Chapter Twenty-Four: The Opportunity for War

Liu Fan was interrupted by these two people, and he didn't know where he was talking at this time, so he had to reorganize his thoughts and continued: "I think so, now the focus of this battle between the enemy and us is no longer in the direction of Ganzhou, Yelu Dezong also knows that the opportunity in the direction of Ganzhou has been completely lost, if he still has ideas, he will definitely set his sights on the direction of Xining Prefecture to see if he can move back to the first bureau from the line of Xining Prefecture and Huangzhou." ”

Uncle Chen and Li Min were completely stunned by Liu Fan's large-scale transfer thinking, and the two of them had also deduced the battle in their minds before, but they were just thinking about whether to take advantage of the victory to pursue and find a way to eliminate the main force of Yelu Dezong again, and they never thought of Xining Prefecture, it was the matter of the Shenxiang Army!

Liu Fan continued: "If Yelu Dezong sees that Ganzhou City is not moving, he will immediately quietly send another army of men and horses to strengthen the attack on Xining Prefecture, and Daqi has basically no troops to send in Liangzhou, once the Khitans break through Xining Prefecture, then Xining Prefecture, Huangzhou, and even Jincheng Mansion and Liangzhou will be in danger. ”

"Therefore, I think it is not a question of whether to fight Shazhou at present, but how to fight the Xining Prefecture resistance war is the key."

For this kind of overall strategic problem, not to mention Li Min, even Uncle Chen feels unimaginable, and it is still difficult to form an overall idea after thinking about it in his head.

Uncle Chen's mind was a mess at this time by this kind of strategic question, and he heard Liu Fan say for a while that he couldn't take the initiative to attack Shazhou, and then said that he couldn't sit still in Ganzhou, so as not to let Yelu Dezong seize the opportunity to send troops to increase the attack on Xining Prefecture again. At this time, he was a little uncontrollable, and said: "Boy, you have confused the old man, you can't take the initiative to attack Shazhou, and you can't wait in Ganzhou, I sound a bit contradictory, can't you get out of Ganzhou!" ”

Since Liu Fan finished speaking, Li Min has been in a contemplative state, and then he said: "Liu Fan, do you mean that we still want to march out of Ganzhou and make a posture of taking the initiative to move forward to attack Shazhou, but we can't march too fast and too actively."

Speaking of this, Li Min said to himself again: "But it doesn't make sense, no matter how slow you go, you can still get there sooner or later, unless there is a follow-up." ”

Liu Fan really admired Li Min a little at this time, she was really from a Jiangmen family, and her thinking was quick, even Uncle Chen was still confused now, and he had already gotten a glimpse of his intentions from the two paragraphs before and after.

Relying on powerful electronic information technology and a fanaticism for military knowledge in another world, I have put in my mind almost all the famous examples of wars in ancient and modern times, both in China and abroad, and I have a little idea from such a vast knowledge of military history.

Unexpectedly, a fledgling little girl guessed the right thing all of a sudden, and there was not only a sense of frustration in my heart.

Seeing that the two of them were still waiting for their answers, Liu Fan quickly put away the emotion in his heart and said, "General Li is really smart, you guessed too accurately, it is the back hand, please don't be anxious, let me finish it for you slowly, and then you will consider whether this strategy can be successful." ”

While pacing slowly by the river, the three of them listened to Liu Fan continue: "Although wars have changed since ancient times, one thing has always remained the same, that is, the importance of the first opportunity or initiative in the decisive battle. ”

"However, the initiative and initiative are not immutable, and if the passive side seizes an opportunity to win on a local battlefield, it may turn the lead of the entire campaign to its side."

"Therefore, it is very important for both sides of the war to take the initiative or take the initiative, and in a decisive battle, both sides must desperately seize the opportunity and take the initiative, and must not allow it to be easily lost."

"Take this battle between Daqi and the Khitan as an example, at the beginning of the Khitan people's offense, from which direction to attack, how to attack, its initiative is completely in the hands of the Khitan people, Daqi can only wait for the Khitan people to make a move, can deploy defensive measures according to their offensive strategy, all the responses or measures made are lagging and passive."

