Xu Haodong said: "Comrades, the population development policy we are talking about is precisely a positive population development policy, which is related to economic development and whether there is money or not. The cost of raising a child is not the same as it was 20 years ago, or even 10 years ago. Moreover, the increasingly fierce competition in education has also made many parents feel anxious, and the accumulation of these factors has made many people feel afraid to have children and cannot afford to have children. ”

"With the development of the economy and the implementation of the family planning policy for many years, the concept of eugenics and fertility has been deeply rooted in the hearts of the people. After the second child is born, it is necessary to consider childcare, education, further education, and even marriage and childbirth in the future. A few milk powder or a little tax exemption will not affect their choice of giving birth or not. ”

In this way, the formulation of relevant policies to encourage childbirth should listen to the voices of the people, on the one hand, to solve the problem of childbirth, and at the same time, to make more efforts in raising, especially childbearing. A series of issues such as education, employment, medical care, and pension that accompany the fertility rate require the decision-making department to consider it comprehensively, take precautions, and start from a practical point to alleviate the worries of those who have two children. ”

"In the face of high housing prices and rising childcare costs, the subsidies and support given by the policy are obviously a drop in the bucket, and it is difficult to leverage the people's willingness to have a second child. In addition, with the further improvement of the pension and medical security system of the whole society, the traditional concept of raising children to prevent old age and have more children and more blessings is increasingly weak and ignored among the younger generation. ”

"From a practical point of view, housing, education, and medical care are obviously the three mountains that stand in the way of the birth of two children in school-age families. Encourage the people to have a second child, the policy releases goodwill, and its good intentions are undoubted, but it is necessary to improve the relevant policies and measures, and to implement precise policies and comprehensive management from the source that school-age families dare not give birth and cannot afford to have children, so as to fundamentally relieve their worries about raising a second child, and can also comprehensively promote the natural growth and sustainable development of the population. ”

"Encouraging childbearing is far more complicated than restricting it. With the gradual opening up of the fertility policy, the main fertility anxiety in society has changed from whether or not to have children in the past to whether to have children. From the single second child to the full liberalization of the second child, and then to the clear proposal in some places to give more incentives to families with two children, it shows that the transformation and opening trend of the birth policy has become more and more clear. It is necessary for the fertility policy to conform to the situation of social and demographic development. The general extension of maternity leave in various places, and the introduction of direct subsidies and incentives for two-child families in some places, means that the policy of encouraging childbirth has entered a substantive stage at the local level. ”

"It's good that our public sector is able to confront the reality of low fertility and is willing to take positive action to intervene. However, there is still much more that local governments at all levels need to do, and it goes far beyond direct subsidies. It is mainly manifested in the sharp increase in the cost of childbirth, which has led to a relatively common social sentiment of not being able to afford to have children, including housing prices, education, medical burden, and the corresponding lack of protection of women's rights and interests. Therefore, an effective and sound policy to encourage childbirth must address the main root causes of fertility anxiety and stress in society in an all-round way, and should also be comprehensive and systematic. ”

After a pause, Xu Haodong continued: "Ladies and gentlemen, I recommend you to visit Tanpu Village for special purposes. There are a lot of slogans about family planning, and one of them must be familiar to you: Only children are good, and the state helps to provide for the elderly. It's not just a slogan, it's a slogan, it's a policy. What I want to say is that the adjustment of the population policy is the responsibility of our government and cannot be completely passed on to society. To put it mildly, the government cannot play hooliganism, and policies cannot play hooliganism. ”

"In short, in short, the government must take the lead in pursuing an active population policy. The real money takes the lead, the slogan is useless, the slogan is outdated, and it is very naïve to give birth to a child who only gives some milk powder money, thinking that it can promote fertility. An active population policy is a huge system project that requires the mobilization of the forces of the whole society, and the government has an unshirkable responsibility in this. ”

So, this requires us to change the way we think about development. The government cannot operate with debt, and must reduce and eliminate government debt as soon as possible. I think you have also seen that the population policy of Yunling City depends on the government not being in debt, so we can use more than half of the financial expenditure for people's livelihood, so that the people can afford to give birth and raise children. ”

"In fact, if any government wants to implement an active population policy, it can do it, that is, from now on, to explore a development idea that suits the national conditions. On the one hand, the three mountains of housing, education, and health care have been removed. Don't say that housing is not speculation, and on the other hand, it is still making land kings, and governments at all levels should make military orders to strive for housing prices not to rise or fall slightly in ten years. Education should get rid of the concept of industrialization and return it to its original position. Medical care should not be handed over to the market, but should be strictly regulated by the government to ensure that it is based on small profits and public welfare. ”

"On the other hand, economic development should be people-oriented and people-oriented. In this regard, I have calculated an account, I don't know if it's right or not, and now I take it out and ask everyone to criticize and correct. My account is to take a person as a specimen and use the present as a benchmark to estimate the consumption of a person's life. ”

"Before a person is born, his parents need to get married, and his mother needs an average of 50,000 yuan for two years from pregnancy to childbirth. Before the age of six, a person needs an average of 150,000 yuan, six years of primary school, an average of 150,000 yuan, six years of junior high school, an average of 200,000 yuan, and four years of college, an average of 200,000 yuan. ”

"We continue to calculate that a person who works until retirement, with an estimated length of 35 years, spends an average of 30,000 yuan a year, totaling 1.05 million yuan. In addition, from retirement to death, a person is expected to have a life span of 16 years, based on 25,000 yuan per year, which is about 400,000 yuan. ”

To sum up, a person's life, from the beginning to the end, needs to spend about 2.2 million yuan. Divided by the average life expectancy of a person, it is equivalent to an average of 30,000 yuan per year. There are about 1.4 billion people in the country, which means that the country's annual people-related direct consumption is about 40 trillion yuan, accounting for about 45 percent of GDP. ”

"The new idea of economic development that I am talking about, people-oriented and people-oriented, is to keep an eye on the 40 trillion yuan. According to my rough calculations, for every 5 percent increase in people's spending power, GDP can steadily increase by 6 to 8 percent. ”

"Therefore, livelihood spending should not only be seen as expenditure, but also as investment, and only then can population growth be ......"