Gu Jiang's comments: Zhuge Liang suggested that Liu Bei seize Xichuan and cross the two states of Jing and Yi, so that Liu Bei could establish political advantages, achieve economic self-sufficiency, and obtain military support, which is extremely correct on the surface.

However, blessings and misfortunes depend. Beneath this glorious correctness, a great shadow is hidden.

One of the mistakes: wishful thinking and underestimating the opponent

First of all, it underestimated the determination of the Liu Zhang group to resist.

Liu Zhang Group is a semi-loose alliance with the Sichuan gentry and wealthy families as the main body. It is co-led by Liu Zhang, and many of these important figures have personal interests and the ability to act independently. However, a very small number of people colluded with Liu Bei's group, such as Zhang Song, Fa Zheng and others, which did not affect the choice of sides by the majority of people.

These people clearly realized that Liu Zhang's introduction of Liu Bei as foreign aid was just to lure a wolf into the house. Once Liu Bei takes charge of Yizhou, it will inevitably turn Yizhou into a pole in troubled times, thereby increasing the burden on Yizhou and harming the fundamental interests of Yizhou. Therefore, even with Liu Zhang's own interference, Liu Zhang's clique still resolutely resisted Liu Bei's military attack.

After learning of Liu Bei's heavy losses, Zhuge Liang had to personally go out to reinforce Liu Bei with himself, Zhang Fei and Zhao Yun each leading a man to reinforce Liu Bei in order to realize his basic plan to occupy Yizhou in "Longzhong Pair". For this reason, he had to reiterate his promise to Sun Quan to "borrow Jingzhou", and greatly weakened the Jingzhou garrison, leaving only Guan Yu to garrison Jingzhou.

Even if the two armies were united, it still took Liu Bei and Zhuge Liang nearly three years to take Chengdu and force Liu Zhang to surrender.

Cao Cao and Sun Quan used these three years to gain a precious opportunity to recuperate and reorganize their military strength.

When the three parties meet again, it will inevitably be another big war. Therefore, taking Yizhou is an exchange for each of the three parties to take what they need, not just for Liu Bei to gain unilaterally.

Secondly, he underestimated Cao Cao's heart for Liu Bei.

Cao Cao coerced the Son of Heaven as the prime minister of the Han Dynasty to order the princes, and he never replaced Han Zuo until his death. Liu Bei proclaimed the authenticity of the Han family in a high-profile manner and called Cao Cao a Han thief. Descending Liu Zhang and acting on behalf of Liu Biao, Liu Bei's actions naturally made Cao Cao grit his teeth and second, and he would want to get rid of it quickly.

At the same time, Cao Cao had been an official in the same dynasty as Liu Bei, and he knew very well about the ambition and ability of Liu Bei, a man from a humble background and a reckless person. He and Liu Bei Qingmei cooked wine and talked about heroes, saying "The heroes of the world, only the king and the ear", which is not only a temptation, but also a heartfelt word; LIU BEI'S SHOCK WHEN HE HEARD IT WAS PRECISELY BECAUSE THERE WAS A GHOST IN HIS HEART.

Liu Bei captured Xichuan, and Cao Cao immediately correctly judged Liu Bei's strategic intentions - to use Shu as the base, seize Guanzhong, and call the emperor Chang'an.

But at that time, Cao Jun was still repairing and supplementing, and Sun Quan was hindered, so he could only watch helplessly. But three years later, when Liu Zhang surrendered, Cao Cao personally led a large army to capture Hanzhong and subdued Zhang Lu in one fell swoop.

Hanzhong was the throat of Shudi, Cao Cao stuck Liu Bei's throat, and Liu Bei had to fight.

From this point on, Shu Han and Cao Wei began a decades-long dispute between Hanzhong and Longyou, forming the most fierce main battlefield during the Three Kingdoms period. Zhuge Liang's suggestion of "not competing with Cao Cao" completely failed and became his personal wishful thinking.

Again, Zhuge Liang underestimated Sun Quan's desire to win Jingzhou.

For Liu Bei, Jingzhou was a place to expand his strength, and it was a starting point for the attack on Cao Cao in the north. However, Jingzhou is a life-and-death throat for Sun Quan in Jiangdong, just like Hanzhong is to Yizhou.

Why?

Because Jingzhou is a basin of water hanging on Jiangdong's head. It's either ice water, or boiling water.

Sun Quan could repeatedly fight with Cao Cao in Hefei, because Hefei belonged to the Yangtze River basin, and the Wu army could rely on the advantages of the Zhouqi water army and the topographical characteristics of Hefei adjacent to Chaohu Lake to attack from all sides, flexibly attack the Wei army, and consume the strength of the Wei state.

However, in the face of Jingzhou and Yizhou further upstream, Sun Quan did not have the time and strength to fight a protracted battle, and he had to strike a fatal blow. Before the reinforcements of the Shu army crossed Wushan and appeared on the Jianghan Plain, Guan Yu's army was completely wiped out.