"And our victory in completing the defensive battle of Ganzhou is to make the initiative of the war fall to the side of Daqi, if the enemy is now rash to advance, it is very likely to lose the initiative on the battlefield, but if the troops do not move, it will also let the initiative and opportunity be lost in vain, therefore, we must seize this rare opportunity, accumulate small victories for big victories, and finally hit the main Khitan force, and successfully expel it out of the country."

Uncle Chen and Li Min listened to Liu Fan's remarks, they were both frowning and thinking deeply, and after a long time, Uncle Chen said slowly: "Well, I have never heard of such a statement, and I have never discussed it in any war book and strategy, although it is easy to understand, but it seems to be true, quite in line with the art of war, thought-provoking, you kid can have such an understanding, even if you write a book, it is not an exaggeration." ”

Li Min smiled lightly: "I wonder where these thoughts came from when he is young, Liu Fan, are you possessed by a monster!" ”

This girl doesn't make a sound, it's a blockbuster, she came to this different world through the time and space tunnel, to put it bluntly, it's borrowing the corpse to return the soul, it's really fucking similar to the monster possession! As he spoke, he secretly wiped a cold sweat.

I tried to calm my mind: "Uncle Chen has won the award, I just like to think about it blindly, what you said seems to be higher than this Qilian Mountain, but I just think it's a little higher than myself, it's really not as exaggerated as Uncle Chen said." ”

Li Min has been staring at Liu Fan with an inquiring eye, as if he wants to dig something out of Liu Fan's brain with those big eyes, and Liu Fan, who looks directly, has a numb scalp and has a bunch of goosebumps all over his body.

I had to stare at Li Min and said: "Li Lvshuai, don't look at my five big and three thick, but some people are born to know, besides, I have worked hard since I was a child, do you admire me a little after listening to my remarks, do you feel that I am particularly handsome today!" ”

"Cut, I'm just a little weird to look like this and feel so good about myself." Li Min said disdainfully.

Uncle Chen heard Liu Fan's words becoming more and more boundless, so he had no choice but to speak: "Little Brigade Commander Liu, please be cautious, be cautious, you continue the topic just now, we haven't talked about it yet!" ”

Liu Fan filtered his thoughts again and said: "Therefore, in order not to lose this rare battlefield initiative, first, as Li Lushuai said just now, the troops went out of Ganzhou, made a gesture of resolutely seizing Shazhou, and slowly marched towards Suzhou and Shazhou, so that Yelu Dezong did not dare to send reinforcements in the direction of Xining Prefecture without authorization. ”

"Second, because the Jincheng Army has been stationed at the northern foot of Ganzhou, Uncle Su and I happen to have a secret road to the direction of Xihai County, if the cavalry starts from Ganzhou, it is estimated that the rapid march can reach Xihai County in five to six days, and the east and west flank annihilation of the 40,000 attacking troops on the southern front of the Khitan tribe can basically solve the invasion of Daqi by the Marshal Mansion of the Khitan West Road this year."

"Oh, what does Brigade Commander Xiao Liu mean that the direction of Ganzhou is just to lure the enemy army not to act rashly, and take the opportunity to encircle and annihilate the 40,000 troops of the Khitan Army on the southern front?"

"Yes, that's what it means, I just said, now the focus or opportunity of the war is no longer on the Ganzhou side, because we have no way or ability to eat the more than 100,000 main forces of Yelu Dezong in one bite, only to aim at the direction of Xining Prefecture, and try by all means to annihilate the main force of the 40,000 Khitan troops in the direction of Xining Prefecture, accumulate small victories to big victories, and finally lay the foundation for the comprehensive victory of the war between Daqi and Khitan."

"In addition, if the command feels that this plan is feasible, then it must be dispatched quickly, I don't think there are too many troops passing through Xihai County, five brigades of 20,000 horses are enough, and it must be set off as soon as possible, if conditions permit, it is best to set off tomorrow, and you can rush to Xihai County around the 23rd, and get in touch with the Shenxiang Army through the flying pigeon in advance."

