Chapter 23: The Theory of the Second War
Liu Fan thought in his heart, "I also slandered these old guys in my heart at the military meeting, but I didn't expect that these people not only anticipated the enemy first, thought carefully, but also made arrangements and deployments early, especially the move of letting the Shenwei army of Yongchang County come in advance, which is the most critical point to win the offensive and defensive battle in Ganzhou, if there is no participation of the Shenwei Army of Yongchang County, only with the siege troops of the Jincheng Army and the Ganzhou Army and the five brigades deployed on the north and south city gates, not only to resist the attack of the two wings of the Khitan Army outside the city, It is also necessary to deal with the frantic counterattack of the enemy troops in the city to the north and south gates, and the victory or defeat is still between the two sides, even if it is barely victorious, it is impossible to encircle or even annihilate all the enemy cavalry teams outside the city. ”
It can be seen that letting the Shenwei Army of Yongchang County come to participate in the battle in the starry night is the finishing touch of this battle. In the future, you should be more cautious in what you say and do, and avoid being indifferent and arrogant, so as not to cause a big disaster. ”
At this time, he continued to ask: "There is another question, after Li Lvshuai and I entered Ganzhou City, we basically stayed in Ganzhou City about 100 steps east of Laojun Temple, and about 100 steps away from the east city wall. I really can't figure out where the news of Nu and Ge Dan came from, could it be that I have a spy on my side, Uncle Chen, you can help me analyze and analyze. ”
"Oh, when you doubted last night, when the scout reported the situation of your siege and subsequent rescue at the headquarters, I also analyzed it with Lao Guo and Lao Qi."
"We feel that it is unlikely that there will be spies within the combat troops entering Ganzhou City, but this does not mean that there are no Khitan spies in other aspects, and the greatest possibility is that the Khitan army learned the details of the commanders of each army and brigade of the Great Qi Army through spies before the war, and the Khitan scouts will also report the numbers of our army's attacking troops at each city gate to Nuer Gedan according to the banners of each brigade, and Nuer Gedan is likely to confirm the general location of Min Yatou based on this information."
However, this is only an analysis, and how to let the Khitans grasp this situation can only be asked by Nuergedan himself. It's a pity that he couldn't leave Nu Ergedan behind this time, and he still let him escape. ”
After saying this, he saw that Liu Fan was still contemplative, and said with a smile: "Have you finished asking, is there still a problem?" My old man is a little tired. ”
Liu Fan hesitated for a moment and immediately said, "Thank you, Uncle Chen, for answering my questions and learning a lot." After speaking, he solemnly bowed to Uncle Chen.
Uncle Chen smiled again: "Boy, don't think that this is the end, I will answer your questions at a price, and now you have to answer my questions." ”
Liu Fan hurriedly bowed his hand again: "If you dare to disobey your orders, please ask Uncle Chen to show me." ”
"Boy, don't say a word like this, just give a salute, don't you wonder I'm still uncomfortable, that's the case, my old man on a whim, I want to hear what your kid thinks, now Nu and Ge Dan led less than 5,000 remnants of the defeated army has fled to Suzhou, I guess Yelu Dezong doesn't have the courage to march to Ganzhou again, but then what should our army do, drive straight into Shazhou, or garrison Ganzhou and hold still?"
As soon as he heard that Uncle Chen and Liu Fan were going to discuss the future battle, Li Min immediately raised his head to look at Liu Fan, and his sullen appearance just now seemed to be much better.
Because of these things, Liu Fan had been thinking about these things for a long time, and he almost didn't pause and immediately said: "Uncle Chen, I think this is definitely not your whim, is it that the command headquarters has already made a preliminary plan for the next operation?" ”
"Let your kid say something, you asked about me, why are you worrying so much, hurry up and tell me what you think!"