Sun Quan waited patiently, waiting for the proud Guan Yu to make a mistake. Finally, Guan Yu began the Northern Expedition, and fell into a protracted siege battle in Xiangyang, while exposing his back to Sun Quan.

Sun Quan didn't miss the opportunity, he suddenly made a move, catching Guan Yu off guard. In the end, under the joint strangulation of Cao Cao and Sun Quan, Guan Yu ended his hero and walked Maicheng.

Mistake 2: Bucking the trend, there are good and no surprises

The so-called "potential" is the right time, the right place, and the right people. However, unfortunately, in several wars, Zhuge Liang had to go against the trend.

In the Battle of Chibi, the Jiangkou Naval Army in the lower reaches faced the Chibi Cao Army in the upper reaches, which was a geographical contrarian trend; In the middle of winter, the northwest wind is homeopathic, and the southeast wind is against the trend.

Attacking Sichuan and cutting down the upper reaches of the downstream is a geographically advantageous contrarian trend.

Seven expeditions to Qishan, attacking the highlands with lowlands, and attacking the plateaus with mountains, are still geographically advantageous.

Since it is against the trend, it is necessary to rely on each other, combine virtual and real, and abandon the protracted war for quick war.

Zhuge Liang is good at political strategy and short at military strategy, and he is not good at winning with tricks. But in "Longzhong Pair", he formulated a strategy that went against the trend everywhere, so that the beautiful ideas in "Longzhong Pair" fell through everywhere.

He once fantasized poetically: "The general led the people of Yizhou out of Qinchuan, who dare not eat pot pulp to welcome the general?" ”

But when he led the Shu army out of Sichuan to attack Qishan through Hanzhong, he did not see the "Qi Eating Pot Pulp", but saw the Wei army's strong walls and clear fields.

The soldiers of Shu were replenished from Shu, and the grain and grass were transported from Hanzhong, two thousand miles away. After years of war, the soldiers were tired and the horses were tired, and the food and grass were scarce. The Wei army relied on the key passes of the city, first held on without a fight, and waited until the Shu army was exhausted and exhausted, and then counterattacked. Therefore, the seven out of Qishan, there are no wonders, all of them are in vain.

By virtue of the favorable terrain in Guanzhong, Cao Wei Group gradually consumed Yizhou's limited manpower and material resources by defending instead of attacking and waiting for work. In the end, Zhuge Liang himself had to admit: "Yizhou is tired, and this sincerity is in danger of survival!" ”

If "Longzhong Pair" only has the above two mistakes, Shu Han will not die in two lifetimes.

Gu Jiang said, "Longzhong Pair" also hides a fatal mistake.

Mistake 3: The soldiers are divided into two places, and the priority is reversed

On the zongzi table, Gu Jiang looked around and made a generous statement:

"Zhao Lie has few soldiers and dares to fight, and there are many Xu and Huai old people; Will be outnumbered and strong, cover it is the choice of the moment!

A small number of soldiers and strong generals should be gathered and used, and the outnumbered can be won by the crowd. Therefore, do not divide the troops!

However, Kong Ming offered advice to Zhaolie, and Yizhou and Jingzhou each led an army to the north, which means that the soldiers are divided into two places!

Moreover, between Yi and Jingzhou, although there is a waterway of the Yangtze River connected, there is the danger of the Three Gorges, the obstruction of Wushan, and the east and west stretch for more than 1,000 miles.

In the land of the four battles of Jingxiang, Cao and Sun attacked each other. Liu Bei takes Shu as the foundation and Jingzhou as the partial compartment. The priorities are reversed, and you are undefeated? It is Guan Yu's defeat, not Guan Yu's fault. led the lone army with Guan Yu alone, carelessly lost Jingzhou, and carelessly lost Jingzhou; Replace Guan Yu with Kong Ming, although he is on guard day and night, he will also lose Jingzhou!

The students consulted the history books and learned that Pang Tong and Fa Zheng had offered advice to Zhaolie and said, Guan Yu was alone in Jingzhou, and it was dangerous! It is better to withdraw to Yizhou and surrender Jingzhou to Sun Quan. Not only did it show favor to Sun Quan to join forces to resist Cao, but it also made Sun Quan have to send troops to fight Cao Thief. When the two armies of Cao and Sun were exhausted, the Shu army could concentrate all their strength to Qin Chuan and re-establish Han Zuo in one fell swoop.

However, Kong Ming reprimanded it on the contrary!