"On the Khitan army, it is estimated that Yelu Dezong will not immediately make a strategic deployment and send troops to reinforce Xining Prefecture in the next two days, and he also has to consider that once the Khitan army is divided, if the whole army of Ganzhou takes Shazhou directly after 20 days, it may be a nightmare for the main force of the Marshal Mansion on the West Road. Therefore, he must wait for the next move of our 130,000-strong army after General Li Shouyi arrives, and then he can decide whether to increase troops in Xining Prefecture according to the situation, and this is where our advantage in occupying the initiative in the war lies. ”

Hearing this, Uncle Chen said slowly: "There may really be people in the world who are born to know, today let me see with my own eyes the military talent of Brigade Commander Xiao Liu, I will present your war strategy to the headquarters and camp in time, you are the lucky star of my right army and even the northwest camp, to eliminate the war disaster brought by the Khitans, you have made great contributions, and the future will be promising in the future." ”

After listening to Uncle Chen's words, Liu Fan didn't care about opening his mouth, but listened to Li Min and said suspiciously: "Liu Fan, although it sounds like your plan just now is very good, but I still can't figure it out in some places, for example, once the Khitan army scouts found out that our army was divided, they saw that the current defensive force in Ganzhou was only about 50,000, and the troops were weak, is it possible for the whole army to press and attack Ganzhou again?" ”

Liu Fan immediately said: "No, because the troops passing through Xihai County will set off tomorrow at the earliest, and the Khitan army scouts will find out in time tomorrow and immediately report to Yelu Dezong, Yelu Dezong learned that our army's light cavalry will take Xining Prefecture directly, and promptly deploy the main force to rush from Suzhou to Ganzhou, and the fastest will also arrive in Ganzhou on the 20th, at that time General Li Shouyi's sixteen brigades have also arrived in Ganzhou, and more than 100,000 Khitan troops will fight against 110,000 troops of Daqi, and they will be raided by our side in Xining Prefecture, What if the 40,000 Khitan army in the direction of Xining Prefecture is annihilated by our front and rear attacks, and then attacks the Daqi and two armies of the Khitan 40,000 Southern Route Army, and merges into light cavalry to directly take Shazhou, which has weak troops, then Yelu Dezong will have to consider whether the 100,000 troops can return to the Khitan safely. ”

"In addition, he will not send troops to reinforce Xining Prefecture again after receiving the information that our army will directly take Xining Prefecture, because whether it is from Suzhou or Shazhou, the cavalry will have to arrive at Xihai County in ten to eleven days at the earliest, and I estimate that the war in the direction of Xining Prefecture will already be over at that time."

"Then according to your train of thought, Yelu Dezong has no choice but to sit back and wait for the Khitan 40,000 South Road troops to be attacked and even wiped out by our front and back?" Li Min asked again.

"Of course there is an opportunity, but it is not a chance to attack, but a chance to retreat, if Yelu Dezong can detect the information that our side directly takes Xihai County in time, if the other party also has the same information transmission means as our army, and Yelu Dezong is keen enough, then he should immediately order the 40,000 horses of the Khitan South Route Army to quickly withdraw to Shazhou, then the two Khitan armies can return to the Khitan land through Shazhou safely. If he has any other delusions, then it is impossible to say, this year we will find a way to keep all the main forces of the Marshal Mansion of the West Road in Handi. ”

"Judging from this, if Yelu Dezong detects our intentions and informs the Khitan Southern Route Army in time, does that mean that our direct capture of Xihai County may be empty?" Li Min continued to ask questions along Liu Fan's train of thought.

"There is a complete possibility of this, and there is a great possibility of failure, I remember that the grassland people have domesticated a kind of falcon since ancient times, which is used to help hunting, transmit information, etc., so once the Khitan army detects the movement of our army, it is very likely that the information will be transmitted to the Khitan South Route Army through the eagle falcon, so that our surprise attack may fail in advance. Therefore, whether to secretly send troops to Xihai County still needs the final decision of the command and the camp. ”