Liu Fan had no choice but to scratch his head helplessly and said: "It depends on what kind of strategic goal the headquarters or camp wants to achieve, and there are also two strategic choices: active attack and passive defense. But in any case, we must not immediately drive straight into Shazhou. ”
"Huh? Don't you think about our army going out of Shazhou? I heard Lao Guo say that several people have suggested that the command should take advantage of the victory to pursue and take Shazhou and even Yumen Pass, and be ashamed! ”
Liu Fan said: "I can't say that there is anything wrong with such an idea, I also had the idea of winning Shazhou in one fell swoop with the power of a big victory, but it seems unrealistic at present." ”
Liu Fan organized the language a little and said, "First, the problem of the strength of the two sides, after the annihilation of Ganzhou this time, Nuergedan's 60,000 army was basically wiped out, and only less than 5,000 people fled back, but the main force of Yelu Dezong's West Road Marshal's Mansion of 100,000 people was not affected in any way, plus the 5,000 people who fled back and the original defenders of Shazhou, the battleable soldiers of the Khitan West Road Marshal's Mansion in Shazhou are still more than 110,000. ”
"From our point of view, the casualties in the two or three days of battle are estimated to be about 25,000, and the number of soldiers capable of fighting is less than 70,000 at present, and after the reinforcements of General Li Shouyi arrive on the 20th, the total available troops are 130,000. If you go out of Shazhou, in addition to the soldiers left behind in Ganzhou, the maximum number of troops that can be mobilized is about 120,000. Outside Shazhou City, 120,000 against 110,000, this military advantage is insignificant, and the overall combat strength of the Khitan soldiers is slightly higher than ours. ”
Second, although the size of Shazhou City is similar to that of Ganzhou City, I heard that the Khitan army has comprehensively strengthened Shazhou City in the third year, and the city wall alone has been increased to more than four zhang. And the reason why our side won a big victory in the defensive battle of Ganzhou is that our army made good use of Nu Ergedan's idea of lightly attacking the enemy, but outside the city of Shazhou, our army will never have such a good opportunity, and the best result is that the two sides have reached a stalemate, and no one can help anyone, if there is a loss, can our army return to Ganzhou intact? ”
Therefore, I think that the former departure from Shazhou is precisely an overestimation of the situation, and it is the same idea of underestimating the enemy as Nuergedan, and I think it is not advisable. ”
Li Min thought about it before he also took advantage of the victory to catch up and go straight to Shazhou, at this time, after listening to Liu Fan's analysis, he knew how ridiculous his thoughts were, thinking that this person refreshed his cognition of him again and again, and he had thousands of military books at home, and this person heard that he was a white body, and he had been in private school for a few years, where did these strategies come from in his head.
After listening to Liu Fan's words, Uncle Chen was silent for a while and said: "Your analysis, I feel that it really makes sense, if you fight to the death under Shazhou City or if you make a mistake, maybe you will be beaten back to your original shape, and we will sit here again to study how to hold Ganzhou." I think at present, many people are optimistic about the situation, and few people can calm down and conduct in-depth analysis like you, what you said is very important, and I think Commander Guo and even the Chief Administrator will attach importance to these ideas of yours. ”
"In addition, since you don't agree with going out of Shazhou, do you have any suggestions for our army on how to control the current situation?"
"I don't dare to say what the suggestion is, the strategy of 'defending Ganzhou and abandoning Ganzhou first' that I put forward earlier has been full of twists and turns in the actual implementation, but it scares me, and I don't dare to make any suggestions to the headquarters without fear."
Next to him, Li Min interjected: "Liu Fan, I feel that it is already very good that you can put forward such a strategy, you can't completely deny it because it has a slight flaw, besides, each of us makes a suggestion, and in the end, we have to command and camp checks, and we can't attribute the incomplete strategy to ourselves, if the strategy proposed by everyone is perfect, then what is the use of the headquarters and the camp." ”
After listening to Li Min's words, Uncle Chen also nodded approvingly and said: "Xiao Min's words are very good, Brigade Commander Xiao Liu, don't have any concerns about these things, your suggestions to the command and camp should be considered repeatedly before adopting, and even if they are adopted, they must be comprehensively supplemented and improved, I know that what you say is just a modest and cautious performance, and we have also seen that your Brigade Commander Xiao Liu has been thinking about how to fight this battle well since the beginning of this war, including you are very careful in big strategy and small tactics, which is precious, It's not easy at your age. Tell me what you think, I'm getting a little impatient. ”