgated relevant policies, and state-owned commercial banks and policy banks will be separated in the future, and commercial banks should operate in accordance with the international model of commercial banks, and those that really need policy support should be responsible for the specially established policy banks. For example, our bank is characterized as a policy bank. ”