"Because you're thinking about this purely from a military point of view, not from a global point of view. No matter how powerful an empire www.biquge.info it is, it must ensure four things: first, all citizens must have at least enough materials to make ends meet. Second, supplies can be deployed where they need them. Third, the people must have a strong belief that they can win. Fourth, there is a powerful force that can guarantee internal stability! The prince said with four fingers.

"Well, we can now analyze the advantages and disadvantages of Britain, France and Russia in these four aspects, first of all, we can be sure that Britain and France have maritime superiority and vast colonies, so they can import all kinds of materials and raw materials, maybe they will be more painful in the war, but the people must have enough materials to sustain their livelihood, and at the same time, Britain and France have developed domestic communication lines, and the area is not large, and there are almost no transportation problems, do you admit this?" The prince said.

"Yes, I admit it, but although Russia will be blockaded by us, the first and second conditions will also be met." Moltke nodded.

"Let's not talk about Russia first, let's talk about Britain and France first." The prince continued: "There is no doubt that the mononational English and France are more determined than the Russians in terms of national conviction, right? Russia has unified a vast territory with cavalry and artillery, but it has Poles, Finns, Ukrainians and various ethnic groups in Central Asia, although the number of ethnic Russians is superior, but it is very limited, which Russia is far inferior to Britain and France, right? ”

"Well then, one last point! Possess enough power to guarantee internal stability! In general, the Russian Army is inferior to the French, is that certain? In time, no matter how large the territory of the Russians is, no matter how many soldiers they have, but now there is a very important index that determines the military level of a country, that is, industrial capacity, Russia's industry is very poor, which determines that there is a huge quantity but not enough quality, and on the whole it is still weak, and the so-called difficult to fight is not how strong Russia's military strength is, but natural conditions. Do you say? The prince said with a smile.

"You have a lot of point, but I always feel like there's something wrong." Moltke Jr. became a little dizzy, and in his heart he did not agree with the prince's statement, but he really couldn't find a reason to refute it. Because he never considered these things from a non-military point of view.

"Well, since you don't understand, then I'll tell you, the first thing we have to be sure of is that the Russians can't retreat indefinitely. Their people also need food, factories also need fuel and raw materials, so they can't lose some key areas, such as Ukraine! The prince pointed to the Ukrainian regions on the map with the putter in his hand.

"Yes, more than half of the food of the Russians comes from Ukraine, which is the granary of hundreds of millions of Russians, but it is a little far away from us, and this place is too big, and it is difficult for us to occupy it. The occupation of Ukraine that you are talking about does not make much sense, because it is very difficult to do. Moltke said.

"No, no, not before we hit Ukraine, the Russians had problems with the national economy, although they had more adequate supplies, but at that time there were no efficient passages, in the Ukrainian region, their railway lines were only a few tenths of our density, these railway lines could meet the needs under normal circumstances, transport resources such as grain and coal here to the Baltic coast in the north and Moscow, but once it entered the war period, The transportation of personnel and military supplies will crowd out a lot of civilian capacity, and even if we do not occupy Ukraine, as long as we maintain an offensive posture, there will be a shortage of their supplies! As he spoke, the prince handed a document to Moltke.

"This is a research report on the railway transportation system in Eastern Europe in Russia, the Russians may strengthen the railway system in Poland for the war, but they cannot strengthen the railway system of the whole of Eastern Europe in a short time, they lack a railway trunk line between the north and the south, and the exchange of goods between the north and the south will be very troublesome. And in times of war, the problem will be further expanded. The railway system of the Russians was very chaotic. Railways of various specifications and modes of transportation fill all corners of the country, which makes their fault tolerance very low, so if there is a war, they will die of hardening of the arteries! The prince ended up with a very vivid analogy.

"On the one hand, there is a military defeat, on the other hand, there is an extreme shortage of living materials, so well, tell me, in Russia, a country where the national problem is more serious and the class antagonism is more serious, then what will happen next? Moreover, there is no shortage of anti-government organizations in Russia today, whether it is the bourgeoisie or the Bolsheviks who want to take power, they will not give up this opportunity, and the internal contradictions of the whole of Russia will become a very dangerous explosive package, which will explode at the slightest spark! ”

"By the way, there is another problem, and that is the weakening of the Russian military! Think about it, when the losses of the Russian army reached a certain level, how did their remaining forces suppress the opposition in a vast territory? Their armies are not well fed on their own and lack the ability to maneuver to other regions, and soldiers of different faiths and political leanings no longer trust each other. This huge country will eventually seem to be hollowed out and could collapse at any moment! ”

"And then we use their internal strife to extend the results and seal the victory?" Little Moltke thought for a moment and said.

"No, no, no, we shouldn't get involved in the first place. There is a saying in the ancient East, brothers are outside the wall to resist their insults. The meaning of this sentence is that if there is no external pressure, they will be in a mess, and if there is external pressure, they will be unanimous. Well, in that case, why don't we supply weapons, ammunition and even personnel to the parties in exchange for food and all kinds of supplies. On the one hand, let them escalate the confrontation with each other, and on the other hand, we get supplies and provisions? The prince said with a smile.

It is not an efficiency to go out and grab things by yourself, you have to beware of the master's cold gun, you have to play hide and seek with the master, you have to use violence to grab that little bit of food, and then try your best to transport it back from the badly damaged road! But it's not the same to exchange things, especially when you return them with weapons during wartime, this thing is more real money than real money! The most important thing in troubled times is the barrel of a gun! No matter which forces within Russia there are, they will not ignore the "goodwill" of the Germans, and will return this "goodwill" with the utmost sincerity!

Thanks to the 1st Guards Tank Brigade, Slow Swim K, Wang Yao's Young Guards Rabbit, good books are hard to find, and the sea has a side of the reward~~~! As well as the monthly pass support of book friends Yue Ren Yutian, Aihui Jiujiu, Son I Love You, Wanghai Chao 8060, and Happy Xiongjun~~~! Ask for subscription, ask for tips~~~! (To be continued.) )