Gu Jiang plagiarized that it was precisely because "Longzhong Pair" was produced by Kong Ming himself, and his desire was fixed on Zhaolie, so he was frustrated! ”

Speaking of this, Gu Jiang rolled his eyes and looked up to the sky without anyone else, and sighed:

"Woohoo! The destiny of heaven destroys Shu, although Guan Yu is brave, how can he go against it! Yun Chang died, and Yide followed. The fire burned the company camp, and Zhaolie collapsed again. Taoyuan three righteousness, overnight ashes. The prosperity of Shu Han is also, and the Kong Ming of Lai; The death of Shu Han also originated from Kong Ming! ”

……

The sun dodged the tall temple and appeared in the middle of the sky overhead.

The leaves were left haphazardly on the table, dried in the harsh sunlight.

Gu Jiang finished speaking in one go, exhausted, sweating profusely, and sat down depressed, as if his whole body was falling apart.

Everyone looked at each other, and the platform was silent.

Gu Jiang's analysis of the facts is full and logical, but he should never have smeared Zhuge Liang in Shu. Shudi, this is the place where Brother Liang is popular, there are more fans and less black!

The first person to attack was not Song Zhenzong, but Shu Guoming, Zhu Pingjin's professional think tank, Chengdu Xiucai, and the chief copywriter of the Political Research Office. As soon as he opened his mouth, he said, "Mr. Gu is ridiculous! Prime Minister Zhuge is diligent and loves the people, so the people of Sichuan respect and love the ......"

Seeing that a battle of will is about to break out. At this time, the half-squinted eyes never spoke, like the old monk who entered the Maitreya meditation and the superior spoke in time:

"Everyone loves Qing, Zi said: Eat silently, sleep silently. This son of the world discussed the military aircraft during the banquet, but it was the son of the world who was at fault first. In this case, it is better to withdraw the banquet and discuss the matter with the main hall of the princes! ”

As soon as Zhu Pingjin reminded, everyone came to their senses. This is using the three countries to discuss military aircraft, how can it be unobtrusive on the platform? There are dozens of eunuchs and palace maids up and down here, if the military plane eavesdrops and leaks out, wouldn't it be a big disaster?

Everyone said yes together, rinsed their mouths and washed their hands conveniently, and then discussed the matter in the main hall of the Jinde Palace.

The ministers entered the palace, and before the deliberations began, Zhu Pingjin on the throne of the main hall said: "Du Shaoling once had a poem: die before leaving the school, and the hero will be full of tears!" Next year, to worship Han Zhaolie and Prime Minister Zhuge Cheng, it is appropriate to use the imperial ceremony. The son of this world led the ministers to sacrifice and perform the courtiers' gifts. ”

It is advisable to use the imperial gift!

Courtier's salute!

When the ministers heard this, they were in an uproar. The move of the prince is by no means simply morally admiring Liu Bei and Zhuge Liang. This is not going to recognize the Jin Dynasty of Cao Wei and Sima as the dynasty Zhengshuo! This is to completely overturn the existing conclusion of the 25th History!

There must be a deep meaning behind the move of the prince. As for the deep meaning, several ministers have begun to speculate.

Zhu Pingjin didn't stop the following discussion, but continued: "Cao Cao's name is Han Xiang, but he is actually a Han thief. As for Sima's heart......"

"Passers-by know it!" The ministers of the palace replied with a laugh.

Zhu Pingjin solved half of the mystery, and let the ministers ponder the rest by themselves: "If you talk about the loyalty of the lord and the ministers, the monarchs and ministers of the world, there is no one like Emperor Zhaolie and Prime Minister Zhuge Cheng; If you talk about brothers, friends, brothers, brothers in the world, there is no one like Liu Guanzhang! Prime Minister Zhuge did his best and died. One word: Han and thief do not stand together! Our generation is all in awe! ”

Today's thieves are nothing more than sacrifices. The man and the thief are not separated, this is the son of the world announcing his ambition to the world!

Zheng Anmin, Song Zhenzong and others immediately made eye contact while cheering loudly. In each other's eyes, both of them saw what they had always dreamed of.

Sacrificing Liu Bei Junchen with the gift of the Son of Heaven is a clear indication to the world that the Lord of Shu is the right thing for the world! The rest of those who claim to be righteous are all thieves!

While Sun Hong was applauding loudly, a trace of vigilance suddenly popped out: The propaganda work must immediately keep up! Newspapers, dramas, bookstores, tea houses, folk proverbs, and even Hanako's words......

In the midst of the excited crowd, the only person who was silent was Gu Jiang.

Could it be that the Son of the World has completely rejected my strategy? Just because I touched the sensitive nerves of the monarchs and ministers of Shudi?

Gu Jiang secretly looked at the prince on the throne, and suddenly wondered: No, when the line was playing right, the prince once praised loudly, why did he change the hexagram in a few days? As everyone knows, you have no jokes......

"Chungcheong!"

A soft summoning brought Gu Jiang back to his senses, and it turned out to be his recommender Wu Jishan.

"Chungcheong doesn't have to be frustrated, what should he do. The prince of the world is old and wise, and sometimes there are extraordinary actions, which are not easy for courtiers to guess......"